« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

MA-SEN: Sen. Scott Brown’s lead confirmed?

Apparently, there are people who are shocked by this:

According to a Kimball Political Consulting survey of registered voters in Massachusetts, Senator Scott Brown has a 6 point lead over Democrat Elizabeth Warren (49 percent to 43 percent) with 9 percent undecided. The figure is just within the survey’s 4 percent margin of error.

President Obama continues to hold a double digit lead over former Massachusetts Mitt Romney (52 percent to 41 percent) with 7 percent undecided. Poll results are based on a sample of respondents most likely to vote in November.

…mind you, Legal Insurrection’s William A Jacobson is not one of those people, and neither am I. We’re both quite aware – even if progressives themselves weren’t – that Massachusetts is a Democratic state, not necessarily a progressive one. Oh, sure, Boston’s liberal (not as liberal as other Blue cities, but pretty liberal); but Boston is not the state. The state elected Brown in the first place, largely because he was a good retail politician that made it clear what Brown was and was not going to do once he was Senator. Coakley ran (and Warren is running) on ideology: Brown is running on constituent service (there’s a reason why Brown retained some of Kennedy’s staff, and that had nothing to do with ideology). I think that there are some Democrats out there who wish it were the other way around.

Besides, what the Democrats really need to worry about is that 51/42 Obama/Romney number. You see, in 2008 Obama beat McCain 62/36; and if you assume that undecideds will break against the incumbent then you are looking at a squeaker, in MA terms. That isn’t as much a harbinger of potential disaster for the Democrats on national terms as it would be in, say, Minnesota; after all, Romney is a former MA governor, so he’s probably going to over-perform McCain in that state (heck, in every state). But it does suggest that Massachusetts Democrats may find Obama problematical on the state level in November…

Moe Lane

RedState Gathering All-Access Passes Have SOLD OUT.Register here for the Thu/Sat night Party Pass!

Get Alerts