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Obama Has His Revenue. Time for Republicans to Step Up or Get Out.

Most of my morning has been spent listening to the two camps on twitter and in the news. Half say we got a bad deal in the Fiscal Cliff debate. The other half say we got the best we could and should be happy with the concessions we extracted from the Democrats.

From the beginning, this negotiation has been a mess. Every day we were hearing new details and new proposals, meanwhile, President Obama’s involvement was relaxed to say the least.

Obama’s hands off approach did not go unnoticed and is instructive as to how to approach upcoming battles with his agenda.

“Nothing illustrates the President’s fecklessness in this debate quite as much as the press conference he gave yesterday at the White House,” said one Republican close to the discussions of recent weeks. “While the vice president was working the phones trying to get something done, Obama was standing in front of the cameras, surrounded by a fawning crowd and doing what he enjoys most — sermonizing to a captive audience.”

So thanks to one of the two elected members of the Executive Branch, a deal seems to be inevitable and it has caused a range of emotions across the spectrum.  Even the very Senators that voted in favor of the deal seem torn.  A Senate Republican aide tells me that “Nobody who voted for this bill is happy about seeing taxes go up on anybody, but just about everybody is happy about making almost all of the Bush tax cuts permanent.”

I admit, I’m very pleased with certain concessions we were able to get, though not enough to feel good about a tax increase. I’m hoping that these last few years of constantly debating temporary tax rates will forever close the door on the use of such a negotiating tactic.

In spite of this and other small victories, I can’t help but acknowledge that in the end, we negotiated a lesser deal with larger majorities than we did in the same debate against a Democrat controlled congress in 2010.

But let’s accept it for what it is. We’ll have to go to war with the deal we have — not the deal we might want or wish to have at a later time. The downside of tax increases aside, I’m being told that there are other benefits to today’s deal. Namely, that the Republicans have swept away the one talking point that the Democrats owned. That now we can have an adult conversation in which we will truly tackle the question of our spending problem, and we’ll be unchained from the anchor of “revenues” as part of the debate.

“Looking ahead, the debate is now exclusively focused on spending cuts,” said the Senate aide. “Most of the Bush tax rates are now set in stone, and the President himself said after last night’s vote that if this bill passes the House the so-called rich will now be ‘paying their fair share.’ So even Obama now admits that the revenue question is settled. The fight now becomes entirely about cuts.”

It’s hard to imagine that these upcoming discussions will be free of demands for tax increases, but even if they are, it’s all moot if the Republicans in the House and Senate can’t be trusted to achieve meaningful cuts to our out-of-control spending. They have thus far failed to make the case that they will do this.

Take as an example, the 2011 Debt Ceiling debate. Unified in our collective resolve to end the government spending spree, Republicans defiantly slammed their scepter into the ground declaring that things must change. This resulted in the laughable “super-committee” who were tasked with finding a tough compromise that would provide balanced spending cuts to help resolve the crisis before we drove off of a “fiscal cliff.” We were predicted to run out of road around the end of 2012.

Out of this Super Committee, a decree was made: either Democrats & Republicans find a way to work together, or spending cuts across the board would be instituted as a way to force their own hand.

We were told this was a victory. That now, the government would be left with absolutely no choice but to deal with the situation or face dire consequences. When those consequences were on the cusp, and the choice that was out of their hands was inevitable … they changed the game and weaseled out of it. No substantial cuts. Taxes went up. Fiscal cliff averted by way of pretending it’s not there.

And now we will be entering a new debt ceiling debate with a great many of the same players that negotiated the first time as well as today. And we, the Tea Party, the grassroots, the conservative base, however you want to refer to the swath of Americans that are for limited government, limited spending, and low taxes, are expected to believe that today’s concession paves the way for a mighty battle in which our sword wielding Republican heroes will slash spending, demand a budget, and bring balance to the Force?

Color me pessimistic. I invite our GOP friends to prove me wrong.

For what it’s worth, I recommend demanding Obama come through on his campaign promise of $2.50 in spending cuts for every $1.00 in tax increases, as White House Chief of Staff, Jack Lew noted on Meet the Press back in February of 2012.

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MR. LEW: We’ve seen, we’ve seen from, we’ve seen from Republicans in–particularly Republicans in the House, but with Republicans generally, that they don’t want to be part of any plan that raises taxes at all. The president’s budget has $1 of revenue for every $2 1/2 of spending cuts. This can be done, but it can only be done when we work together.

Since the current estimates put today’s deal at $600 billion over ten years, I can only assume that means our starting point should be in the $1.5 trillion neighborhood. This is of course a drop in the bucket, so perhaps Obama should consider taking up the challenge presented to Romney during the primaries which called for $10 in spending cuts for ever $1 in taxes. After all, the Obama campaign seemed to believe it would be wholly unreasonable not to sign on to such a deal. As such, $6 trillion is looking pretty good.

I’ll end with this advice to the GOP regarding the upcoming debt ceiling debate: When you go into a negotiation, and you hold no willingness to walk away from a deal that is bad, you have already lost. We have averted nothing today if there isn’t a real change around the corner. If you want to stop the fiscal train wreck and have a prayer at midterm victories, for God’s sake stand your ground.

COMMENTS

  • RottDawg

    The Washington times is reporting that it actually adds $330 billion in spending… There will be no cuts in spending. Period. I think the best path forward for (R) at this time would be to put the Hassert rule aside, bring this crap sandwich to the floor, figure out who the squishies are and go to work getting rid of them.

  • http://www.fuckobama.org/ revprez

    If your pooh-poohing Republican capacity to do anything about spending, then it would be nice to do so without calling for a return to the Clinton tax regime.

  • clearasday

    Boehner and McConnell need to go. The 2011 Debt Ceiling fiasco was one of the worst strategic moves I’ve seen in years. They handed Obama a free pass on spending, ensuring a cakewalk through campaign season with no accountability and pushing the hard decisions into a future that never arrives. In addition, they side-lined or back-stabbed all the 2010 momentum that gave them the House, complaining they only had half of one third of the government.

    Guys! You’ve got the people’s House! You control the purse strings! You are just as powerful as the Senate. Obama, all he’s got is a veto. Look at all the energy poured into courting independents and small groups of swing voters. You’ve got more power than that, if you would only break out of your defensive posture and quit playing the Democrats’ game.

    Go on offense and focus on our agenda. Pass stuff, make waves, talk to the people, use visuals to make it easy for everyone to understand where the problems are. If you would just start fighting, pushing back and exposing the Democrats for the deceiving hypocrites they are you would start to generate tremendous excitement and energy that could start a tidal wave of support. Sure, Reid will block in the Senate. So what? He’s been doing that for years. The truth is, they can’t do anything without you, either. A stalemate is better than caving to another bad deal.

    The key is to take initiative on our terms and quit playing defense. Show the American people what we really stand for. Yeah, the “media.” Truth is they have thin skins and are used to playing an easy game. Let’s show them a sustained fight and they quickly show their true colors. What do we have to lose? Things are guaranteed no-win if we just keep doing what we’re doing now.

  • checkmate2012

    House, step away from this deal! If it took “revenues” off the table in the next round of negotiations, fine but it won’t. Obama already spiked the victory football at 2:30am today after the Senate vote. And we heard in his press rally yesterday that Reps. have finally admitted “revenues” must be part of all debt talks going forward. This is just a ploy to break Republicans and it will if it passes! Obama will never reduce spending unless forced to by strong will from the House Republicans.

    See these two articles:
    http://dailycaller.com/2013/01/01/fresh-from-fiscal-cliff-standoff-obama-demands-another-tax-increase-for-2013/

    And from the WH itself, “For the first time in 20 years, Congress will have acted on a bipartisan basis to vote for significant new revenue.”
    http://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/2013/01/01/fact-sheet-tax-agreement-victory-middle-class-families-and-economy

  • plh

    Since the MSM operates as if we lived in Orwell’s world of 1984, it will continue to be impossible to use the President’s words against him. If he were to declare each of the colors of the rainbow to be his favorite in seven consecutive sentences, each when uttered would be true and always have been true.

  • bk

    For ~25 years we’ve been hearing this “okay we’ll give you this one but next time we’re REALLY going to look for your side to give us something” gagfest. PLEASE! It’s never going to change unless someone in leadership on our side grows some cojones.

  • commonsenseobserver

    The automatic cuts are little compared to the tax hikes, which is why Obama knew Mitch would probably cave to the status quo of bloated government.

  • checkmate2012

    The only automatic cuts were sequestration and they were canceled for two months! Another can kick. Looks like it’s going to an up or down vote. I can’t believe they didn’t have 218 to pass an amendment after the CBO score. Oy vey!

  • commonsenseobserver

    I’m afraid that’s the fault of those on our side…

  • drlloyd11

    I cannot caution you enough. If you ask a random person on the street if they had a magic button to make everything back like it was during the Clinton years, on the whole the vast majority would do so. Probably in a heartbeat.

  • http://www.fuckobama.org/ revprez

    Never thought I’d live to see the day when the Red State leadership joined that crowd.