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As The Saudi Tanks Roll To Bahrain

“Politically, Ken Salazar had to begin to relieve some of the pressure that gas prices were exerting on the administration,” said Kish. “He was running out of excuses and with Congress no longer rubber-stamping or ignoring his anti-energy policies, he had to issue at least one permit to placate the Hill.”

(HT:The Daily Caller)

Secretary of The Interior, Ken Salazar, has long advocated on behalf of the continued moratorium on drilling for oil in the Gulf of Mexico. He has argued that more time was needed to insure these operations could be done safely. He has questioned the wisdom of rushing back into drilling before the completion of advanced research on ocean containment technology designed to mitigate the impact of future spill events similar to what befell British Petroleum earlier in President Obama’s administration.

Others less sympathetic to Salazar’s environmental concerns point to statements by President Obama and Energy Secretary Chu that indicate that both men believe that America would be a better country if gasoline would just cost more. These regrettable statements have now come back to haunt the Obama Administration.

As I blogged a few days ago, oil prices (discounting the recent Libya Bump) have risen 133% since the Glorious Crowning of Emperor Obama. Gasoline prices have gone up 70.4% from Obama’s inauguration to Year 2, Ab Obama Condita.

Concatenating the two statements I cited above and the massive boost in energy prices over the last two years, would make it easy to formulate theories of Barack Obama’s malicious deviousness. I wish it were that simple. If only President Obama really could sit down with his Mini-Me Vice-President Biden and develop a strategy for making all the bad things go away. It could turn into the Marvel Comics Presidency.

Sadly, President Obama, is worse than evil. He suffers from the Peter Principal and Peter Pan Syndrome in vicious synonymy. He has neither the professional experience in national policy, nor the intellectual honesty to deal in fairness with adverse facts. Data that contraindicates his ideological fantasies that command and control economics can work simply doesn’t exist in his magical world. In Obamaland, political oratory marks the very day on which the levels of the oceans begin to recede.

Thus, the Big, Bad Real World has done the following unfair things to Mr. Obama’s fantasies. Investors have reacted to the low interest rates being championed by the world’s central banks by speculating heavily in commodities. This movement has made food, fuel, and strategic industrial materials more expensive. The CPI, an average consumer market basket for the US, does not indicate people are suffering too much. Given what I’ve seen at local supermarkets and gasoline pumps, I’d have to argue that the BLS has a remarkably curious definition of an average American.

This increase in prices has caused pain domestically, but grievous injury abroad. India, for example, allocates 47% of their CPI to food purchases. The average East Indian consumer is eight times more vulnerable to food price spikes than the average American. A similar state of affairs is true in Egypt, Tunisia and Libya. The average consumer in China suffers far worse than the average American; but considerably less than the average Libyan.

All of this data was well-known and readily available to Mr. Chu, Mr. Salazar, Mr. Biden and Mr. Obama. Yet the recent spate of governmental overthrows spanning Northern Africa has actually taken these brilliant men of Harvard by shock and surprise. How could these crazy foreigners act so differently than how Emperor Obama had decreed? The 3am phone calls now arrive in high enough frequency to require a switchboard and an answering service that probably operates somewhere in Mumbai.

Just this morning, as Secretary Salazar finally begins to relent on drilling in the Gulf of Mexico, Saudi Arabia’s despotic neighbors in Bahrain seem to be “next” in the Arab World’s rolling caravan of revolution. As demonstrators demand that the King of Bahrain abdicate his throne, the Saudis have sent tanks to crush the rebellion.

The Saudi stock market, normally ebullient when oil prices cross $100, is not exactly doing the Tennessee Waltz. They’ve lost 7% of their value and are crashing hard. Oman, also in Saudi Arabia’s backyard, has the armies out breaking hearts and breaking heads as anti-government demonstrators have refused to disperse.

We have a leafy, green background of domestic political anger and the potential for a massive disruption of imported oil that normally keeps the lights on the trucks rolling in the United States. Secretary Salazar finally decides that today is the very day, that deepwater drilling operations in the Gulf of Mexico are truly safe anew. He perhaps heard from Secretary Chu, who now really isn’t as fond of $8/Gal gasoline as he was two years ago. We Chu spoke, the idea seemed like the stuff of a speculative fiction novel. He may well have realized that sometimes the worst things happen to us in life when we get exactly what we ask for.

Correlation does not mandate causation, and sometimes a cigar is really just a cigar. However, as gasoline prices increase, the American 4th Quarter GDP gets revised downward, and the Saudi tanks roll in Bahrain, I can’t help but wonder how safe Secretary Salazar really believes Noble Energy’s proposed drilling operations will be. Perhaps he thinks they are safer than BP, or maybe they are merely safer than Sec. Chu’s proposed $8/gal gasoline prices.

COMMENTS

  • gwalt

    Is this the end of the Obama Administration? I know the media are still covering for him, but it no longer works. I would love to get a group (perhaps you know one Jack?) that could put up a billboard that says: “Are you Enjoying Your $4 per gallon Gas? Thank Barack Obama. It is his idea”

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    using the youtube clip below as a theme song…

    A Gallon of Gas by The Kinks.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack
  • johnt

    That’s the difference between us and leftists, they’re compassionate, & the only thing we racists think of is heating our homes & how we’re getting to work in the morning.
    Even the whores of the media must be getting uncomfortable, though some are so dumb I doubt it. My favorite, Katie Couric, like a frog on a frying pan.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    Show me an environmentalist who actually rolls up sleeves and cleans up a mess. Seagulls, at least, dispose of the garbage.

  • victrola

    I honestly believe the single biggest reason why Bill Clinton was so popular was simply because gas was always near $1.00 a gallon his entire Presidency. I fondly remember filling up my car for $12.00.

    Even if the economy takes off and the unemployment rate drops to 7.5% in 2012 (won’t happen), if gas is near $4.50 a gallon, Obama is finished.

    Obama would honestly do better at 9.5% unemployment but gas at $3.00 a gallon.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    I can’t imgaine our economy becoming strong enough to maintain 7.5% U3 with $4.50 gas. I read a paper 2 years back, I wish I could remember what to Google, that implied drivers started cutting back big-time after gas got North of $3.25 to $3.40 (A lot like what I drive past on my way to work)

    Once the cars are off the roads, people are not shopping unless its’s online. Only a 2nd Internet Commerce Boom would allow for as strong an economy as you hypothesize at gas selling for $4.50.

  • victrola

    If the economy ever heats up, gas prices go up and then economic growth stagnates. There’s absolutely no way we could have that kind of job growth with that high of oil prices, but the example I was throwing out was just to show that the price of gas is a much deadlier number for Obama than the unemployment rate.

    Looking forward beyond Obama, we need to figure out our energy conundrum. In addition to more domestic drilling and exploration, I personally think we should adopt part of Picken’s plan about using natural gas as a transportation fuel.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    It may be worth studying the pro’s and cons of these vehicles to see if we could scale it down and still achieve decent economies.

  • acat

    bring all kinds of secondary hikes, especially in the manufacturing and agriculture markets.

    Anything plastic starts as oil.

    A LOT of fertilizers and pesticides start as oil.

    I know I’ve cut back on commuting – doing a *lot* more telecommuting than I’d planned – and we’re looking at college choices for my offspring that are near public transportation instead of forcing a college student to figure out how to buy gas at $4/gal …

    Mew

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    I’d be interested in starting an online college analogous to this hypothetical “WalMart University.” (OK, I jacked my thread. You no longer have to!)

  • izoneguy

    This one thing alone can derail Obama’s 2012 bid – and he knows it.

    Throw into the mix his involvement in the union woes in Wisconsin and he is looking very impotent. I am sure Michelle Obama is well aware of these problems.

  • acat

    Ignoring entirely the safety issues, neither propane nor natural gas have the energy density of gasoline.

    Farmers have installed propane kits on their cars for decades – I knew people in the ’70s driving converted Fords and Chevys – and as long as you’ve got the big propane tank behind the barn and don’t mind re-filling somewhat less than twice as often, it’s not a bad deal. Burns cleaner, for one thing, so the engine lasts longer and you can go longer between oil changes.

    Again, leaving aside the safety issues, converting a goodly percentage of daily-drive vehicle to propane or natural gas could work out pretty well. Lots of methane out there, and it’s almost perfect for short-hop driving. The catch, other than safety, is the difference between daily drivers and road trips… it’s one thing to fill up more often around town, it’s another to fill up more often when gas stations are few and far between, eh?

    Mew

  • acat

    Phoenix, Kaplan, AIU…

    If the teenager weren’t so eager to leave the nest, they’d be given serious consideration…

    Mew

  • Michael Dugas

    and high unemployment will pretty much do this administration in. The issue is all about our ability to hinder any further damaging actions by this administration and whether or not its replacement has the political courage to make the tough choices needed to fix whats been done and sell those choices to the people.
    Time is an issue. As I said in an earlier post, “This economy is getting to the point where fixing it is going to be so painful as to scare your run of the mill politician away from making the right choice. And I am not so sure that today’s Dems care about fixing the economy, as it has become a tool to force the socioeconomic changes they are demanding.”

  • YnotNOW

    than they were during the 1970′s oil crisis (which was a big part of what brought Carter down). Our efficiency (GDP per unit of energy) is much higher, and our energy sources more diversified (more natural gas, in particular).

    But higher gas prices definitely do hurt the economy, and are a very visible cost to the average consumer’s pocketbook. And therefore are likely to be a factor in Obama’s demise.

  • gekster

  • audax

    ….over 90% of the polyethylene made in North America comes from the natural gas (to ethane to ethylene to polyethylene) chain, also PET products. As the price difference between oil vs ng grows, more PP is also coming from ng.

  • audax
  • acat

    I’m happy to admit I’m mistaken, but .. I don’t think that I am.

    Over 90% of polyethylene in North America completely ignores China, India, Japan, Europe, etc. .. and also ignores other non-ethylene plastics.

    Mew

  • acat

    We must have a candidate for POTUS who can beat any Dem. POTUS nom.

    The Dems in congress, especially in the Senate, know that, as long as the fundamentals of the economy are rotten – and oil and gas prices are just one metric – that Obama will have negative coattails. That is, Obama at the top of the ballot will cost more Dem voters (either through staying home or not voting Democrat) than having not-Obama would cause.

    I still think the Dems will switch him out, either because he loses the primary, or because he is somehow unable to run. I hope it’s not due to a Kennedy scenario… that would be about the worst possible path for the country to take.

    Mew

  • http://www.hakubi.us/ Neil Stevens

    Internet commerce that ships goods around also is hurt by high gas prices, because high gas prices raise the cost of shipping.

  • audax

    … that’s why U.S is cometitive on PE. Most Middle East PE also from ng that used to be flared off, also Indian PE comes from ng. European and some Asian PE comes from oil.

    Today ng Henry Hub spot is $3.92/MMBtu vs. WTI Cushing spot oil at $99.01/bbl or price/energy differential of 25.25. considering price/energy parity for oil over ng is 6:1 there is a huge cost savings right now to use ng.

  • audax

    … and not competitive exporters…

  • audax

    PE, PET, and PVC far surpass any oil based polymers by tonnage, by far!

  • acat

    Plastics is not my business, but components made of plastic used to be.

    Lots of stuff from GE and from one of the Japanese mining companies.

    The GE stuff was sent to China, but was made of (drumroll) oil.

    Is why I want cites, not respect-my-authority, eh?

    Mew

  • YnotNOW

    High energy prices, High unemployment, slow economic growth.
    + plus +
    Dissatisfaction with deficit and spending (which reqires awareness by the general public, not just political junkies like us) (and I should note, are related to the above)
    + plus +
    A strong Republican candidate (to be determined…)

    Other factors remain a wild card – social issues, foreign policy, terrorism, etc.

    I doubt any possibility for Dems to switch in the primaries. But Obama will still not be easy to defeat unless all three above fall in line.

  • acat
  • audax

    polymer users and producers will use most competive feedstocks when they can, right now thats ng/ethane based.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    to trash for-profit schools. Academic periodicals such as “The Chronicle” hate them.

  • audax

    …produces primarily engineered resins which tonnage wise is the flea compared to the dog of ethane based polymers. Just no comparison tonnage wise and why engineered resins cost so much more….

  • audax

    …in my 33 years in the plastics business i have bought and sold BILLIONS and BILLIONS of pounds of ethane based polymers and tens and tens of Millions of pounds of oil/naptha based polymers

  • acat

    it’s still not a *cite*.

    This is a cite:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olefin

    Specifically see:
    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Olefin#Industrial_methods

    which indicates that you are correct about natural gas being a primary source in the U.S., and that naptha is a primary source in Europe.

    Note – since Wikipedia is user-editable, it’s not regarded as a *good* source for a cite, but .. it is a cite.

    Mew

  • audax

    ….on oil/naptha polymers if I could of reversed those tonnages, belive me, I would have! It’s just reality that most tonnage in the global plastic manufacturing/distribution/trading is ng/ethane based…that is my point

  • unclefred

    Is because people have it rubbed in their face EVERY time they fill up. Every time you see the price of a fill increase it reminds you that things are going the wrong way. Whether you are working or not, everyone experiences this. Same with home heating oil, when you call for that refill and did not pre buy its shock especially since most of us don’t buy over 100 gals of gas at a time, but we often by 100s of gals when the oil man comes…

    Drip Drip Drip – like water on your forehead you are reminded if this mess and whose policies got us here…

  • acat

    The academic establishment have counted on, *depended* on being able to keep raising tuitions, keep dumbing down courses, keep extending graduation requirements… and the gravy train has run out.

    Note – the Obama takeover of the student loan industry plays right into this, in an attempt to keep the gravy flowing. Not thinking it’ll succeed..

    Mew

  • davesinsanantonio

    we need a strong CONSERVATIVE candidate who will GOVERN by conservative principles, not just get elected and then be a spineless squish for “Republican” points of view, while “reaching across the aisle” so “we can all move forward together”!!!

  • lisamiller

    There is a profit motive to destablizing the world, especially the Middle East. Democrats and some Republicans get to cash in as their actions drive up the cost of oil, prevent the domestic drilling to alleviate it and thus making their product more market vaible.

    Both Parties benefit from this abuse of power thru profit making in green technology and the pressure for domestic oil/gas industries.

    Americans are being played.

  • CJB68

       Thanks to the Housepets of America

  • CJB68

       Seeing as their reflex response is for even more and higher taxes, fees, and regulations, I can already see how far off the right path our political “leadership” is going.  This is insane!  We may well have to pull an “Egypt” before this is all over.

  • nickel

    We have a nation that is deep in paper debt with some of the world’s largest stores of oil, coal and natural gas being kept off the market by the same enviromental lobby that is supporting the Soros/Obama communists who are fueling the fires of political revolt. If we give them control of the United States that their own actions have forced toward insolvency and they then can implement a control economy with themselves as our betters. Then we will watch them drill and pump and process the very resources that we could have used to save our Democratic Republic. We will be the biggest fools of any generation and the betrayers of the ten generations of Americans who came before us. Wake up before it is too late.

  • ag8tor

    Saudi Arabia of Natural gas. we have enough NG reserves to carry us well into the next century. Not doing us much good if the EPA et al won’t let us get it out of the ground. The eco-freaks carry way to much power. Thanks to that sham of an ex-vice president Al Gore who first gave them their foothold. Besides, the cost of gas is not an issue to the ones on the hill since they don’t work. They are too stupid to figure out that the ones affected by these moratoriums are the middle class workers who have to be there every day. Obama and his henchmen want to see America fail. Their socialist/ communist dependence on BIG government plan depends on it. I guess we’re supposed to ride bicycles until this green energy foolishness becomes fact.

  • geah

    you are the only two who knows what the other says you don’t know. please,,, get on with your educated selves!!!!

  • ag8tor

    How do we defeat the Energy and Environmental lobbies or override this socialist administration with the spineless self-serving bunch we have in DC today? The administration will not face ANY tough issues. The Dems have been totally taken over by the leftists and are mostly worried about their political careers. The Republicans are gutless and want to make nice even after being walked on for the last 6 years. The Tea Party doesn’t have the numbers to have the clout to get anything done. The fact is that we may not be able to wait for the 2012 elections to try and straighten many of these problems that have been brought about by the incompetence in DC. We are dangerously close to being out of time to fix it. What can be done NOW?

  • grammy1

    “Even the whores of the media must be getting uncomfortable, though some are so dumb I doubt it. My favorite, Katie Couric, like a frog on a frying pan.”

    Does agreeing to an on air colonoscopy qualify as a media whore? In my book it most certainly does.

  • grammy1

    Dennis Klein, President and CEO of Hydrogen Technology Applications. Inc has developed the H20 2000 that combines the stability of water with hydrogen to produce a hybrid gas. The H2O 2000 is a fine example of “American Ingenuity.” Of course the oil company lobyists would not like to see competition that could rapidly reverse the course of our economy. Using this water/hydrogen gas we could meet our other oil needs with our own supplies and tell them where to put their oil and desire to to destroy our culture.

  • http://theminorityreportblog.com Repair_Man_Jack

    ATT sued and in enlisted the help of the USG to keep a hands-free device called the Carter-Fone off the market in the mid 1970′s. It may have set back mobile phone tach about 15 years. Your story would not shock me if it were the truth.