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2010 Gubernatorial Vote Predictions(In States that have held Primaries)

AL-GOV:

Bentley(R)-54%
Sparks(D)-46%

AR-GOV:

Beebe(D)-57%
Keet(R)-43%

CA-GOV:

Whitman(R)-52%
Brown(D)-48%

CO-GOV:

Hickenlooper(D)-55%
Maes(R)-31%
Tancredo(C)-14%

CT-GOV:

Malloy(D)-51%
Foley(R)-49%

GA-GOV:

Deal(R)-53%
Barnes(D)-44%
Monds(L)-3%

ID-GOV:

Otter(R)-77%
Allred(D)-23%

IL-GOV:

Brady(R)-56%
Quinn(D)-44%

IA-GOV:

Branstad(R)-58%
Culver(D)-42%

KS-GOV:

Brownback(R)-71%
Holland(D)-29%

ME-GOV:

LePage(R)-53%
Mitchell(D)-47%

MI-GOV:

Snyder(R)-57%
Bernerio(D)-43%

MN-GOV:

Emmer(R)-51%
Dayton)D)-47%
Horner(IP)-2%

NE-GOV:

Heineman(R)-80%
Meister(D)-20%

NV-GOV:

Sandoval(R)-65%
Reid(D)-35%

NM-GOV:

Martinez(R)-52%
Denish(D)-48%

OH-GOV:

Kasich(R)-54%
Strickland(D)-46%

OK-GOV:

Fallin(R)-55%
Askins(D)-45%

OR-GOV:

Kitzhaber(R)-53%
Dudley(D)-47%

PA-GOV:

Corbett(R)-59%
Onorato(D)-41%

SC-GOV:

Haley(R)-59%
Sheheen(D)-41%

SD-GOV:

Daugaard(R)-61%
Heidepriem(D)-39%

TN-GOV:

Haslam(R)-57%
McWherter(D)-43%

TX-GOV:

Perry(R)-55%
White(D)-45%

UT-GOV:

Herbert(R)-64%
Corroon(D)-36%

WY-GOV:

Mead(R)-67%
Petersen(D)-33%

In summary, of the states that have held Primaries, Democrats are poised to pick up 1 seat and Republicans are poised to pick up 12 seats.

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COMMENTS

  • fbks

    What effect does that have for voters choosing their senate preference? Why would someone vote R Governor and then D Senate when both Governor and Senator with the Ds are Reids. Do you see a factor favoring Angle with voter turnout in an otherwise competitive race?

  • IJB

    1) I believe there is a (significant) 3rd Party/Indie candidate in the ME Gov’s race that needs to be included.

    2) You’ve reversed the names of the candidates in the OR Gov’s race.

    Beyond that, I (unfortunately) suspect you’re being too optimistic about the MN Gov’s race… :(

    (Also, it is very possible that the winner of the CA Gov’s race will win with *less* than 50% of the vote, because 3rd party voting in CA is usually pretty significant…)