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EDITOR OF REDSTATE

Before the Rooster Crows

Here is the most profound insight of the week I can give you — in American politics, if a Republican candidate loses, the media blames it on the candidate being too conservative. If a Republican candidate wins, the media credits the candidate drifting toward the center. The only sure fire loser in American politics is the conservative movement, which is remarkable given the amazing success the conservative movement has had in spite of this.

What we are seeing now on the political landscape is a growing consensus among opinion makers and average voters that Mitt Romney cannot win the election. It is not true. He can, in fact, still win. The election is, in fact, exceeding close. But the Romney campaign is a victim of a perception it itself has helped foster. Like John McCain before him, Romney seems more at ease punching other Republicans than his Democrat opponent. The public is picking up on this and perceive him unwilling or unable to fight for victory. The public is, mentally, beginning to grow weary of this campaign and Romney must work to change perception if he is to win.

Keep that in mind as I make a very simple point. There are a lot of elitist Republicans who have spent several years telling us Mitt Romney was the only electable Republican. Because the opinion makers and news media these elitists hang out with have concluded Romney will not win, the elitists are in full on panic mode. They conspired to shut out others, tear down others, and prop up Romney with the electability argument. He is now not winning against the second coming of Jimmy Carter. They know there will be many conservatives, should Mitt Romney lose, who will not be satisfied until every bridge is burned with these jerks, hopefully with the elitist jerks tied to the bridge as it burns.

So they are in a panic. They are now throwing Romney under the bus to spare themselves. They are now doing the, “It’s not us, it’s him” routine. For years these people have gotten by knowing that they could hold the base of the GOP in contempt while holding on to their precious positions of “thought leaders” within the conservative movement and have no consequence should things go awry.

Not now. They invested too much in Mitt Romney and now they are running scared. They seem to think that if they cry and scream loud enough and point fingers at Mitt Romney, they’ll again be protected from any sort of blame. They think the conservative movement will give them a pass just as the movement did with No Child Left Behind, Medicare Part D, Harriet Miers, TARP, etc.

The staggering irony is that those of us who did not want Romney are now the ones defending him to the hilt while the elitist jerks are distancing themselves from Romney as quickly as possible — both upset at what their media friends tell them is to come and upset that Mitt Romney might not actually listen to their sweet whispers as much as they originally presumed.

Mitt Romney can win. He needs to hone his message. He needs to focus on the failings of this administration. But there is time and he can win. Should he, we will all sit back and marvel as this staggering horde of snobbery falls all over itself to remind Romney that these elite were with him all along — unlike those hicks and rubes within the conservative movement.

With friends like these . . .

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COMMENTS

  • earlgrey

    I’ve been knocking Bill Kristol for a whole. As far as I am concerned he can just fade away. Red State is usually where I go for an uplift. Traveling with work colleagues both dem and rep. They have all concluded Obama’s got it. There is noomentum for Romney and it seems like everyone is giving advice that is largely being ignored. At NRO Corner they suggest Romney give a 30 minute Presidential style address. I would argue he give some time to Ryan in that. That seems desparate, but I am desaparate. Even if we lose, I’d like to lose having made the choice clear. Voters don’t blame Obama for the economy. There needs to be more. Tell us Mitt why we should vote for you, please.

  • proudmarinemom

    Name names.

  • drskipper

    What do you mean “Romney can win”? Of course he can win – and I believe he will. Will it be close? Of course. There are the 47% after all. But a lot of those 47% want jobs and want to be self sufficient – I just hired two this past month – Could the Romney campaign do a better job? Of course. But I don’t think running an election campaign against both Obama and the media is easy. I don’t know who the “elite” are or even what “they” are saying and I really don’t care. I send Romney money and I work as hard as I can with folks I know in other states (Alabama is already Romney country) to get the message out. We can and we will elect Romney!!!!!

  • davesinsanantonio

    Arrogance in either party is not a pretty thing, but arrogance among the so-called elites in the Republican Party is especially disappointing, because we really are the only party that cares even a little bit about the average person and the poor and minorities in our country. Romney actually has a much better track record of helping these people than either the Dims, including–maybe especially–Obummer OR the Republican “elites”. These losers are just self-centered snobs and should be ignored by the majority of the party. They usually are ignored by the lamestream media, until they need something to skewer our candidates with. Time to sweep both the snobs and the lapdogs into the dustbin of history.

  • commonsenseobserver

    Even the establishment morons must realise that Romney still has a chance, whether it’s his last chance or not, but a chance nonetheless.
    I’m thinking about something like this: Mitt spends the first debate laying out clearer, more substantive policy plans and themes, and uses the flexibility from Obama’s unfamiliarity with these new positions to escape unfair criticism and instead turn the tables on Obama. Then, the day after, he re-launches his campaign on the steps of Capitol Hill, formally presenting a refreshed and elaborated version of his Plan for a Stronger Middle Class with Republicans from all across the country at his side, and goes on a high-profile tour of the battleground states hammering the theme of opportunity and freedom vs. dependency, with more town hall events as well. At the next debate, which will be the Vice-Presidential one, we can hopefully count on Paul Ryan to rebut Joe Biden’s talking points and immediately go on the offensive. By that time, the conversation would be focused on each candidate’s vision, which makes things VERY difficult for Chicago, and makes the last shreds of Obama-Biden’s foreign policy credentials irrelevant. With that, and no more gaffes or silly mistakes, Boston will control the narrative till November 6, and beyond, hopefully.
    But that means Romney must quickly establish his credibility on policy, hitting home the contrasts between himself and Obama in terms of their records, whether in business or public service. And he must defend his character. Same thing for Ryan. Both of them have pretty appealing stories. Voters must know that Romney and Ryan are competent and compassionate before they can trust their vision. And it also means they must prosecute a much sharper and more vigorous case against four more years.
    Oh, yeah, and the Neocons at the Weekly Standard sure have the nerve.

  • commonsenseobserver

    But the most important is still giving a bold, commonsensical vision. The words “oh, the vision thing” must never be on the lips of Mitt Romney or Paul Ryan.

  • its2l82w8

    proudmarinemom is exactly right. If you do not name names, you are as culpable as the elites you (rightfully) damn. Whether Romney wins or loses, we must never be led by these people again. We must never contribute or support candidates who hire or kowtow to them. But unless we know who they are … as many as we can identify … then we cannot ostracize them and rebuild our Party and our movement without them.

    Name names.

  • conservative_dan

    I agree. Who cares what Obama and the media and the “elites” say. We will flumox them all by electing Romney. Deep down, people know Obama is bad and I believe we will see this manifested by an easier than thought Romney win.

  • mhorner

    Mitt Romney is probably the finest man to ever run for President. His charitable acts over the years are a true mirror of this man’s beautiful soul. Unfortunately, he is running against the worst dirtbag that has ever won the office. Mitt is also having to run against Obama’s multi-billion dollar smear campaign. I say multi-billion as having the entire Mainstream Media in your hip pocket is worth untold billions. Nevertheless, Mitt is still very much in the game and I can’t believe the number of idiots who still plan on voting for Obama. Everyone is urging Mitt to get down in the mud with Obama, but I think Mitt would be better served by being “Reaganesque”, which he is, and post weekly speeches as someone else suggested, showing his vision, which he has, for saving our great Country. All said, I think Mitt is going to win in a landslide!!

  • eyesopen007

    Hey Common,
    Your post just made me realize what the problem is. It’s not about Romney-Obama, it’s not about Republican-Democrat, it’s not even about conservative-liberal. No, unfortunately, it’s about Boston-Chicago, and that means we all lose no matter what. Arrrgggghhhh!!!
    EyesOpen007

  • ohiohistorian

    Everybody in the Republican party is afraid this is not winnable because Obama is black. They have watched the media react with cries of RACIST! on virtually every comment. My suggestion is that the Super-Pac needs to get busy and point out all of the cases where the chair has been empty. I can think of several cases. Then point out that while racism is not pretty, what we are seeing is the Affirmative Action President.

    He GOT there, despite no programs, no background vetting, only because he cried HOPE! and CHANGE!. Well, we have lost hope because, to use his metaphor, instead of pushing the car out of the ditch and onto the road, he actually has pushed it farther down into a ravine. Now stands there and tells us that it will make a great flower-pot.

    He has allowed our guns to go to Mexican cartels to kill both Mexican and American citizens. Whether he even knew about the program is immaterial. Harry Truman said “The buck stops here” and we have to point out that he is the one NOT calling for removal of the mis-managers in DOJ.

    He is the one who signed the Affordable Health Care Act, which has now been determined to be a massive taxing scheme and has lost the long-term care part of it. He took money out of Social Security to fund it to try to keep the illusion that it is really paying for itself.

    He has allowed an Ambassador, which is the President’s own representative, to be killed. He has yammered about some film trailer, the film of which has never been released, as the cause, and failed to recognize our enemies who did these deeds and hold them accountable. He allowed an Ambassador to have less protection than his domestic policy adviser and the Ambassador is in a country that has elements hostile to the US.

    These all need to be lined out as a man who does not have a picture of really living in this world, who instead chooses to try to run the country and lead the world from his world premises, not fact. Hit him as the socialist or communist he really is, not as just a nice guy who has it wrong.

    This messaging will not be

  • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

    Do us a favor and go back to church and stop commenting on political sites. because you just are just joining the chorus of hand wringers and nay-sayers..
    We sure won’t win anything with such negativity.

  • http://www.EYE-SORES.blogspot.com petefrt

    Well said, Erick. Yes, we will burn down every bridge… with a vengeance. Bank on it.

  • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

    Just as much? Really? A businessman who has led an exemplary public life vs an absolute marxist who has rubbed shoulders with terrorists? You have some strange priorities.

  • http://www.erickerickson.org Erick Erickson

    I thought there was no reason to name names as we all already pretty much know the general parameters of who is involved. And to name names right now just puts us in a “not me” “yes you” situation when we should still be focusing, for now, on getting Romney elected.

  • commonsenseobserver

    There are plenty of socialists and communists who were nice guys but got things completely wrong along the way and went gaga. Okay? :P
    No one cares about his race, by the way.

  • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

    Everyone needs to calm down. Mitt Romney didn’t just suddenly stop being a good politician. I think his campaign has a strategy and is working it. We all say over and over again how you can’t trust polls and then Obama gets one good week and we wail and gnash our teeth and scream at the Romney campaign. Negativity feeds on itself.

  • kervick2012

    Romney needs a broader, optimistic, conservative message that appeals to the middle class. Contrary to popular opinion he should stop the limited lens attack on the last four years. Romney is running on nothing.

  • commonsenseobserver

    I don’t think he’s Reaganesque enough.
    No one’s blaming him for not getting into the mud, in fact, Peggy Noonan thinks he’s been “small” and looks desperate (!)

  • http://www.justintribble.com Justin Tribble

    Erick, Romney needs to aggressively defend himself and stand up for himself — now. This is the pivotal issue no one is pointing out. Noonan, Scarborough, Brooks and Kristol have completely missed the boat on this and shown themselves to be yellow-bellied turncoats. They have no clue and they are *wrong*. They aren’t helping, they’re hurting.

    If he says the following, he’d win:

    “The media has a hit out on me. They make me out to be Gordon Gekko. I’m sick of it. They lick their chops any time I make a gaffe. This isn’t journalism, this is a joke. Why don’t you report the news for once instead of inserting your biased, partisan opinions into every story you produce? I just gave $4 million bucks to charity last year, I’ve given millions upon millions to charity every year, and Biden gave, what, $300 bucks? It’s a double-standard. I’m sorry I have all of this investment income I earned in my lifetime — should I just give it all to Uncle Sam? Is that what’s patriotic now, paying more taxes? Should I feel bad I’m rich and go crawl into a corner and punch myself in the face because I was successful and worked my buff off most of my life to provide for my family? What the hell has happened to America? Are we really finished? I’m a family man, a business man, I’ve helped a lot of people in my church and my community — I don’t like to brag about it, but now I have to. I have to fight back.”

    He’s not fighting back, folks. He’s hitting Obama hard, but he’s not standing up for himself or hitting back at the media. He’s got to reassure the American people he’s not Gordon Gekko and bring up those likability numbers. People know Obama’s average and they’re willing and open to make a change, but you have to give them more than the reason than “Obama is bad” to make that change.

    Do you just want him to keep doing what he’s doing and hope people feel Obama is bad enough that Romney eeks by in a close election? This is war. The campaign has gotten knocked around by the media for too long and they’ve not only failed to fight back, they’ve failed to let their candidate speak up for himself.

  • commonsenseobserver

    You can’t offer change without also illustrating four more years of the same.
    Of course, you’re right, but another problem with Boston’s strategy is also that they’ve failed to link Obama’s record directly to him and his policies.

  • commonsenseobserver

    1. Make voters blame Obama for the economy.
    2. Make voters know that Obama is just offering the same old garbage we’ve seen fromcorrupt D.C. insider liberals, with a touch of Chicago’s demagoguery and division.
    3. Make voters know about Romney, as a person and an executive, and trust him.
    4. Make voters know more about Romney’s alternative to four more years of the same.
    5. Make voters know that Romney’s alternative is rooted in enduring American values and proven principles. We should not allow the Left to define “fairness”.

  • renl57

    This is a fantasy conspiracy theory.

    Who are these “elitists” who “conspired to shut out other candidates”? How did they do that? How did they keep that a secret, given that it would have to be a truly national conspiracy?

    Supposing Mitt Romney had stumbled badly in the primaries like Perry did. Then whom would the GOP have nominated then? Gingrich? Santorum? Pawlenty? We had a weak field because stronger Republicans *freely chose* not to run.

    The GOP is not some cabal where secretive elitists plot to decide who gets to run and who doesn’t. You’re making the charge that elitists conspired to stop Ryan, Palin, Rubio, Thune, etc., from running for President? PROVE IT.

    Ryan is on the Romney ticket. Why don’t you ask him to name the elitists who forced him to not declare his candidacy for President?

  • commonsenseobserver

    http://spectator.org/archives/2012/09/25/no-more-excuses
    This is the kind of case we need to make against Obama.

  • edintexas

    There’s a problem. Podcasts. I don’t know that I know how to access a podcast, don’t own any Apple products (never have and never will) and believe that thing I tote around and occasionally remember to turn on is a telephone without a land line. Admittedly, I don’t watch much commercial TV either, but a video would reach a lot of people who don’t “do” podcasts.

    Read a headline with subhead last night that some polling outfit found Dear Leader ahead with the NASCAR crowd. IF that is true, you can chalk it up to the propaganda from the campaign/MSM and, in part, somebody thinking podcasts would be an answer to the propaganda.

  • spinoneone

    In addition to Romney, don’t forget we also need seven senators and must retain the house. Defeat in either the house or senate will be just as devastating as 0′s re-election.

  • salemst

    Erick, Most media elites and conservative pundits opposed Romney from what I saw.
    George Will, Peggy Noonan, Bill Kristol, Laura Ingraham, Michele Malkin, Sarah Palin, Mark Levin, Rush, Ed Morrissey, Fox News people, WSJ, Human Events, Tea Party, Evangelicals, and yourself………….everyone opposed Romney.

    Only people I remember supporting Romney were Jennifer Rubin, Hugh Hewitt, and Ann Coulter. Couldn’t find anyone saying anything positive about him.

    IMO he was and is the best and only candidate this year to support, which I did in 2008 and this time. I live in Massachusetts and saw the excellent job he did. That stopping/slowing down liberalism in a liberal state like Massachusetts as he did is just as conservative as advancing conservatism in a conservative state like Texas as Rick Perry did.
    We have serious economic issues in a complex globalized economy that you need serious expertise to fix. It’s not the old days where you cut taxes and get out of the way as it’s gone the same way Woody Hayes’ 3 years and a cloud of dust became extinct. Santorum, Newt, Perry, Bachmann, Cain……none of them understand what’s really going on in the private Corporate sector of the economy where the most middle and upper middle class jobs are created leading to the only economic system that works, “Trickle Down economics” or ‘Supply Side/Reaganomics.”
    I believe Romney wins this election. We all know the national polls are all skewed Democrat either intentionally to influence people Obama’s way or unintentionally following outdated 2008 voting data.

    Technology and Offshore Outsourcing have been killing US jobs creation since 2001 combining with the other 2 jobs pressures government and competition putting you out of business. We need policies reducing the cost of doing business in the US while eliminating tax incentives to send jobs overseas creating a profit incentive for companies to create jobs here again reducing taxes, government regulations, and mandates.

    Mitt Romney understands the complexities. He’ll win. “Are you better off today than you were 4 years ago?” That’s the only question that matters.

    I think most’s answer would be “no.”

  • clowngirl

    Right now, Romney could rush into a burning building, rescue 3 kids, a puppie and a kitten; the liberal media would find a reason to attack him for it and the token “elite”conservatives would probably chime in.

    Romney’s done a lot of things right lately: he was absolutely right and spoke for most of the country (certainly for the overwhelming majority of Republicans) in immediately condemning that sickening attempt at appeasement- providing leadership the country desperately needs, he handled the release of his taxes quite deftly as did an excellent interview.

    Side note on that 60 minutes interview: I was impressed with how smoothly Romney took command and stayed on message – and when he started talking about how to save money, seemed so clearly in his element that – for the first time- I was inspired at the thought of this genius businessman – who seems to have a real passion for saving money – getting in there and implementing policies that make sense.

    I’ll say it – though nobody does and I’ll probably get made fun of- there were moments he showed real charisma. (no, I’m not kidding)

  • veritaseequitas

    And who are they? Inquiring minds want to know. Why should the voters sit idly by and watch as the GOP eats its own? We want out of this mess that Comrade Obama has created and we care nothing for butt munches who are trying to save their own skin and retire with a fat government pension.
    Romney needs to ignore these people, they need to be muzzled and we,as voters, need to stay focused on the mission.

  • realfactchecker

    I was logging in to type the exact same message!!!

  • lakeshore

    I think we live in an era where everyone, whether the big media voices or us average net posters, have the time to over digest everything. I like Romney’s style. He’s upbeat, optimistic, yet strong when he needs to be. Non-conservatives want a likeable leader, not a talk radio host. What might appeal to our right of center ears isn’t necessarily what a housewife in Ohio is thinking right now as she tries to choose. If you’re Romney, and you realize you have to get a few more percent of female voters to win, what would you do? Get angry or be caring? Or both?…The more I think about this election, the more it reminds me of 1980. I wish someone who had the time would dig up some old opinion articles and TV spin from that era. I’d like to see just how many parallels we can draw. I’m guessing there were a lot of anti-Reagan pieces running, especially portraying him as a cowboy or out of touch. One major difference between now and then that helped to sink Carter: the 444 days of Iranian hostage captivity. Obama doesn’t have that big of a foreign albatross (yet), but he has enough other failings right now to drag him down to defeat. Let Romney and Ryan adjust their strategy to who is still undecided, and tell all of your disgruntled conservative friends to be sure and vote this time.

  • tngal

    Clowngirl, I believe the liberal headline would read: “3 Union Firefighters out of work after Romney recklessly grabs residents and pets without being properly trained. Lawsuit pending.

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    Like Erick says, it puts us in an us not them but Rove, for all his faults, hasn’t been one of the ones throwing Romney to the wolves.

  • lakeshore

    This article from the WSJ dismisses Obama’s deficit views (again)
    http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10000872396390444358804578016270614705726.html

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    Erick: I would like your opinion but it seems the main criticism of Romney from the so called media elite is that Romney refuses to tack back to the center. Could it be the most data driven person to run for the Presidency sees polling that shows that to be a losing proposition? I mean one person went so far as to saying you were running his campaign – we could only hope.

  • demperspective

    Hello opponents. Please allow me to chime in a little.
    These are some of the elitist you must ‘shame’ and make small and inconsequential if the conservative movement (not the GOP) is to thrive whether Romney wins or not.

    1. Karl Rove: Think about this carefully; other than engineering the election and re-election of Bush, how has he furthered the conservative cause? As a matter of fact, I will argue that he is worked harder to minimize your cause, than even your ideological nemesis, dem/progresive/media.

    2. Dick Morris: I am amazed at how much credence the movement gives to this fool. He is a political pimp and should be discredited. When has his pronouncement/prediction ever come to fruition? He says what he thinks wants to hear even if it is completely rubbish.

    3. Peggy Noonan:

    4. Gorge Will

    5. Watch and listen to other media outlet to know how to counter effectively

  • tnfriendofcoal101368

    If you are going to bury Mitt Romney for not being Ronald Reagan…better dig that ditch miles deep and wide because Mitt Romney won’t be alone in that hole. Peggy Noonan has claimed greatness for years based on writing speeches for Ronald Reagan – it’s like Babe Ruth’s batboy claiming credit for 714 home runs.

  • wayne74467

    Ms. Noonan is a RINO, pure and simple, worse than Brooks and Scarbrough.

  • Common_Cents

    Republicans need to learn the propaganda media is a much bigger problem than they think. It’s a fully integrated all out super pac wing of the Dems. It’s time for hostile media boot camp for Republicans, taught by people like Gingrich, Sununu, Christie etc….we need a strategic plan to combat the media on many levels. Cut that achilles heel microphone for DEMS and this country would be radically changed for the better, nearly overnight.

    Romney’s campaign is fine. Complaining about Romney’s messaging is pretty nearsighted. It’s like hanging a 50 lb weight around a sprinters neck and wondering why he may be behind in a 100yd dash. Campaign surrogates need to hammer the media hard hard hard as the public is now figuring out the media is blatantly trying to rig the game for obama. Gingrich showed this support against the media is really on peoples’ minds and is just waiting to be tapped like he did effectively in a few primary debates.

    But on to the real discussion. I’m debating getting a galaxy S3 or a galaxy Note II (when it comes out in Nov) soon, which one might be better?? It’s important since they are very popular world wide.

  • gmhunt

    The rules at the Convention were changed to keep Ron Paul people from having a voice. Sara Palin was cut to the knees by McCain’s on people when she spoke out for the people. Rubio is part of the elite, he proved that he is a RINO when he brought forth his “Dream Act” to make illegals legal.

  • tngal

    “Mitt Romney can win. He needs to hone his message. He needs to focus on the failings of this administration. But there is time and he can win.” -EE
    There is nothing wrong with this sentiment. Quit picking on Erick. He’s calling it as he sees it. (And he’s calling it better than the refs from last night’s GB-Hawks game.)

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    Ron Paul WAS accomodated. The GOP platform took input from Ron Paul supporters and was changed. the fact that some Ron Paul supporters will NOW allow Obama to win out of some petty sense of disgruntlement shows only how pathetically incapable they are of being ‘team players’ on a winning team.
    If you love liberty, you will be opposing Obama 100% and doing what you can.t If you are NOT doing that, then you are a unhelpful crank.

  • soljerblue

    “The staggering irony is that those of us who did not want Romney are now the ones defending him to the hilt while the elitist jerks are distancing themselves from Romney as quickly as possible —”
    When I became a Tea Party member three years ago, I felt at the time — and said so at each opportunity — that we would have to capture the GOP, as the Goldwater people did in ’64, before we could hope to wreck the Democrats. It’s become increasingly obvious throughout this campaign that that still applies. I didn’t want Romney; still not sure about him — but every TP member I know (except a few Paulbots) supports him. He CAN win, but if he does the elites will claim the victory. So conservatives may win this battle, but the war with the party will go on.

  • johnwerneken

    No. Romney ought to focus on what he would do differently, and what, besides his successes with the Olympics or in private business, show that his proposals for real change would benefit Americans. The failings of the Administration are abundantly clear, as is its shear drift on the big questions of national and of economic security. They are merely continuing what has not worked all that well in the past into the future, and with growing enthusiasm.
    But the Administration has managed to postpone not only progress recovery and peace but also complete collapse; they are trying to manage the unsustainable and are having some success at it. To offer to approach things in the same fashion, but as an allegedly better manager, is not going to work.
    It’s one thing as the article says to promote change in Romney’s approach, but quite another to defend the positions of those responsible for the parts of that approach that are not working. By of all things criticizing Governor Romney, apparently mostly for following their advice.

  • soljerblue

    Boehner and McConnell come to mind. Bill Kristol. Ditto Ohio historian on Brooks and Scarborough.