« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

MA-SEN: Sen. Scott Brown’s lead confirmed?

Apparently, there are people who are shocked by this:

According to a Kimball Political Consulting survey of registered voters in Massachusetts, Senator Scott Brown has a 6 point lead over Democrat Elizabeth Warren (49 percent to 43 percent) with 9 percent undecided. The figure is just within the survey’s 4 percent margin of error.

President Obama continues to hold a double digit lead over former Massachusetts Mitt Romney (52 percent to 41 percent) with 7 percent undecided. Poll results are based on a sample of respondents most likely to vote in November.

…mind you, Legal Insurrection’s William A Jacobson is not one of those people, and neither am I. We’re both quite aware – even if progressives themselves weren’t – that Massachusetts is a Democratic state, not necessarily a progressive one. Oh, sure, Boston’s liberal (not as liberal as other Blue cities, but pretty liberal); but Boston is not the state. The state elected Brown in the first place, largely because he was a good retail politician that made it clear what Brown was and was not going to do once he was Senator. Coakley ran (and Warren is running) on ideology: Brown is running on constituent service (there’s a reason why Brown retained some of Kennedy’s staff, and that had nothing to do with ideology). I think that there are some Democrats out there who wish it were the other way around.

Besides, what the Democrats really need to worry about is that 51/42 Obama/Romney number. You see, in 2008 Obama beat McCain 62/36; and if you assume that undecideds will break against the incumbent then you are looking at a squeaker, in MA terms. That isn’t as much a harbinger of potential disaster for the Democrats on national terms as it would be in, say, Minnesota; after all, Romney is a former MA governor, so he’s probably going to over-perform McCain in that state (heck, in every state). But it does suggest that Massachusetts Democrats may find Obama problematical on the state level in November…

Moe Lane

COMMENTS

  • usnk2

    During the Olympics coverage, Scott Brown ran a series of ads that had local Democrats endorsing Brown, whilst Warren ran one ad about the need for not-specific- to-Massachusetts infrastructure jobs. So, I am not surprised by this poll.
    Besides, half of Massachusetts voters are independents. And, I assume some of them are having the same nightmares with RomneyCare as I am. Let me out of here!
    My prediction is that Brown+Warren will get more votes than Obama+Romney, due to the lack of enthusiasm for either presidential candidate.

  • renl57

    I wasn’t at all surprised that Scott Brown could beat Elizabeth Warren.

    I live in a working-class part of MA where Scott Brown was and probably still is popular.

    http://cdn.pjmedia.com/eddriscoll/files/2010/01/ma-election-map_1-19-10.jpg

    Brown’s supporters are the blue-collar guys with pickup trucks that have two sets of bumper stickers:

    “PROUD AMERICAN” (or sometimes “POW-MIA”)
    “PROUD TO BE UNION: PIPE FITTERS LOCAL 57″ (or MACHINISTS LOCAL but you get the idea)

    I wish the GOP would make it clear that it doesn’t regard blue-collar union guys who do plumbing, construction, factory work, and other real work with their hands, as “thugs” just because they belong to a union local. (My own dad was one of those.)

    There’s a vast difference between those guys and the organized bureaucrats of government public-employee unions.

  • Ausonius

    Glad to read that the adjective “Republican” was not placed before “Scott Brown” in this article. :)

    He is better than e.g. B. Boxer from California or Democrat Elizabeth Warren.

    And if indeed Romney can carry the state, we will not hold that against him! :)

  • arthurjake

    You mean “Stands with False Heritage” isn’t winning? Surprise, surprise, surprise.

  • luv2ski

    Poor Faux-cahantas! She’s got one bright spot. She apparently has the “nosebleed indian” vote all locked up.

    I’m waiting for Hillary to come to her rescue. Together they can channel Eleanor Roosevelt and beg for women’s votes. Bring Bill too. He can set up shop at the local Hooters and channel Teddy.

  • barry915barry

    RCP does not show this poll. However, may not matter. There have been 9 LV polls since March. Brown leads in 6 of them, with 1 showing a tie. More recently, he leads in the last 3 LV polls out since May. He is tied in a May Rasmussen LV poll. I like the trendline. Barry.

  • 1stRichard

    What street in NoHo was that on, I have to take a picture of that for our local Tea Party FB page. I am over here in South Hadley and have not seen any here yet. I am about to put up some Scott Brown but I need a pile of rocks around it so it won’t get run over again. I am also one of the founding members – admin – officers of the local Tea Party here.

  • usnk2

    The duelling yardsigns are on Damon Road, between King Street and Route 9. Perhaps they feel safer because that is the road combination from I-91 to the Veteran’s Admin Hospital in Leeds?
    Tea Party in South Hadley? Wow, hope you are close to the Chicopee border with South Hadley – in case you need some air strikes!
    My personal take on the Warren yard signs is that by highlighting “Elizabeth” “for Senate” in white, and “Warren” in a fading blue is that people will think Queen Elizabeth is running for the Senate.

  • celador2

    I like Scott Brown and for his state he does them proud. If he can hold the US and MA are better off. The blue eyed blonde Cherokee must not enter the Senate. This polls show MA voters agree that Brown is an overall better candidate and Senator who deserves reelection..

  • celador2

    Does Linda McMahon stand much chance of winning CT Senate? Now if she does win that will be the shake up of the 2012 season.