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Wage Compression & Job Losses: The Crushing Impact Of A 24% Minimum Wage Hike

Unemployed - Le Haricot

Having spent nearly a decade in the union movement and the last two decades dealing with companies and their employees with labor issues, it sometimes affords me the opportunity to see both sides of a particular issue. Such was case when Barack Obama, during his State of the Union speech, declared that he wanted to raise the minimum wage to raise the minimum wage from $7.25 to $9 per hour.

It was obviously written into his speech to garner applause from the Democrats in attendance and, no doubt, resonated with many low-income workers who might have been watching.

It is also a good bet that those Democrats and many others who think raising the minimum wage is a good idea have never run a business, as they do not understand (or care?) about the compensation problems of wage compression.

Simply put, wage compression occurs within a company when the newer (or lesser skilled) workers’ wages rise and the wages of existing (or more experienced) workers don’t. The result is newer (or lesser skilled) workers being paid as much, or nearly as much, as existing or more skilled workers–creating wage compression and what kind of problems a 24% increase at the bottom will cause within a companies’ compensation plans throughout the U.S.

In some cases, if newer (or lesser skilled) workers’ wages are raised above existing (or more skilled) workers, then there is wage inequity.

In either of the above cases–wage compression or wage inequity–when they occur, it creates tremendous problems within a company.

In most cases, it reduces morale, making existing (or more skilled) employees angry that newer or lower-skilled workers are making nearly as much or, in some cases, more than they are.

In some cases, compression (or inequity) increases the risk of a fight or flee phenomonon–disgruntlement culminating in union organizing campaigns or, in the case of flee, higher turnover as the result of employees quitting.

As a result of wage compression or inequity, all too often, companies are forced to address the problem by adjusting their entire compensation systems–usually upward and across-the-board.

While wage adjustments may sound good for those who do not have to worry about profits and losses, the real impact for a company typically means it must either increase productivity or lay people off.

In a recession, if productivity has already been maximized and there is very little profits from which to give increases, companies–especially smaller companies–may close.

For those companies that can pass along a pay increase, the results will be some inflation. How much is unknown.

Obviously, by stating the dollar amount ($9), Obama chose how to frame the debate wisely. By stating the dollar amount, and not the fact that a $1.75 increase is a 24% increase in the minimum wage, Obama was–as he did with ObamaCare–once again appealing a portion of the electorate that does not think through the ramifications of a particular policy or decision.

To be clear, Obama and the Democrats know precisely what they are doing. It’s not about doing what makes good common sense. Rather, Obama and the Democrats’ push to raise the minimum wage is all about politics.

Dems in charge of the party’s strategy for retaking the House next year are planning to campaign aggressively on not just tax fairness and defending entitlements, as in the last two elections, but on issues like gun control and the minimum wage, too.

And, of course, Nancy Pelosi has already declared her intention of using the minimum wage as an issue for 2014 as well.

Democrats plan to make raising the minimum wage an issue in the 2014 campaign, U.S. House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said.

Pelosi said Democrats will use the same message as they did in 2006, when they took control of the House after 12 years of Republican control, The Washington Post reported Friday.

“Just keep it simple,” Pelosi said in an interview with the Post. “We want to raise the minimum wage, and you don’t. Why not?”

Currently, the majority of Americans support a minimum wage increase. However, according to a Reason-Rupe poll, those numbers shift dramatically if a minimum wage increase results in job losses.

Reason - minimum wage poll

Like ObamaCare, Democrats plan on passing a bill based on feel-good rhetoric. As a result, most Americans won’t realize (until after the fact) the ramifications of what a 24% minimum wage increase will do the economy until it’s too late.

Unfortunately for Republicans, while a minimum wage increase is bad for business and jobs, they have been boxed into a corner. With little leadership and poor messaging, and lousy negotiating skills, unless they come up with a some kind of creative counter proposal, they will lose more seats in 2014.

For the rest of the country, on minimum wage–as with ObamaCare–we’ll just have to pass the bill to see what it’s effects are…even though we already know.
_______________________
“Truth isn’t mean. It’s truth.”
Andrew Breitbart (1969-2012)

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COMMENTS

  • johnreagan

    I absolutely favor it. Even after decades of inflation (even if you accept the BS figures supplied by COLA), the US has slid further and further behind in minimum wage. The Aussies get it. Their minimum wage is $17.50 per hour now and remarkably their world hasn’t collapsed, unlike ours which seems to feel the way to prosperity is to screw over the lower wage earners and hand over as much wealth as possible to those that can’t possibly spend it all. Bear in mind that a healthy economy has cash flowing and the lower earners spend everything they make. Raising the minimum wage would be good for our economy. The only businesses that would fold are those that cannot and should not survive in our capitalist system anyway….It’s Darwinian!

  • ISOaPBR

    I have no problem with low-income workers making a better living. That being said, who pushed Obama to victory in 2008? Kids and minorities. Who comprise most minimum-wage workers? Kids and minorities.
    Like everything with this guy, it’s political.

  • macbookben

    Right. Now I can hire three guys to clean out my garage at $9 an hour instead of paying one guy $29 for all four hours doing the same job by himself. Hmm, that’s sort of like asking 9 woman to produce a baby in one month. Don’t quit your day job Obama…oh, wait.

  • OhioHistorian

    I don’t know about your minimum wage, but this reference http://www.acoss.org.au/uploads/ACOSS%20Poverty%20Report%202012_Final.pdf says that the poverty rate is 1/2 of the median income ($358/week) so it sounds like the median income is close to $19.50/hour. (40 hrs is $760/week) They also have 12% living in poverty (17% children). While their unemployment rate sounds good at 5.2%, their labor participation is similar to that in the US at 65%. Sounds like their minimum wage may drag down the whole society.

    However, if you want a substantial increase in the minimum wage, I suggest a compromise: we put all of the Obama bureaucrats to work for whatever the minimum wage is and convert our government to an immediate surplus.

  • robertr

    And it will be used to bash the Republicans further into the stone age. We have no message except “NO” and it’s killed us for too long.

    I understand the economics of the raise and the wage compression. In fact I lived through that wage compression issue many times including seeing them hire newbies at what we were making. Insulted? You bet. You have choices and it’s up to the person what they want to do. I stayed because I knew the internal politics was that this was done in hopes people would leave and if they didn’t to insult them. Whatever they didn’t win.

    I think the Republicans have no choice but to counter with outright support. The demos wouldn’t expect that and would have no plan to retaliate. I tend to agree with the first poster that if a business can’t afford it they need to fix the business or find people that can do more than what they’re doing to justify the pay they’re getting. We can’t afford to lose seats in 2014. That would be very very bad to lose seats to the party in power in the midterm. We can expect to lose seats when hillary runs in 2016 because every lib here will break their neck voting early and often. We have no one to run against her.

  • jaykali

    Capitalism…Darwinian..sounds like a socialist is in the board. Maybe we should make the minimum wage 100 dollars an hour. Think how much prime the pump BS we could have then!

  • gnelson

    You have obviously never run a business. Otherwise, you would understand that raising the minimum wage by 24% will have a disastrous effect on many small businesses, who will either have to lay employees off or close. You sound like a typical liberal; you don’t see the issues and don’t care to see the issues. Moron.

  • joshinca

    Why is it of any concern to the government or anyone else if a person is will to accept an offer to work for any wage?

  • raginpatriot

    Perhaps it’s not mere community organizer economic illiteracy, but that there’s a method to Dear Leader’s proposal. A 24% increase in the minimum wage will bring a lot of his now Obamcare-collateral-damaged reduced to 29-hour a week low information voters back to where they started, income wise.

    Just sayin’

  • Bill S

    Another liber-gnat to swat away

  • littlehouse18

    Or maybe their hours will be reduced even further with higher productivity expected.

  • littlehouse18

    It seems that it wasn’t too long after 2007 that a lot of people started losing jobs.

  • CharleyK

    Gee! If we can help so many people by raising the minimum wage to $9 per hour, why stop there? Why not raise it to $100 per hour. Or even $500 per hour? That would make us all rich!

    No…Wait…That might not be such a good idea after all. Because, honestly, I’m not worth $500 per hour to *any* employer. So I probably wouldn’t get hired.

    I guess, when I really think about it, I’d rather be employed at $5 per hour than to be unemployed at $500 per hour.

    Ah, well…

  • hnordquist_

    I am from Santa Fe, who enacted a “living wage” over a decade ago. Reviews are mixed, but it has generally not been disastrous for the city. Businesses have certainly become more strategic in their hiring, but people make more and spend more in our city. I’m not sure this argument makes sense, and it has not a lot to do with liberal vs conservative, but reality.
    http://www.bizjournals.com/albuquerque/print-edition/2012/03/23/santa-fes-minimum-wage-highest-in.html?page=all

  • raginpatriot

    Well, if we get enough ten hour workweeks, the official unemployment rate will dramatically drop — and the mainstream media will praise our Dear Leader’s genius!

  • jaykali

    Ya exactly. And my thought generally is if you force businesses to do anything they don’t want to do, you should expect job losses as a result. But people don’t want to hear that. They want to believe the just arbitrary wage increases will make everybody happy.

  • http://www.laborunionreport.com LaborUnionReport

    Have you not seen the numbers for the unemployed among low-wage workers, especially teens and African-American males? In addition, you seem to be misunderstanding the effects of compression.

    Minimum Wages and Employment: A Review of Evidence from the New Minimum Wage Research

    …The overwhelming majority of the studies surveyed in this paper give a relatively consistent (although not always statistically significant) indication of negative employment effects of minimum wages. In addition, among the papers we view as providing the most credible evidence, almost all point to negative employment effects. Moreover, the evidence tends to point to disemployment effects of minimum wages in the United States as well as many other countries. Two potentially more important conclusions emerge from our review. First, we see very few if any cases where a study provides convincing evidence of positive employment effects of minimum wages, especially from studies that focus on broader groups (rather than a narrow industry) for which the competitive model predicts disemployment effects. Second, when researchers focus on the least-skilled groups most likely to be adversely affected by minimum wages, we regard the evidence as relatively overwhelming that there are stronger disemployment effects for these groups.

  • melvin polatnick

    The minimum wage for an illiterate worker should be 10 bucks an hour, none would be hired and it would cause them to go back to Mexico or get an education.