« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

EDITOR OF REDSTATE

The Allure of Moving On

Bend over Republicans, here they come again.

Phil Klein is out with a column that I can only assume comes from House Republican Leadership talking points. I can only assume that because House Republican leaders and those close to them have been whispering about this scenario for about a month now to as many Republican strategists, pundits, and others as would listen.

They want to move on.

They want the next fight. So desperate are they to move on, in January of 2013, House Republicans want their base to know they think they’ll lose the House in November of 2014 unless they cave now so please let them cave.

Truth be told, it is alluring. Superficially, I see the merit. Basically, as Phil Klein writes,

Consider, then, “Maneuver X.” As modified to fit the current political environment, it would mean that Republicans remove all pressure. They should give Obama his debt limit increases without preconditions, and they shouldn’t allow any government shutdowns.

Meanwhile, Republicans should use their majority in the House to pass bills that actually do address the nation’s problems — its economic stagnation, rising energy and health care costs, mounting debt and so on. At the same time, they can keep blocking major new expansions of government.

Basically, give Barack Obama everything he wants and move on to the next fight.

Klein views it this way

This two-pronged strategy would allow Republicans to isolate Obama and establish themselves as the responsible ones.

It is alluring. Really — we know the debt ceiling is going to be raised. We do.

We know a continuing resolution is going to pass. We do.

So let’s let sequestration happen, reset the baseline for spending, pass a CR, raise the debt ceiling, and move on to the next fight. Let’s catch the Democrats unprepared! Hell, we’ve been fighting ourselves more than him, so let’s move on. Let’s fight on our ground.

Right now several House Leadership staffers have gone into the bathroom to go blind at just the thought that I’ve written the above paragraph. Before they go blind, let me throw some cold water on this nonsensical proposition.

What is the next fight? “Entitlements,” you say! Hey, we had that fight before. It was called Paul Ryan’s budget. It went nowhere.

“Spending,” you say. Hey, we had that fight too and the GOP folded.

In fact, time and time again, the GOP has spent more time wanting to seem reasonable to the Washington press corps than actually do anything. They bluster, pound their chests, and then they cave. We can move on to the next fight if that makes you feel better, but you would be foolish to think the GOP will not cave again. They’ll say things like:

  • “We only have one House so there is only so much we can do;” and,
  • “We did get meaningful concessions, trust us;” and,
  • “We have to appear reasonable;” and,
  • “Spending will be cut over ten years while taxes go up tomorrow;” and,
  • “If we fight too hard, we’ll wind up getting a worse deal;” and,
  • “I know, let’s move on to the next fight. We’ll be on better ground on that fight.”

The only fight the GOP extracted meaningful concessions from the Democrats on was the 2011 debt ceiling fight. And how did they do that? They refused to do a clean debt limit without something. They got more Democrats voting for a package that put the sequester into law, and it is now set to hit. The President had to give in. Ironically, now some want to get rid of sequester, the one major spending cut the GOP got the last time.

Right now all the bluster in Washington is about the Democrats accusing the GOP of starving kids and killing old people. They know the GOP will cave. This maneuver X B.S. is exactly what they are hoping for. And then we can move to the next fight and watch the GOP cave again and again and again all in the name of looking like the reasonable party.

Perhaps it is time to stop looking reasonable and start, metaphorically, shooting the hostages. If House Republicans lose in November of 2014, it won’t be because they fought the good fight. It’ll be because they left John Boehner as Speaker who decided to rely routinely on a bunch of Democrats to help him sell out so he wouldn’t have to fight.

COMMENTS

  • frang8c

    you are 100% correct Erick, unfortunately, the only thing to hope for is the economy crashing before 2014 so it takes down obama with it, then the real conservatives;Rubio, Rand Paul will be there to lead us out of the coming darkness, because the economy will crash on course we are on.

  • trem

    It would be wonderful if we could force our platform on the Dems after getting crushed in an election but it is simply not a realistic option. Yes, there are things we can still do since we hold the House, but why? People voted for this, let them see the result.

  • JimAustinTexas

    I’ve voted conservative since I started voting in the 1970s. However, with the way the Republicans cave on everything, and, unfortunately probably on more gun laws, I don’t see ANY reason to continue to vote for them. They non longer stand for ANYTHING, so we should all just stay home and watch ESPN…

  • plh

    If this is the only way then at least abstain on the final votes! Let anything too toxic to oppose pass with Democrat votes only! Why support anything we’re convinced is harmful to our nation?

  • cpyron

    Every American should be required to read Mort Zuckerman’s column of 12.28.12. If the $87 trillion in unfunded liabilities that he writes about doesn’t stir a change in voters, and force change in Washington, then all is truly lost.

    http://www.usnews.com/opinion/mzuckerman/articles/2012/12/28/mort-zuckerman-brace-for-an-avalanche-of-unfunded-debt

  • chumbolone

    Look, everyone on this post (including and especially Mr. Erickson) has missed the whole point of what’s going on – keep your eyes on the ball!

    It’s about two things: Chicago-style politics and political survival. The Chicago political style is highly effective when working with “low information” voters, democrats in general, union members, other governmental “hangers-on” and weepy-eyed spineless liberal republicans (the corporate types). Regarding political survival – show of hands by everyone who cares if the current house repub leadership team survives 2014 re-election. Anyone? That’s the problem – we who want change don’t care if the current team is forced out – but they do. They’ve built theeir careers to get the power afforded them by their positions – they DO NOT CARE ABOUT DOING THE RIGHT THING IF IT CONFLICTS WITH THEIR PERSONAL SURVIVAL.

    First, Obama is a racist, and highly narcissistic psychopathic bully/weasel who happens to be friendly and personable. It’s no surprise – this is the pedigree of a typical Chicago Pol – which is exactly what he is. In the Chicago world-view “what’s not to like”?. So wise up dummies! Try to recall Obama used to be close friends with the now jailed ex-governor of Illinois – Rod Blagojevich. They both came up through the democrat machine in Chicago.

    BUT – he is not the problem to focus on because there is nothing any single person or even group of people (say the House/Senate) can do to alter his behavior.

    The republicans, whatever they are – are irrelevant (until they adopt a transformational strategy).

    The problem, and the focus of attention is, and needs to be, the “47%”, the low information voters AND the “weepy-eyed” spineless republican voters. These are the folks who elected the Chicago Pol. Any action taken needs to address them. It needs to happen soon and it needs to be dramatic. It needs to be – as much as possible – a “near-death” experience.

    In fact, given the idiocy of the last election its probably appropriate if a large number of these voters suffer terribly for their choices. So give them their choice. But don’t dribble it out over 10 years. Give it to them ALL AT ONCE – over a few months.

    What (you say) the hell is this guy talking about? Well here it is. Give the electorate what they voted for, but do it all at once, do it now. Don’t wait for a fight with Obama, ignore Obama. Have the House Republicans put through a debt ceiling limit that is ASTRONOMICAL IN SCOPE. Double the current national debt now – not in 10 or 20 or 30 years – RIGHT NOW by Feb 2013.

    Bring the debt ceiling to 30 Trillion immediately, but also appropriate for the coming budget year 10 to 15 Trillion in NEW spending. Rebuild every bridge and dam in the country – all at once. Repave every road by the end of 2013. Build a brand new Panama Canal. Put colonies on the Moon and Mars. Fund operations to mine the methane moons of Jupiter! Give every US resident (even illegals) a guaranteed “Lake Wobegon” retirement package and a “job for life”.

    But do it ALL quickly. Let’s see what the political and media discussions are about then. Lets see how the world economy and the bond markets and the Fed all respond.

    Maybe Mr and Mrs 47% will wake up. If not, then it does not matter. If you’re going to have to face armageddon at least do it on your terms.

  • http://www.bohnetlaw.com rightappeal

    We certainly aren’t going to win the war with this debt fight, and probably won’t even be able to get the Dems to agree to enough real spending cuts to be worth incurring serious political damage. But perhaps we can force some structure onto future fights that gives us better ground to fight on later.

    Towards that end, why not raise the debt limit in annual and diminishing stages? Give Obama enough to continue existing spending (minus the sequester) for a year, at which time he’ll get another debt increase of 90% of that figure. Early in 2015, another increase will kick in at 80% of the original amount, 70% in 2016, and 60% in 2017. This would enable Obama to avoid another debt limit fight if deficits are brought under control. During budget battles, the schedule of debt limit increases should provide some structure and limitation. And if the deficits don’t fall, then there will be new debt limit battles where the GOP can try again to get things under control, hopefully with some reinforcements in 2015.

  • celador2

    For the next two years or until Obama and Ds drop in popularity Boehner calls the shots on House policy and deals. No one else is challenging his control over the House message, no one. When, not if obama messes up and irriates the public, and drops in favorabilty , then it will be safe for Boehner to move for a gain. What he will gain after giving Obama all he asks for is the mystery.

    Obama mostly wants another CR and debt ceiling deal. Boehner may get a chance at cutting Medicare and Social Secuirity as a reward for cooperation but I hope he does not fall for that trap. Comprehensive reform and debt reduction is how to move on. There are plans on right like the Rand Paul plan and others. Republicans need to be in on design of debt reduction and entitlement reform. They took no crumbs on ACA and were not part of that design, thankfully.

    But, a Boehner-Obama deal must not be just Obama handing GOP as a reward for CRs and debt ceiling two unpopular entitlements to cut so House caucus own them. That ‘deal’ is what I fear. We need a stronger hand than this game dealt us.
    We on outside looking in can fire shots his way and keep up the good fight in public opinion since we voters are waiting for 2014.
    .

  • lineholder

    I don’t understand why we aren’t focusing more on Repub Govenors, Erick. We all know that McConnell, Boehner, and the “old guard” Establishment Repubs have weak spines. Plus, most of them like the perks of power, even if it means spending money we don’t have and contributing to Dems recklessness by increasing our debt and deficit.

    We have enough Repub Governors in place right now that if they joined efforts we might actually accomplish some things at the state level that would (at the very least) minimize the damage coming from the short-sighted spendthrifts in DC. As a matter of fact, they have enough challenges to counter right now that they could even find new ways and methods of attacking old problems that the Establishment Repubs simply don’t want to tackle.

    So, why aren’t we focusing on that?

  • celador2

    There may be no big crash any time soon, too many safety nets and lending firewalls.
    US Credit for more borrowing is stellar for a major nation and US can borrow forever but a poor economy may irritate enough voters who still want to work who supported Obama in 2012 to switch to GOP in 2014.

  • celador2

    The five point plan of Romney- Ryan 2012 led with energy Independence and called for major resources development.

    Every election GOP call for energy and jobs then forget about it.

    Spk Boehner could push energy independence as several in House did in 2012. Romney -Ryan were not alone on energy. Fracking, offshore drilling and Pipeline come to mind as projects embraced by Mr Boehner, Cantor and others in bills and on site visiits 2012.

    JOBS , real ones that create wealth have a magic to them that restores our confidence.

  • celador2

    jim, Do not be afraid. We will get through this.

  • checkmate2012

    I agree littlehouse18, which is why the House should wait silently and patiently until the Senate acts. We can’t make them but we don’t need to put our foot in mouth in the meantime.

  • wbcoleman

    We are faced with this problem because Obama won the election, and Obama won the election because his base turned out and ours didn’t. In a year in which we should have easily won back control of the Senate, instead we lost two more seats. Our focus, virtually our sole focus, ought to be on figuring out how to win the next two elections.

  • earlgrey

    Well I should know about them (sorry for the delay in reply). I notice they have a Memphis address. That is where I am. I am probably the most inconsistent member of my tea party group (of those of us that are truly active) so I could probably have missed it. I am going to ask a few of my contacts and I’ll get back to you.