Below are the objective positive points for each of the top five candidates that will cause many Iowans to vote for them tomorrow:

Mitt Romney: Well spoken, knows the issues, got elected in a blue state, well funded, establishment support

Newt Gingrich: Well spoken, knows the issues, strategic and innovative thinker, conservative, lead the GOP out of the wilderness in 1994

Rick Perry: Proven winner, strong conservative, good looking, stands his ground

Rick Santorum: Fresh face, speaks well, knows the issues, no scandals/baggage, has personally worked very hard on the ground

Ron Paul: Anti-Washington reputation, strong libertarian positions, willing to take on the establishment

A few comments. I suspect that Romney voters are less fired up than others therefore Romney may under-perform his polling numbers.  Whom ever can capture the deer-in-headlights voters who finds themselves in the voting booth with no idea what to do except Not Romney, will over-perform their polling numbers. A major miscalculation I think some are making concerns Rick Santorum. While we political junkies know he got clobbered in 2006, I am not sure the average Iowa voter really cares much about how Pennsylvania voted over five years ago. In comparison to Romney, Gingrich, Perry and Paul, Santorum is a new face without the baggage of the former two, the lack of articulation of Perry or the unusual tangents of Paul.

At this point it seems to be a wide open race with any of the top five in position to win. If the finishing percentages are something like 23-19-18-17-16-5-2 it would be in line with my expectations.  Beyond Michelle Bachmann at 5% and Jon Huntsman at 2% I have no idea who’s name will go next to each number.