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2 New Alabama polls show real Romney momentum

By: Ender (Diary)  |  March 8th, 2012 at 11:03 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

First Poll done by Alabama State is quite outdated from 3/1 show Santorum with a small lead:

Romney 19, Santorum 23, Gingrich 14, Paul

However 2nd poll done from 3/1 through 3/6 by the Alabama Education Association shows Romney with a decent lead with Santorum and Gingrich tied for 2nd.

Romney 31, Santorum 22, Gingrich 21, Paul 7

Conventional wisdom has been that Gingrich and Santorum would have advantage in AL, MS, and KS – but that conventional wisdom does not seem to take into account the inevitability momentum that is currently in Mitt’s favor. While I’ll be on the lookout for new polls, the primaries in AL and MS on this coming Tuesday should not be a given for either Santorum or Gingrich.

If Romney pulls upsets in one or two of these states, I think the race will effectively be over as those types of states provide most of the rationale for those two to stay in the race opposing Mitt.

 

COMMENTS

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  • Scope

    polling arm puts out a poll showing Romney with a big lead in Alabama. That is just to rich for words.

    • Seedyrom

      Money can buy anything in politics. Lord knows he bought enough media shills.

  • Melody Warbington (rwm52)

    I can tell you you that those who run the AEA are among the most corrupt, union loving, dishonest group of politicians you can find. I put absolutely no stock in anything they put out there. Their PAC in 2008 ran some of the most blatantly dishonest ads I’ve ever seen against one of our gubernatorial candidates and aligned themselves with some pretty unethical folks to do so.

    The more accurate poll conducted by AL State University of likely GOP voters conducted on 3/7/12 (which you failed to note) has Santorum at 22.7%, Romney at 18.7% and Gingrich at 13.8, with almost 30% undecided and 15% supporting other candidates.

    Story is here.

    • Repair_Man_Jack

      That guy is a true entrepranuer of slime.

    • Ender

      That poll is listed first in my diary… Reading comprehension is important.

      • Melody Warbington (rwm52)

        In a couple of local blogs, they referred to the ASU poll as a “new” poll, so I made the assumption they had conducted another one since the on 3/1, leading me to further assume you failed to note the new one. There was only one ASU poll on 3/1. You were right on that point.

        However, I stand by my comment on the AEA. Anyone with any knowledge of politics in Alabama knows how corrupt the AEA is. Their Super PAC almost single-handedly smeared a good man in our gubernatorial race last election because he had the integrity to stand up to them. They are in the tank for liberals, and as such, anything and everything they say and do should be questioned.

        • Ender

          very close in Alabama:

          Romney 28, Santorum 29, Gingrich 30, Paul 7

          And Romney ahead in Miss.

          Romney 35, Santorum 27, Gingrich 27, Paul 6

    • Ender

      is always “the more accurate” and easier to believe. We’ll see what happens.

  • quill67

    McCain got 37% of the vote. Romney will not get close to this total. He got 18% last time so I’m thinking about 25% this time. Paul will get his 12%, so that leaves 63% to split between Santorum and Gingrich.

    • jamesm

      Not a chance will he win. Even if he dumped 20 million

    • Ender

      nt

  • zachv

    … and I believe it is going to have much to do with the initials MA and ‘LDS’. I don’t mean that as an offense to the wonderful citizens of AL. I simply don’t believe either Massachusetts or Mormonism jives well with your citizen’s values.

    However, I think Ender is correct in saying if that Romney does take AL or MS, that this will be perhaps one of the final signals that this race is won and done.

  • http://www.sourceoftitle.com skymutt

    …that there is no true southerner in the race– Gingrich, Paul, and Santorum are all Pennsylvanians. So the fact that Romney is not going to fool anybody that he’s really a down to earth good ol boy is not so much of a handicap.

  • http://www.timothy-bladel.com/ center77

    I have one of my posts quoted on Ted Cruz’s web site, because I am on their blogger roll called “bloggers for Cruz.”

    The quote says this.

    ?The single most important objective for conservatives right now should be to support the primary challenges against the moderate forces that would prohibit elected conservatives from stopping the Democrats big spending agenda. I have no doubt that Ted Cruz would do just that. Please join me in supporting Ted Cruz.?

    http://www.tedcruz.org/blog/

    I truly feel it is time to start getting conservative into the senate. Obama/Romney, either one is going to try to move to the center to force the hand of conservatives. We need true conservatives in the senate.