« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

Update on the VA primary ballot situation.

Or possibly “mess,” depending:

  • Rick Perry’s definitely not certified, but is going to contest the results.
  • Newt Gingrich may be certified; there’s this report (via @allahpundit), but I’ve seen no confirmation elsewhere and the VA GOP site is currently melting down. [UPDATE: that report has now been walked back.]
  • Presumably Ron Paul will be next, as he has not actually gotten 15K signatures. [UPDATE: turns out that he was already certified.]

This plays out one of three ways:

  1. It’s Paul/Romney.  In which case, we have a problem: as @bdomenech notes,  “No party registration. Anyone can vote.”  Even if Romney wins, the Republican Party of Virginia’s name is going to be mud for a while among the grassroots.  Gov. McDonnell can also forget about a VP spot, should he be wanting one.  Lastly: expect the cry that the fix was in.  Whether you like it or not (I don’t, myself).
  2. It’s Gingrich/Paul/Romney.  I actually expect this to be the most likely scenario.  Awful for Perry, of course, but it still keeps the entire thing from looking like a backroom deal to keep Gingrich from winning Virginia – which will be alleged, if Gingrich is off the ballot.  In fact, I think that it’s being alleged now.
  3. It’s Gingrich/Paul/Perry/Romney.  I don’t know how they’d manage that at this point, but then the Democrats didn’t know how to pass Obamacare until they managed it, either.  First rule of political organization: there’s always an arcane rule.  I note this though merely for informational purposes; it’s low-probability.

Lastly: I’m not going to waste my time by telling people that they shouldn’t speculate about the fix being in, but at least try to find some evidence first, OK?

Moe Lane

Get Alerts