Over the course of my political lifetime most presidential races ended up going the way you would expect them to. In 1980 Carter was awful, the economy was awful, hostages in Iran, killer rabbits in Georgia. It was no contest really. Once people were reassured that Ronald Reagan wouldn’t launch a nuclear strike at 12:01 pm January 20, the choice made itself. In 1984 the | Read More »
There is an article at Politico this evening that purports to preview Mitt Romney’s “hard-line strategy” for the first debate. According to Politico the secret plan is being telegraphed by Romney himself and other important Republicans. The plan is for Romney to “fact check” Obama even though Karl Rove doesn’t like that terminology. I think that approach would be disastrous for Romney. Although he is | Read More »
I don’t know if the polls are skewed or not but they certainly are in disagreement with each other. Below are some facts and figures with lots of links so you can make up your own mind. Thanks to polls, Harry Truman will always be the patron saint of political underdogs, yet by and large most polls come reasonably close to being accurate. However, sometimes | Read More »
There is a superb piece by Jeffrey Lord at The American Spectator today. Entitled How Carter Beat Reagan it details the arrogant mendacity of the liberal press with a special focus on the New York Times in 1980. Throughout that campaign the NYT attempted to help Jimmy Carter by slanting its coverage of the polls in what it deemed the swing states of that era. | Read More »
Why are high profile “conservatives” such as Noonan and Bill Krystal behaving like clueless punks? Its bad enough that the media is in the tank for Obama and reacting like lunatics every time Mitt Romney opens his mouth. Why are these “conservatives” fueling the fire? Noonan apparently refereed to the Romney Campaign as a “rolling calamity”. Why? What has been so bad about the campaign? | Read More »
In politics as in life in general, there is never an action without a reaction. As the media has become more and more an arm of the Democratic Party, their countrymen have not failed to notice. According to Gallup’s latest poll on how much we trust the media, the numbers are not good for Brian Williams and his fellow propagandists. Sixty percent of Americans either | Read More »
Jay Cost has another excellent piece today in which he again demonstrates that Obama is in a weak polling position despite the headlong rush by the media to declare him re-elected by acclimation. Also the latest Rasmussen tracking poll is out and Obama’s 2 point lead from yesterday has fallen to just a single point today. That would suggest that 47%-gate has already dissipated and | Read More »
I got a call this evening from someone who claimed to be (and indeed sounded like) a local Democrat asking me if I planned to support Obama “again” this year. I was mildly puzzled until I remembered that I voted in the Democratic Primary in 2008. (McCain had already wrapped it up and I had a very bad feeling about Obama). I assume the Romney | Read More »
We are inundated daily with a brain numbing soul wrenching miasma of polling information. With that information comes mountains of punditry that is based entirely on those polls. Even serious and talented people can’t seem to get past those polls even while they point out methodological problems with same. I enjoy Sean Trende’s analysis as much as anyone’s because he generally lays a strong foundation | Read More »
I am a Christian. A Born Again Christian. I believe in the Bible and that it is the word of God. I was brought up in a Christian home by parents each of whom talk the talk and walk the walk. My mother has never voted. My father last voted in 1960 for Richard Nixon. Though he no longer voted, my dad has retained a | Read More »
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