« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

MEMBER DIARY

New NBC/Marist Poll in FL – Romney ahead by 15.

By: Ender (Diary)  |  January 29th, 2012 at 10:35 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Romney leads Newt Gingrich by 15 points, 42 percent to 27 percent in the crucial state. Rick Santorum is third with 16 percent, followed by Ron Paul with 11 percent. Just 4 percent said they were undecided.

A New NBC/Marist Poll in FL shows that Mitt Romney is potentially heading to a crushing victory. There is a big gender gap, and Romney is running even with Gingrich among Tea Party supporters. The polls a couple days before this one showed Romney ahead by 8-9 points.

As for Santorum factor:

But Gingrich would have a hard time arguing that a majority is voting against Romney, and that if Santorum were not in the race, he would win. When Santorum is removed from the equation, his vote splits off evenly between Romney and Gingrich — and Romney leads Gingrich by an even wider 16-point margin, 49-33 percent.

If Romney wins this convincingly, it could be what it takes for an easy path to nomination. Then we can all unite and focus on the real enemy.

Get Alerts

COMMENTS

POSTING RULES  |  LOGIN TO COMMENT  |  REGISTER TODAY
  • http://lukos.com Ed54

    I am a Romney supporter, but he needs continued pressure to improve his weaknesses and hone his message. Losing SC and having to get aggressive in the FL debates was invaluable experience for him. It also forced him to develop a more forceful defense for capitalism, which will be the central issue of the general election. He needs an aggressive challenger like Newt to keep the process going. Iron sharpens iron, and men sharpen men.

  • joayn

    That right there mad me laugh out loud.

  • greyeagle

    A lot of people won’t take polls, including me. So the polls in Florida right now are pretty much worthless. Turnout will be key anyway and the location of that turnout.

    • lapert

      Actually, the polls have been very good in the primaries so far and the only reason to think that won’t be the same in Florida is because you don’t want to face up to the reality unfolding here. Particularly when they are all in such close agreement, it is ridiculous to think they aren’t reflecting events.

      • Ender

        this season. Especially the polls on the last day before the primary. Whether it was Romney victory or Gingrich victory, the last polls were within a percent or 2. So yeah, the people who don’t like what the polls are telling them just say the polls are worthless :)

  • deVere

    Nothing decisive has yet been accomplished, and the opposition is undeterred. Can Mitt Romney ever unify the Republican Party? I’m now somewhat skeptical about that.

    A big win for Romney in Florida would make up for his big loss in South Carolina, and then some. But there’s still a hard road ahead for him..

    • Ender

      about Newt’s performance thus far, but I’ll refrain.

      • deVere

        And Mitt is lucky his opposition doesn’t have anyone quite as smart as Michael Barclay de Tolly, unless it’s Palin.

        By the way the latest Sunday night poll shows Newt 5 points behind and closing fast:

        http://www.newsmax.com/InsideCover/gingrich-romney-insideradvantage-poll/2012/01/29/id/425901

        • Ender

          and not cherry pick one of them which is favorable.

          http://www.huffingtonpost.com/news/pollster

          • deVere

            also Newt spent substantially all his TV money over the weekend, so it stands to reason there may be a bounce of some size.

            I expect Romney will win in Florida, but I do not expect that he will be the nominee. He is in general just too disliked among Republicans. Perhaps he can reveal so far unrevealed talents as a diplomat and unite the party, but I’ll believe it when I see it. Romney is looking to rerun the Bush/McCain script from 2000, but I doubt it will work this time.

            It really would be best to nominate someone other than Mitt or Newt.

          • Ender

            on this one.