« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

EDITOR OF REDSTATE

Status Quo Ante

Like when an unstoppable force meets an immovable object, we now know what happens when a candidate so weak anybody can beat him meets a candidate so weak he cannot beat anybody. Americans vote for the status quo. $6 billion later, Americans voted for the status quo. Karl Rove, call your donors.

Republicans will keep the House. Democrats will keep the Senate. Obama will keep the White House.

It is what it is. The next two years are going to be some of the most fun and exciting years within the modern American conservative movement.

We know in American politics that nothing is permanent. The question we are going to have to assess is whether Barack Obama’s coalition is a Democratic coalition or a Barack Obama coalition. My personal opinion is that Barack Obama built a winning coalition for Barack Obama and it may not translate to a long term Democratic coalition. Just ask Minority Leader Pelosi and that now endangered creature known as the Democratic Governor.

As the jockeying for 2016 begins soon (and it will begin very soon) we will find out.

The Obama campaign ran a very good campaign. The Republicans did not. There was no fraud. There was no stealing the election. There was just a really good ground game from Barack Obama and a lot of smoke and mirrors from Team Romney and outside charlatans, many of whom will now go work for Republican Super PACs making six figure salaries, further draining the pockets of rich Republicans when not on television explaining how awesome and expert they are. Whether you can bring yourself to say it or not, like it or not, Barack Obama is, today, your President.

There will be a lot of blame to go around, but, if Republicans are honest, they’ll have to concede that the Romney campaign ran a bad campaign and only almost won because the President had a bad debate. Romney could not even win his home state, his second home state, or his vacation home state.

Neither side bothered to put forward a serious agenda that stood for much of anything. Barack Obama ran on beating up Mitt Romney and Mitt Romney ran on running away from himself. He stood for nothing and everything at the same time. At least Barack Obama campaigned on the consistent message of hating Mitt Romney.

Compare Romney to Scott Walker. Scott Walker took on the unions in Wisconsin and won big. Romney barely took on Barack Obama. He drew few lines in the sand, made those fungible, and did not stand on many principles. Americans wanted to assess a contrast between the candidates and got blurred lines instead. They went with the politician they knew instead of the one who was different depending on the election season, constituency, and time of day.

At the same time, Romney made a conscious decision to blow off Hispanic voters. Yes conservatives, we must account for this. The Romney campaign to the hispanic community was atrocious and, frankly, the fastest growing demographic in America isn’t going to vote for a party that sounds like that party hates brown people. That does not mean the GOP must offer up amnesty. It does mean that a group that is a natural fit for the GOP on social issues, must in someway be made to feel comfortable with the GOP.

One more thing before moving on to my larger point, both parties should henceforth agree to never, ever nominate for President anyone from Massachusetts.

As for you conservatives who are convinced today that suddenly we are a socialist nation, sober up and pay attention: the next two years are going to be some of the most impactful and fun years in the conservative movement. Republicans who, overnight, were screaming about the country headed toward socialism are, if we are honest, not yet deprogrammed from defending Mitt Romney. The Romney campaign, truth be told, has been pathetic at defining a real, right-of-center alternative to Barack Obama. It’s hard to say Americans embraced, overnight, socialism, when Americans delivered back the status quo — including the “crazy” tea partiers in the House of Representatives — rejecting only Mitt Romney’s brand of “I’m going to do what the President is doing, but with more tickle.”

The quicker you accept he ran a crappy campaign of tofu ideas the better off you will be. Reagan beat Carter by being drawing bright lines and simply explaining why his way was better. Romney never really tried that, then picked a Vice Presidential nominee who had done that and promptly taped his mouth shut.

Over the past two years the GOP has atrophied into a party of intellectual lightweights in the House and Senate. They have run on “saving the free market”, but actively collaborated with the Democrats to drive-up the national debt to more than $16 trillion. Major conservative groups on the outside have, instead of reinforcing conservatism, continued their Bush era habit of reinforcing the party line.

Just go back to the primary and look at the major conservative influencers who went quickly to Mitt Romney before the field had even fully shaped up. He was the Republican, not the conservative. Even worse, look at the rest of the GOP field. Romney, the man so weak anybody could beat him, beat the rest of the field. That speaks volumes about the rest of the field.

Once in the arena for President, Romney failed to define and articulate a conservative foreign policy beyond a muddling of the Bush policy. He failed to truly advocate any reforms of the fiscal house, even muzzling Paul Ryan. And the party went right along with it. Back in November of 1976, columnist George Will wrote this:

If nature is not as bountiful, or men’s capacities as equal, as once was assumed, then equality must be forced on men. That is a paralyzing thought for liberals, whose philosophy derives its name from the word liberty.

Conservatives are comparably disarrayed. True conservatives distrust and try to modulate social forces that work against the conservation of traditional values. But for a century, the dominant conservatism has uncritically worshiped the most transforming force, the dynamism of the American economy. No coherent conservatism can be based solely on commercialism, but this conservatism has been consistently ardent only about economic growth, and hence about economies of scale, and social mobility. These take a severe toll against small towns, small enterprises, family farms, local governments, craftsmanship, environmental values, a sense of community, and other aspects of humane living.

Conservatism often has been inarticulate about what to conserve, other than “free enterprise,” which is institutionalized restlessness, an engine of perpetual change. But to govern is to choose one social outcome over others; to impose a collective will on processes of change. Conservatism that does not extend beyond reverence for enterprise is unphilosophic, has little to do with government and conserves little.

It rings true today with where the GOP finds itself — intellectually bereft of actual conservatism, replaced instead by pretty faces, spray on tans, and platitude. When it actually advocates sound, conservative policies, it wins. It won in Michigan last night on union issues. It won in Wisconsin. Hell, we kept our 2010 tea party gains that were won on reining in government.

Barack Obama won because his campaign team ran a tremendous ass kicking ground game while the Romney campaign clearly ran smoke and mirrors so convincingly inside the echo chamber of the GOP as to fool a lot of great Republican pundits and Dick Morris.

But Barack Obama also won because the public knew him and stacked him up to a nothing burger on the other side. That nothing burger was not, per se, Mitt Romney, but the GOP as a whole. Consider, if you will, the GOP’s Senate nominees, many, but not all, of whom were backed by the party establishment.

Tommy Thompson, Heather Wilson, Connie Mack, Pete Hoekstra, Linda McMahon, Todd Aiken, and Richard Mourdock were not exactly founts of rhetorical genius or articulate mouthpieces for conservatism in the way Mike Lee, Pat Toomey, Marco Rubio, and Ted Cruz have been.

Add to them Mitch McConnell, John Boehner, and the like and the GOP has had very few skilled salesmen for conservative ideas and values. The party then put its fate in the hands of a moderate from Massachusetts who, just trust the GOP, was really more conservative than he let on. Conservatives, many of whom did not buy it, were happy to be loyal soldiers because he was the nominee — a loyalty that too few establishment Republicans send the other way to conservatives when the establishment gets beaten.

In the next two years, conservatives are going to have some fun fights within the GOP to move beyond a cliched defense of free markets into really articulating a vision for defending free markets and what it means. At the same time, it will be forced to deal rationally and charitably with the issue of immigration. And it will have an opportunity to drive out those who now think the time is right to give up on fiscal conservatism or social conservatism. Primary season 2014 should be spectacular.

Compromise? Like hell. We’re going to keep fighting. And we will find someone who actually doesn’t speak conservatism like he learned it from Rosetta Stone last week. For those of you on the left licking your chops thinking this spells doom — the nation just spent $6 billion for the status quo. I’ll take my chances.

The nation did not drift left. It was just unpersuaded Mitt Romney would actually take us right and sure as hell did not know what it would get even if it went with Romney. The next two years will set the vision of a more populist oriented conservatism of which I am excited to play a part. And I think, when the Democrats finally realize the new Democratic coalition is only a Barack Obama coalition, conservatives and the GOP will be ready.

Just please, GOP, PLEASE — in four years let’s not go with the “he’s the most electable” argument. The most electable usually aren’t.

I urge, then, first of all, that petitions, prayers, intercession and thanksgiving be made for all people— for kings and all those in authority, that we may live peaceful and quiet lives in all godliness and holiness. This is good, and pleases God our Savior, who wants all people to be saved and to come to a knowledge of the truth. For there is one God and one mediator between God and mankind, the man Christ Jesus, who gave himself as a ransom for all people. This has now been witnessed to at the proper time.

– 1 Timothy 2:1-6 (NIV)

COMMENTS

  • sybile

    20/20 hindsight is all well and good. But during the run up to today, RS was so wholly embedded in a bubble of alternate reality, that every other diary was a prediction of a RR landslide:

    http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/04/this-is-what-the-unhinged-left-looks-like-on-the-eve-of-an-historic-election-loss/

    http://www.redstate.com/westcoastpatriette/2012/11/04/the-tea-partys-quiet-formidable-force-will-upset-the-election-again/

    http://www.redstate.com/imperfectamerica/2012/11/03/despite-what-the-polls-say-mitt-romney-will-win-by-double-digits-heres-why/

    http://www.redstate.com/rednewjersey2012/2012/11/01/romney-will-win-this-election-and-ive-got-the-math-to-prove-it/

    http://www.redstate.com/oldtownyankee/2012/11/04/i-sense-a-hidden-underswelling-for-romney/

    http://www.redstate.com/conservativekaren/2012/11/03/are-we-the-second-greatest-generation/

    http://www.redstate.com/benjaminhodge/2012/11/05/pew-research-and-cnn-predict-a-clear-win-for-mitt-romney/

    http://www.redstate.com/qsclues/2012/11/05/why-romney-will-win-and-handily/

    http://www.redstate.com/jamesmpratt/2012/11/05/romney-internal-polling-suggests-headlines-will-read-romney-ryan-landslide-victory/

    http://www.redstate.com/the_rebel/2012/11/05/final-rasmussen-party-id-means-doom-for-dems/

    http://www.redstate.com/imperfectamerica/2012/11/03/despite-what-the-polls-say-mitt-romney-will-win-by-double-digits-heres-why/

    http://www.redstate.com/westcoastpatriette/2012/11/06/the-fat-lady-sang-its-over-now-welcome-to-the-white-house-president-romney/

    http://www.redstate.com/2012/11/06/crunching-the-early-voting-oh-numbers-spoiler-warning-bad-news-for-obama/

    http://www.redstate.com/thelefty/2012/11/06/romney-will-win-oh-by-109000-votes/

    Look at the titles. Look at the diarists. Now, look me in the eye and tell me that this “see no evil, hear no evil” blind disconnect from basic reality is in any way healthy.

  • cbartlett

    Agree, Eddie. “A nation that can RE-elect a man as unqualified as Barack Obama is in deep trouble.” We are stocking up on guns and ammo in Texas – on the outside chance Perry decides to defend our border.

  • mikelindell2

    If Republicans ever want to win a national election again, their main focus needs to be on correcting the increasingly biased media. When every network is attacking conservatives, only discussing their negatives, protecting the Dem at every turn, it will be almost impossible to be able to win up against those odds. There needs to be a short term fix to combat this, and a long term fix to correct it.

    I also feel the one issue that we need to shift on is courting Hispanics. That group is growing rapidly making it almost impossible to win an election without them now and definitely impossible to win an election without them in the future.

    Also, Romney won the primary because every news outlet that conservatives have trusted in the past were vehemently pro-Romney. Fox, National Review, Drudge, etc, all never made their endorsement of Romney official but would endlessly attack whoever Romney’s primary challenger was at the time (National Review actually had a cover specifically saying to nominate anyone but Gingrich). Unfortunately, several outlets have a monopoly on conservative news and can employ mass manipulation during Repub. primaries.

    Lastly, we need candidates that can speak. Candidates that can frame arguments in the best possible terms for conservatives, know all the facts, not say stupid things, and put the other side on the defense. Republican campaign advisors need to also change. Our ads and tactics are almost always lacking in comparison to Democrat ads.

  • benson1

    Romney would have been a good president but first you have to win the election. There was only one person in the primary that knew how to articulate conservatism and that was Newt. He would have pounded Obama, liberal Democrats and the the sycophant press into the ground while schooling Americans about what was actually being done. Gingrich not only learned from the master Reagan he was a master of conservatism himself with the skill to articulate the dangers of liberalism and Obama. We can thank the Republican establishment elites, so called conservative talk show hosts and other conservative talking heads for once again giving us a moderate. If you listen to even one of Newt’s speeches or watch even one of his interviews he told more about what was happening or would happen than Romney did in his whole campaign. Reagan is gone and Gingrich is to old to run again, show me even one person of their caliber we have left to stand up effectively against the liberals. Maybe Palin could and Allen West never back down but neither are as articulate but they are conservative.

  • commonsenseobserver

    Governor Romney has just conceded.

  • benson1

    Acknowledge they made a mistake. These are the same people who thought McCain was a good candidate.

  • WmCraig

    Nothing you want to happen will happen as long as we have open primaries. So for the next four years we will get our hopes up, make some great but meaningless gains in the mid terms and off years, only to be taken over by the other half of the liberal democrat progressive movement when the election to replace Obama in 2016 begins.

    Perhaps the movement will have energy, perhaps the country will survive for four years Maybe Russia, Iran and South American nations won’t nuke us, foreclose on our resources for debt, or carve us up like the Balkans. Perhaps now that Obama has more flexibility he won’t need to campaign for re-election. Maybe we will even have an election, who knows, hundreds of years of freedom and maybe as the saying goes,
    “this too shall pass”.

    The country is bankrupt. The Congress stole all the social security investments and that Ponzi scheme is about to fall apart. No one in Washington can afford to put together a budget because to do so is self incriminating.

    But if you are correct and the Conservative movement is going to continue, if it has the energy to achieve great things, then you will need a new vehicle.

    As for the Republican party, they have become no more than the Washington Generals were to the Harlem Globe Trotters. Especially with Boehner in charge in Washington. He might as well be an Obama Democrat except the progressives need someone on their side to play the part of the loosing team leader. Queue Sweet Georgia Brown please.

    Give the Republicans the Whig treatment, time to move on.

    WmCraig
    Solvo Reor

  • gunnyg2002

    The 47%ers chose free stuff over freedom, criminals and frauds over honor and justice. We’ve reached the tipping point and the scale AIN’T in our favor.

  • SirGladiator

    There’s going to be a lot of talk about a lot of reasons why we lost tonight, and some will be accurate and some will not, but one thing that was the single most disturbing to me was something I saw in the exit polls. We all know that America as a whole is a Pro-Life nation, and becoming moreso all the time. Today’s voters self-identified as pro-abortion, by TWENTY THREE POINTS, 59-36. The Obama campaign did an unbelievable job turning out the pro-abortion vote, and we made no appreciable effort to turn out the Pro-Life vote. Despite that incredible, unthinkable success, Obama STILL barely won. If we had simply turned out enough Pro-Life voters to make it 50-50, much less the Pro-Life advantage we should’ve had, we would’ve won in a landslide. It was all about the economy…..for US, but by ignoring the important issue of Life, we just cost ourselves a Presidency. Hopefully it is a mistake we will never make again.

  • goodgovernance

    5! Earnest people who were objectively looking at the data got attacked here for raising uncomfortable truths. That has GOT to stop if we’re going to get anywhere.

    The first step to recovery is to acknowledge reality, not pretend we can charge past it with nothing more than passionate intensity. That’s what Liberals try to do, for crying out loud.

  • WmCraig

    My thoughts is that this loss tells us more about what the Republican party has become then about the conservative movement. Conservatism is compatible with Federalism. America no longer has even a vague resemblance to the Federalist nation our founders created for us.

  • WhiteOut

    THIS is exactly why i voted for Gingrich in the primary. I felt if he could get to a debate with Obama it would be game over. Unfortunately the establishment/oligarchy chucked that idea.

    At the same time, a part of me believes Newt is still part of that machine, but he can at least articulate the conservative distinction clearly and succinctly in a way that anyone can grasp.

  • eddiethegeek

    Lucky you….I’m stuck in the Peoples’ Republic of New York.

  • commonsenseobserver

    Nobody ignored life, thank you. Romney mentioned it in his convention speech.

  • Bill S

    You are an idiot. Very few defended the content of that statement. Most defended him as our candidate. Republicans are notorious for making the perfect the enemy of the good. We should have written off his statement as a mistake and left it at that.

    runner12 is right. My moby filter has been on for you for quite some time.

  • streiff

    your timing of this trollishness is exquisitely poor.

  • streiff

    let me make one very clear point here. I didn’t call him a troll. I correctly identified him as such based on his comment history and other information provided via Disqus. And I banned him. So as to your opinion, you are wrong and simply beclown yourself.

    The fact that you find his spiel plausible means you are either an idiot (my vote right now) or a fellow traveler.

    If you don’t like the way I moderate the list, get your own blog and convince someone to read something you write. Of course that would take both talent and work. So I’m not holding my breath.

  • APA Guy

    If by “inclusive” you mean pandering to voters by giving them endless “free” health care, food stamps, TANF, and other incentives to not work and pull their fair share, count me out.