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		<title>Let Obama and the Democrats OWN the Fiscal Cliff</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/09/let-obama-and-the-democrats-own-the-fiscal-cliff/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/09/let-obama-and-the-democrats-own-the-fiscal-cliff/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 09 Nov 2012 22:08:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=160</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Fellow conservatives, it is really not in my nature to be a doomsayer. I generally like to think the best about the country and its future because, by and large, we have really great people keeping her afloat amidst really tough economic times. But I have come to a conclusion regarding the impending Fiscal Cliff&#8230;a conclusion that cannot be avoided or contradicted in any way, &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/09/let-obama-and-the-democrats-own-the-fiscal-cliff/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Fellow conservatives, it is really not in my nature to be a doomsayer. I generally like to think the best about the country and its future because, by and large, we have really great people keeping her afloat amidst really tough economic times.</p>
<p>But I have come to a conclusion regarding the impending Fiscal Cliff&#8230;a conclusion that cannot be avoided or contradicted in any way, shape or form:</p>
<p><em><strong>Thanks to Obamacare and the federal government&#8217;s inability to live within its means, the country is heading back to recession.</strong></em></p>
<p>Bloggers on the left are whining about the need for Republicans to work with Democrats, citing a mandate resulting from last Tuesday&#8217;s shameful performance on the part of the American public. To those bloggers, and the soggy wimps on our side who don&#8217;t want the idiots who voted Obama back into office to hurt us, I say this:</p>
<p><em><strong>REAP THE WHIRLWIND, VOTING PUBLIC. YOU VOTED FOR WHAT US ABOUT TO HAPPEN.</strong></em></p>
<p>This isn&#8217;t a hyperbolic overreaction to the election results. It&#8217;s an acknowledgement that elections have consequences&#8230;and that some people in this country need to learn a cold, hard lesson.</p>
<p>I find it more than mildly amusing that the same people who have been doing victory dances over Obama&#8217;s re-election are now crowing for Republicans to save them from the fiscal cliff&#8230;a cliff that promises cuts in entitlement spending, education funding, and unemployment funding that the left holds so very near and dear to their hearts. Are we now to come up with a &#8220;grand bargain&#8221; to keep SOME tax cuts in place while slashing funding for national defense&#8230;all the while bloating the rest of the federal budget that borrows from China (with interest) and prints money to cover massive deficits?</p>
<p>If I was House Speaker (John Boehner, I&#8217;m talking directly to you), I&#8217;d say the following&#8230;and I&#8217;d say it on national television:</p>
<p><em>Barack Obama campaigned on ending the &#8220;evil&#8221; Bush tax cuts, reducing wasteful spending, and giving everyone a &#8220;fair shot&#8221;. The much-dreaded &#8220;fiscal cliff&#8221; accomplishes each of those campaign promises. Therefore, House Republicans will allow the Bush tax cuts to expire, will agree to the across the board spending cuts as a result of the deficit reduction deal we made last session, and will advise the country to brace itself for the coming impact of Obamacare and its mandate/tax increases and $716 billion in Medicare cuts.</em></p>
<p>There it is, Mr. Speaker&#8230;your ready-made response to Barack Obama&#8217;s pitiful, divisive rhetoric of earlier today. Elections have consequences&#8230;among them are an adherence to the campaign wishes of the prevailing party and their &#8220;mandate&#8221;.</p>
<p>And to the American public, put away your hankies. <em><strong>I DON&#8217;T FREAKING WANT TO HEAR IT.</strong></em><strong> </strong>You knew what this guy was all about&#8230;he told you EXACTLY how he would govern&#8230;and precisely what his plan for the country was.</p>
<p>You ignored it&#8230;you bought the bag of cat crap&#8230;now live with it.</p>
<p>By the way, that includes you people in WI, IA, NV, MN, MI, OH, FL, VA. YOU handed this creep and his fellow creeps on the senate another two years, at minimum, behind the wheel. As streiff, brilliantly pointed out in his diary, it is now time to enjoy that warp-speed voyage toward the cliff you cared so little about when you voted. Perhaps next time you will give deeper thought to voting for someone who can move the country forward instead of supporting a lying, thieving, slandering coward who sold you snake oil not once but TWICE.</p>
<p>Does this seem harsh? I&#8217;ve got news for you. I now have to raise my kids under the boot of a devalued dollar, Obamacare, and a pool of enemies abroad who are eating their way to the center of our nation. HARSH is what future generations have to endure thanks to last Tuesday.</p>
<p>I&#8217;ve said my peace. If Republicans have any stones, they&#8217;ll do this very thing. It&#8217;s our only hope of shaking mindless idiots out of the delusion that liberalism is good for the country&#8230;and thus, the best hope we have of taking America back before it&#8217;s too late.</p>
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		<title>Congratulations, American Voting Public&#8230;Here Is What YOU Voted For Yesterday</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/07/congratulations-american-voting-public-here-is-what-you-voted-for-yesterday/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/07/congratulations-american-voting-public-here-is-what-you-voted-for-yesterday/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Nov 2012 15:18:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=151</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Four more years. That&#8217;s what the American voting public just handed Barack Obama. You voters in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania and beyond&#8230;TAKE A BOW&#8230;this is what you have just handed the rest of America: 1. Obamacare&#8230;now cemented into law, affirmed by that idiot John Roberts, will begin to creep into our lives like a stalker in the night. For working Americans, &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/07/congratulations-american-voting-public-here-is-what-you-voted-for-yesterday/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Four more years. That&#8217;s what the American voting public just handed Barack Obama.</p>
<p>You voters in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Nevada, Pennsylvania and beyond&#8230;TAKE A BOW&#8230;this is what you have just handed the rest of America:</p>
<p>1. Obamacare&#8230;now cemented into law, affirmed by that idiot John Roberts, will begin to creep into our lives like a stalker in the night. For working Americans, this reality means being forced to purchase health insurance or pay new taxes. It means the watering down and ultimate dismantling of the greatest health care system on Earth as the most inefficient manager of fiscal resources in the history of the planet takes it over.</p>
<p>2. Persistent (and inevitably growing) U6 unemployment. Does that 7.9% U3 unemployment give you warm and fuzzies, people? I sure hope it does&#8230;because with the requirements of Obamacare rapidly approaching, you can expect businesses to continue to hire and adjust positions as they have since Obamacare was signed into law. That is, hiring part-time workers and forcing the American public (the portion that isn&#8217;t too lazy to work, that is) to work 2-4 (or more) part-time jobs to put bread on the table. But what does it matter that you will be working tirelessly driving from job to job? At least you&#8217;ll have <del>free</del> overpriced, government-run healthcare&#8230;courtesy of your re-election of Barack Obama.</p>
<p>3. $4-5/gallon gasoline. Thus far, the U.S government has succeeded in convincing the American public that goods and services priced in dollars have not been subject to inflation. Never mind that gas costs about twice what it did four years ago. Never mind that food costs exponentially more than it once did. But mark my words&#8230;you will feel the pounding impact of the massive devaluation of our dollar with each passing month. Our debt is climbing at a rate that our economy, growing at a paltry 1-2% each quarter, simply cannot sustain. But really, what do you care about that? You need your goodies from <del>the federal government</del> taxpayers and China&#8230;and Barack Obama was just the man to keep you dependent on them.</p>
<p>Of course, there is always the chance that the economy will fall off the cliff&#8230;and oil prices will sink like a stone in the ocean. Because, you know, that was SO good for the country when it last happened. I don&#8217;t think this nation&#8217;s fragile economy can stand another round of Obama&#8217;s economic destruction, but the country no longer cares about that&#8230;until we sink into recession/depression.</p>
<p>Oh, and as for energy independence, FORGET IT. Gone will be the Keystone Pipeline or any hope of increasing domestic production, which would have sent a message to OPEC and the rest of the crooks in the Middle East. Now we become more and more dependent on people who murder our soldiers and other patriots.</p>
<p>4. The continued acquiescence to Islamic radicals and other tyrants across the globe. Welcome to four more years of bowing to the most evil, threatening elements across the globe&#8230;all of whom can&#8217;t wait for the U.S to crumble and burn. But they&#8217;re worlds away from us, the American public&#8230;except, of course, when they burn our embassies, murder our ambassadors, and our government lies and covers it up&#8230;aided mightily by an adoring media who doesn&#8217;t give a s**t.</p>
<p>5. Massive debt. Nothing says &#8220;I could care less about the future of my children&#8221; than voting back into office a man who is picking their pockets&#8230;even before they have left elementary school. But why should this surprise us? This country handed senate seats to politicians in MO and IN who endorse, through their political support or in policy, the murdering of children before they have the chance to be born. And Joe Donnelly, spare me the song and dance about being pro-life. You run with Democrats, you bed with them. Don&#8217;t swim in a sewer and tell me you don&#8217;t smell like waste.</p>
<p>6. More Supreme Court justices like Ruth Bader Ginsberg. Personal freedom and liberty? Personal property and prosperity? Remember them with fondness as they dwindle in our rear-view mirror.</p>
<p>I have barely scratched the surface as to what last night means for America.</p>
<p>You know, some on our side will be tempted to blame the GOP establishment&#8230;blame Romney&#8230;blame the media&#8230;</p>
<p>You know what? I&#8217;m done pointing the finger at superficial elements. Last night happened due to one element and one element only:</p>
<p>THE AMERICAN PEOPLE</p>
<p>YOU asked for this, voting public.</p>
<p>YOU left the country in darkness for four more long years.</p>
<p>YOU put your trust in a left-wing radical who hates what made America the greatest nation on Earth&#8230;a radical who will turn this country into a larger-than-life replica of Greece. You think there are spoiled brats in Greece crying because they aren&#8217;t getting their <del>free</del> taxpayer-funded goodies? Wait until unsustainable becomes reality in this country and our debt-to-GDP ratio buries our economy&#8230;watch what happens when the spoiled brats who sent Obama back to the White House throw their tantrums. The riots will make the Vietnam War protests look like a picnic.</p>
<p>Most of all, YOU, American voting public, and YOU ALONE will be held responsible for what America becomes. When businesses begin paring down their workforces or closing their doors&#8230;when the food becomes so expensive that your massively-devalued dollar can no longer pay for it&#8230;when China replaces the U.S as the premier economic power and the yuan replaces the dollar as the world&#8217;s reserve currency.</p>
<p>When these things come to pass, I want YOU, the American public, to remember that YOU were responsible for this devolution. It is likely that, like Obama, you will point the finger at another when it happens. <em><strong>But sooner or later, you will have no one left to point a finger at</strong></em>. When all the money has left the United States and all that is left is a smoldering shell of what once was, you&#8217;ll know exactly who is responsible for failing to save the nation when she needed you most.</p>
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		<title>Indiana Hoosiers STAMPEDE To The Voting Stations On Election Day</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/06/indiana-hoosier-stampede-to-the-voting-stations-on-election-day/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/06/indiana-hoosier-stampede-to-the-voting-stations-on-election-day/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Nov 2012 15:30:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=146</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[WOW&#8230;and to think some on our side doubt where today is heading. Radio stations here in the Hoosier State are reporting massive Election Day turnout, even as early voting was thought to be down from 2008. For those keeping count: The Obama people were counting on large numbers of early voters to cushion the fall when Election Day rolled around. In reality, that didn&#8217;t happen&#8230;not &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/06/indiana-hoosier-stampede-to-the-voting-stations-on-election-day/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>WOW&#8230;and to think some on our side doubt where today is heading.</p>
<p>Radio stations here in the Hoosier State are reporting massive Election Day turnout, even as early voting was thought to be down from 2008.</p>
<p>For those keeping count: The Obama people were counting on large numbers of early voters to cushion the fall when Election Day rolled around. In reality, that didn&#8217;t happen&#8230;not by a long shot.</p>
<p>But this is Election Day&#8230;and I no longer believe&#8230;I KNOW today is going to change the course of history. We will take back the White House, Senate, and the direction of this country today&#8230;and it won&#8217;t even be close.</p>
<p>But don&#8217;t take my word for it. Have a look at Indiana Hoosiers in the smallest of towns early this morning:</p>
<p><a href="http://i1161.photobucket.com/albums/q513/APAGuy2012/ElectionDay2.jpg"><img src="http://i1161.photobucket.com/albums/q513/APAGuy2012/ElectionDay2.jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="768" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://i1161.photobucket.com/albums/q513/APAGuy2012/ElectionDay1.jpg"><img src="http://i1161.photobucket.com/albums/q513/APAGuy2012/ElectionDay1.jpg" alt="" width="1024" height="768" /></a></p>
<p>FYI, I had to step out of line to take that first picture&#8230;and the parking lot is completely packed. The line in the first picture (click for full picture) extended around the right corner. It was amazing. In all my years covering Indiana politics, I can&#8217;t remember this sort of excitement and eagerness to vote. We have voter enthusiasm on our side, my friends.</p>
<p>There are countless Romney/Ryan and Mourdock signs across the state. In the aforementioned polling place, the talk was overwhelmingly excited where Romney is concerned.</p>
<p>Yes, yes&#8230;I know&#8230;this is Indiana, not exactly a battleground state. But take note of the overwhelming enthusiasm on display here. Our side is getting our people to the voting booths in droves.</p>
<p>Work to the finish, my friends&#8230;NEVER STOP WORKING UNTIL THE FIGHT IS WON!</p>
<p>Yours in conservatism,</p>
<p>APA Guy</p>
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		<title>THIS is What the Unhinged Left Looks Like on the Eve of an Historic Election Loss</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/04/this-is-what-the-unhinged-left-looks-like-on-the-eve-of-an-historic-election-loss/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/04/this-is-what-the-unhinged-left-looks-like-on-the-eve-of-an-historic-election-loss/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 04 Nov 2012 17:38:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=140</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8230;and it couldn&#8217;t have been delivered by a more delicious source: the left&#8217;s own economics darling, NYT columnist and Nobel Laureate, Paul &#8220;the world as it should be, not reality&#8221; Krugman: HEADLINE: You&#8217;re Stupid If You Think It&#8217;s Close http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/reporting-that-makes-you-stupid/ Yes&#8230;that&#8217;s right&#8230;the &#8220;great&#8221; Paul Krugman, writing for the New York Times, is calling anyone who thinks the election doesn&#8217;t currently reflect an impending Obama blowout &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/11/04/this-is-what-the-unhinged-left-looks-like-on-the-eve-of-an-historic-election-loss/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8230;and it couldn&#8217;t have been delivered by a more delicious source: the left&#8217;s own economics darling, NYT columnist and Nobel Laureate, Paul &#8220;the world as it should be, not reality&#8221; Krugman:</p>
<p>HEADLINE:</p>
<p><a href="http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/reporting-that-makes-you-stupid/">You&#8217;re Stupid If You Think It&#8217;s Close</a></p>
<p>http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/03/reporting-that-makes-you-stupid/</p>
<p>Yes&#8230;that&#8217;s right&#8230;the &#8220;great&#8221; Paul Krugman, writing for the <em>New York Times</em>, is calling anyone who thinks the election doesn&#8217;t currently reflect an impending Obama blowout STUPID.</p>
<p>And who does Krugman cite in defending his oh-so-brilliant assertion? Why it&#8217;s none other than fellow left-wing pundit, Daily Kos blogger and poll cherry-picker, Nate Silver.</p>
<p>In other words, according to an Obama acolyte relying on the prediction of another, Obama is winning big&#8230;and anyone who doesn&#8217;t recognize this is&#8230;STUPID.</p>
<p>You know, I am reminded of my first substitute teaching gig at an Indiana high school back before the 2000 Election. I had a high school class that was intent upon discussing the election. I asked them to give me a show of hands as to who they were supporting:</p>
<p>Gore: 20</p>
<p>Bush : 1</p>
<p>I then asked the students to come list on the board, without any source materials to help them, the reasons they supported their candidates. Here is what I got:</p>
<p>Gore supporters: <em><strong>Bush is stupid</strong></em>; Bush is a communist (no joking here); Bush wants to kill old people; Bush is a smoker</p>
<p>Bush supporter: Bush is pro-life; Bush believes in low taxes</p>
<p>I then told the students to take their seats and cast their gazes on the board. I further tasked them with reading the party platforms, which I had brought with me, for 15 minutes. We had a re-vote:</p>
<p>Gore: 3</p>
<p>Bush: 18</p>
<p>In Krugman &#8211; and nearly every other committed leftist &#8211; I see the following sentiments shouted from the rooftops:</p>
<p>THE AMERICAN PUBLIC IS TOO STUPID TO KNOW WHAT IS BEST FOR THEM</p>
<p>THAT is what Krugman and Silver &#8211; to say nothing of Obama &#8211; are really saying when we discredit their left-leaning polls and point out early voting and enthusiasm advantages by Republicans heading into Election Day. Never mind what you are witnessing with your own eyes as the GOP is engaged in historic GOTV efforts that are already damaging Obama&#8217;s chances of re-election. Don&#8217;t you know that these POLLS POLLS POLLS are correct? You know, the polls from the NYT and NBC?</p>
<p>Here&#8217;s a little newsflash for you, Paulie:</p>
<p>The American public choosing greatness instead of Greece is not &#8220;stupid&#8221;, it&#8217;s SANITY. You&#8217;d best enjoy your last remaining weeks of an Obama presidency (AND Democrat senate) while you can. The strong, principled American public is coming to take the country back. To believe anything otherwise is <del>stupid</del> not realistic.</p>
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		<title>Michael Graham NAILS IT in the Boston Herald Today (SPOILER ALERT: Obama is FINISHED)</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/31/michael-graham-nails-it-in-the-boston-herald-today/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/31/michael-graham-nails-it-in-the-boston-herald-today/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2012 18:47:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=135</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Very few (even those writing from a perspective of reason and reality) capture precisely where the 2012 presidential election is headed when November 6 arrives. Michael Graham, writing a poignant piece for the Boston Herald, hit a grand slam today: http://www.bostonherald.com/news/opinion/op_ed/view.bg?&#038;articleid=1061171462&#038;format=&#038;page=1&#038;listingType=opi#articleFull Forget about the biased, inaccurate polling coming from the left. Skew the sampling +9 REPUBLICAN in Ohio and Romney wins that state by 10-12 &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/31/michael-graham-nails-it-in-the-boston-herald-today/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Very few (even those writing from a perspective of reason and reality) capture precisely where the 2012 presidential election is headed when November 6 arrives. Michael Graham, writing a poignant piece for the Boston Herald, hit a grand slam today:</p>
<p>http://www.bostonherald.com/news/opinion/op_ed/view.bg?&#038;articleid=1061171462&#038;format=&#038;page=1&#038;listingType=opi#articleFull</p>
<p>Forget about the biased, inaccurate polling coming from the left. Skew the sampling +9 REPUBLICAN in Ohio and Romney wins that state by 10-12 points. Loser polling massively over-sampling Dems is not the cause for hand-wringing. It is cause for mocking and debunking because anyone with a brain knows exactly what such polls are designed to do: depress GOP and Independent enthusiasm, because both are supporting Mitt Romney in a HUGE way.</p>
<p>Graham articulately points out where Barack Obama is right now in national polling:</p>
<blockquote><p>The president, on the other hand, has peaked at 47 percent. The Battleground Poll model shows Obama losing 52 percent to 47 percent. Rasmussen daily tracking has Obama losing 49 percent to 47 percent. Pew has him tied: 47 percent to 47 percent. But more important, all the polls show Obama sliding or stuck. None show any upward movement.</p></blockquote>
<p>He then points out how the Obama team&#8217;s rhetoric spells desperation&#8230;and how that GOTEV (Get Out The Early Vote) thing is working for Obama:</p>
<blockquote><p>Obama supporters are quick to tell you “the only poll that matters is the one on Election Day.” Two things: a) that’s what candidates who are behind always say; b) this <em>is</em> election day.</p>
<p>Thanks to early voting, millions of votes have already been cast. Four years ago on this day — Halloweek — Gallup released a poll of folks who’d already voted and found Obama was beating John McCain by 15 points.</p>
<p>This year? He’s losing to Mitt Romney 52 percent to 45 percent — a set swing of 22 points. The wrong way.</p></blockquote>
<p>I don&#8217;t know about you folks, but here in the Hoosier State I am seeing a swell of support for Romney that was nowhere to be found through the primaries. I am getting similar reports from my people in the Dayton, OH area.</p>
<p>But most of all, what I am getting is a general sense of Carter-esque malaise on the part of voters&#8217; attitude toward Barack Obama. One woman I spoke to in Englewood, OH sounded almost distraught that she had voted for Obama last time around. She reported scores of people within her orbit who felt the same way. And as an Indiana Hoosier, I don&#8217;t have to tell you how many voters here wish they could have a mulligan in the last election.</p>
<p>So to the hand-wringers, I leave you with this:</p>
<p><em><strong>PUT DOWN THE WORRY RAG&#8230;STOP DWELLING ON INACCURATE, SKEWED POLLS AND SPRINT TO THE FINISH LINE!</strong></em></p>
<p>We are on a path to taking America back that cannot be stopped by anyone if we stay strong, GOTV, and remain confident that the American voting public will vote the way we know they feel in this election. Independents are SWARMING to Romney. Our side is as excited to vote as I have seen since 1980. This may well be a landslide when all is said and done.</p>
<p>Keep working&#8230;keep the faith&#8230;and as always, remain strong in conservatism as the country continues to follow our lead!</p>
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		<title>CBS News/NYT Poll: Romney Leading Independents by 12 Points</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/30/cbs-newsnyt-poll-romney-leading-independents-by-12-points/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/30/cbs-newsnyt-poll-romney-leading-independents-by-12-points/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 31 Oct 2012 01:54:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=133</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As Captain America said, I can do this all day&#8230; Another day, another skewed poll we get to shoot holes into. This time, it&#8217;s the CBS News/NYT poll: Total respondents: 898 Democrat sample: 321 (36%) Republican sample: 242 (27%) Independent sample: 335 (37%) For liberals trolling RedState, that&#8217;s a 9-point Dem over-sampling count. Romney wins Independents by TWELVE (12) POINTS&#8230;wins on the economy, the deficit, &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/30/cbs-newsnyt-poll-romney-leading-independents-by-12-points/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As Captain America said, I can do this all day&#8230;</p>
<p>Another day, another skewed poll we get to shoot holes into. This time, it&#8217;s the CBS News/NYT poll:</p>
<p>Total respondents: 898</p>
<p>Democrat sample: 321 (36%)</p>
<p>Republican sample: 242 (27%)</p>
<p>Independent sample: 335 (37%)</p>
<p>For liberals trolling RedState, that&#8217;s a 9-point Dem over-sampling count.</p>
<p><em><strong>Romney wins Independents by TWELVE (12) POINTS&#8230;wins on the economy, the deficit, even immigration&#8230;yet Obama leads 48-47?</strong></em></p>
<p>Amidst a sea of polls skewed to favor Obama, this one may take the prize. CBS News/NYT pollsters have officially entered bizarro world with this disgrace of a polling sample.</p>
<p><em><strong>I will say this: Romney winning Independents by 12 points = LANDSLIDE victory a week from today&#8230;BANK IT.</strong></em></p>
<p>Keep up the great work, fellow conservatives. Let&#8217;s fight to the finish and take this country back!</p>
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		<title>ABC/WaPo Poll: Romney Leads Independents by 10%</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/29/abcwapo-poll-romney-leads-independents-by-10/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/29/abcwapo-poll-romney-leads-independents-by-10/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 29 Oct 2012 21:53:59 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=128</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oh sure, I know&#8230;that won&#8217;t be the headline of the most recent ABC/WaPo poll. The headline will be 49-49 tie. What the news accompanying the poll also won&#8217;t tell you is the following (verbatim from the poll transcript): &#8220;Partisan divisions in this survey, Democrats-Republicans-independents, are 35-28-34 percent among likely voters.&#8221; &#8220;Independents are customarily a more changeable group, as they’re less anchored by partisanship. They now &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/29/abcwapo-poll-romney-leads-independents-by-10/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Oh sure, I know&#8230;that won&#8217;t be the headline of the most recent ABC/WaPo poll. The headline will be 49-49 tie.</p>
<p>What the news accompanying the poll also won&#8217;t tell you is the following (verbatim from the poll transcript):</p>
<p><em><strong>&#8220;Partisan divisions in this survey, Democrats-Republicans-independents, are 35-28-34 percent among likely voters.&#8221;</strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>&#8220;Independents are customarily a more changeable group, as they’re less anchored by partisanship. They now divide 53-43 percent in Romney’s favor. Independents are a more GOP-leaning group now than in 2008&#8243;</strong></em></p>
<p>Source: http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1143a8TrackingNo8.pdf</p>
<p>In other words, ABC/WaPo had to slant this LV sample +7 Dem to achieve their desired result&#8230;which is the illusion of a tied race when Romney is clearly leading. This poll even has Romney winning the 94% of the GOP vote, while Obama wins Dems by a lesser 91%.</p>
<p><em><strong> But the race is TIED, folks&#8230;yep&#8230;it&#8217;s tied&#8230;when Obama has lower support among his own party and loses Indies by 10 points.</strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>It&#8217;s tied&#8230;in FANTASY LAND.</strong></em></p>
<p>I&#8217;m telling you, folks: This race is ours to win so long as keep our intensity and get our people to the voting booth. Democrats and the media/polling firms trying to drive their false narratives are increasingly desperate. They know defeat is knocking on their door, but I don&#8217;t want defeat.</p>
<p><em><strong>I want this guy TROUNCED.</strong> </em></p>
<p>I want him to lose not just North Carolina, Florida, Virginia and Ohio, but also Wisconsin&#8230;and Michigan&#8230;and Pennsylvania&#8230;and Nevada&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8230;and Iowa&#8230;and New Hampshire.</p>
<p>(By the way, he has already lost my beloved Hoosier State. I&#8217;d be shocked if he is within 10 points on Election Day)</p>
<p>I want our GOTV effort to be so overwhelming that it deters the next fluffy leftist who seeks to destroy this country and turn it into Greece.</p>
<p>I want to send a message loud and clear: AMERICA IS BACK.</p>
<p>God bless America. We continue to work to save her future until the battle is won a week from Tuesday.</p>
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		<title>(NOT) BREAKING: Obama leads in OH Poll Where Dems are MASSIVELY Over-Sampled</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/24/not-breaking-obama-leads-in-oh-poll-where-dems-are-massively-over-sampled/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/24/not-breaking-obama-leads-in-oh-poll-where-dems-are-massively-over-sampled/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 24 Oct 2012 20:42:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=124</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I&#8217;m sorry&#8230;I refuse to allow phony polls to sweep the narrative away from an increasingly-likely humiliating (and necessary) Obama defeat in a little less than two weeks. There is just too much at stake to allow the media and biased pollsters to sway swing voters with their misleading polling results. Time magazine released on OH poll today showing Obama winning Ohio 49-44. What the headline, &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/24/not-breaking-obama-leads-in-oh-poll-where-dems-are-massively-over-sampled/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m sorry&#8230;I refuse to allow phony polls to sweep the narrative away from an increasingly-likely humiliating (and necessary) Obama defeat in a little less than two weeks. There is just too much at stake to allow the media and biased pollsters to sway swing voters with their misleading polling results.</p>
<p>Time magazine released on OH poll today showing Obama winning Ohio 49-44. What the headline, as usual, does not elucidate is the massive over-sampling of Democrats that took place.</p>
<p>As per the internals (the BOTTOM of the internals), the party ID of those included in this sample was:</p>
<p>37% Democrat</p>
<p>29% Independent</p>
<p>28% Republican</p>
<p>http://timeswampland.files.wordpress.com/2012/10/timepoll.pdf</p>
<p>So once again, the national media grabs a poll in a crucial swing state and runs with it&#8230;knowing full well that it MASSIVELY over-samples Democrats.</p>
<p>In case you are wondering, Rasmussen has this race 48-48 in OH as of today&#8230;and his record of accuracy in the 2008 presidential election was solid gold. Rasmussen also has Romney leading by 4 points nationally (5 points in swing states), with Gallup showing Romney with a 3 point lead. Oh, and as for that 50+ Obama JAR, it is widely known that Obama wins the non-voting adult population by a large margin. Sadly for him, that matters not when those people don&#8217;t bother to vote. Gallup&#8217;s JAR samples ADULTS, not LVs (or even RVs).</p>
<p>Don&#8217;t expect the media (even on our side) to point this out, but I&#8217;ll be damned if I&#8217;m going to allow it to pass without so much as a mention on this blog.</p>
<p>Keep working, my friends! We have a path to victory and a terrific candidate in Romney, but the battle is far from won.</p>
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		<title>Romney Can Seal the Deal Tonight the Same Way I Opened the Eyes of My Students</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/22/romney-can-seal-the-deal-tonight-the-same-way-i-opened-the-eyes-of-my-students/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/22/romney-can-seal-the-deal-tonight-the-same-way-i-opened-the-eyes-of-my-students/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 22 Oct 2012 18:41:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=118</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As this last one-on-one match-up is a foreign policy debate, there will no doubt be a variety of topics discussed. There will certainly be extensive talk of Libya, Israel, Iran, and the European Union. There will also no doubt be an Obama attempt to use OBL&#8217;s death to his political advantage at some point during the 90-minute session. &#8230;and then there is CHINA&#8230; One of &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/22/romney-can-seal-the-deal-tonight-the-same-way-i-opened-the-eyes-of-my-students/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As this last one-on-one match-up is a foreign policy debate, there will no doubt be a variety of topics discussed. There will certainly be extensive talk of Libya, Israel, Iran, and the European Union. There will also no doubt be an Obama attempt to use OBL&#8217;s death to his political advantage at some point during the 90-minute session.</p>
<p>&#8230;and then there is CHINA&#8230;</p>
<p>One of the most frequent questions I receive in my classes is what China means to the future of the United States. Students are aware on a rudimentary level that we use a lot of products made in China. They are also aware to a lesser extent how China is growing as an economic power.</p>
<p><em><strong>What they are less aware of is how China is profiting from our willingness to pile on heaps of debt.</strong></em></p>
<p>At the moment, China holds $1.2 trillion in U.S government debt. When I notify my students of this inconvenient truth, they stare at me in amazement.</p>
<p>When I inform them that we are, in all reality, paying China interest to finance the accumulation of more and more debt, their eyes widen.</p>
<p>When I remind them that the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office is estimating that the national debt will, at minimum, cross the $22 trillion threshold by the end of the decade &#8211; and that China will benefit economically from this continuance &#8211; their jaws nearly hit the floor.</p>
<p>Frankly, I&#8217;d be shocked if any of my students votes for Barack Obama in November subsequent to being educated on the facts&#8230;and I have barely mentioned him by name in my classes.</p>
<p>If Mitt Romney has been looking for a way to inject the campaign&#8217;s premier issue &#8211; THE ECONOMY &#8211; into the debate tonight, he needs look no further than how China is padding its wallet by financing our skyrocketing debt. I suspect that conversation in front of a national audience may just whittle away any remaining hope Barack Obama has of being re-elected two weeks from tomorrow. It will also educate a nation of voters who are unaware of just how poorly we are conducting economic policy compared to our chief rivals in that arena.</p>
<p>In other words, an economy built on debt is much like household finances built on credit cards. Sooner or later, that household is destined to fail&#8230;just like the Obama economy.</p>
<p>(Oh, and if China isn&#8217;t enough to fill the unfulfilled moment when Romney buries Obama, let&#8217;s remind America how weak the purchasing power of our dollar is&#8230;inflation as evidenced by $4/gallon gas and milk&#8230;when our dollar is heavily weighed in value against the Euro&#8230;<em><strong></strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>THE EURO</strong></em>&#8230;</p>
<p>&#8230;the currency the EU uses&#8230;the same EU that is consistently in financial crisis because it&#8217;s members can&#8217;t get their budgets under control. It will be fun watching Obama squirm when he tries to tell the country that we&#8217;re not headed down the same path, courtesy of his economic policies.)</p>
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		<title>Why Democrats are Crying about Gallup&#8230;and Why They KNOW They&#8217;re in Trouble</title>
		<link>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/21/why-democrats-are-wailing-and-crying-about-gallup-and-why-they-know-theyre-in-trouble/</link>
		<comments>http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/21/why-democrats-are-wailing-and-crying-about-gallup-and-why-they-know-theyre-in-trouble/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 21 Oct 2012 17:56:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><a href="/users/apaguy/">APA Guy</a> (<a href="/apaguy/">Diary</a>)</dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/?p=113</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[If you have been following the polling roller coaster these past couple of weeks, you know that Mitt Romney&#8217;s polling support has done an &#8220;amazing&#8221; about-face subsequent to the first debate. I placed &#8220;amazing&#8221; in quotes because those of us who are familiar with the games that left-leaning pollsters play (i.e. trying to set the narrative with early polling in lieu of actually sampling and &#124; <a class="moretext" href="http://www.redstate.com/apaguy/2012/10/21/why-democrats-are-wailing-and-crying-about-gallup-and-why-they-know-theyre-in-trouble/">Read More &#187;</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>If you have been following the polling roller coaster these past couple of weeks, you know that Mitt Romney&#8217;s polling support has done an &#8220;amazing&#8221; about-face subsequent to the first debate. I placed &#8220;amazing&#8221; in quotes because those of us who are familiar with the games that left-leaning pollsters play (i.e. trying to set the narrative with early polling in lieu of actually sampling and reporting public opinion) are not all that amazed with the turn of events when RV results have been jettisoned and LV models are now being reported.</p>
<p>So what accounts for the weeping and gnashing of teeth that is coming from the left over Gallup&#8217;s recent results showing Romney leading by 6-7 points among LVs (7 points as of today, 10/21)?</p>
<p>In a word: REALITY</p>
<p>Josh Jordan, writing for the <em>National Review</em> this morning, published a terrific piece taking the LV sampling issue and applying it to Ohio, where Obama was thought to have a solid advantage just a few short weeks ago. He points out:</p>
<p>&#8220;<em>Romney is up big with independents</em>: In 2008 Obama beat John McCain by 8 percent among independents in Ohio. Of the seven current RCP polls that give independent numbers, Romney is up by an average of 8.7 percent. That’s a 16 percent swing in independents toward Romney from 2008′s numbers. If you assume equal turnout in 2012 as 2008 (using my number from above) but take Obama’s 8 percent edge with independents and give it Romney, that 4.6 percent 2008 margin becomes a tie. At that point, Romney would win if he chips away at the five-percent turnout advantage from 2008.&#8221;</p>
<p>Source:</p>
<p>http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/331046/ohio-closer-you-think-josh-jordan</p>
<p>In other words, the junk LV polls showing Obama winning (like today&#8217;s IBP/TIPP poll, which laughably shows Obama winning by 5.7% with a +7 Dem sampling advantage and Romney winning Indies by 6 points; IBP/TIPP also has Romney winning the South by ONE POINT, when all other polls have him whipping Obama in the South&#8230;and Obama winning 22% of the conservative vote!!!) are assuming LV turnout similar to or in excess of 2008, when Obama caught lightning in a bottle, didn&#8217;t have a terrible record to defend, and wasn&#8217;t vetted in the least.</p>
<p>Democrats &#8211; HONEST Democrats, like Pat Caddell, anyway &#8211; KNOW this to be true. That is why the left is SCARED TO DEATH about what Gallup and Rasmussen are reporting.</p>
<p>Gallup and Rasmussen, by comparison, are using LV sampling that actually represents the conservative and Republican enthusiasm that has swept the nation. They are also accounting for the lackluster Democrat enthusiasm that led to huge losses in the WI election and 2010 butt-kicking.</p>
<p>This, of course, has the lefties in a state of perpetual PANIC, as they cannot conceive of polling that accurately reflects public support and doesn&#8217;t drive their pitiful narrative i.e. that Obama just needs 4 more years&#8230;to look &#8220;forward&#8221; instead of scrutinizing Obama&#8217;s terrible job-performance.</p>
<p>Well guess what, Democrats? WE THE PEOPLE will decide who the next president is, not Chris Matthews or the Daily Kos. You pulled the wool over the eyes of voters once (including here in my beloved Hoosier State&#8230;a state that is set to undo that wrong in a little over 2 short weeks by voting Romney president and sending Mourdoch to the senate). Don&#8217;t expect pollsters to hold your hand, dress you in your jammies, and sing you a lullaby as your joke of a president has his rear end handed to him by voters reflective of the way he has damaged this country.</p>
<p>And to Republicans, I ditto the sentiments of Mark Levin: This isn&#8217;t over yet&#8230;we have work to do. Get your people to the polls. Persuade undecided voters that the future of the country is at stake. DRIVE THAT LAST NAIL IN OBAMA&#8217;S POLITICAL COFFIN by WORKING YOUR TAILS OFF TO SQUEEZE EVERY LAST VOTE OUT OF EVERY LAST CITY AND TOWN.</p>
<p>We have come too far to get outworked 2 weeks from victory. Let the polls be your fortification, not your motivation. We are motivated to TAKE AMERICA BACK. Let our blood and sweat lead us to victory in 2012.</p>
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