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EDITOR OF REDSTATE

If The Election Were Held Today Barack Obama Would Win

Contra Dick Morris, Mitt Romney is not winning this election. At least Mitt Romney is not winning the election right now. Conservatives are obsessing over every poll, the turn out models used, and the media bias that is on ful display. Yes, some of the polling models seem screwy, though we all forget the pollsters apply a secret sauce known only to them on top. Yes, reporters are fully beclowning themselves to get their god-king re-elected. But while we may be focused there, the fact is the Romney campaign isn’t functioning well. Lucky for you and me the election is not today. But something needs to happen in Boston and I am less and less hopeful anything will happen.

It would be easy to dismiss me by saying I never cared for Romney or I’m somehow actually rooting against him. So let me put it to you this way: Jenn Rubin and I are on the same page. That’s either a sign of the apocalypse or there is something really dysfunctional happening within the Romney campaign.

Having refused to get on the “campaign shake up” bandwagon when Rupert Murdoch and Jack Welch were claiming a shake up needed to happen, count me in now. Like it or not, spin it or not, put your head in the sand or not, attack me as the messenger or not, the very simple truth is that Mitt Romney has failed to close any deal with the voters and his message is so muddled no voter really knows what they are getting.

Consider last Friday’s economic news. The Romney campaign has let every North African nation distract them from reminding voters of that data. Even the North African mess has rendered the Romney campaign a rudderless messaging mess. His message is not selling. His ads are not very good. He has hundreds of staffers in Boston and I’m guessing too many cooks in the kitchen.

Several weeks ago, based on conversations with people more attuned to Team Romney than myself, I suggested Stu Stevens might be in over his head or too busy selling himself to sell Mitt Romney. In the past few weeks, I’ve confirmed that more and more Republican donors are also concerned with Stu Stevens.

I don’t know the man, but that people knowledgable about the situation suggest he is a problem means there is either infighting and some of Team Romney is out to get Stevens or Stevens is a real problem. Considering the New Republic’s flattering profile of Stevens during campaign season, I’m going with him being the problem. I have a general rule to never trust consultants who sit for fawning profiles while trying to get a candidate elected.

Regardless, Team Romney seems so scared of being more unliked than he is already is that they refuse to actually pound a consistent, hard hitting message. Negatives be damned, his message is too muddled for voters to be anything other than confused. Voters have been subjected to two straight Presidential campaign seasons where Romney’s opponents have hit him for being inconsistent and now he is … well … too muddled up to look consistent. If you are going to beat the incumbent, you must convince voters you’ll be a steady, consistent hand or they really will go with the status quo knowing at least they can plan around the guy they already know.

There is time for Mitt Romney to close the deal. But he can’t close the deal with a schizophrenic campaign message. If he’s afraid of being more unliked than he already is, he might as well let Paul Ryan be the lead. Because the status quo for Team Romney is not working. That is just a fact and we might as well accept it instead of screaming at everything else trying not to make eye contact with that fact.

COMMENTS

  • goodgovernance

    Perceptive and accurate, Erick, if painful to have to admit. The Romney campaign does have real flaws, and while the MSM is eagerly overhyping them, that doesn’t mean those flaws don’t exist.

    Romney’s big chance to turn this around is in the debates, especially the first one. But I worry about Mitt’s debate prep, if Stu Stevens is handling that one, too.

  • commonsenseobserver

    I agree fully with the need for a shake up, and most of the things in Jenn Rubin’s post, and it seems Rep. Ryan is also quietly advocating for one. The fiasco over the speech reported by Politico is a sure sign that Romney needs to apply his turnaround skills to his own campaign.
    Stu Stevens and the strategy team must be kept in line, and reshuffled. So do the communications and ad messaging guys.
    Their messages also have to be refined and recalibrated, their rapid response upgraded, their strategy adjusted, their policies and principles clarified, their attacks sharpened.
    Right now, Romney looks like a Mr. Fix-It, so voters know he’s a good manager, but that’s for Calvin Coolidge in a boom. He can be competent, he can be compassionate, but is he courageous enough to lead? Does he offer the right vision, in contrast to Obama’s record of failure, and does he have the experience to back that up? I think they have not joined the dots on all of these, just like they have not joined the dots on their points in the case against four more years of the same.
    It’s now a choice between two pasts, and two futures. On one hand, we can go back to big government, over-tax, over-borrow, and over-spend policies, those we have seen since 2008, and indeed far before. Or we can embrace the founding principles of freedom and opportunity and re-apply them because we believe that they are more relevant than ever.
    An opportunity society, or a government-take-all society?
    But above all, Team Romney must be optimistic, they must be hopeful, they must be steady, but they must also recognise and convey the urgency of this campaign. It’s not just about asking voters to cast their ballots for Romney, but to convince them that he believes in America, and they should as well. “The last four years may have been the best this President could do, but they are not the best America can do”.

  • commonsenseobserver

    Well, Boston once forced out a pretty good debate coach because he was becoming too famous. If only they could apply that standard to themselves. Stu Stevens needs to be kept in check, at least.
    Isn’t there a Univision forum as well, by the way?

  • drh55

    You are so right, Erick! What this campaign needs is FIRE!

    I also remember an interview that Romney had with Chris Wallace. Chris asked him what advice his father would give him if he were still alive. Romney’s response was: “Be bold!”

    Well, the only bold thing that Romney has done in this campaign is to select Paul Ryan as his running mate–which, in fact, created a LOT of excitement and a rise in the polls. Since then, his campaign has been very “ho-hum” and mundane. There are SO many reasons why President Obama should be far behind at this point, but it is just not happening!

    My advice to the Romney campaign is to get rid of Stevens, and to “Show FIRE and BE BOLD!

  • commonsenseobserver

    Looking at Mitt’s latest ad, it appears he may be listening to us. It focuses on three points in his plan for a stronger middle class. Hopefully this will be the start of a new phase of the campaign based on a bold vision of leadership and renewal, and contrasting it with Obama’s record. But they still have to buck up and do a lot more work.

  • jrg50

    Steve Winn had a great line on CNN tonite, Piers Morgan was off and Tony Robbins hosted: Said Obama was a 1st rate campaigner and speaker, but was a thrid rate Pres. Then said Romney is a 3rd rate campaigner and would be a 1st rate Pres.
    The BE BOLD advice from dad George is a gross understatement at this stage of the game. Be Hardcore and Bold and take no prisoners. I still cannot for the life of me believe the left has sold the country on BO in a second term, and I’m getting very tired of the low grade puke I upchuck everytime I see the lib-media orgasmic over how badly Romney’s campaign is going.
    Romney needs to speak to the people like they were one of his boys who F___d up.
    Straight up Reality blast hit ‘em with it. No holds barred, and talk common sense and see if that can help snap the masses out of the blind celebrity worship hypnotic trance they’ve succumed to from the O-Team. 4th quarter Mitt and you’re getting you azz handed to you. Be perfect and brand the people with the truth.

  • ihateliberals

    Eric this shouldn’t be news to anyone. I have tried to get my friends and other conservatives to see and understand that Mitt Romney is too much of a flip-flopper and general Wimp. I have knwn since the begining of the push for Romney that he was the wrong candidate just like I knew McCain was in 2008. The Republican Party hasn’t just lost this election they have thrown the country under the proverbial Bus. What kind of Miracle does anyone think will happen in the next few weeks to put Romney on top. Romney has no Charisma. He doesn’t electrify. Our Candidate was not only going to have to win Republicans but also independents and worse of all they were going to have to beat the pollsters and the media. There was no way that Mr. Nice Guy Romney was going to be able to do that. It doesn’t matter what this plan is to safe America no one every heard him be passionate about it.

    The Republicans might as well just stiop wasting money for a lost cause and Pray to God that there is still an America in 2016. I have been a republican all my life but no more. The Party has told me as a conservative I am not welcome. The Progressives are moving into the Party and pushing us out. maybe we are letting them but that is what is happening and this is the results of it. When the choice is between two liberals they wil tak the one already in office and that would be Obama. We either need new leaders or a New party. This is the time to start a new Party so as to be ready for the 20126 elections if we should be lucky enough to h=ave them.

    this makes me sick to the stomach and one time that i pray to God that i am wrong about.

  • PatriotForLiberty

    Yay, the AP is reporting that the campaign has been listening and Romney is going to get specific, it’s excellent news and it’s going to be great! We can do this! “…campaign aides say Romney plans to release a new batch of TV ads, re-focus his campaign appearances on his five-point economic plan and make a series of speeches aimed at offering voters a more concrete outline of his plans for the country.” http://apnews.myway.com/article/20120917/DA1BD97O2.html

  • commonsenseobserver

    Telling hard truths =/= lecturing and scolding voters
    The problem with Team Romney’s strategy is that they seem to think hitting Obama means hitting the people who voted for him. That’s false, and you comment seems to buy into that.
    I’m sure Romney isn’t one of those fiery dads himself. :p
    Instead, what about an image more suited to Reagan…. a straight-talking, but wise, experienced, and caring, grandfather? Difficult for Team Chicago to be attacking a nice, heart-warming grandpa, no matter how rich. We could tie that in with his record as a businessman and successful executive, and link it to his case for a change. Of course, Mitt looks a little too youthful. Might have worked better for Mac in 08. ^^

  • rkinroanoke

    Erick there is still time but the ads stink. I am in VA and the ads on yesterday were horrible. In one new one, he actually referred to China as Cheaters. Cheaters!. In it he was chastising O about not doing anything about the Cheaters. The very next ad was an O ad talking about Bain investing in companies that outsource to China. Objectively it was a much better ad.
    The sad part is the beginning visual of Romney’s ad wasn’t bad. It showed the change in mfg jobs here and in China.
    At least it focused on jobs, but it was not hard hitting or bold.

  • trutexan

    Sounds like the Romney campaign could use a good dose of Newt Gingrich.
    And I wish the RNC would run that video shown at the convention of all the Hispanic political leaders, down here in South Texas. I don’t know if they know this since the RNC is out of touch with real voters, but there ARE Hispanic voters in my neck of the woods believe it or not. That message would be instantly embraced and, for the first time in their lives, they will vote Republican. I’ve been looking on YouTube and gop.com and can’t find it, That clip will positively activate the Hispanic community. Just a thought.

  • salemst

    Romney is up in every poll by 2-8% when factoring accurate Rasmussen 37% Republican and 33% Democrat voter registration poll sampling demographics.

    He’s winning in November because of Obama’s failed Depressionesque economic record as only 20% of people according to a skewed ABC/Washington Post Poll are better off today than 4 years ago.

    And at the debates they’ll see Romney is the superior man and an acceptable alternative to Obama.
    We’re winning this election big, 1980 redux.

  • salemst

    One other thing. I’m a cultural conservative. Economic/jobs are what matter this election. Romney’s stated he’s on the conservative side of the values issue.

  • spinoneone

    The Romney campaign is a shambles. It can’t seem to put out an ad that says, simply, “Obama is a liar.” It can’t put out an ad that says, “This is our position on X.” If it doesn’t get off its ass in the next 10 days it might as well not bother.

  • PaladinLostHour

    Let us know when your balloon lands. 2010 is *not* a guide to 2012 likely voters – the conservative base was hugely p*ssed off at Obama, the Tea Party was crackling with the energy of new formation, and Obama’s base said – ‘meh – mid year – our guy already has the White House’ and stayed home.

    Only one of those three is true for 2012, and if we’re depending on depressed dem turnout at 2010 levels, and the morons who haven’t yet made up their minds between freedom and socialism to rescue Romney, we’re hosed.

    As per Eric, we’d lose today. If nothing changes, we’ll lose in November. QED.

  • commonsenseobserver

    You can’t just say Obama is a liar the way he can just imply through the media that Ryan is a liar and Romney’s a murderer.

  • Return to Revolution

    Actually, not ‘contra Dick Morris’ anymore…. his latest article has a decidedly different tone. It goes without saying that I will do everything I can to help win this election but the depressing part isn’t the possibility of losing in itself… it is losing an election when so many of Obama’s policies are directly blowing up in his face. Even given a bad campaign, Romney should be crushing Obama right now.

  • fredmatic1

    Correct again Erick. I am a very conservative independent and I find Mitt Romney distasteful. He seems to represent everything I do not like about Republicans, BUT, he is the only opposition candidate with which we have a chance of unseating our current ‘useful idiot’ president. Mitt needs to grow a spine and stand for something. Mitt needs to get rid of the ‘inside the beltway’ consultants and hire some real people whom are part of the ‘working folks’. I can’t believe the millions, upon millions of dollars spent to employ the otherwise unemployable consultants. If you don’t believe in something, you will fall for everything…..this is Mr. Romney and his limp stands. I do believe he might have political A.D.D.

  • renl57

    After all this talk about what Romney is or isn’t doing, notice that Obama is doing well in an absolute sense.

    Look at Obama’s approval rating. Those are polls that just ask if respondents approve of Obama’s performance as President, not whether they prefer him to Romney.

    And right now, Obama’s approval rating is 49.4%–less than one point away from being a majority. 47.1% disapprove, meaning that only 3.5% of the voters are undecided about him at this point.

    That doesn’t give Romney or any other challenger much room to work with.

    If the voters approve of the incumbent, he stays in office. It doesn’t matter what the challenger does or doesn’t do.

  • celador2

    You read my mind! I awoke thinking about the sinking Romney campaign based on what I see from Romney and polls direction. I have been thinking heavily about the flawed Romney campaign since June and its lack of message to pull in voters. Another blog poster came up with an energy list which involved ‘Pipeine, clean coal, drill here and now’. What ever happened to Romney’s ‘Day One’ agenda? Polls show voters now prefer Obama tax plans to Romney’s , says WSJ today.
    Romney does not look presidential on domestic or foreign policy.
    A Fox poll last week showed Obama winning the mesage war:
    Is this a presidential race between two men with differnt visions? 64
    or,
    Is this presidential race a referendum on Barack Obama? 31
    Romney needs do more than show OBama is a failure. His own message is not one of contrast on jobs, energy,. taxes,,health care. We can take health care off the table apparently as a campaign issues to rally votes. Suprem Court on June 28 killed Repeal Obamacare as an issue for Romney which trickled down to all Republicans. But did the Roberts betrayal mean all reform in health care would be dead?
    What about the ACA waivers that allow flexibility the court did not cover?
    What about the 15 member panel outside Congressional oversight IPAB that controls Medicare? Will he allow IPAB to stand?
    One speech on energy independence is not enough to show he is serious. He and surrogates must hammer a growth oriented energy policy in contrast to Obama.
    Taxes—whatever tax reform he proposes let it stress less taxes for small business where jobs are created.
    Day One agenda was to undo Obama Exec Order’s costly regulation like cap and trade stuff EPA imposes. if these promises worked in the primary they might still have legs with swing voters today. Its worth a try to focus on waivers, repeal ACA, lower taxes and regulation.
    An energy policy that will show concrete gains for energy independence and jobs now is so doable, we can not miss that opportunity.
    The way to catch voters attention on jobs is not the shocking but dry jobs numbers. The voters stick with Obama on those , have safety nets in place and are not that worried. The way to get their support on jobs is to lay out plans to allow the free markets to create and grow jobs through competition, low taxes and innovation.
    Government needs to get out of the way..
    Obama wants a planned economy run by hand outs to public employee unions with stimulus money that The Fed prints. There is a contrast in how to jump the economy if Romney would only use it.
    .

  • Ausonius

    We hear about all the money in the Romney campaign to have a huge final push: tick-tock-tick-tock.

    Am I hearing a strangulated sound similar to McLame’s campaign in 2008? I have been waiting for the huge push, and get a protectionist ad bashing China more than it centers on the future, more than it centers on BIG BRObama’s disastrous policies.

    Trade policy on China? Really? An ad about that?

    Impossible-to-repay debt, inflation or deflation, and national bankruptcy are coming faster than ever before thanks to $1,000,000,000,000 + deficits per year. Where are those ads? (And lets use the number rather than the word “trillion” to shock people with all those zeroes.)

  • salemst

    Romney is up in every poll when properly sampled.
    Reagan was down 8% to Carter October,1980.
    People have fired Obama. His approval is below 50%. They’re waiting for the debates to compare Romney and Obama and will abandon Obama moving towards Mitt between Friday November 2 and Sunday November 4…..just as what happened with Reagan.

    GOP has a fired up base, Democrats are dispirited, GOP in Florida has a 20% greater new voter registration. Democrats 20% less new voter registration.
    We’re in a Depressionesque economy with real unemployment between 14.7-19% according to Bureau of Labor Statistics U-6 model and Mort Zuckerman’s analysis—-the way unemployment was counted under Reagan and George HW Bush. That’s what people feel, not the bogus 8.1% “official” number.

    Obama’s fired, Romney’s about to be hired. No hurry for people to flock to Romney. They don’t have to “buy” him till November 6.

  • bobdoll

    Maybe the campaign isn’t catching fire because People don’t like what Romney is selling.

  • tngal

    Waiting patiently for Mitt to do “The Full Monty.” Don’t say we need entitlement reform–heck we know that. Lay bare how you plan on reforming it. What specific entitlements are you talking about and how would you reform them? Don’t just say the tax code needs fixing. Explain precisely how you would fix it. Which loopholes would you tighten or remove. Make a short list of committees or agencies that you would dissolve. You’ve opted to steer clear of social issues, you’ve chosen not to hit Obama hard on his failed policies. Fine, whatever. Focus on the economy if that’s where you feel most comfortable. But if that’s your signature issue, don’t keep your plan under wraps. Show us what you got!

  • conservativecurmudgeon

    Mitt Who?

    You mean there is someone out there who is running for President? I mean, other than the Great Barack Obama? I just thought there was this incompetent boob of a gaffe-machine who bumbles around in the imperial wake of Our Great President, shooting from the lip and unable to muss up his coif.

    At least, that’s the middling impression I’m left with after the Democrat-Media Complex defines the general terms. And, since this guy named Mitt isn’t countering that definition, I guess it stands.

    There is a reason we conservatives did not support Mitt in the primaries. Not having a philosophical core –the place from which a fighting passion flows– turns out to be a real problem, eh?

    But we shouldn’t worry, no? Remember: Mitt’s “electable”. Psshhhh.

  • Jack_Savage

    Or maybe this country is full of cultish idiots who don’t work, don’t read and wouldn’t know a bad economy if it bit them on the ass because they’ve been on the dole for generations.

  • commonsenseobserver

    The only thing I’m worried about is early voting.

  • celador2

    Romney is bold in the wrong places. His trip overseas during thr Olympics were a flop to me. He has my vote because I oppose Obama but his trip did not raise Romney in my esteem.
    His trip was to criticize a sitting president on foreign soil by visiting places Obama had snubbed an ally. Romney did the same boldly.
    He landed hard in London and kicked an ideological ally PM David Cameron in the shins over Olympics Security. I viewed in dread and horror on Fox Romney’s repeating media ctriticism about the poor Olympic security. I wanted Romney to defend and support his conservative ally Cameron who was under siege.
    Mitt, stand by him against attacks UK security was faulty. But, no, he did not stand by Cameron. He joined the attacks on Cameron a fellow conservative. Romney, a guest was wrong to criticize the host government and were a Labout PM in power his remarks would have been misplaced. .But i am old fashioned and value manners and protocol highly as a sign of professionalism and respect. But still, that was and is my reaction to the Romney foreign Olympics trip in London
    Reagan would never have treated Thatcher or any conservative the way Romney tore into Olympic Secuirty and Cameron. In fact Reagan and his team needed some convincing on the Falkands war. In the end they stood with their friends and Thatcher, as we should too. the UK is the only big reliable material support US has.

  • macbookben

    I don’t think it is realistic to expect either candidate to win by a length, or even half a length, notwithstanding a major strategic move by R&R’s campaign. It’s going to be by a nose, and we’ll be biting our nails until every state reports in on Tuesday night. In the meantime, I will continue to do whatever I can to cancel out votes for Obama: by getting voters on board with me, or at least telling the squishies who voted for BHO in ’08 there’s a 100% chance of rain on November 6th, and the lines are a mile long at the polling stations.

  • runner12

    I must admit, the negativism is defeating which is exactly what we do not need at this time. Yet burying one’s head in the sand isn’t helpful either. A nice balance between the two would be refreshing. After all, Rasmussen has Romney up now.

    I am wondering if all of this is a reaction to the Politico’s attack piece getting ready to come out about infighting in the Team Romney camp. Why anyone believes anything coming out of that organization is beyond me.

    Romney needs to be sharpening his message, no doubt. But I am not ready to hit the panic button yet. The dust has not settled from Obama’s foreign policy disasters. It will be interesting to see how the voters react.

  • tnguy

    100% right on the message Erick. They should be hammering Obama, and yet they are afraid to. What a disgrace he had no qualms about smashing Gingrich, but cowers at the thought of going after the marxist.

    You can’t say Romney is losing when it’s this close. The consistency in the rasmussen polls tell us this thing is a dead heat. However, given the democrat cheat factor, a tie probably does mean an Obama win.

    Another thing, anecdotally, but why is it I see Obama commercials on national TV, but have yet to see a Romney ad?

    The real issue isn’t that Romney might lose, it’s that Obama might win. Nearly half our country voting for a marxist. Decades of voting for big government republicans are coming home to roost. So is cowering in fear of the media and refusing to expose the left wingers for what they are.

  • celador2

    I hear ya, buddy! One way we can help is to give material support to Romney-Ryan campaigns. I do not mean money, they have that.
    We can volunteer at a campaign center to Get out the Vote? GOTV
    We can put up free yard signs and put on bumper stickers. Thousands of people see yard signs and bumper stickers and feel reassured.
    We can become stable and mobile billboards for ROMNEy-RYAN 2012!

  • commonsenseobserver

    Cameron is no fellow Conservative… Romney was telling the truth. And on CNN…

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    GC not panicing.I don’t know who would win today but it seems like I should. That would be my headline less inflammatory I know but every poll is showing a tie election. I do believe a lot of us were expecting a 1980 redux but the electorate just isn’t there. This is a 2000/2004 redux (and a 1992/1996 for that matter minus the presence of Ross Perot). Essentially, the electorate is evenly split – I don’t know who would win because I don’t know the turnout in Cleveland, Philadelphia, Palm Beach, Roanoake, Iowa City, etc. I also don’t see a lot of convinceable voters out there either. In 2008, about 5% of GOP voters defected to Obama – the polls tell us those 5% have returned (Romney leads among independents who are RINOs- Democrats don’t think of themselves that way (no such thing as a DINO). The thing with GOTV elections is there is no joy but I’d point out there was a lot of joy in 2008 and look how that turned out.

    Rubin gives a good analysis of what the Romney campaign could do better. I’d also acknowlege that the Obama campaign has done a better job than Romney’s campaign of realizing where the voters are. Two overreaching themes to the campaign: lot of blue meat on social issues (turn out the Democratic base); lot of gloom and doom but really the other guy can’t do better (depress the Republican base into staying home). Romney should fight the first with red meat and the second with something along the theme ‘Barack Obama’s failure is not America’s failure.’

  • katem

    Anyone who watched Romney’s campaign against Ted Kennedy in 1994 had to have real concern about the outcome of a Romney & Obama campaign. Romney was never our most electable candidate. An international event, a debate stumble by Obama/Biden or some unforeseen event could still tip this election in Romney’s favor. But, that said, the way this race is playing out is not surprising to anyone who watched Romney’s campaigns for the last 18 years.

  • http://hehasfailed.wordpress.com/ HopeHeFails

    If polls were accurate, we wouldn’t need elections. Rest easy, the TEA Party will take it from here…

  • proudmarinemom

    Been to a rally? They are hammering Obama.

    Seen that on CNN? Nope.

    Maybe Erick could ask his colleagues over at CNN why we never see ANY coverage of the campaign stops by R & R.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    and your screen name is “bob doll” – well the mocking is self evident but I’ll restrain myself because this is a family website & so streiff doesn’t give me a week’s timeout

  • cowbob79

    I understand what you are saying and may totally agree with you, but you can not deny that the polls are skewed by a huge margin. What do you make of the graph below

  • major

    Screw the damned polls! They are rigged!

  • emptybucket

    Alrighty then…let’s just jump on that media narrative that the Romney campaign is fractured, hasn’t done a good job (except in the areas they have done a good job), hasn’t gotten HIS message across, blah blah blah. Knock it off. I couldn’t read all this negative stuff and no, I do not have my head in the sand, nor to I pay attention to much of what the media is saying. If one watches CNN and MSNBC that one will walk away thinking, why yes the messiah will still be president in 2013. To pick stories from their biased narratives and continue them onto conservative websites does Romney no good. To site columnists, journalists, talking heads, pundits, etc as how you got to your reasoning just increases the talk against Romney. Let the man run his own canpaign and do your part to help him. I know most of your will read and agree with Erick’s piece, I just happen to disagree but I do not know any important political people to bend my ear about Romney, I don’t even know specific columnists to give me their experienced take on Romney.
    I do know this…I will do all I can to help Romney get elected. I have written two emails to his campaign with “suggestions” from a very grassroots lady, I talk with everyone who wants to listen, and or debate, about Romney and why I like him. I let people know I supported Romney ahead of the great minds on their televisions and that deep down in his heart, Romney is an American and believes as I do regarding our greatness as a country. Instead of all the “armchair general attitude some are now taking on, how about writing about the positives. Contact some conservatives in the media and make your suggestions about giving the MSNBC and CNN a pass in regards to continuing their narrative. Get on some liberal websites and attempt to debate (I know this one is hard, liberals resort to name calling almost immediately). Talk with your neighbors, friends, associates about Mitt’s positives. Come up with something better than “anything is better than Obama”. If you can’;t find a reason other than that to support Romney why then yes, continue bad mouthing his campaign and help sink this election.
    We don’t need Erick to be our cheerleader and I know he has written many time positiviely about Romney in the past. Please, enough other media this morning is concentrated on this same theme. Let’s not jump onto their negative go-cart. It started up big time when George Will said “if the republicans can’t win this election…”
    but I’ve never thought George Will was all that Conservative and all his statement did was start this landslide of Romney is in trouble. I prefer to believe that Romney will recognize a problem if it exists and take care of it.
    Sorry to be in disagreement, but something is going on in the background in our media on both sides that is very ugly. You can write about the truth when you are using facts! When you write with heresay as your evidence, that just might turn out to be a pile of bologna.

  • rkinroanoke

    cso: so-so=stinks at this point. When is the last time you heard someone only than 7 call somebody a cheater? Might be the complete opposite of hard hitting and bold.

  • duanej

    Wait….what happened over the weekend that I missed? Did Obama suddenly open up a 20 point lead? Let me check that really quickly here. Nope. RCP has them neck and neck still and Obama below 50% in all polls. This means, were the election held today, Romney would win. I don’t know how else to interpret that and I don’t know how else to interpret this article other than nervous ninny hand wringing. Reagan was down in the polls until the very LAST debate. I’ll be willing to bet, if we go back and look at the conservative thought leadership of that day, we’d find that there were nervous ninnies back then too wringing their hands and peeing themselves as Eric has done here. The plain truth is, this election is and always has been in the hands of the American electorate and, truly in the hands of the silent majority who has chosen to be silent no more. If I had read an article like this discussing the fact that the NC constitutional amendment vote was in question this year, I still would have voted. Ask me that same question 8 years ago, perhaps not. You need to put more faith, more emphasis, and more effort behind the real movers and shakers in this election and less worry in the nominee or his staff. I am not voting for his staff. I’m voting for him. I’m fired up and I’m ready to vote Obama OUT. If you don’t have the courage of your convictions, perhaps you should consider handing the reigns of this publication over to someone with enough testicular fortitude to carry the message without worrying about jinned up polls rigged to shape opinion rather than reflect it.

  • emptybucket

    I don’t need Romney to be on Fire, I like his calm, can do demeanor and hope he doesn’t resort to an antics. The American voting population needs to see who they are voting for. Just look at what they managed to do last time around with the candidate who had “fire”. Many, many times we are in agreement with what Mitt is saying. So his message is getting muddled by the press…what the hell else is new? I am frustrated this morning, Mitt needs to be Mitt. We need to be able to say Mitt is real, Obama is all pretense and that has become more and more obvious as the weeks have passed. Stay positive and make sure you are involved with helping Mitt get elected even if all you do is have a friendly debate with your neighbor! Americans are looking for goodness, honesty and genuine patriotism and they will get that from a President Romney.

  • ihateliberals

    I have been reading through these poet and it is bone chilling
    the people that still don’t get it that Romney is not the right choice of the
    Party unless the Party is moving left. I
    talked about Romney not having Charisma and was attacked saying we aren’t
    electing a Rock Star but the problem is that is exactly what Obama is. People that are voting for Obama are not
    voting because they think he is the best President they really don’t have a close. They are flocking to him because he says what
    they want to hear, he says in a way they want to hear it and they really don’t
    know anything about the country, the constitution and hell I would be willing
    to bet that at least two out of ten of them can’t find DC on a map.

    The question you have to ask yourself is why are you voting
    for Romney? Is the answer because you
    really and truly think he has the right plan for America, or is it that you
    always vote Republican or is it that you just don’t like Obama? The “Inconvenient Truth” about the Republican
    Party is that ever since Reagan left office and starting with George H W Bush
    we have not had a candidate to vote for.
    We have only had a candidate to vote against. In 1988 Bush won the Presidency off the heels
    and work of Reagan. Anyone that knew
    Bush knew he did not get along with Reagan and did not like his policies but
    people still did not want a Dukakis and the possible return of the Carter years
    and so many people didn’t realize how Liberal Bush was. This really sank home when Bush announced the
    “Thousand Points of Light”. That pretty
    much solidified it for the independents and conservative Democrats that had
    supported Reagan.

    Since that time We have not had a true conservative
    candidate. There Was Bob Dole, G W Bush
    and then that most liberal of all Republican candidates McCain. Not a winner in
    the Bunch except GW Bush pulled it off by accident and that was it.

    For some unknown reason to me no candidate wants to be
    another Reagan. They don’t even
    try. Reagan not only knew about how to
    make an economy run he knew how to make the American people believe in themselves.
    He apologized to no one and he was a leader right out of the box.

    Over the years the conservatives have been slowly forced out
    of the Party. Michael Steele out right
    told us we weren’t wanted in his Party. He came up with the Big Tent nonsense
    that went absolutely nowhere and then attacked Rush Limbaugh head-on insulting
    what little conservatives he hadn’t up until then. What this does is make many conservatives
    just sit at home. The subliminal thought is that if you have to vote for a
    liberal the one in power is as good as another. Don’t try to tell me this is BS
    or dreaming because I work very hard in my district to get people to vote and
    figure out why they aren’t.

    Fellow conservatives I know you want this very badly but we
    lost the election last year in the Primaries when we allowed the conservative
    candidates to be demonized and pushed out of the race. Even at that time the Obama campaign was
    wishing and hoping to run against Romney.
    He was the weakest against the President of them all and they knew
    it.

    One other problem I have brought up here is that only 10% of
    the people have a clue about foreign Police or economics etc. 90% of the people vote for Rock Stars and we don’t
    have one.

  • major

    Indeed! This is OUR election, and they just never see us coming.

  • commonsenseobserver

    We need a clearer contrast, still.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    Barack Obama: “Avowed socialist idiot who believes Muslims attack embassy’s and marine outpost with rocket launchers spontaneously over a YouTube video.”
    Mitt Romney: “do it yourself achiever who made his own fortune even though he could have lived well off his Daddy who believes it is disgusting to throw apologies to the same people who are firing rocket launchers at you and killing your ambassadors.
    Would that be clear enough?

  • WD

    I agree that the polls are probably not as skewed as we want to think. I am not surprised that, despite the utter failure of the Obama administration, that independents and moderate Democrats are not overly excited about Mitt Romney; the Republican voters never got excited about Romney until all other candidates–Cain, Santorum, Perry, Gingrich, Bachmann–got momentum or leads and then faded as their respective flaws were exposed. Only then did Republican voters coalesce behind Romney as a candidate.
    I am hoping that the general election follows the same pattern as the Republican primaries. Independent and moderate Democrat voters may not get fired up by a Romney campaign, but, after any realistic look at the alternative, decide he is clearly the better choice. Of course, it would be nice if he had a campaign that did a better job of highlighting Romney’s superiority over Obama to speed up that process.

  • halger

    The more I watch Romney the more I incline toward thinking that the conservative movement would emerge from 4 more years of Obama than it would from a Romney presedency.
    He’s just not conservative and I can’t see him continuing to pretend that he is once he’s president. His affinity is Wall Street and his narrow class, not main street or social conservatives.
    A party narrowed to his interests won’t win and won’t stand for anything important.

  • brojohn2

    Go to the Romney Campaign website and read his plan it is spelled out clearly. Then write a blog telling people what Romeny/Ryan will do. I did one last week and will continue to hammer it every week until election day.

  • puritand71

    Wow, Mr. Electability isn’t so electable now. Odd, who would of thunk that one!

  • tnguy

    This is the elephant in the room that hardly ever even gets addressed, even here. We have a bolshevik in the white house, an extremist muslim sympathizer, and yet he stands a good chance to get re-elected. America is sick at its core.

    Only an act of God can save us from what is on the horizon.

  • lineholder

    Hey, Erick, no disrespect intended, but I thought RS was supposed be a site promoting Conservative activism. And given the stakes in this election, activism is definitely needed.

    If you want to join forces with the moderates in critiquing Romney’s campaign, the least you could do is to include a disclaimer stating that even if the campaign techniques stink to high heaven, Romney’s still a much better choice come November than Obama would be.

  • shakazulu2012

    Yes, it is true, polls are oversampling Democrats by a huge margin. The NYT/CBS poll released Friday had Obama winning by 3. But, Romney was winning Independents by 11%! You tell me how that is possible without a huge skew in Democrats being polled. A similar result occurred with a CNN poll. Obama up by 5 or 6 yet losing independents by 15%. I mean, come on. Does nobody look at poll internals when throwing out the ROMNEY IS DOOMED headlines?

    Gallup’s 7 day tracking poll has shown Obama losing 1% every day since Wednesday. He was +7 on Wednesday, he was +3 yesterday. Since it’s a 7 days tracking poll, that means the polling on Friday and Sat most likely showed the race tied or possibly even Romney ahead. Where is the mention of this on Red State or any other Conservative blogs? Never mentioned.

    I’ll be the first to say the Romney campaign has left me less that thrilled. Does it need improvement? You bet. Is the race over? Not by a long shot.

  • yanika

    If the election were held today, Obama would win by a large margin.
    When the election is held on Nov. 6, Romney is going to have to hide out in the Caymans.
    America has seen what the conservatives offer, and we will answer with a resounding “four more years” on Election Day.
    The funny thing is that everybody,including Erik, knows that Romney is a loser.

  • wilburwoo

    If he can’t,,or won’t control his message,,,or his people,,and keeps sticking his foot
    in his mouth,if he can’t run his own campaign,We are supposed to trust him running the country??,,And dealing with leaders on the world stage??

  • shakazulu2012

    Amen!! This is why liberals win more often than not. Go to HuffPo or DKos and it’s a concerted effort to help Democrats win. It’s a full social media co-ordination between various groups promoting each others and each other’s causes.
    Our side doesn’t do that whatsoever. You can see that in Romney’s campaign. I’m his “friend” on Facebook. Nothing from him except a daily post about creating jobs. YAWN. Where is the activism? Where is the co-ordinated effort with RS, Hotair, National Review? Doesn’t exist. And not only that, on virtually every conservative blog I visit it’s non-stop doom and gloom.

  • http://www.political-woman.com politicalwoman

    One hundred percent agree with Erick on this post. I watched Romney’s MTP interview two weeks ago and found myself screaming at the TV, “you can’t even name one lousy loophole you’d close!” The one bright moment was when he was his campaign bus, and he explained concisely why the stock market was rising in the face of a stagnant economy. If only he would answer questions like that all the time. Ryan, appears to have been muzzled, except this week, when he made some spot-on comments about Obama’s Mid-East debacle.

    Romney can do the job and he’s up to it. But somehow, his campaign, except for the 1-2 week bounce after selecting Ryan, has gone nowhere. WaPo has a story, Politico, Weekly Standard’s been on his case for weeks, PowerLine etc. Everyone sees the problems, but Romney, himself. People are looking for a leader who can assure them that he has solutions to the problems we are facing and communicate a vision of what America will be under his leadership. Romney has not done that, and in this election year, with so much at stake….. it’s terribly frustrating, and depressing to think we’ll have four more years of Obama.

    If that happens, Romney’s going to need the Caymans, to escape to from everyone’s wrath.

  • yanika

    Morning Joe is laughing at how conservatives are now hiding behind the laughable notion that the polls are biased.

    He laughed at how a failing campaign, Romneys, is now hiding behing such nonsense as “the media is biased” and the “polls aren’t sampled correctly.”

    America is speaking to the right and it’s saying get lost.

  • yanika

    When you don’t like the poll results you can always find a way to ignore it. Blame the poll for your bad, failing candidate.

  • yanika

    Liberals win more often than not, because a majority of Americans vote for them.

    It’s truly interesting to watch the TP/GOP go through its death throws.

  • shakazulu2012

    An MSNBC host laughing at the right? Get out!

  • shakazulu2012

    You’re right. Polls that show a candidate losing independents by 15% yet winning the race are very accurate.

  • lineholder

    It’s definitely “doom and gloom” today. And IMO, it isn’t helping us one bit to win this election.

    I wish our side did approach it with a greater influence on activism. If we did, we would actually have a much greater chance to not only win this election but also begin to turn things around.

    There’s plenty of work to be done! What’s needed most right now is leadership in getting it done.

  • yanika

    Thanks Tex. You’ve shown why Obama will win with at least 320 electoral vote.

    Americans see Obama as a moderate. Conservatives like you scream “avowed socialist idiot”
    The idiot here will be the losers – Mittens, Lyin’ Ryan, and YOU. It’s ill advised to call others “idiot” when you are so clearly one of them.

  • artanis

    I hope you bubble has air holes. State races or midterm elections are not predictive of presidential elections.
    Also, you have to look at 2008 exit polls and ask, how can Mitt make those different to a degree that he is up at least up 1% nationally when all votes are counted. That would almost insure the electoral college win.
    It’s safe to assume that African Americans will vote 95% for Obama and that their turnout will be decent at the minimum. Due to demographic changes Hispanic voters (note polling showing O ahead in Florida even among Cubans, due to younger Cubans) are up slightly every presidential election every year. Also note age groups. Mcain did best the older the voter was, as is typical with republicans since conservatism is high in that group. In the last four years, as usual, something else was high in that group, the death rate. Many Mcain voters are dead while 14-17 year olds in the 2008 election are eligible. Their turnout will be low but they will vote overwhelmingly for O, like it or not.
    Mitt is not only fighting O, he is also fighting the demographics of a changing country.
    Chick-Fil-A I will not consider as a serious argument. It simply was another one week story that detracted from the economy, so that surely helped.

  • shakazulu2012

    How quickly people forget that polls showed the Walker race “too close to call”. Final result was Walker with a 7 point win. In 2004, Kerry was a lock to win Florida the week before the election. Polls showed him up 5%. Final result, Bush won by 5%. But yeah, let’s forget those and the 1000 other examples and just go with the idea that a D+10 poll showing Obama up 6 is accurate.

  • littlehouse18

    Letting Ryan take the lead (at least behind the scenes) isn’t a bad idea – his messaging is great when they’re not trying to contain him. But let’s not wring our hands – let’s go on offense and do everything we can to make the case, and fill in any deficiencies we may perceive in the campaign ourselves. We are wasting time with this angst – full steam ahead! We’ve gotten so much fuel to work with just this past week.
    I think Romney was great last week – and his speech in VA was wonderful. We can fight on both fronts – economic and national security. While I would give anything to have never had last week’s tragedy occur, we must use it to point out the disastrous foreign policy of Obama. It is vital for our own security to make people understand the danger in which this administration has placed us!

  • Kyle-MI

    Nice prose Tokyo Rose.

  • lineholder

    You’re counting chickens that haven’t hatched yet, are you?

    The demographics for voting groups vary. You can’t just paint them all with a broad brush. I can tell you for a fact that there is evidence here in NC that a larger group of voters in both black and Hispanic communities will vote for Romney…much more so than the Dems would like have to known at this point.

  • tnguy

    Yes, you can. The soft peddling of a campaign the way you advocate has been tried for years. It didn’t work against Clinton, and won’t work against Obama.
    This campaign should be fought as a war. Instead, Romney’s trying to fight it like he’s running for a position on the country club board.

  • yanika

    You are correct. Go with Lyin’ Ryan!! His voucher program will win big.

    Heck, how do you lose when you’ve got a sub-3hours marathoner running for you?

  • yanika

    Yeah, you’re really winning big!!!! The polls are just part of the left-wing conspiracy.

  • streiff

    it is “throes” not “throws.” A “death throe” is what a dying animal experiences. A “death throw” is what you are experiencing right now.

  • Kyle-MI

    But the very same polls show Romney is winning independents. How can he be winning them (by fairly large margins) without them being overly excited by them.

  • lineholder

    Let them laugh! Hard-core liberals ideologues are going to seek to discredit those of us on the right, particularly Conservatives, in any way that they can. That’s part of their effort to “control the narrative”.

    But in doing so, they are also underestimating us. Make no mistake about it…regardless of the little kerfuffles that may go on from day to day, Conservatives will be there at the voting booth come Nov. 6th. And we’ll bringing other voters with us!!!

  • shakazulu2012

    Oh look a paid troll is here. How original.

  • shakazulu2012

    Paid troll trolling.

  • keramos

    Why? Afraid of the retorts?

  • Kyle-MI

    If the people will only vote for a Rock Star, then we might as well through in the towel, burn the Constitution, and eliminate all pretense of a representative democracy. If it take a Rock Star to win the presidency then our country is already gone.

  • wilburwoo

    But!,,,But!,,,,I’m severely Conservative,,,for Petes sake!!!

    No,,,you are not,,,,you are what ever you think people want to hear,,,or your little
    group of people tell you,,,what they think,,the people want to hear

    Sorry Mitt,,,,you are just not ready for prime time

  • lineholder

    Go ahead and laugh, yanika. The polls have been distorted by oversampling. There’s no doubt about that. For the current time, they portray Obama as winning.

    The only “poll” that counts is the one taken on Nov. 6th. And Romney is going to win that one.

  • keramos

    “media bias that is on ful display”

    Yeah. All the polls are biased. All the media does is take the money from the advertising PACs, run their lies and spin and then turns right around and refutes everything with facts.

    Dang media.

  • lineholder

    Ready or not, he’s what we have. It’s either Romney or Obama. Take your choice.

    I choose Romney.

  • keramos

    Well, nothing fails like prayer, especially when commonsense is nowhere in sight.

  • Kyle-MI

    Lot of trolls on today.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    aw…are you trolling again…let me put it this way – I could care less what a liberal democrat like you thinks and sparky you might want to look at those polls – actually moderates aren’t the ones supporting your guy. However, given the intelligence you have shown above,
    I doubt you have the natural tools to understand polling. To be petty, because well you’re an ignoramus, the unemployed liberal arts major doesn’t normally call the mathematics major gainfully employed as a data administrator: “an idiot” normally “nerd” is what I get.

  • keramos

    Rasmussen is to polling as Romney is to facts.

  • keramos

    Stay delusional

  • shakazulu2012

    It’s over. Throw in the towel. Obama will win 56 states after these latest polls:
    CO: Obama +1 (Denver Post, released Friday)
    MI: Obama +2 http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/FMWB_MI_0916.pdf

    There is now way Romney can come back from this avalanches of bad news.

  • lineholder

    If you take them at face value, keramos, then you are the naive one, not us.

  • keramos

    Oh goody, a learned person. Pray tell what exact loopholes he’s going to unburden us of? Mortgage deductions?

    While you’re at it, see if you can make his numbers balance without the use of division by zero.

  • wilburwoo

    Don’t forget to hold your nose,,and thats what it about,,,,its what we are
    stuck with

  • keramos

    How many at that rally? 5? 12?

  • benson1

    He needs to get Gingrich on board…right now. Even Newt’s weekly comment section on Human Events is more cohesive and teaching than Romney political ads. Newt doesn’t go out of the way to alienate anyone but die hard liberals and that’s what Romney needs to be doing. Even though I have little respect for Independents I’m assuming they aren’t all morons who would ignore facts laid out in a comprehensive way. It appears to many that Romney has taken the same course that McCain took as far as his team is concerned and we know how successful that was. He needs to get Newt on the team and on the stump.

    Example: http://dailycaller.com/2012/09/02/newt-gingrich-blasts-thomas-friedman-on-abortion-biden-on-race-rove-on-todd-akin-remarks/#ooid=Z2YzhzNTokYPs82IhKssfTA4eNTsZUoX

  • shakazulu2012

    Explain how CNN has Obama winning by 6 while Romney leads independents by 15%. Or how NYT/CBS has Obama winning by 3 while losing independents by 11%. I’m really curious to know how this works out.

  • lineholder

    The primaries are over, wilburwoo. Romney is our candidate.

    It’s either Romney or Obama. Choose.

  • keramos

    Nothing fails like prayer. And guess what? America will still be here in 2016. Just in time for Hillary to come in for an eight year stint.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    I hope not; I retain hope that the President of the United States isn’t stupid enough to actually pay an unemployed DKos basement dweller like this idiot. Naw, Obama would just allow the blue state governor where he leaves to kick him some extra food stamps this month.

  • Kyle-MI

    Then how do you explain the huge Dem leaning of these polls? They are predicting even greater Dem turnout than in 2008 while every other article is stating how Dems are a lot less enthused than in the last presidential election.

  • littlehouse18

    No, that won’t work because of the upcoming Supreme Court appointments. We’ll be toast if we don’t win. We probably won’t have enough people with guts in Congress to impeach this guy. And Obamacare will be entrenched. Most people don’t realize that Social Security and Medicare were not popular when first enacted. And in the late 70s, when Britain instituted socialized medicine, there was a huge outcry among Brits – yet they still have it today, as horrible as it is for the seriously ill and elderly.

  • keramos

    Romney put both of his Gucci clad feet in his mouth in the UK and there’s no other way of viewing or spinning that.

  • lineholder

    If we’re judging by numbers, then how significant is it that the DNC moved its format to a much smaller arena, keramos?

    And we’re talking about the convention…something that should be the experience of a lifetime for “hopeandchangers”, right?

  • keramos

    “Can do” what? Borrow some more government money for some struggling company to choke on or to save the Olympics?

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    I guess he gets to earn his “Banned by RedState” banner over at DKos. I’d rather he earn a job; well, I can’t blame employers for not hiring him given his obvious lack of intelligence.

  • littlehouse18

    I feel pretty good when Obamabot idiots disagree with me.

  • keramos

    He will. He’ll fold like a cheap lawn chair

  • funwithknives

    Are you “anatomically correct”, Bobby-Dear ? Do you have any plastic brains in your PVC Skull?
    People buy what Barry is selling all day long and it’s for a reason.
    Reason being they have never been taught to think critically and objectively , and gettin’ freebies ‘n’ stuff is more important than 6 weeks/6 months/6 years from now.
    Mitt’s got all kinds of saleable goods. His advertiser and some of the help need to hit the streets.
    Granted, He got off-message,strying from what ails us, domestically.
    But with The Attention span of many in America being 2 weeks, and it’s:
    ” …What’d you say, again…? “

  • benson1

    Obama cant’ soar in a debate. The only reason he even looked like he might be able to debate is because in his infomercial with McCain they were just trying to outspend each other. There was no record as president to point to and McCain was so busy trying match Obama he forgot to reference what record Obama had as a socialist organizer. It was not a debate and without his teleprompters he has only his lies to fall back on.
    Effective as they are in commercials I doubt they’ll stand in an actual debate.

  • artanis

    What evidence?
    Are you suggesting that the demographics that have been changing for many decades now are no longer doing that. Mitt will likely carry NC. Obama does not need NC to win so argument limited to NC is not persuasive.

  • lineholder

    And Obama is totally gaffe-free? ROFL. I don’t think so.

    “The private sector is doing fine” comes to mind. BTW, did you see that 63% of small business owners are now supporting Romney?

  • keramos

    “Obama wants a planned economy run by hand outs to public employee unions
    with stimulus money that The Fed prints. There is a contrast in how to
    jump the economy if Romney would only use it.”

    And you, of course, have proof of this lie.

  • benson1

    Trade policy on China? Really? An ad about that?

    I agree. So stupid such a waste of money.

  • lineholder

    Ever heard of Solyndra? Or how about that multi-trillion dollar loan Obama took from the Chinese to fund his “fundamental transformation of America”?

  • lineholder

    Even if he does, we the voters on the right side of the political spectrum wont’ fold. Get used it to, keramos. You’ll see plenty of us come 11/6

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    Mods: some clean up is required…the trolls have overrun this thread once they read Erick’s twitter feed. Perhaps, Erick’s intent was to highlight that in general liberals lack rudimentary reading comprehension skills.

  • lineholder

    The entire premise of your argument was how various demographics groups are in the bag for Obama, correct? And how this would lead to Romney’s defeat?

    That’s doesn’t necessarily hold true, and NC is an example of it.

  • benson1

    I to like calm and no antics but vivid learning information put honestly to the uninformed is not an antic, except to the liberal press. He needs to forget about what the press will say because they will attack him even if he says the sky is blue. Staying positive doesn’t include being so bland about everything no one knows where you stand.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    yep, Democrats should hold their nose; Obama stinks to high heaven.

  • Kyle-MI

    Sure we can trust the media and their polls. It is not as if their are colluding in figuring out what questions to ask Romney, for example, on the Libyan consulate attack.

  • wilburwoo

    There is time for Mitt Romney to close the deal. But he can’t close the deal with a schizophrenic campaign message.

    that,,,,,is the message

  • sjccoach

    The Republican Establishment got their man nominated. Romney is a moderate, aka Rino, who is running a moderate race ala John McCain. Once again the Republican Establishment has nominated someone who will snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Maybe a Romney loss will bring down the Republican party and it will be replaced by a truly consevative party.

  • Ausonius

    Lincoln left the Whigs and politics for a while because they had compromised themselves into a corner on slavery. Today our RINO’S compromise – i.e. surrender – on everything from Hell-th Care to the Budget to Freedom of Speech and Freedom of Religion. I am still waiting for Boehner and Company to support openly, publicly, enthusiastically, the Catholic bishops against MAObamaCare.

    I have written before that I fear the Republicans will become 21st Century Whigs with a Romney defeat. Perhaps from the ashes a new Conservative Party – The American Party – would rise…if the Regime 2.0 would let such a thing happen.

  • benson1

    It’s a repeat of Obama. Obama says he’ll support the middle class, Romney say he’ll support the middle class. It’s a he said, he said commercial. This does not inform it only confuses.

  • funwithknives

    Have fun with R/R Yard Signs. In S/E Michigan there are currently none to be had and this day was the third re-schedule for availability. Right now my Victory Center has NO JOY for me.
    They hem and haw when I mention Swing States’ concentration of assets, but this has gotta’ be a big factor in this seeming dearth of Materials.
    I’m useless [too combative ,no patience] on a phone/on a porch, but I got a car and friends galore.
    So, ‘Vats The Deal’… …?

  • lineholder

    Dude/dudette, where have you been? Just about everyone who knows how to differentiate between various forms of socio-economic policy is well aware of the fact that Obama has a preference for socialism, including centralized planning and state-managed capitalistic endeavors, over free-market capitalism.

  • benson1

    I agree.

  • wilburwoo

    tnfriendofcoal101368 • 4 minutes ago • parent

    yep, Democrats should hold their nose; Obama stinks to high heaven.
    Well,,,you guys keep talking about personhood,,,abortion,,,and add in a little votersuppression,,,and you are all set

  • Kyle-MI

    When the Whigs dissolved, the Dems did not stack the Supreme Court in order to undermine the Constitution. We will not survive another 4 years of President Obama. We may look kind-of OK at the end of his term, but it will only be because we are the walking dead.

  • benson1

    To the insiders Romney has on his team it’s politics as usual. They just don’t know how to do it differently.

  • ricecomm

    I may not be the sharpest knife in the drawer, but to those Conservatives who believe Romney needs to mount a much more aggressive posture towards obama, I am totally confident that were he to do so, the MSM would immediately attack him (and Ryan) as “racists dogs”.

    I do agree that the Romney-Ryan campaign should sharpen their message to focus on job creation and the economy – and provide specifics – ignoring the tactical “brush-fires” set by team obama.

    The collective power of the media is practically unlimited (especially among the liberal and un-decided voter audience), and 90% of their anchors, writers, producers and corporate exec’s would unleash even more blatant lies to the point of inciting riots and protests across the nation – and they would not lose one minute of sleep for doing so!
    In fact, I’m sure they would relish the opportunity to cover these “Romney-inspired conflicts”!

    Romney’s only hope is to clean the floor with obama’s ass during the debates… While I’m certain the moderators will bend over backwards to skew the narrative towards obama’s favor, Romney must be so well-prepared and quick to respond, they have no opportunity to cut him off, or risk clear demonstration of their blatant bias.
    Romney needs a few debate lessons from Newt Gingrich… and bitch-slap the moderators when they cross the line!

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    Yeah if you love Obama – imagine how you are going to love a 6-3 court of Kagan’s and Sotomayor’s for 30 years.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    see I knew you were trolling and you can’t even work a reply button. Just saying.

  • wilburwoo

    just like you troll with your babble on other sites,,,,spare me your insight
    and wisdom,,,save it for here,,

  • lineholder

    Hey, at least Romney has numbers that actually work on a balance sheet.

    Obama’s numbers depend on unicorn dust.

  • benson1

    I don’t take it as bias even though my pick was Newt to. Romney is the nominee I want him to win, I will vote for him that doesn’t mean he couldn’t use some help. His team is out of touch with the reality of today. Their living in past campaigns where your running against a Democrat supported by half the country. This is not the case in this election. We have a sociopath as president and even though they need to be smart about it they need to learn how to get the message of danger across to the uninformed and stupid among us. So far they haven’t done it.

  • Jack_Savage

    Actually it’s because zombies are scary. And you are a zombie.
    And you beg the question – what are you here for? What is scaring you so much? That the facade is crumbling, and you are being shown to be an idiot because of your support of this stuttering fool in the White House?

  • funwithknives

    The Street {Discus Avenue} we’ve moved to seems to be littered with these folks.
    Like forced busing , we weren’t given much of a choice .
    He is Conservative but doesn’t like those he ‘hangs’ with. What in tarnation are you here for then?
    I’ll give you $5 .00 if you just go. It was O K for your ‘other relatives’………..
    I hear “The Nation Boulevard” has openings galore, and they’re on sale…….

  • MoeLane

    Voter suppression, huh? Bless your heart, kid: I was looking for somebody to take this mood out on.

    Blam.

    PS: Gitmo. You’re stumping for the guy who kept Gitmo open. Have a nice day!

  • Jack_Savage

    That “Obama 2008″ bumper sticker is a little faded, huh? And by the way, where is Biden? Back in the straightjacket?

  • MoeLane

    Zip up your pants there, Sparky. Also: 320 EVs just made everybody laugh at you.

  • lineholder

    So, just because a vision for America is spelled out to us in black and white, this is supposed to mean that those of us who have both the determination and conviction that would allow us to protect and preserve this nation as the founded intended should do…what exactly? Whine about the lack of expressed vision? Or continue to fight for what we believe in?

  • funwithknives

    I’d be real tempted to agree with you , except for one big outlier: This is a real, honest to -od referendum on which way we’re going. We’ve never seen the concurrence of events we see here.
    Check the box/hit the button polling is not reflecting the intense dissatisfaction I see& sense almost everywhere I go.
    2010 was a Harbinger of Future History.
    Mitt needs to be reminded of this, big time.
    After all, didn’t Bain work on future assumptions, too….?

  • tnguy

    One quibble catbird. The house has been burning for a long time. GWB fanned the flames voraciously, making Romney’s job that much more difficult.
    Romney can’t win as a more articulate, more business savvy GWB. He should level with the nation, explain our peril in detail. But he, like most republicans, is treating this as just another campaign cycle.
    Ultimately, you may be right. Perhaps it cannot be saved. But if conservatives don’t even have the balls for a political fight, God forbid, how could they ever win a real fight for their liberty? If we aren’t willing to fight for our liberty, we don’t deserve it.

  • MoeLane

    Yeaah: given the number of already-banned idiots giving you a golf clap I’m going to err on the side of caution here. Bye.

  • Ausonius

    Yes, unfortunately. The ad is not bad, claiming that MAObama could have saved American jobs “seven times” in various deals, but did not.

    Romney will “get tough on China” etc. Well, fine, but…

    How about getting tough on the budget, on tax reduction and reform, on unelected and out-of-control bureaucrats, etc.?

    And be at least a little specific about those reductions and reforms!

  • MoeLane

    “Nothing fails like prayer?” Yeah, um, religious bigots aren’t welcome here. That includes the more distasteful sorts of militant atheists. I’d say “Sorry about that,” except that I’m not.

  • gwbramhall

    Romney cannot break though the MSM roadblock until the debates.
    Until then he’s just preaching to his choir. Most of America has no
    idea what’s going on and when they hear the unvarnished truth about
    Obama’s presidency, they will view Romney’s solutions much more
    favorably. High gas prices, high unemployment, the MidEast in flames,
    the dark cloud of higher taxes from the expiration of the Bush tax cuts,
    plus the damage of ObamaCare on American business and our health
    care system is more than enough to make them see the light as to what
    needs to be done. These are issues that Obama cannot hide from.
    Firing an incumbent president is never easy, but when the American
    people realize Ronmey is not the devil the democrats and the media like
    to portray him as, they will have no trouble giving Obama the heave ho.

  • fightnright

    It’s not that prayer fails, it’s that God ~allows~ people to fail. He wove into the fabric of reality this little clever method of action/consequence so we could see how far (or how happy) our wrong thoughts and wrong motives will get us.

    There are some major lessons that might be learned from the election of Obama and the state of the economy, jobless rates, situations in the Middle East, the general decline in our moral and social fabric, etc, none of which are currently much contributing to individual fulfillment or global harmony. If folks were smart enough to look around, we wouldn’t have to be dragged through another 4 years of ineptitude to get a clue.

    If we pray, we should be praying that our citizens and leaders solicit God’s advice and direction during this campaign, not that personal will in prayer should prevail, then hope they take the hint. Too bad there’s that perverse something deep inside most of us that just wants to have our own way.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    We know…Moe and streiff reaked some havoc on those Kos kids. It’s sad really; they actually think it’s cool….not sad and pathetic

  • jamesm

    Can conservatives get back to focusing on beating Barack Obama? Quote a Politco fact checker earn a ban!! Lol. Just kidding. But really how are we letting a left wing websites like Politco and Dkos drive our conversation? We have approx. 50 days to get rid of Obama. Come on people!!

  • conservativemusician

    Rush is correctly noting today that the vast majority of polling vastly oversample Dems in their results, one in particular that is +13 Dems. I think I’ll stick with Rush, Dick Morris, and Rasmussen and not buy into the eeyorism that is rampant on our side of the aisle. Take a deep breath, folks, and get some perspective.

  • chipbennett

    Where is your analysis of the Electoral College that shows that Obama is anywhere near 270?

    To the contrary, here is an Electoral College analysis that projects Romney with a 317-179 EC vote lead, with a few states too close to call. We’re talking about the rust-belt states of Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania being in play, for goodness’ sake – states that not even George W. Bush won in 2004.

    The “enthusiasm gap” is real, and not only is sustained from 2010, but (the Bill Clinton-Sandra Fluke – what an apropos pair – convention bounce notwithstanding), thanks to the effects of Obama’s policies on our economy, that enthusiasm gap remains in 2012.

    Catholics have abandoned Obama due to ObamaCare and mandated abortion/abortifacient funding. Jews have abandoned Obama due to Obama’s mistreatment of Israel. The youth, who still blindly support Obama, are no longer a likely voting block, thanks to unemployment and apathy. Some number of black voters will stay home on election day, due to Obama’s gay marriage stance.

    On the other hand, the elderly are flocking to Romney, due to ObamaCare and the impending demise of MediCare and Social Security. Evangelicals and “bitter clingers” are flocking to Romney, due to Obama’s continued assaults on our constitutional freedoms.

    And throw all of that out the window, anyway. Americans do not take kindly to seeing American blood shed by Islamofascists as a direct result of asinine foreign policy.

    This Romney-campaign-is-in-disarray garbage sounds like so much Concern Troll nonsense. It is especially disappointing coming from Erick.

  • unimpressedpragmatist

    If the polls are to believed at this point in the campaign season (which I doubt) the wisdom of H.L. Mencken is about to become an axiom. The famed American journalist, essayist, magazine editor, satirist, critic of American life and culture, and a scholar of American English once remarked “Nobody ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American
    public”. This was affirmed in the 2008 elections and could become axiomatic in the 2012 presidential elections if Obama is returned to office.

    After all, what rational person could re-elect a man whose economic policies are in tatters as we suffer the worst unemployment conditions since the Great Depression; the storming of our embassies all over the Middle East, Africa, and parts of Asia; the murder of our ambassador to Libya, 3 of his staff, and the burning of our consulate in Benghazi; the waste of taxpayer money on a poorly conceived energy policy; the collapse of world respect for the United States; a $5+ trillion deficit and a record setting $16 trillion national debt; 23 million citizens unemployed, underemployed, or just given up looking for work; 46.7 million people on food stamps (another record); the greatly devalued dollar that is resulting in much higher costs for oil products including gasoline and diesel; and a determined effort to avoid correcting our dependence on foreign oil by increased drilling off our coasts and the construction of the XL Keystone pipeline? I’m sure you can add several items to this list of the failures of the Obama presidency.
    Those who continue to support this president are very dependent on government subsidies, are confirmed socialists, or have lost contact with reality. Although, Mitt Romney may not be your ideal choice for POTUS, he is, infinitely, better than Barack Obama and his record of failures and destruction of the American Dream.

  • chipbennett

    I smell a troll…

  • chipbennett

    What is telling to me, at least, is that in all of these polls, biased weighting aside, one thing is consistent: Romney is leading independents by a 10-15% margin.

    Someone is honestly going to tell me that Obama can win the election when he’s losing independents in a landslide? Really? How do those numbers work?

  • aeaeren

    Don’t bet on the debates. Questions will be loaded for bear against Romney and I wouldn’t be surprise if the One already has the questions so he can poll test the answers and practice not screwing up during the answers.. After these last 2 weeks of the Media antics I don’t put anything above them.

    I even bet we might see questions about oh what color boxers do you wear on those days when the Crazy Zombies are burning down Embassy’s and killing diplomats err ….um I meant what color on Monday please forget the Zombie burning anything part of the question.

    Do you agree with Paul L Krugman that Apple iPhone sales is equal to Kenyaism?

    Barrack 20 minute answer which doesn’t answer the question but gets away with it while the Moderator is trying to get his autograph and cleaning slobber off their chins.

    Evil look at Romney “You got 30 seconds!”
    Romney “Well I would…..”
    so called moderator “Thanks Govenor next question do you think you screwed up by coughing in that hosptial room while visiting to explain you have fired her husband and cancelled the insurance just after she got a heart operation?”

    Ya I see the debates as being he most honestly run debates EVAH!

  • chipbennett

    Why start with the 2008 exit polls? Why not start with the 2010 exit polls?

    Heck, I’ll even grant you 2006 or 2004 exit polls, since both 2008 and 2010 were wave elections.

    If you think that 2012 exit polls will in any way resemble the 2008 exit polls, you delude yourself. On the other hand, one can make at least a reasonable argument that 2012 will resemble 2010: it is the most contemporaneous poll, interim elections have maintained 2010 results, and primary results have maintained Tea Party demographic enthusiasm.

    I’m going to tire very quickly of such doom-and-gloom hand-wringing at RedState. Instead of this nonsense about the Romney campaign, even if you believe it to be true, why not focus on positive impact we can have, such as the many winnable Senate races that can (finally) let us kick Dirty Harry out as Senate Leader?

  • aeaeren

    You know I am not sure I disagree with this Erick but I still have issues with being able to find throngs of McCain voters 1) not voting and 2) voting for Obama, now on the other hand we have MANY accounts of people who voted for Obama but are not going to vote for him again, 2) voted for Obama but can’t stand Romney so are not voting.

    I still lean towards agree with Dick Morris, Obama mania is running rampant across the land but it’s against da Won!

  • aeaeren

    an already BANNED troll.

  • chipbennett

    Your arguments are so pre-primary. Romney is the candidate the Republican party nominated for president. Get on board with that, or go somewhere else.

  • Bill S

    Do you have a point? Who cares if Rick Santorum would have been better. He’s not the nominee. Get over it.

  • jamesm

    This seems like more of a 2000 election to me. That is my opinion. But several of the “blue states” have lost electoral votes and “red states” have gained because of 2010 census. Advantage Romney

  • chipbennett

    And that’s the thing: all non-Rasmussen polls are using a sampling model that meets or exceeds the Democrat advantage of 2008. That’s why I give them zero credibility. They’re nothing more than using polls to push a narrative, writ large.

  • jamesm

    Strawman vote. Erick has a 50% chance of being correct..depending on which poll. He also has a 50% chance of being wrong. No one can prove him wrong or right because nobody votes today.

  • dudley

    Romney had better jam this thing in gear, sew up the base and start acting like a constitional conservative (heavy on the acting). I am no fan but 4 more years of the lop-eared Marxist will finish us.

  • jamesm

    Erick lets have a beer summit? Come’on man! We need to focus on beating Obama. Sure Romney’s campaign has got issues. But now the left is going to use your article as a tool to highlight and exacerbate dissension in the conservative ranks instead of focusing on the economy and foreign policy. The leftist media is cohesive. Can’t you just pick up the phone and call the campaign? Let’s focus on how we can win not how we are potentially not winning as of today..which is arguable.

  • Kyle-MI

    None of them were rock stars.

    And I stand by my comments. We should not be in the business of trying to nominate rock stars. History is littered with the corpses of those who have followed rock stars.

    If we are to the point where only rock stars can be elected, then we have already lost the battle.

  • jamesm

    Not a second to waste. That rented mule needs to turn into a pack mule loaded up for Obama. Don’t disagree with your post.

  • driveinkid

    You never were worth a damn Erickson. Republicans ignored your sage advice and nominated a candidate you never liked and you have been whining ever since. You want Romney to lose so you can claim you were right all along. You have even stooped to sticking up for CNN, the Obama house organ. Why don’t you go on Morning Joe and complete your transition to the other side because you are certainly not an asset to the right.

  • golffan1963

    Quite frankly, it’s hard to know exactly what the true status of this election is. As I’ve stated before, it’s hard to believe the polls are rigged. Go back to 2008, when, the polls showed McCain ahead right after the two conventions. Then there was the financial meltdown and McCain’s terrible strategy of suspending his campaign. He then cancels the first debate with Obama, only to give in a day later and reverse that decision, which made him look terribly indecisive.

    The next thing you knew the polls shifted in favor of Obama. Still, for the final weeks of the campaign, there were cries and howls that the media was distorting the polls in order to dispirit conservatives in a coordinated effort to suppress the GOP turnout. Problem was, those polls were quite accurate in predicting the Obama win.

    Now here we are in 2012, and again there are the complaints about the media juicing the polls to push the “Obama is inevitable” narrative.

    So who is right? Those who say the polls are accurate? Or those who insist the oversampling of democrats in polls is hiding a massive republican turnout on Election Day, and with it the votes Romney needs to claim the White House?

    One thing is certain…..it’s likely there will be many surprised people—one way or another—come the day after the election.

  • jamesm

    85% of conservatives support Romney according to Rasmussen? Approx 1 in 7 don’t? This should be close to 99% if we weren’t so busy snipping at Romney. Conservatives need to get there butts on board to defeat this garbage president. We can’t be at 85% and expect to win when Liberals are 91% for Obama. Read here:
    http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

  • sandys

    Everywhere I hear people blaming Republicans for the economy.
    Again and again they bring up obstruction, the downgrade, and the blocking of Obama’s American Jobs Act.
    If this isn’t reversed things could get ugly.
    I was always queasy about the strategy of keeping the economy down in faith that Obama would be blamed. It was and is very dangerous strategy.

  • proudmarinemom

    Really. Were ya queasy about that strategy? It’s a miracle it worked, considering Democrats have had control of the Congress for the entire economic downturn. Seriously, whatever they pay you, they are getting ripped off so badly. You are just dumber than a box of rocks.

  • gracepmc

    I have benefited from Red State for quite a while. I appreciate
    everything you do for conservatives. I love the diaries. But I can no longer justify supporting the site with the
    constant undermining of Romney especially during such a critical time in this nation’s
    history. Yes, things aren’t great. — but
    enthusiasm, staying on message and focused and rallying the troops —
    are critical now. It’s the country we are fighting for –. So, with
    eyes wide open, I choose the fighters. And if you are astonished at
    your agreement with J. Rubin I am equally astonished at your defense of
    Peter Hamby. Is that the most egregious action from the press from the
    left. No it’s not but I guess it was my tipping point. Romney is getting it from the leftist press from all sides —
    so not much is insignificant these days . I want the fighters — and even Kirsten
    Powers knows when enough is enough and the country is endangered.
    Again, thanks to all of you.

  • mutantone

    I just want to know how the people, after this weeks events and Obama inclusion of the Muslim Brotherhood inside our security network, his use of American troops and money to help them expand in the Middle East, have not been seen what is called treason in his actions?

  • MoeLane

    sandys: you do know that site moderators here can instantly see all those Republican-hating comments that you wrote over on the Hill, right?

    I officially love DISQUS now. This makes up for everything.

  • http://www.lvjmusic.com lvjohnston

    That may well be the single biggest factor here. I know that when pressed people will fall back on the tried and true. *Reality check* – according to the trending seen in recent polls, the ‘same-old-same-old’ will not cut it and it’s time for a change. The Romney campaign needs to step up their game and if there’s some fire needed, the campaign staff should *not* be the only ones adding the fuel. It is up to (once again) We*The*People!

    Folks, we are at a crossroads in this country. Griping and moping will not close the deal. I’ve heard a lot of the same grips in every election going back to 1976. Stay focused, stay the course and believe in your heart we will win.

    Was Mr. Romney my first choice? No.
    Is he now our candidate? Yes.
    AND the second answer trumps the first (and BTW – my vote in the primary has NO bearing at all on the upcoming general election). Everyone here (with the exception of the trolls from DKos) wants to fire
    the current occupant and get some R and R in the Oval Office and I plan
    to vote that way come Nov 6.

    So, unless I have read it incorrectly, Erick is not prophesying a defeat so much a clarion call for a concise and clear message from the Romney campaign – one that we can be easily repeated without a notebook full of prepared texts. If that means a little housecleaning, so be it.

    Our nation needs ‘R and R’ in 2012!

  • MoeLane

    Annnnd hi, sandys! Wow! This is the GREATEST! Banning sockpuppet trolls like you is blindingly simple, now!

  • justanotherlib

    Good article. This is how this lib sees it: there’s one way of saying Democrat (market socialist) but at least four ways of saying Republican (religious right, libertarian, neoconservative, fiscal conservative). A big reason why Obama’s got an edge is because he only has to preach one message to his base and a slightly modified tune on the campaign trail. Romney’s got to deal with at least four different pitches to Republicans, and then pitch yet another noticeably different message to undecideds on the trail. No wonder Romney’s twisted himself into rhetorical pretzels. He can’t appease the battling factions in his party, let alone present a coherent front on the stump.

    Republicans need to get their ideological house in order if they want to take back the presidency. The longer GOP infighting goes on, the farther Republicans stand from the White House.

  • runner12

    I am in 100% agreement with you. It is fine to provide some constructive criticism to the campaign, but make sure it is constructive and not destructive. Even Rubin’s piece was more measured and constructive, and that is from the Wapo (and I cannot stand the Wapo nor Rubin). IMHO, EE’s piece was more destructive than constructive.

    Additionally, I am highly skeptical of the degree of so-called campaign disarray that the MSM is reporting. As Morissey over at Hot Air pointed out, they cannot even get their super-secret insider source’s story straight ( each MSM hatchet outlet is reporting different versions from this super-secret insider, guess someone missed the talking points meeting).

    Romney needs some improvement, but he is not losing the election. At worst he is tied. We need to stop the circular firing squad and drag him across the finish line.

  • runner12

    Kudos to you for speaking your mind. But I would encourage you not to leave. We need different viewpoints and positive, happy warriors to fight the Left. Don’t judge EE or RS on this one diary either. People make mistakes and IMHO, the tone of this diary was a big one. Constructive criticism is valuable, destructive criticism is not. Good grief, Rubin’s piece was more measured and she is from the Wapo and no friend to Conservatives.

    We all know the media is as dishonest as they come. Expect them to get worse as it gets closer to the election.

  • commonsenseobserver

    Send our regards to Kos himself when your Blightbringer loses Michigan, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and New Mexico.

  • commonsenseobserver

    Indeed. Wanna point out the zero-votes budgets, the 30 bills blocked in the Senate, the botched debt deal, Bowles-Simpson?

  • naraht

    First of all, neither candidate is going to get a Landslide, (in the 1964/1984 sense), there are at least 150 EV that aren’t moving to the other side for anything short of a Watergate level event. The two campaigns and the SuperPACs have decided on the 9 states that will decide the election (NV/CO/IA/WI/OH/FL/NC/VA/NH) and I’d be very surprised to see either Obama or Romney take a state in the other’s base with the possible exception of MO/AZ/IN on one side and MI/PA on the other…

    This election has a *very* small number of undecided votes compared to most of the last 50 years. 45% of the electorate had decided by January they were going to vote Obama and 45% had decided they were going to vote for whoever wasn’t.

    The primary question is whether this is a Referendum (if less than 50% of people like Obama, Romney wins) or a Choice. If the first, then simply driving down those people who like Obama (the “Who would you want to have a beer with”? doesn’t work with a Latter Day Saint), if the second, then Romney’s Likability does make a difference…

  • mittsdog

    WHO knows exactly what Gov Romney and Rep Ryan stand for? Tax cuts…for whom (WHAT are your tax payments, Gov.)? Less regulation (for banks??). More military spending (against Russia??).

  • Bill S

    Bye bye troll

  • unclefred

    Erick I saw this earlier and did not have time to respond. The simple truth is that you are gravely mistaken. You sir are wrong. I’m tired, so very very tired of people being unwilling to look underneath all the polls and all the media.

    The latest political trend’s poll by Rasmussen show the highest self identification as Republicans since they started polling that question. 37.x percent. The Democrats at 33.1. Rasmussen’s cover page is that party identification changes very slowly. Last month it changed the most in the history of their sampling over 4%. Don’t you get it? The electorate has woken. The trend is forming. If the election were held on the day that you wrote this, Obama would lose. Period. Heck he might lose by a massive number of electoral votes.

    Yes we need to work or tails off, but I am so tired of the notion that if Romney doesn’t do this or that he loses. The middle east is on fire and the administration is about to be exposed as lying about their incompetence. Despite the market numbers and QE3 (really QE4) everyone understands that we never left the recession and it is about to get much worse.

    I usually think of conservatives as people who are in touch with the regular people. You seem caught in a bubble. When you have Obama in low single digits in states he won by 14 to 16 or more points. How in Gods name don’t you think that translates to the swing states?

    The adults will control this election. THe kids are either disappointed and staying home, or angry and voting for Romney. The adults are voting for Romney, as are white’s between the ages of 18-29, as are white women wether married or not. Obama has lost about 1/3 of his Jewish vote and similar margins among hispanics.

    Republican grassroots are fired up. Look was Romney my guy? Nope. But I am an ABO guy, and as of tomorrow I’m working full time until the election to elect Romney and Ryan and the most conservative slate out of my state as is possible. Are you staying home on 11/6 because the Republican ticket did not trumpet your issues? I’ll guess not. Neither is any part of the base. The key is the middle and Romney is running anywhere from 8-18 point ahead with independents.

  • PowerToThePeople

    While you make some fine points, you miss the most glaring point out there which is Erick is right. Problem is, you take it as a negative.

    All the information you give may be 100% accurate but it still leaves out that as of this moment, Obama is winning or winning barely in the states we need to take this contest. Could the state polls and national polls be very wrong and in fact Romney does have Ohio, Colorado, New Mexico, etc, yes, but the reality is the answer is more likely around no or maybe. You can also figure in a bit of leftover white guilt in some of the polls, but all this does not negate the reality that Romney must fire up the middle and independent groups, must stick to the course, and must not have a melt down or we will have another four of Obama.

    The great news is that while Obama does hold a very small lead, that reflects just how much trouble he is in. As nothing improves, as people continue to be out of work, as another money print fest does nothing to help but continues to devalue our dollar, this will all help Romney win the contest. The majority of squish voters do not get involved in any way till the election is days out. Many independents will not declare their choice till days out and these are the groups Romney is winning over.

    The bottom line is that Obama winning barely at this point is not a big deal except to him and the democrats. As long as we continue working for a Romney win and Romney continues the course, we will win in November and that is when most of what you say will pan out.You are correct that trends are developing and much of the Obama base will alter their vote this time, but that still does not change the fact that Erick is correct and at this moment, Obama holds a small lead. But this should be good news and absolutely points to a Romney win in just over a month.

  • celador2

    fun,There is a market for yard signs and bumper stickers in Michigan and none to be had! I hope someone from R-R reds this! Get to work ,guys, all that inspiring sign advertising down the tubes. And the clock is ticking.

  • retrocon87

    that was actually a surprisingly intelligent comment for a liberal

  • retrocon87

    If we want Romney to win this thing we need honest analysis of what’s going on when things aren’t going well… most of us agree Romney is in a bit of a self-imposed rut right now, and I think Erick gave a pretty good overview as to why… hopefully for all of us Mitt is listening now and will get his act together.

  • celador2

    I may not watch as they will be too stacked to attack the challenger Romney and Ryan while giving those in power a pass. The moderators are on record as being anti Romney and Ryan with a liberal tilt. Candy Crowley CNN said nominating Ryan for VP was ‘a Republican death wish’.
    With remarks like they running the debates design and format, well, I expect no great gains or any unique insights we did not know.
    Puting the president, head of government and state as well as CIC, on the hot seat would be ideal. Defend your record, Obama and make a case for reelection.

  • gulfcoastcommentary

    Rasumussen has Romney up by 2 points in nationwide polling. Up until the convention, Obama’s approval rating was 46 or 47% which is closely correlated to the final popular vote–meaning he’d lose. Note, however, that after the convention Gallup has O’s approval rating at 50%.
    Check out my blog at http://gulfcoastcommentary.blogspot.com/ Please feel free to leave comments. Excuse my “self-promotion”.