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John Hoeven for President 2012 …

If a brokered convention is our only hope … then we need to;

  1. Get united around someone.
  2. Convince him (or her) to throw his hat in.
  3. Help him  win some of the Primaries he can still qualify for …

… and hopefully he would have gathered the support he’ll need to make him a viable choice for the nomination by the time we get to Tampa. That’s the only way we get an acceptable alternative to the three men we are currently having to choose from. We have to identify someone, have him step up and demonstrate that he can unite all the Party’s various factions and convince people that he can defeat Barack Obama.

The idea that the decision would go down to the convention  floor in Tampa and someone acceptable to all, who had previously not declared himself or campaigned for the nomination in any way, would magically be drafted (and save us all) is a pipe dream. This didn’t happen in the last somewhat-contested convention in 1976 – Reagan had already put himself out there and mixed it up with Ford before everyone got down to Kansas City – and it’s not going to happen now. Even in 1948 – the last truly brokered GOP convention – every single one of the names on the ballot had already thrown their hats into the ring.

So, for us to head into a brokered convention just to pick between Mitt, Rick and Newt is nothing more than a waste of time. It becomes significantly less so if Rick Perry were to withdraw his endorsement of Newt, acquire better communications skills and a new campaign team and aim to win at least ten states. But the possibility is, if anything, lower than that of a brokered convention actually happening.

Either way, Al Cardenas, boss of the ACU – which runs CPAC – is already calling out the name of his fellow Floridian – Jeb Bush as a possibility should it come down to a contest on the convention floor. But we all know that dog won’t hunt – if Jeb Bush had been Jeb Smith, he would not need to be drafted as a last resort at the convention because he would be far and away the frontrunner and I won’t be writing this because the race would have been over three weeks ago.

But using Jeb Bush as a template – someone articulate, late fifties-to-early sixties, with some executive experience (preferably in a Governor’s office), a record of conservative accomplishment in office, success at the polls i.e. reelected at least once, a strong home base of support and without the baggage from being the brother and son of Presidents widely perceived to have failed in office …

Off the top of my head, this leaves us with people like  John Hoeven (who might have to shave off his mustache) and Mike Johanns, both of whom are in the first terms in the Senate, both of whom have been Governors for more than a single term and both of whom come from states that are reliably Red. Of course, there would be an immediate influx of people who will declare that they can never ever vote for one or the other because blah blah blah …, but I do not foresee any major problem with any one of  them winning support from all the necessary wings of the Party.

That is, if they can be coaxed to enter the meat-grinder that is a Presidential election.

Good luck with that.

In the interest of full disclosure, after Rick Perry dropped out, my support has returned to my 2008 choice, Mitt Romney. Frankly, I can’t quite fathom how he went from being the conservatives’ alternative to John McCain in 2008 to the most liberal Governor in the history of the entire world in 2012 – especially since he left the Governor’s office in 2006. Furthermore, I’m not convinced he’s just itching to get into the Oval Office to be a one-term President, especially considering the number of still youngish people with names like Christie, Sandoval, Martinez, Walker, Jindal, Haley, etc. that would be just about rounding out six (or more) years in Governor’s offices – which is right around the time Governors start feeling Presidential – by 2016. To paraphrase Milton Friedman, we’d have Mitt Romney in a position where it is politically profitable for the “wrong [person]” to do the right things.

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COMMENTS

  • keepcoolwithcoolidge

    His 2nd term is over. He’s a strong conservative.

    • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

      I don’t dislike Jeb Bush, but OMG, that’s a total estblishmentarian braindead idea – giving Obama the chance to run against Bush AGAIN?!?

      • acat

        You know .. Rick Santorum?

        I don’t care which side of the sword you’re on, they both cut just fine.

        Mew

    • Martin Knight

      His wife would not bear up under the microscope.

  • David123

    We get Santorum from a brokered convention if no one wins outright, and he’s seen as an acceptable compromise between Romney and Gingrich supporters. Santorum does combine many of Romney’s and Gingich’s good points in one package.

    Alternatively we get Santorum-Gingrich. Santorum and Gingrich combine forces and Santorum is president, and Gingrich is vice-president.

    Of course we could get Gingrich the same way if he enters the convention with more delegates than Santorum. Then Gingrich is president and Santorum is vice president.

    Romney gets the nomination if he enters the convention with almost enough delegates and can win over or trade some more in the convention. Perhaps we’d end up with Romney-Santorum.

    Palin could be the nominee if:
    1. the Democrats nominate Clinton instead of Obama. and
    2. there is a deadlock among the men running for president

    In that case nominating Sarah Palin would make a lot of sense because she is more qualified to be a woman president than Hillary Clinton is.

    • jamesm

      by all accounts. If Santorum/Gingrigh have more delegates most likely Santorum for the top spot with Gingrich maybe Secretary of State. Maybe Susana Martinez for VP. It boils down to Santorum/Gingrich against Romney/Paul in a brokered convention. It’s all about playing keep away from Romney for Santorum/Gingrich

  • greyeagle

    I certainly would want to keep away from Romney. A better VP would be Col. Allen West from Florida. He is tough as nails and brings lots of knowledge and skills to the table. A state Governor might not want a VP slot.

    • jamesm

      Defeating Romney in Mich. cripple his candidacy so that he would not get enough delegates. Newt will on Super Tuesday. Focus on the goal of defeating Romney. State by State with which ever candidate has the best chance of winning

      • JSobieski

        People should vote for whom they support, and let the chips fall where they may.

        As a Michigan voter, I have never voted in a contested primary for the winner, but primaries is the time to vote one’s aspirations rather than one’s duties.

        • jamesm

          My aspiration is for a real conservative. The only way to achieve this is for Romney not to win. If he loses in Mich. then Santorum/Gingrich is in the drivers seat. There is not too much difference in their ideology. Glad to hear you live in Mich. I lived their for two years as a kid. In Grand Rapids and Sparta.

          • JSobieski

            just as I voted for Thompson and Forbes before him.

            I am not a big fan of tactical voting in primaries—unless its a Democrat primary (i.e. operation chaos).

            I thought Newt telling Santorum to drop out was dumb and unproductive.

            I think that telling Newt voters to support Santorum is also dumb and unproductive.

            I think the difference between Newt and Santorum is greater than the difference between Santorum and Romney (when all attributes are thrown into the mix).

  • naharu89x7

    In order to win this election. Obama is a man of no character, he can and will use every dirty trick in the book in order to get a second term.

    Conservatives should be united and stand together against Obama and everything he represents. Newt understood that early in the primary, as did others. But somewhere along the way, that unity has been thrown out the window.

    Instead it seems now that all that matters is “who is right” out of the people running. The battle between various supporters has gotten fairly heated and at times full of vitriol.

    Is this how we are going to defeat Obama? With petty infighting? Did we forget the words of Lincoln, who quoting Christ himself said “A house divided against itself shall not stand?”

    This election was ours to win, but not if we resort to petty infighting over miniscule differences between the candidates.

    • jamesm

      behind a conservative candidate. Soon as Romney drops out we then have a great chance to defeat Obama. We will come together but today is not that day.

  • lizzie

    were two of my preferences for that Super-Committee, but instead the GOp sent Toomey

    well, anyway, yes, what America needs is either two-term governor of the two most fiscally-responsible states in America, but no one ever even hears from them in the US Senate. They are perceived as pragmatic compromisers – the heresy!!

    Still, better idea for a brokered convention than either Jeb Bush or Mitch Daniels (who has more than Cherie’s story holding him back).

    Of course, I continue to think Rick Perry will “unsuspend” and take the baton back from Newt if that is necessary. Next six weeks will be revealing…