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The GOP Waterloo

The time for equivocation over defunding Obamacare is over.  The time for recalcitrance to fulfill the budgetary is long overdue.  Now is the time for action.

Over the past two years, we’ve heard a variety of excuses in defense of Republicans for failing to cut spending in any consequential way.  Well, come March 1 those excuses are obsolete.  The sequester is something that Republicans agreed to implement back in 2011.  It is also something that will go into effect as long as Republicans do absolutely nothing.  The fact that they only control one-third of government will be no excuse for them to abrogate their promise.

As part of the Budget Control Act of 2011, the 10-year sequestration, which would cut all discretionary accounts across-the board, is slated to take effect on March 1. The sequester will cut roughly $1 trillion in mainly discretionary spending, with 50 percent of the cuts coming from Defense, even though it only comprises 20 percent of the federal budget.  It is important to remember that a good amount of these cuts are only baseline cuts, especially on the non-defense side. For 2013, the sequester was originally going to be $109 billion, but due to the cancellation of the first two months, the cuts will total $85 billion.

While all conservatives agree that there is clearly some waste in defense, random across-the-board cuts are unwise.  That’s why conservatives felt that the entire debt ceiling deal was preposterous.  We gave Obama a free $2.1 trillion recharge of the national credit card in exchange for nothing but military cuts.  Nevertheless, these are the only cuts we will ever make permanent. Conservatives did not support this plan, but we will not allow Obama and the Democrats to use it as a leverage point to force through more tax hikes or eliminate the non-defense part of the sequester. Republicans need to stick together and let the sequester go into effect. Obama is already feeling the pressure from the united Republican stance.

Several weeks ago, Congress voted to suspend the debt ceiling for 4 additional months in exchange for no spending cuts.  Many grassroots conservatives were surprised and dismayed that most conservative members of Congress went along with the plan.  The reason those conservatives agreed to fall on their sword is because leadership guaranteed them two things in exchange for their support.  1) They would stand strong on the sequester and 2) they would pass a budget for FY 2014 that balances in 10 years.

If GOP leaders are serious about keeping their promise, they must reject plans by John McCain and Lindsey Graham to offer any replacement to the sequester. That will only play into Obama’s hands and obviate any leverage we might gain from standing firm.  We must also quash any effort to tinker with the sequester in the continuing resolution.  As it stands now, the sequester will take effect on March 1.  That is free for us.  We get that by simply doing nothing.  Why use the CR to get something that we already own?  The CR, which is set to expire on March 27 must be about fighting Obamacare.

There is no doubt that John Boehner and Paul Ryan will push through a 10-year balanced budget for FY 2014.  But it is meaningless if they fail to finally make good on their promise to defund Obamacare.  It’s time for us to confront the reality that there is no entitlement reform without quashing Obamacare.  There will be no balanced budget as long as Obamacare is still on the books.  If you are one who feels that Obamacare is here to stay as a result of the elections, then stop talking about entitlement reform and balanced budgets.  None of that will happen once the Obamacare ship sets sail next year.

Last year, 127 members of the House signed a letter pledging to oppose any appropriation bill that contains funding for Obamacare.  105 of those members are still in the House (download here).  The full copy of the letter can be viewed here.  After much delay, the March 27 CR is the last opportunity to fulfill that promise.

The path to balance is very simple.  Republicans must stop talking about tweaking the sequester, and let it take effect immediately.  The CR fight must be reserved for defunding Obamacare.  The time for kicking the can down the road until “the next fight” is over.  Open enrollment for the Obamacare exchanges begins in October.  If we don’t preclude the motherload of all dependency programs from taking root, any discussion of balanced budgets or entitlement reform is nothing more than hollow rhetoric.

If members are too scared to pocket the automatic cuts that are already in the bag, and disrupt implementation of the worst government program, there are plenty of people who would be more than happy to take their places in Congress.  Candidate recruitment is already beginning in earnest.  It will undoubtedly accelerate after March 27.

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COMMENTS

  • DerKrieger

    I absolutely agree and have dedicated my diaries to federalism and fighting the federal government. We desperately need defiant, 10th Amendment state legislators and governors. Desperately!

  • http://llphsecondrevolution.wordpress.com/ spoasteph97

    The Republicans must fight! They have to fight for spending cuts and to defund Obamacare in the CR. While they are at it, they should consider defunding a majority of the Federal Department of Health. We don’t need it…period!

  • ceili_dancer

    You act as if the party is a minority in all of the houses. Like Mr. Horowitz says above. The sequester cuts happen if we do nothing. Also, any budgets and continuing resolutions have to be approved by the House, so they have to approve of any spending on Obamacare. The excuse of only holding on to 1/2 of 1/3 of the government works the other way too. they are the gatekeeper for spending and they need to use that power for all of its worth.

  • DerKrieger

    Check my diary for the letter I sent via snail mail toall GOP governors regarding Obamacare and federalism. Only Scott Walker’s office responded. You’re right, we have to act. Now.

  • thoreauhd

    I WILL NOT COMPLY.

  • edintexas

    Perhaps it would be good for you to review the budgeting and financial processes of the US Government. The House is a “must pass” for financial bills.

  • edintexas

    So the moderate Republican, whose “turn it was” to be nominated, who could not even bring up Obamacare and who refused to bring the fight to the Democrats lost the election. And that is a reason to give up our control of the financial processes of government? Not hardly. You obviously are one of the putative Republicans who believe the party has to change to win elections. It does, but not by being more like the Democrats. It needs to change to being Republican instead of wimps.

  • trem

    Note: we got even less votes than he did.

  • mkeprof

    The question really is – are we willing to shut down the federal govt over Obamacare funding – because that is what it will come to. I don’t think this is the case – and hence I don’t think all this posturing regarding Obamacare funding will go anywhere. It will make some of us feel good – that we did *something* to challenge Obama – but really – did we – when it is clear to all concerned that the challenge will ultimately fail.

    Do we have an answer to the question – what is our alternative to Obamacare? Shouldn’t this be our focus?

  • ww2nd95

    We did get crushed as Dems out gained us in the House in the total vote count. Out gained us in the Senate, when they were supposed to lose, and lose big, and won the Presidency with a weakened President. To me that’s getting crushed.

    We need to stop living in fantasy land and pretending we were victorious on some grand scale and actually start putting together some sort of plan to take back the Senate in 2014. Nothing is a “sure thing” anymore. We were supposed beat the crap out of O in 2012.. well didn’t happen. We were supposed to take back the Senate in 2012.. well didn’t happen. So what are we going to do in 2014 to make sure it does happen this time? And the same goes for 2016? We have to have a plan.

    Right now, I think things favor us once again on paper, but what does that mean? We look pretty divided to me. We have Karl Rove running around wanting to defeat Tea Party candidates. And we have Rand Paul following Marco Rubio on giving the Republican response to the SOTU. I actually thought Rand Paul came across better then Rubio, but that aside, a house divided cannot stand. We have to come together as a party and if we don’t, then what’s the next step?

  • aardvar

    No House GOP member should cast a Yea vote on any spending bill as long as the sequester is affecting DoD. After all, there is no higher priority for the national government than national defense. Education, health care, infrastructure, etc can all be funded at multiple levels of government and even by NGOs. Only the Federal Government can operate DoD. (State contributions to the National Guard are not financial support of the DoD but of the state’s militia, IMHO)

  • http://www.theprecinctproject.wordpress.com ColdWarrior

    plh,

    Are you already “in” the Party where you live?

    If not, would you consider getting involved? And recruiting other conservatives where you live to do the same?

    I don’t know where you live, but odds are that in your precinct and congressional district and county about half of the Republican precinct committeeman slots are still vacant despite four years of Obama’s reign.

    Here’s an example of what our conservative-controlled Republican county executive committee was able to accomplish here in Maricopa County, Arizona:

    http://www.redstate.com/coldwarrior/2012/12/07/1058/

    We were able to do this (and we’ll be passing more resolutions like this and seeking to gain national attention for them) because we conservative Republican Party precinct committeemen in Maricopa County have been recruiting other conservative Republicans and conservative independents to become precinct committeemen in their precincts which gets them voting rights inside the Party per the Party bylaws. Precinct committeemen elect the officers. Precinct committeemen ARE the Party.

    The “establishment” already inside the Party does not want you to know this.

    Here’s some more info on what happens when enough conservatives get involved to create a majority voting bloc within the Party itself — you BECOME the NEW, CONSERVATIVE Party establishment:

    http://www.redstate.com/coldwarrior/2013/01/14/whats-the-republican-conservative-officer-count-on-your-county-committee-did-you-have-a-vote/

    I hope this helps.

    Thank you.
    CW

  • rbdwiggins

    Non sequitor, as it implies that we admit defeat. Apparently, you suffer from a severe deficiency of moral courage and fiscal responsibility.

    House Republicans still control the purse strings.

    Federalist 66, Hamilton – “The exclusive privilege of originating money bills will belong to the House of Representatives.”

    Now is the time for Republicans to be the responsible adults, starve the beast, eliminate the Democrat’s ability to buy votes and/or preserve poverty for political gain, and finally, put our nation back on its intended track of fiscal responsibility in order to ensure the longevity of our Republic and secure the blessings of Liberty to our posterity.

  • http://reverendjimcracker.spaces.live.com CodeRedinPA

    Is it against the rules to do both?

    There are alternatives to Obamacare. Republicans have been touting them since this disaster first started seeing the light of day in 2009.

    The bottom line is there will never be room for alternatives once O-Care is out of the gate. We’ll all get to witness what a black hole will do on planet Earth when that happens…particularly after we sat back and swallowed the Comprehensive Amnesty suicide pill Democrats have prescribed us as a cure for all our ills.

    Why not re-write the Bill piece-meal as those pieces of it get funded then dare the Senate to vote it down as they go? …or Obama to veto them?

    I should also have stated so in my comment above that the opinion I offered was limited to using the leverage we had as regards the sequester.

    I

  • fromthesidelines

    The problem with defunding Obamacare through the appropriations process is that, at best, it only impacts < 10% of its overall funding. The vast majority of Obamacare, including many of its key initiatives, is funded through mandatory spending.

    This means that the government already has full legal authority from Congress, in perpetuity, to finance many of its key programs. This includes the health insurance premium subsidies, the Medicaid/SCHIP expansion, the small employer plan subsidies, the high-risk pools, and other key initiatives. Unless I'm mistaken, I believe this accounts for over 90% of the total funding for Obamacare.

    No further Congressional approval is required for this mandatory spending to occur. The only way to revoke approval and funding for the mandatory components of Obamacare would be if Congress and the President enact a new law. That isn't happening.

    The rest of the funding is through the discretionary appropriations process. And yes, the House can de-fund this by simply not re-authorizing these funds. But this mostly amounts to grants and various administrative functions, and so forth.

    The remainder of the law is funded by mandatory spending, which continues in perpetuity unless the law changes. The House cannot, on its own, do anything to stop those mandatory programs. Only a new law can do that.

  • greghalvorson

    BRAVO–everyone: PRESSURE YOUR REP!!

  • dmart81

    Karl, is that you?

  • dmart81

    Pinkstate is over there – - – - – - – - – >

  • davesinsanantonio

    So, we should just lie down and play Democrat? Really???

  • davesinsanantonio

    Amen!

  • davesinsanantonio

    I might say you have a point if throughout history the Dims had acted as you suggest whenever they lost an election. But, they never did! No, they always acted, and sounded, as if they had WON the elections they lost! They never just let us have our agenda, why should we just let them have theirs?

    Why do those who claim to be Republicans demand that Republicans roll over and play Democrat whenever the going gets tough? Why do some who claim to be on our side always demand that we change to look more like the other side? Why do so many of those who claim to support our principles demand we abandon them? Why do so many of those who claim they want to win always counsel us to act like cowards? When have cowards ever won anything?

    Who throughout history has been the winners? The bold and the persevering! It is time to boldly persevere, not to cravenly put our heads in the sand. We will never win anyone to our side by trying to look like the other side. We will not succeed if we never try. Let us all stop whining about being losers and start thinking about actually winning. To win you must strive towards your goals. Any other action is doomed to failure, and aiming towards failure merely accelerates that process!

  • davesinsanantonio

    When the main road is closed due to damage, what is wrong with taking an open shortcut? Especially when that “shortcut” is legal and has been traveled before?

  • davesinsanantonio

    You sound like a Lefty. You define the terms and then declare that by definition you are correct. But you are wrong that de-funding is “just theater”! If the House does not pass a spending bill, the money cannot be spent. Period! So, we should take that step if it is the only one left to us. Besides, most polls show that the majority of Americans do not, and never have, support Obummercare!

    And, what is wrong with a little “theater” anyway? Isn’t Obummer more theater than substance? Wasn’t FDR a lot of theater? Wasn’t Reagan? Theater can be a very effective way of getting your point across. Why throw away such a powerful tool? In fact, why do so many who claim to be on our side keep insisting that we throw away any of the tools available to us? Some even insist we throw them all away! Why?

  • celador2

    Who is Wellington and who is Napoleon? There is no comparision in the op/ed or diary to the Waterloo battle that commands attention even today. I clicked to read that comparison!
    Was there lack of courage at Waterloo on either side? Some say it was the awful mud that put Napoleon at a disadvantage, not lack of courage ir terrible planning. His options regarding who, when, where to fight were not entirely his own given hsi recent escape from exile.
    Who would have thunk it?

    Arthur Wellington a defensive and so cautious general defeated the most brillant inspiring military fighter in a long time at a heavy price in life. But the Allies led by British did win at Waterloo with help of the Prussians and allies .

  • celador2

    Why not refer to or cite the actual body of law the US constitution which Mr Hamilton helped draft. The constituion is the law.
    Federalists have no legal authority although as a body of ideas and thoughts the papers rank highly and still explain how things are to work even today.

  • celador2

    In 2011 Oklahoma voted to nullify Obamacare and Ohio did also two to one. But neither had a foundation in law and were expressions of popular dislike of Obamacare. Missouri did also nullify by popular vote too, I think,. Gv John Kasich of Ohio just agreed to expand Medicaid despite that two to one vote against Obamacare.

    My point is that the time to express popular disapproval with no teeth votes is long past

    Only direct political action at any level, local, state or national that defunds or dismantles Obamacare will matter now.

  • celador2

    Once upon a time the Republicans promised alternatives and have never deliveed them in a form we can juingle in our heads. Jon Huntsman may have comer closest to proviidng as Gv Utah cheap insurance.
    Some ideas that have passed through the night are let insurance policies pass through state monopolies and let consumers pick from a large pool of plans across state lines to grow choices for price and services.
    Not a one size fits all model.

    Medical savings accounts and even moving health care to the individual and not having it be tied to employer based coverage and government are ideas once thrown on table without much depth or serious thought.
    .
    None of that alternative health care funding is tossed out even as red meat anymore.

    But you have a good point on that the GOP offers no alternaitves to government run heath care and government regulated insurers, PPACA or ACA

    Defunding ACA ot O’ care will offer a void a free market environment can fill with health care options perhaps with patients and doctors in control again, though.

  • celador2

    ed, a sad reality comes to mind,
    the US is not funded by a budget process that complies with Budgt act 1974. US is funded by continuing resolutions and raising the debt ceiling to allow the US or Obama to borrow more money.

    Chr Budger Com in House Ryan produced his budget in 2012 and the Senate leader killed it for negotiations. Later last year Speaker Boehner agreed to more CRs to keep US going. Since at least 2009 that process of no budget but fund by CR has been the procedure that funds us and out massive government spending.

    A CR continues current funding and adds new spending that grows debt and defixit ; and that process is how things stay on the book forever imo.

  • celador2

    One way to retake Senate is back good people who have something to offer if not everything if that person can grow GOP numbers in Senate.

    Rep Shelly Capito nee More, a former governor’s daughter, in WV is running and is strongest Republican to take the now open seat Rockefellar is vacating.

    She has coalminer backing and really is opposed to Obama’s war on coal as Rockefellar did not oppose. WIthout checking I am sure she also supports the Second in a way Manchin does not. Democrats are dangerous in WV.

    Club for Growth was quite negative about her though in a press release but to date they have not found anyone to run against her in a primary as WV conservatives seem to back her in a John Gizzi report
    The war on coal is a major battle front for me as coal built America and offers much for the future. Any fighter for the clean coal industry wins my support just as do defenders of the Second.

  • ceili_dancer

    One thing you forgot was that we still won the majority of house seats. A major problem today is that we look at the President as an imperial position and that everything else in the government must fall into line with that view. We have three co-equal branches of government, not an elected king and his royal court.

  • rawlsian

    But what is the GOP health plan proposal? Fighting to end Obamacare without a real alternative tells voters the GOP thinks the status quo is good enough. That is clearly a losing argument.

  • http://reverendjimcracker.spaces.live.com CodeRedinPA

    No one put words in your mouth. There was only one way to read your comment.

    I don’t buy into the assumption that America wants what Democrats are selling just because they chose one horrible candidate over another in 3 States.

    And I don’t buy into the demographics is destiny meme, either. Positive action on that belief will only guarantee us Democrats in the Senate and The White House! This incomprehensible drive to re-write the Party platform in response to 2012 is based on one or both of those misguided beliefs.

    That’s just an opinion. I’m not God and not offering it as a Truth.

    The better team did not win in 2012. We let them play their game and it spotted them a tactical victory. I’m not willing to concede our principles or the leverage we do have over that.

    No one willing to step back and act rationally should be

    As for figuring out how to win: That’s a great idea. What do we do while Obama spends his political capital steamrolling the GOP now? Lie down in a prone position???

    Don’t look now but I don’t somehow see him or any other Democrat Power Politician politely waiting around for us to figure out our problems and get our act together.

  • paleen

    I agree with your sentiment on “tactical grounds” but the time is over for all of that Obamacare will be the end of America and must be stopped. We must live or die on this hill now. There is no time left we must stand and fight politically or we will have to fight in more desperate ways. While we have the house we can if we chose we can derail this train now.

  • celador2

    HILL reported yesterday that Spk Boehner perhaps with a coordinated effort with Sn McConnell has dared the Demcrats in Senate to pass the Obama spending or laundry list requests as Obama requested.
    But oh my, think of 2014 and the red state Ds up for reelection. can they go on record for growing debt and cap and trade?
    Boehner had a bring it on moment on Obama’s agenda and its now in Reid’s court to vote or deal.

  • fromthesidelines

    > If the House does not pass a spending bill, the money cannot be spent.

    That’s not true, Dave. It depends on whether the money is funded through discretionary or mandatory spending.

    For programs funded with discretionary spending, you’re right. Every year, the money must be appropriated, or else the money is not spent. As such, the House, alone, can defund a discretionary spending program.

    But for programs funded with mandatory spending, it is the exact opposite. Once authorized, the money is spent perpetuity, year after year, unless a new law is enacted to stop it. As such, the House cannot, alone, defund a mandatory spending program.

    As I understand it, vast majority of Obamacare is funded through mandatory spending.

    As such, most of the funding for Obamacare is already authorized, and that money will be spent in perpetuity unless a new law is enacted to stop it, passed by both chambers and signed by the President. Clearly, that is very unlikely to happen in the next 4 years.

    The House can defund the discretionary components of Obamacare, but as I understand it, that is a very small portion of the overall spending. There is nothing the House can do, by itself, to defund most of Obamacare.

  • cheesycon

    no one can defund anything unless we have a majority in the Senate and someone to sign rather than veto in the White House.

  • cheesycon

    BRILLIANT COMMENT +5 +5 +5

  • cheesycon

    ok, but how? persuasion is the thing we seem to lack to know how to do.

  • reddog76

    Just from reading, no research to back up, USA spends at least 15X more than next nearest nation on military. One would think there would be some extra room for military budget cuts then. But I realize many US jobs are dependent on that. Damned if we do and damned if we don’t.

  • rbdwiggins

    Forget about messaging and re-branding altogether. Throw political correctness aside, and simply tell the American electorate the cold hard truth.

    I suggest using the “in your face” technique that I expect most principled conservatives will hereafter call the Carson Model.

    Liberals/Progressives/Democrats cannot survive the light.

  • rbdwiggins

    Because original intent is just as important as the written word, and it leaves no room for moral relativity and obfuscation.

  • cheesycon

    awesome video.

  • ww2nd95

    I agree. Coal is important and shouldn’t be left by the wayside. But then again natural gas is putting a dent into coal mining as well, so it could be an endangered product in the next couple of decades. I’m hoping it isn’t, considering abundance of it and fact that it creates some many jobs in WV, KY, TN, and OH, but we’ll see.

    I think Capito has a great chance to take back the seat, but I wouldn’t put her in the “shoe in” column just yet. WV might be red on Presidential elections, but state wide, they’re controlled by the Democrats. And I agree with you, the Dems are obviously strong in WV and have a strong tradition, so it may not not be as easy as it looks.

  • celador2

    It is all uphill for Capito what with Club for Growth attacks on right and the long Democratic party bond with voters. I suspect someone will try to orecruit Gv Tomblin to run for Senate and if not him another grounded figure. I too hope coal and its clean future has a big future. I can ‘t see natural gas replaceing it frankly.
    One WV state office did swing Republican Nov 2012and that was the state AttGeneral on the war on coal. War on coal does make Democrats vulberable in WV and gives Republicans an opening. But I do not expect any gains 2014. If we get some great.
    Will Manchin be loyal of drift to his party on coal as he has on Second protection? Will Hillary plow through WV in 2016 with Manchin by her side?

  • plh

    Palestate? Yellastate?

  • plh

    If the House separates the spending resolution into many different parts, would the Senate reject or the President veto every single one if none of them funds Obamacare? How would that play? Would the country support a shutdown over Obamacare?

  • plh

    Each time we cave, the weaker we get. The more often we bloody his nose, the weaker HE gets.

  • plh

    Would the Democrats ever lie down and play limited Government conservative?

  • celador2

    rb, Thanks for the citation to constitution and for the link to Hillsdale and its online study on the constituion. I have seen it before and now am motivated to do more.

  • celador2

    dave,
    They could trade Hagel even Brennan confirms for no funds for O ‘ care. Drop it and let the ACA void fill up the old fashioned way.

  • stewco

    Thank you for your sanity, trem. I’m glad someone is reality based here or I’m afraid we are setting ourselves up for worse defeats.

  • stewco

    Wow, another emerging sane voice! I’m beginning to feel hope here!

  • stewco

    As governor palin said on election night, a win is a win, it puts a w in the column. We all must come out of denial and recognize the opposition must fight the battle in the grounds of the enemy until we can regain the field, or, I’m afraid, we WILL lose the war!

  • stewco

    Great, so you would like us to be setup to lose the house in ’14?

  • PowerToThePeople

    Yeah, you give him way too much credit.

  • rbdwiggins

    My stated purpose is to advance the conservative principles of our Founding through education and action in order to ensure the longevity of our constitutional Republic, reclaim America’s moral authority and restore this once great nation’s position as the preeminent superpower and defender of Liberty.

    I’m not sure what purpose you claim to serve, but judging by your posting history, it’s patently obvious that you really have no clue.