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GA Primary Predictions

Here’s a rundown of how I think tomorrow night’s GA Primaries will go:

Governor:

Republican Primary:

Handel 27%
Deal 24%
Johnson 19%
Oxendine 15%
McBerry 9%
Chapman 5%
Putnam 1%

Deal wins the Runoff 54-46.

Democratic Primary:

Barnes 55%
Baker 29%
Porter 13%
Poythress 2%
Mangham 1%
Camon and Bolton receive less than 1%.

Deal beats Barnes 52-48.

Lieutenant Governor:

Democratic Primary:

Porter 80%
McCracken 20%

I See Incumbent Republican Lieutenant Governor Casey Cagle beating Porter 57-43.

Secretary of State:

Republican Primary:

Kemp 55%
MacGinnitie 45%

Democratic Primary:

Buckner 27%
Mills 23%
Horlacher 20%
Moore 19%
Sinkfield 11%

Mills wins the Runoff 53-47.

I see Kemp beating Mills 59-41.

Attorney General:

Republican Primary:

Olens 39%
Wood 38%
Smith 23%

Wood wins the Runoff 51-49.

Democratic Primary:

Teilhet 56%
Hodges 44%

Wood beats Teilhet 53-47.

State School Superintendent:

Republican Primary:

Woods 55%
Barge 45%

Democratic Primary:

Martin 37%
Westlake 34%
Farokhi 29%

Westlake wins the Runoff 50.5-49.5.

Woods beats Westlake 58-42.

Agriculture Commissioner:

Republican Primary:

Black 70%
Carter 30%

Black beats Democratic State Senator JB Powell 56-44.

Insurance Commissioner:

Republican Primary:

Purcell 18%
Harp 16%
Knox 15%
Sheffield 12%
Hudgens 11%
Northington 10%
Mamalakis 8%
Collum 7%
Cain 3%

Harp wins the Runoff 53-47.

Harp beats former Democratic State Senator Mary Squires 65-35.

Labor Commissioner:

Republican Primary:

Everson 55%
Butler 45%

Democratic Primary:

Coleman 60%
Hicks 40%

Coleman beats Everson 54-46.

US Senate:

Democratic Primary:

Thurmond 61%
Hadley 39%

Incumbent Republican US Senator Johnny Isakson beats Thurmond 55-45.

CD-2:

Republican Primary:

Keown 54%
Ferrell 29%
Allen 17%

Keown beats Incumbent Democratic US Congressman Sanford Bishop 53-47.

CD-4:

Republican Primary:

Carter 54%
Gause 35%
Ruth 11%

Democratic Primary:

Johnson 67%
Jones 26%
Stokes 7%

Guam does not tip over by a margin of 71-29.

CD-7:

Republican Primary:

Efstration 35%
Woodall 29%
Cox 28%
Kirby 5%
Parrott 3%
Hice, Fincher, and Grist poll below 1%

Woodall wins the Runoff 52-48.

Woodall beats Democratic Financial Executive Doug Heckman 64-36.

CD-8:

Republican Primary:

Scott 60%
Deloach 31%
Vann 9%

I see Scott beating Incumbent Democratic US Congressman Jim Marshall 54-46.

CD-9:

Graves 33%
Tarvin 28%
Hawkins 19%
Reese 14%
Cates 6%

Tarvin wins the Runoff 51-49.

Tarvin beats Independent Marketing Executive Eugene Moon 86-14.

CD-12:

Republican Primary:

Smith 58%
McKinney 33%
Seaver 8%
Horner 2%

Democratic Primary:

Thomas 56%
Barrow 44%

Thomas beats Smith 57-43.

CD-13:

Democratic Primary:

Scott 43%
Frisbee 42%
Murphy 15%

Frisbee beats Scott 51.5-48.5.

Republican Primary:

Honeycutt 51%
Parchment 33%
Dudek 9%
Crane 6%
Orr 1%
Flanegan receives less than 1%.

Frisbee beats Honeycutt 60-40.

Your thoughts.

COMMENTS

  • qixlqatl

    Gotta hand it to ya for offering such detailed and specific predictions. You must have lots of faith in your methods and info. I’ll be quite impressed if your percentage predictions are largely borne out by the actual results.

  • qixlqatl

    Not as educated on all of these races as I should be, Focused on Gov and CD2. Voting for Handel and Keown, personally.

    I’ll check back in tomorrow after the results are in and see how well you did. ;)

    I sure hope you’re right about Keown and Bishop…..

  • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

    I sure hope SE-779 is wrong on Handel, Smith and Everson losses.

    Cockstradamus agrees that Hank Johnson will beat Vernon Jones and Carter beats Gause without a run-off.

  • qixlqatl

    I’m going to be very interested in the vote totals……. ;)

  • qixlqatl

    not so well in others ;) Picked about (I’m guessing) 70% of the top finishers, margins pretty dang close in about 50% of the races. I’d say I’m fairly impressed.