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House Seats to Target for a Bulletproof Conservative Majority

If Conservatives are to get a bulletproof majority in the House in 2012, these are the seats they must target:

Democrat-held seats:

AZ-7: Raul Grijalva
AZ-8: Gabrielle Giffords
AR-4: Mike Ross
CA-10: John Garamendi
CA-11: Jerry McNerney
CA-18: Dennis Cardoza
CA-20: Jim Costa
CA-47: Loretta Sanchez
CA-51: Bob Filner
CO-7: Ed Perlmutter
CT-1: John Larson
CT-2: Joe Courtney
CT-3: Rosa DeLauro
CT-4: Jim Himes
CT-5: Chris Murphy
DE-AL: John Carney
GA-2: Sanford Bishop
GA-12: John Barrow
IN-2: Joe Donnelly
IN-7 Andre Carson
IA-1: Bruce Braley
IA-2: Dave Loebsack
IA-3: Leonard Boswell
KY-3: John Yarmuth
KY-6: Ben Chandler
ME-1: Chellie Pingree
ME-2: Mike Michaud
MA-3: Jim McGovern
MA-4: Barney Frank
MA-5: Niki Tsongas
MA-6: John Tierney
MA-10: Bill Keating
MI-5: Dale Kildee
MI-9: Gary Peters
MI-15: John Dingell
MN-1: Tim Walz
MN-7: Collin Peterson
MO-3: Russ Carnahan
MO-5: Emmanuel Cleaver
NJ-6: Frank Pallone
NJ-9: Steve Rothman
NJ-12: Rush Holt
NM-1: Martin Heinrich
NM-3: Ben Lujan
NY-1: Tim Bishop
NY-4: Carolyn McCarthy
NY-22: Maurice Hinchey
NY-23: Bill Owens
NY-27: Brian Higgins
NC-4: David Price
NC-7: Mike McIntyre
NC-8: Larry Kissell
NC-11: Heath Shuler
NC-13: Brad Miller
OH-9: Marcy Kaptur
OH-10: Dennis Kucinich
OH-13: Betty Sutton
OK-2: Dan Boren
OR-1: David Wu
OH-4: Peter DeFazio
OH-5: Kurt Schrader
PA-4: Jason Altmire
PA-12: Mark Critz
PA-13: Allyson Schwartz
PA-17: Tim Holden
RI-1: David Cicilline
SC-6: Jim Clyburn
TN-5: Jim Cooper
TX-15: Ruben Hinojosa
TX-25: Lloyd Doggett
TX-28: Henry Cuellar
UT-2: Jim Matheson
VA-11: Gerry Connolly
WA-2: Rick Larsen
WA-6: Norm Dicks
WA-9: Adam Smith
WV-3: Nick Rahall
WI-3: Ron Kind

Republicans to keep an eye on for RINO tendencies:

AL-2: Martha Roby
CA-19: Jeff Denham
CA-41: Jerry Lewis
FL-5: Rick Nugent
FL-13: Vern Buchanan
IL-15: Tim Johnson
IL-16: Don Manzullo
IA-4: Tom Latham
KS-3: Kevin Yoder
LA-5: Rodney Alexander
KY-5: Hal Rogers
MD-1: Andy Harris
MI-6: Fred Upton
MS-1: Alan Nunnelee
NE-2: Lee Terry
NH-2: Charlie Bass
NJ-2: Frank LoBiondo
NJ-4: Chris Smith
NJ-7: Leonard Lance
NC-3: Walter Jones Jr.
VA-5: Robert Hurt
WA-8: Dave Reichert
WV-1: David McKinley

COMMENTS

  • Mike Ferguson

    he is very popular in that area of this state and enjoys a great deal of support. I am all for him going, but I am from the central part of the state and we made the right choice here this time, maybe by 2012 those folks will see the light as well. I would expect Mr. Ross to pay the Blue Dog Dem to the hilt for the next 2 years.

  • Sean (SIConservative)

    I like the motivation, but a lot of these districts will look very different in a few months. Best to wait until then to start talking about this.

  • mi9summer

    Michigan is going through redistricting this year and it appears that Gary Peter MI-9 will be a target and primaried against possibly Sander Levin.

  • ohiohistorian

    It is interesting that the list here targets Dennis Kucinich and Betty Sutton, but forgets Marcia Fudge in the 11th district. (Ohio District map at http://www.sos.state.oh.us/SOS/upload/elections/maps/OEcongressDist.pdf) Sutton (13th) won by 56/44 and Kucinich (11th) won by 53/44. However, Fudge has a bulletproof district at 83/17 because it is is a small, highly urbanized area in East Cleveland which survived the last Republican redistricting in 2000. Dennis Kucinich, in the 10th district, is in the rest of Cuyahoga county, which is Cleveland west. Betty Sutton is in the Summit, Medina, and Lorain county area to the west of Cleveland. Voter turnout was over 50% in Sutton’s area, while it was 44% in Cuyahoga.

    Seems to me the best scenario us to combine most of Kucinich’s and Fudge’s districts (Cuyahoga has been a big population loser since 2000). That would build a mega-Democrat district, and allow for the ‘burbs to have a bigger say in their own representation. I would also really enjoy a Kucinich/Fudge primary; it could be soap opera time here in Ohio. But, I dream on; as Fudge is a black woman, and that district has had a black woman rep for a bunch of years, I don’t think the Republicans will touch it. Sigh.