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Palin’s running…Here’s Why… Updated: No She isn’t! Thank You Erick Erickson!

Update:

A big thank you to the front-pagers for recommending this diary only after her announcement has come that she isn’t running.

Since Erick Erickson has never been wrong in his entire life and had put up over twenty posts last week to make a point, perhaps he should once again put up twenty posts reiterating “I was right!”

His recommendation of this diary is obviously of equal maturity as his actions were last week. Can’t wait for the next twenty posts which will continue to build our utmost respect for him.

p.s.

I’ve written another Diary  since this one which you can read over Here.

There are Times for Words and Times for Silence

There are times when it may appear best for a person to remain silent lest it land them into trouble, although speaking up is the correct thing to do. Similarly, it may often seem as though a person should be speaking up, although silence at that particular time is the better option.

Doing what’s right may at first cause some confusion to those who follow the individual since they aren’t privy to all the details. Once the details fall into place an explanation is no longer necessary since the clarity of the action is obvious to all.

These occurrences happen to us all on a daily basis and we hopefully make the correct choices though at times it may be difficult. At a simple level, when you buy a birthday present for a loved one, at times it may be difficult to keep it as a surprise and refrain from spilling the beans. However, in order for the gift to have its maximum effect, the smarter option is to keep on biting one’s until it’s the recipient’s birthday and the proper time and place to present it.

I’ll be the first to admit that it’s not the most perfect comparison, and that a presidential announcement is quite different than surprising your spouse. However, they both require making a decision (what to buy and whether to run) and then deciding the perfect venue, time, and manner to present their decision. Candidates often receive lots of pressure from supporters who clamor for a decision to be made despite it not being the best time for the candidate to do so.

Who could have foretold two months ago, at a time when Perry hadn’t yet officially announced his candidacy, that he would implode and self-destruct during the debates? Who could’ve imagined the thorough vetting the voters had greeted him with, thoroughly questioning him on his past including but not limited to the Gardasil fiasco and his liberal stance on illegal immigration?   No one could’ve foreseen exactly how time would play out, including Governor Palin. However, she most likely made her the calculation based upon her past experiences and a careful study of other past campaigns which have shown that an early announcement is often damaging to the candidate. Since increased exposure on the battlefield at a time when the enemy is invisible and unknown has proven to do more harm than good, (think Hillary) Palin wisely chose to prolong her decision until the enemy has been identified.

My guess is that Palin has already made her decision to run for the presidency, and barring any earth-shattering occurrences, is unlikely to have a change of mind. Amongst the dozens of reasons one can list which point towards an announcement in the coming days/weeks,  and which I found particularly telling, is the fact that she hired a foreign policy adviser. What need does an ordinary citizen like you and me have for a foreign policy adviser? Which celebrity, media figure, or pop-star has ever hired a foreign policy adviser? Only a presidential run in-the-making can explain her move.

Those who’ve claimed that the delayed announcement is due to a negative response and that she therefore fears an angry backlash from her supporters, speak utter nonsense. Pushing difficult things off only make them even harder. If you’ve got to mow the lawn and push off the task for two months because of the hard work involved, your task at hand has tripled in its difficulty. Similarly, if she had truly been undecided and then made the decision not to run, she would’ve immediately told her supporters. Governor Palin has proven throughout her career to have done what’s right despite it having often been the more difficult path to take, and has said repeatedly that it wouldn’t be fair to her supporters to string them along for no good purpose.

As for those who believe, or pretend to believe, that she’s avoiding a decision due to her lust for fame and money, where and when have they seen her receive either of the two? If she would truly seek fame she would’ve joined Hollywood or some similar venue a long time ago, as I’ve already written in the past. All she’s gotten the last while, especially the last several months, is attacks from many on both sides of the aisle. Her decisions to delay the major decision a bit longer upset not only non-supporters but also many supporters who are itching for action. So it’s clearly neither the fame nor the money that will motivate Governor Palin to run.

She is simply waiting for the time she deems right to announce, to arrive. In the meanwhile each candidate has had the opportunity to shoot up like a rising meteor only to crash down to the ground shortly thereafter. It has already occurred to Bachmann and Perry, with Cain now in the midst of his ascent while simultaneously descending.

Waiting for the right moment is indeed difficult and can frustrate many supporters, but as with the birthday present stashed in the attic, once she will make her announcement her supporters including those who’ve become discouraged will throw their full support behind her. She is therefore focused on the proper timing, venue, and method so that her message will reach non-supporters which are more difficult to reach than impatient or discouraged supporters.

Most campaigns prepare game-changing ads weeks or months in advance which they itch to release against their opponents. However, they hold onto it until the time it will have the greatest impact and will best serve their campaign arises. It would be foolish to release them in advance and not save a hit-piece for the last week of the campaign only because of unconstrained excitement.

So too, Palin could’ve done lots of things a year or two or three ago, but has kept off it until the time was right. She could’ve contacted Steve Bannon right after 2008 to release a short audio with information about her record to clear up her name. However, she knew it was worth her while to bear the attacks for three more years and only set out to inform everyday Americans about the truth once the primary season was ginning up so that its greatest impact on voters will be strongest.  Although many of her supporters would’ve enjoyed it two years ago, for the general public for whom it was mainly intended, the timing couldn’t have been more perfect.

Another example is her focus on crony capitalism the last month. The last three years were chock full of attacks against Obama, yet she kept crony capitalism which serves as a double-edged sword for the primary season, thereby effectively hitting two targets with one sweep.

So we’ve got to remember to “keep your powder dry” until the announcement is made. I’m of the opinion that although she promised an unconventional campaign she will run under the GOP banner and therefore announce before the states’ deadlines. Until the announcement, keep your cool, for afterwards it’ll be one long frenzy-filled campaign which won’t come to a rest until November 6, 2012.

This article is cross-posted from The Thinking Voter.

COMMENTS

  • http://jeffemanuel.net Jeff Emanuel

    If Christ returned tomorrow, I’m confident you and the rest of the Palinistas would reject Him until SARAH confirmed that He was God, and instructed you to follow Him.

    • Aaron Gardner

      nt

      • acat

        Just a thought.

        Mew

      • http://thethinkingvoter.blogspot.com abierubin

        As a Jew I believe neither in Jesus nor in Sarah Palin.

        I believe in the G-d of the Universe.

        • Mike Ferguson

          Keep trying eventually you might even convince yourself.

          • acat

            To write the name of god is regarded as disrespectful to Jewish culture.

            Mew

          • Mike Ferguson

            My apologies if I offended.

          • gekster

            I found that out when I once pointed it out to a poster.

            Kinda like the muhamed picture thing.

    • powertothepeople

      this so called new announce date on Friday will finally shut them up when she says nothing again or says there will be no run or is this our new Ron Paul future with Shriners instead?

      • J. Leg

        Are going to need those Palinistas to support your candidates if she declines to run….

        Worse, if she decides to run as a third party candidate, you’ll have to convince them to stay with the GOP.

        Mocking them isn’t a good idea.

        MOST Palin supporters are good, reasonable conservatives who don’t think we need to settle for Gov. ObamaCare or Gov. Gardisil. You can’t blame them for that.

        • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

          At least they focus on what they believe to be issues. You idiots are a cult.

        • powertothepeople

          when you make nonsense comments such as “you will need to convince them to stay in the party” or “going to need them to vote for your candidate,” it reinforces the fact that the new Paultards and the Palintards.

          If she was to even discuss a third party run, she is done in this party forever especially after she went after the Alaskan senator for doing the same thing. And if she or any of you are willing to give Obama another four years just because your “savior and king” does not run or pulls a dumb stunt like a third party run, each and every one of you can burn and burn forever.

          I have no need to convince any of the Palintards of anything. If you are not smart enough to realize she is not running, she is an absolute failure at everything other than one liners, and our only goal come general time is to beat Obama and the democrats, then you are too stupid for anyone or anything to convince you of anything and I have no use for you.

          • powertothepeople

            “it reinforces the fact that the new Paultards and the Palintards.”

            Should be

            “it reinforces the fact that the new Paultards are the Palintards.”

        • acat

          but most of the “reasonable conservatives” have left Palin behind for candidates who are, you know, *RUNNING*.

          You also left out a swipe at Herb Cain.

          Mew

  • gekster

    A little advice, don’t hold your breath until she announces.
    You’ll be easier to spot once you’re blue.

  • JSobieski

    Had you replaced your entire diary with “She is waiting until the time is right” you wouldn’t have lost any analysis.

    The weakness in that analysis is that she is losing support as people tire of the dance. Substantive people want Obama out of there as soon as possible. Tea party people would prefer to focus on replacing Obama, and not intramural combat in the Republican party.

    Palin’s teasing dance rubs many people the wrong way. There was a time when Palin would have undoubtedly played Kingmaker and essentially thrown the nomination to a candidate of her choosing. At this point, while her endorsement may still carry more weight than any other, she no longer even has that level of support.

    If Palin was putting out policy proposals (see Paul Ryan) or doing things to further the public debate on such things, I would have a lot of respect for her. Instead, she is not using her celebrity for any substantive purpose at this point that I can see.

    People are talking about tax reform, but those people aren’t Palin (see Cain).

    People are talking health care reform, but those people aren’t Palin (see Paul Ryan).

    People are talking entitlement reform, but those people aren’t Palin (see Mitch Daniels).

    What exactly has Palin done in the last 12 months that furthered the conservative movement? How has she put her media megaphone to use for the good of the country?

    It would be far better for everyone (including Palin if she does run) were she to challenge the other candidates substantively and openly rather than by sidebar jags about being the flavor of the week or by hinting that a person was no longer the person that she thought they were.

    This is no a game. We are losing the country. Now is the time for serious people to speak in clear terms about how to save the country.

    The quality of the public debate in this country is absolutely garbage given how serious the problems are. Palin the reaction to her by both sides are both sympomatic of a public sphere that is remarkably devoid of any reason, discipline, or willingness to face challenging issues.

    We are becoming a bumper sticker country and I don’t see anything that Palin or her supporters are doing to change course on that point.

    The country is more important than Palin. The country is more important than opposing Palin. Time spent talking about Palin is time not spent discussing needed government reforms.

    I have no doubt that this comment will be substantively ignored, even if the words are directly addressed.

    • acat

      “Drill, baby, drill”

      “Lipstick”

      “Drill here, drill now”

      “Death panels”

      “Lame Duck President”

      all fit nicely on bumper stickers.

      Mew

      • JSobieski

        She was one of the few people who largely endorsed the Ryan Roadmap. Unlike Bachmann who talks tough but then backs away when faced with specifics, Palin actually has shown courage on the issue of entitlement reform.

        That being said, we need people to go out and explain issues like patient driven healthcare, the inevitable superior of defined contribution vs. defined benefit, the need for lower corporate income taxes, etc.

        Palin doesn’t seem to interested in doing that work. She never really did seem willing to “drill” down below the bumper sticker level on these issues.

        Palin is the one person who could put a power point presentation together, and get a million or more people to see it before it ever was shown on TV. Yet she doesn’t.

        Meanwhile Paul Ryan is trying to attract attention for tax and health care reform, and is relegated to a very very small audience.

        Palin could easily help herself and us, but seems unwilling or unsuited for doing so.

        In 2008, Huckabee supporters frustrated me to no end because I just couldn’t see the same person they were talking and emoting about. I understood the McCain and Romney supporters in a way that I couldn’t understand the Huckabee supporters. In 2012, that phenomenon has been amplified 10 fold.

        • acat

          even if “keeping powder dry” until a last-minute joining of the race is .. problematic.

          It would not hurt her standing among the segments of the party, who vote in the primaries and look for people of substance, to talk about the big ideas in a serious way, to talk in depth about the problems facing us…

          It would help educate her supporters with less political understanding of how we’ve gotten into this dismal swamp, and what possible paths we can take out.

          That she’s just bumper-stickering is .. problematic.

          Mew

          • CincoSolas_del_Bronx

            But Aragorn knew that while he had been given all the shards as a trust, their combined power would be futile without–eventually 61–years of hard testing of their eventual wielder and his allies in preparation for the grueling temptations and hopeless battles to follow. Has that happened with the reduction of difficult truths to cheers and chants and stickers, or are some shards still being sought?

          • acat

            The furnace of the electon shall heat both, but only one shall survive, eh?

            Mew

          • CincoSolas_del_Bronx

            (Loving the seamless LOTR/Biblical crossover!)

            It was fun for a few weeks a few years ago, but so have been a number of other things I have long since outgrown in favor of substance:

            Nature’s first green is gold,
            Her hardest hue to hold.
            Her early leaf’s a flower;
            But only so an hour.
            Then leaf subsides to leaf.
            So Eden sank to grief,
            So dawn goes down to day.
            Nothing gold can stay.

            Robert Frost, 1923

          • acat

            Two roads diverged in a yellow wood and I -
            I took the one less travelled by,
            and that has made all the difference.

            Robert Frost, 1920

            I like Palin. She had, when she burst onto the scene, a “real” nature, she was relatable and personable and came across like, well, like I’d expect Scope or RWM52 or even Jaded to come across, should they be shoved out under the kleig lights, in front of the cameras.

            Something happened, though. Somewhere along the way, Palin did not take the road less travelled by but instead took the easy path; she believed her own press, … and that has made all the difference.

            Mew

          • wennejunk

            “she believed her own press”

            I was reading the suggestion above that she had all these presentations and attack ads ready to go and began thinking:

            “she believes her own press – believes that she will be able to articulate massive change and optimism and policy to the populace when it comes time to do so.”

            One gains experience in communicating by….communicating. She has not done so, except to fans flames of discontent.

            If she has all this wisdom ready to drop on America, something tells me it will go ‘plop’ once (and ‘if’) she reveals it.

          • acat

            here is the same thing missing on the Dem side in 2008, and today in #occupywallstreet. A work ethic.

            One learns to write well by writing copious amounts of drek, one learns to play tennis or skateboard or cycle or parkour well by falling quite a lot, sweating, bleeding, cussing, getting up and trying it again.

            Palin fell down several times during the McCain campaign but, instead of getting back up in the arena, she’s opted for a private club where she can be watched by a more friendly crowd. That’s fine. She’s entitled to go her own way, to an extent. But. If she wants to win in the arena, she first has to come back into the arena and make an answer for leaving.

            Mew

        • lineholder

          attention to Ryan’s plan? At least there is something of substance to work with, even it is just a starting point. The left isn’t providing information on the what, why or how of addressing our nation’s issues. Republicans apparently do have a few ideas, but it doesn’t get put front and center.

          If we could present a contrast and comparison of ideas to no ideas, would it help us any?

          I don’t know that I’m qualified to even consider attempting to write a diary including this type of contrast and comparison, but I’d love to see the conversation go back in that direction. Just a thought.

          • JSobieski

            Unfortunately, there is relatively little of that.

            The most substantive plan getting any attention at all is the Cain 999 plan, which has some real directional merit to it (although I believe the political risks of both sales and income taxes trumpt that merit).

            The best way to call attention to the issues and to promote a candidacy would be for a candidate to call attention to the issues. A diary at RS will call less attention to a Paul Ryan power point than the e-mails already being sent out by Paul Ryan.

          • lineholder

            but I just though I’d ask.

            Maybe you can help me out in understanding something about our current tax system. Can I ask you some questions?

        • ruexperienced

          She was for TARP before being against it

          Palin was for Don’t Ask Don’t Tell before tweeting against it

          Palin was against the debt deal and suggested the Republican Tea Party freshmen should be primary challenged if they supported it …. but days later called it a “Great Victory.”

    • http://thethinkingvoter.blogspot.com abierubin

      and have never visited her Facebook page or really listened to one of her speeches etc.

      She was the very first to openly support and commend Paul Ryan for his plan which was shunned by the GOP establishment and many others.

      She constantly speaks about entitlement reform.

      She was the first to suggest to cut away corporate tax in exchange for

      She was the one who led the debate against health care and coined the term “death panels” which led to significant changes and discussion.

      These are a mere handful of the many things she’s done the last few years, though I pointed them out in response to your examples.

      Amongst others, she was instrumental in getting many tea party conservatives elected in 2010.

      She also clearly outlines her position on just about every topic from QE2 to Libya, Iran, Egypt, health care, jobs, crony capitalism, union bosses vs union workers, energy independence etc. etc. etc.

      hop over to her Facebook page, spend 1/2 an hour’s worth of your time there, or watch The Undefeated. Would love you to hear from you thereafter.

      google “Sarah Palin Facebook; Good Intentions Don’t Necessarily Mean Good Outcomes” where she proposed her view on health care way before anyone else. ( two years ago)

      • Bill S

        The subjects of your essays to date have been “Isn’t she dreamy?” You’d think we were reading a Tiger Beat article, which of course is the nature of your alternate web site.

        You’ll get nothing but disgust from the bulk of us here by continuing to post these vapid adoration pieces. Talk about some substantial positions that Palin has and you might get some decent feedback.

        • http://thethinkingvoter.blogspot.com abierubin

          and will continue to do so in the future.

          Just take a look at my diaries before Leon H. Wolf began his nonsense. You’d be quite surprised to see that most of my diaries hadn’t even mentioned Palin, but were focused on Obama and other topics of concern.

          • JSobieski

            Here it is:

            Score more points than the NY Yankees.
            Strand as few base runners as possible
            Support the efforts of the pitcher to get the batters out.
            Don’t get thrown out stealing a base.

            Its a brilliant plan. Just as actionable as a cut wasteful spending plan, a reform entitlements plan, or reduce the size of government plan.

            I am now considered a brilliant baseball tactician. No doubt every professional team in the game will want to hire me on the basis of my plan.

      • JSobieski

        As to the other “specifics” you suggest, I traverse the contention that she has put out specifics.

        The day Palin puts out a power point presentation and describes how medicare is on an unsustainable path is the day that I will cover my car in Palin bumper stickers.

        Have we so lost our minds that simply saying “cut taxes” is the same thing as putting forth a plan to cut taxes?

        Have we so lost our minds that simply saying “reduce regulations” is the same thing as putting forth a plan to cut taxes?

        I am talking about actual plans, not the kind of details that Obama puts out. Plans—things capable of being scored and discussed in meaningful ways.

        Ever watch Buckley debate Reagan on Filing Line over the Panama Canal issue?

        Palin’s facebook page is no more a plan than Obama’s facebook page. If the retort to “no plan” involves citing facebook, there is no plan.

        Compare the book by Mitch Daniels to the facebook page of Palin.

        Seriously, we have lost our minds and deserve what we get.

        • acat

          When was the last time she wrote *in depth* on anything substantial?

          There is a theme song for politics….

          Mew

          • JSobieski

            It would have literally fit on a bumper sticker.

            How about spending time explaining how medicare cannot continue to grow at GDP growth + 2%? How about explaining how the ratio of retired people to workers is getting less and less? How about putting together at least an outline of tax reform? How about using the megaphone to pull out some charts and educate the country in a meaningful way?

            To Palin supporters, all she has to say is “cut taxes” and that is a plan for cutting taxes.

            Obama has said repeatedly that “we need to spend within our means”.

            Is that a plan?

            We have so lost any vestige of sense in this country that we no longer understand what a “plan” is. The fact that Bachmann gets away with her “no one red cent” plan for future deficits is a testament that the public discourse in this country is dead.

            Would it kill Palin to pull out some data just once?

          • http://thethinkingvoter.blogspot.com abierubin

            if you saw only one sentence then that’s your problem.

            http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703766704576009322838245628.html

            Palin presented a five-point economic plan in her speech in Iowa at the beginning of September, something which even NPR admits.

            http://www.npr.org/2011/09/04/140178664/palin-flirts-with-presidential-run
            Palin sounded every bit the candidate. She unveiled a five-point economic plan, what she called “a bona fide pro working man’s plan that deals in reality, that deals in the way the world really works.”

            But you don’t have to go to NPR, since they don’t list the specifics. here’s the specifics plus more from an O4P site:

            On November 13, 2010, she addressed the new Congress – including our Michael Grimm – who she endorsed and who I campaigned for. Here is a synopsis of what she said them:

            Rein in out-of-control government spending.
            Repeal ObamaCare.
            Cut deficit; cut wasteful spending. Cut earmarks. Cancel remaining stimulus.
            Reform entitlements.
            Encourage zero-based budgeting.
            No tax hikes.
            Secure the borders

          • JSobieski

            Obama has put forth bullet points (i.e. broad outlines) of policy objectives. No offense, but a bullet point fits on a bumper sticker.

            I am talking about plan. My comments are in CAPS just to better contrast with what you say point by point.

            Rein in out-of-control government spending. WHAT DOES SHE PROPOSE CUTTING? WHEN?
            Repeal ObamaCare. GOOD. ALSO FITS ON A BUMPER STICKER. NO DIFFERENT THAN ANY OTHER REPUBLICAN CANDIDATE OR TALK SHOW HOST.
            Cut deficit; cut wasteful spending. Cut earmarks. Cancel remaining stimulus. EVERYONE IN THE RECORD IN FAVOR OF WASTE, PLEASE RAISE YOUR HAND.
            Reform entitlements. OBAMA WANTS TO REFORM THEM TOO. ITS THE “HOW” THAT IS THE TRICKY PART REQUIRING A PLAN.
            Encourage zero-based budgeting. THIS IS ALSO GOOD. MORE FOCUS NEEDS TO BE PUT ON THIS. STILL, ITS A BUMPER STICKER SLOGAN.
            No tax hikes. GENERIC TRIPE, NOT A PLAN. A PLAN IS SOMETHING THAT ACTUALLY ACCOMPLISHES THE OBJECTIVES. THIS IS ANALOGOUS TO BACHMANN PROPOSING NO SPECIFIC CUTS BUT BEING TOUGH ON THE DEBT CEILING ISSUE.
            Secure the borders

          • wennejunk

            n/t

      • JSobieski

        because he never actually produces a plan. I make the same charge re: Palin, and you site her Facebook page.

        Is that your version of a plan. By that logic, Bachmann has a plan for eliminating the deficit in 2011. The plan is called don’t spend more than you take in.

        You might be interested in my “plan” for beating Michael Jordan in basketball. I call it the “score more points than Michael” plan.

        Now that we have all of these problems wrapped up, we can now return to our regularly schedule programming.

      • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

        She’s a facebook queen, not a credible Presidential candidate.

        She post stuff on facebook to feed her cult and all the while avoiding by any and all means communicating with the nation. Of course that would require that she actually engage in a dialog with the media and we all know she won’t do that.

        She scorns all things that are not worshiping her and she’s going to reap that scorn in spades if she runs. Oh, and I hope she does run. She’ll get pounded so badly we’ll likely never hear from the twit again.

        • ruexperienced

          The media, which cannot stand her, still cannot live without her and the political drama she stirs up. She is great for headlines.

          And Palin cannot live without the criticism she gets from the media, because victimization is the glue that holds her fan base together. “Nobody has ever been picked on like her- we need to get behind her.”…..”I support her because she is the one the media hates and fears!!!” Of course if the media ever stopped picking on her, she would fade away.

          So my prediction is that Palin comes out every so often saying or doing something so controversial that she gets slammed by the media. This way her followers don’t desert her.

    • rightwingmom52

      To his credit, Perry is talking about Social Security reform.

      And I couldn’t agree with you more about Huckabee, although I’m one of those social conservatives who supposedly voted for him. Just another time I bucked the system.

      • JSobieski

        and only defensively.

        I support Perry, so don’t get me wrong. However, he is hardly articulating a solution to SS. So far, its all bumper sticker level stuff for him as well.

        The only candidates to go beyond bumper sticker at this point are:
        Huntsman, who may have the best plan
        Newt has some good random ideas, including EPA reform
        Cain has 999
        Romney has a weak brew coupled with a Chinese trade war

        Actual plans to get spending under control?
        Actual plans to reform entitlements?

        So far, its vaporware!

  • barleycorn

    Without question one of the greatest diary entries of all time. It matters not whether it is intended as satire or not. It’s awesomeness is so comprehensive that I’ve made my own diary response under the title “If Salvador Dali had been a pundit….”

  • blogforceone

    Several events she will be speaking at over the next several days will be more than enough to vault her to front runner status overnight. This will be the most anticipated and watched economic & foreign policy speech in human history when she speaks at the World Economic Forum in Seoul, So, Korea on the 10th of October.

    • acat

      Seriously?

      Mew

      • ruexperienced

        • acat

          . .. .

          • gekster

            that if you post a picture of her,
            they will declare ogiarput on you.

    • Bill S

      Jeff’s right. This is an illness.

      Unless, of course, your comment is intended as sarcasm, in which case I apologize.

    • http://908StraightSt.wordpress.com/ mbecker908

      You still haven’t even attempted to address the issues with Palin’s run that I pointed out last week.

      Are you a coward or ignorant or just stupid?

      • gekster

        5 times a day he has to go to his basement,
        face north, and pray to a carabue statue.

        It might take a few.

  • Danielle Davis (ocleverone)

    This campaign cycle is already a free for all with supporters of one candidate bashing supporters of another candidate, usually personally. Compounding that, the candidates are already starting the mudslinging of each other. We are on the verge of looking like raving lunatics or democrats – take your pick.

    By dreamily throwing Palin into the mix (since she missed her own deadline) just adds to the cacophony.

    I like Palin, but I don’t worship at the altar of St. Sarah. I believe that adding her to this fray will cost us the White House in 2012.

    • rightwingmom52

      While I’m not sure Palin running would cost us the White House, I wholeheartedly agree with everything else, especially your first paragraph.

      • Danielle Davis (ocleverone)

        I think it would. The left loathes Palin. While most of them can’t tell you why they loathe her, they do. I think it would galvanize them to get out the “anyone but Palin” vote

        We are going to be so exhausted and bloated from eating our own, I don’t think there will be the energy to fight like we would need to fight.

        • acat

          The top three polarizing people who could potentially run in 2012 are…

          Obama. He’s now polling *below* Generic Republican, and .. “It’s the economy, stupid!”.

          Hillary. Don’t think for a minute all the “vast right wing conspiracy” stuff from Bubba’s terms won’t come back to bite her.. hard. Including, by the way, Hillarycare.

          Palin. We’re often reminded how much the left (and their media proxies) hate her .. and yet, that’s seen as a net positive. I view it as horribly unfair but a net negative because elections are won and lost in the middle, and she has a harder time getting there.

          We need a non-polarizing candidate who can defeat any Dem. Pailin does not meet either criteria, she would immediately make the election about her .. and all the Dems have to do is put up a reasonable facimilie of Richardson and they win.

          Mew

  • streiff

    now I feel better