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Predictions for 2015.

These are quite often wrong.

  • Rep. John Boehner (R-OH) N/A% will be confirmed as Speaker of the House.
  • Sen. Mitch McConnell (R-KY) 60% will be confirmed as Senate Majority Leader.
  • Neither Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) 0% nor Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) 6% will announce their retirements in 2015.
  • A Republican will win the special election for NY-11.
  • The Supreme Court will, in a 5-4 decision, rule that Obamacare only authorizes subsidies to individuals who have signed up via a state exchange, not the federal one.
  • The next month after that will host one of the most intense domestic political debates in American history.
  • The Supreme Court will, also in a 5-4 split, rule that the US Constitution neither permits nor bans same-sex marriage. It will resolutely ignore the FF&C Clause, except in the dissents.
  • At least three Senators will announce this year, surprisingly, that they will not be seeking re-election.
  • Sen. David Vitter (R-LA) 90% will win the governorship of Louisiana.  His running mate will be Elbert Guillory, who will also win.
  • Good 2015 movies:  Age of Ultron, Star Wars Episode VII, Inside Out.
  • Bad 2015 movies: Jurassic  World, Mad Max: Fury Road, The Fantastic Four, Jupiter Ascending.
  • 2015 movies that will defy analysis: Terminator: Genisys, Ant-Man.
  • Lastly: The Chicago Cubs will win the World Series.  I figure that the payoff from being right on this would easily make up for any sting from being wrong.

I think that should cover it.

Moe Lane (crosspost)

PS: Wait, one more: hoverboards!

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