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Obama Lectures Romney On Cargo Cult Economics

There were several surreal moments in the debate last night between the Democrat candidate for president, Barack Obama, and the American candidate Mitt Romney. While most are focused on Obama’s stunningly brazen lie about his statement of the attack on our Benghazi embassy, the more telling episode showed that Obama is simply disengaged from reality as it is experienced by most people. From the transcript:

ROMNEY: That was a statement. I don’t think the American people believe that. I will fight for oil, coal and natural gas. And the proof, the proof of whether a strategy is working or not is what the price is that you’re paying at the pump. If you’re paying less than you paid a year or two ago, why, then, the strategy is working. But you’re paying more. When the president took office, the price of gasoline here in Nassau County was about $1.86 a gallon. Now, it’s $4.00 a gallon. The price of electricity is up…

CROWLEY: Mr. President, could you address, because we did finally get to gas prices here, could you address what the governor said, which is if your energy policy was working, the price of gasoline would not be $4 a gallon here. Is that true?

OBAMA: Well, think about what the governor — think about what the governor just said. He said when I took office, the price of gasoline was $1.80, $1.86. Why is that? Because the economy was on the verge of collapse, because we were about to go through the worst recession since the Great Depression, as a consequence of some of the same policies that Governor Romney’s now promoting.

So, it’s conceivable that Governor Romney could bring down gas prices because with his policies, we might be back in that same mess.

This is just another manifestation of the cargo cult economics we’ve talked about over the past weeks. In Obama’s world supply and demand are academic concepts. He thinks that when something is cheap that means demand is low and when something is expensive that means demand is high. If your market knowledge is based on buying the latest Apple product this is entirely reasonable. It fails to acknowledge that supply is the other part of the equation and even if demand decreases the price can still increase if the supply falls faster than demand. It also assumes the costs of production and distribution remain constant.

If Obama is correct, then the increase in gas prices should roughly correlate to economic activity and lower prices will indicated a failing economy. Let’s roll the tape.

First gas prices. This is the average price of a gallon of regular gas.

 

If you are really interested in the data, below are the data in tabular form. Click the thumbnail to enlarge:

 

So what did the GDP look like? If Cargo Cult Economics guru Barack Obama is correct, GDP should be very low over the past decade and now it should be soaring.

 

Hmmm. Not looking like there is much of a relationship, is there? Well, if the economy is kicking butt people must be working. What does unemployment look like?

So, much to Obama’s discredit, a quick look at other data shows that the skyrocketing gas prices are not the byproduct of an economy running gangbusters. To the contrary, it speaks to an economy in crisis. It is the result of a lot of factors, not the least of which the mismanagement of the energy sector by Barack Obama and his minions.

COMMENTS

  • krish

    Very good post! you have taken a lot of effort to put this together.
    Do you think Obama or Liberals understand Eco 101 regrading basic supply & demand…….i am sure most of the senators & representatives who are lawyers do not even understand economics basics. When they talk about economics they have no clue! It is about time the economics is taught in middle school onwards in our schools.

  • DerKrieger

    Personally I would strongly challenge the notion that they have more than a basic, Home Economics, understanding of economics. They are mostly lawyers so are largely lacking in common sense.

  • mrsemptybucket

    This diary makes me realize that over the next 3 weeks Conservatives need facts at the ready to counter the nonsense Lefties are going to be spewing as a reason to vote for their guy.

  • Dave_A

    Key point on gas-prices…

    If you remember, the ‘crash’ in prices immediately followed Bush signing an executive order opening up offshore drilling.

    Futures traders DO consider the political climate when they bid on commodities…

    Confirming Steve ‘Neccicarily Rise’ Chu as Energy Secretary ensured that the price of gasoline would in fact, rise.

  • obxster

    None of this is even figuring the role the Fed plays by printing money and causing a weaker dollar which makes purchasing crude oil more costly.

  • davesinsanantonio

    True! And, economics is largely common sense. That is why conservatives are for free markets and liberals allow their emotional fantasies to try to overrule the laws of economics.
    That is also why the Founders didn’t put much about economics into the Constitution. They had read Adam Smith’s The Wealth of Nations, and it made so much sense to them that they just assumed we would all be capitalists. And, since the liberals lack common sense they buy into the leftist nonsense about economics which may sound good to the ignorant, but has no logic behind it at all. And, since liberals are all about emotions and hate actual facts (as opposed to the lies they just love to make up that they claim are facts) it is really hard to teach them anything, and they refuse to learn from history. So, they keep making the same mistakes over and over hoping that sometime things will turn out. But, they never do.

  • realfactchecker

    Maybe Obama didn’t bow low enough to the Saudi king. Can anyone spell c-a-r-t-e-l?

    With the stroke of a pen President Romney could lower the price of gas at the pump to less than $2.00 a gallon, and maybe less than a buck fifty.

  • http://www.plumbbobblog.com Plumb_Bob

    As I mentioned yesterday, the disconnect is not over why the price of gasoline was low in 2008. That is the one part of the answer that was true, the ONLY one: the price of crude dropped like a stone in 2008 because of the economic collapse. There was no demand for crude, or really for anything.

    But it was not Republican policies that caused that, it was Clinton’s deliberate housing bubble, the Fed trying to play God with the economy, and a pile of stupid regulations in the wake of the Enron scandal. Ask me to explain if you need explanation, but don’t EVER let a Democrat get away with blaming the collapse on “deregulation” or any Bush policy, ’cause it just ain’t so.

    Furthermore, while it was true that low gasoline prices in the winter of 2008-2009 were not the result of Bush administration policies (either good or bad), it is true today that high gasoline prices are at least in part the result of bad Obama administration policies — his war on fossil fuels keeping supply short, his war on success and small business and his waterfall of oppressive regulation keeping the dollar weak.

  • cwfoster

    Good article Streiff, but a thing or two other to consider is the MONEY ITSELF is a commodity and if you print a bunch of fiat currency, the Oil Sheiks are going to know that the dollar is necessarily worth LESS and jack up the price of crude! The other is that when fuel goes up, EVERYTHING else goes up, because fuel is needed to get everything else to market. Some suppliers eat some if the increase in order to prevent people from from just cutting back, but they can afford to absorb so much for so long before needing to pass the increase along to consumers. the extreme of this are storekeepers in Iran where the currency is collapsing who are closed, because the Rials they get for merchandise today wont restock their shelves tomorrow!

  • viskot

    A posible point is of course that gasoline price dosen’t just follow US demand but global demand. And while the 2008 crash did have global reach there has been a large difference between how different nations handled the crisis.

  • gafisher

    Crawley would immediately have shut him down.

  • dudley

    Facts are stubborn things, aren’t they?

  • eheassler

    I was listening to the debate on the radio as I was enroute home and when President obama gave his explanation for the $1.86/gal. gasoline, it immediately struck me as one of the most ignorant statements ever made by a sitting President. I would like to think that he knows better or that what he said wasn’t really what he meant. However, with obama, I think that he is so accustomed to MSM never questioning anything he says and constantly declaring his brilliance, he believes that he can say anything, no matter how untrue, and no one will ever call him on it. What he can’t, and won’t, tell you about his energy policies, is that they are working. They are forcing energy prices higher and higher which will in turn force people to stay home more, move closer to their workplaces, move into the cities, take the bus or rail to work, force small and medium sized farmers off their land, and in general, support Agenda 21 policies.