The Nielsen numbers are out, and wow, they are good. Sarah Palin’s speech, despite being carried on only six channels compared to Obama’s ten, despite the lack of a huge venue or months of hype, was viewed by only a million fewer people than Barack Obama’s Speech o’ the Century.
Via Clayton, a few notable facts: Palin beat Obama in Persons 55+ (reliable voters!) and multi person white households; in the 18-34 demo (Obamas home base) Palin drew 81% of his audience; In the 18-49 demo she drew 88% of his audience; Palin trounced Biden in all categories except multi-person black households. And here’s more from Nielsen itself:
- The Sara Palin speech generated 37.2 million viewers, just a 1.1 million viewers short of Barack Obama’s record-breaking speech on Day 4 of the Democratic Convention. The Palin speech was carried on only six networks while the Obama speech was carried on ten (including BET, TV One, Univision and Telemundo).
- Palin attracted a large female audience (19.5 million women, or 4.9 million more than Day 3 of the Democratic Convention).
- Ratings for viewers 55+ (25.2) continue to be about ten times higher than for teens (2.2)
- Day 3 for the GOP attracted more Hispanic viewers (1.4 million) than Day 3 of the Democratic Convention (1.2 million), even though Univision and Telemundo did not carry the speech.
That last point is astounding. Even though it’s not a huge number, the fact is that Barack Obama had a ton of built in advantages for his speech – whereas the only one for Sarah Palin is that the media had placed expectations in such a negative way that everyone wanted to tune in (perhaps in hopes of a trainwreck?). And an excellent sign for the level of interest in Palin, and the number of people outside of the Twin Cities who viewed the speech as a defining event for this election.
Moe Lane
Dan McLaughlin
Dan Spencer
Jeff Emanuel
Neil Stevens
Caleb Howe
Daniel Horowitz
Yep, like I said yesterday -- the media's
septembergurl (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 4:39PM EDT (link)insane focus on tabloid trash and over-the-top ranting and attacks on Sarah guaranteed a huge audience for her great speech.
Hey, thanks, bottom-feeding scum!
CBS Poll - 8 Point Obama Lead Erased
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 4:49PM EDT (link)Half way home. I dont even think Palin really resonated until this morning. We are going to see a double digit bounce. I hope it settles into a steady five point lead.
CBS Poll - 8 Point Obama Lead Erased
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 4:50PM EDT (link)Half way home. I dont even think Palin really resonated until this morning. We are going to see a double digit bounce. I hope it settles into a steady five point lead.
Do you have any links to this poll?
Brian Hibbert (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 4:54PM EDT (link)Great news if true!
Candidate for Trustee of Illinois Central College
Socialism doesn’t work. It looks nice on paper, but it’s been tried and it’s failed miserably every time (usually accompanied by widespread death and suffering).
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CBS poll - tied
Darin_H (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 4:55PM EDT (link)link
A visionary coward says that anger can be power, as long as there’s a victim on TV – Flat Top, Goo Goo Dolls
The Good News
Swamp_Yankee (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 4:56PM EDT (link)http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2008/09/04/opinion/polls/main4416798.shtml
Wonderful! Thank you.
Brian Hibbert (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 5:10PM EDT (link)I knew she’d give us a bounce, but this is better than expected!
The Dems have cut their own throats by attacking Palin!
Candidate for Trustee of Illinois Central College
Socialism doesn’t work. It looks nice on paper, but it’s been tried and it’s failed miserably every time (usually accompanied by widespread death and suffering).
Proud member of the V.R.W.C.
Take back our party!
Check out Unified Patriots
So what can we take from that CBS poll?
Dave_in_Fla (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 5:20PM EDT (link)I’m not terribly familiar with the track record of the CBS poll, but regardless of internals, assuming that the methodology didn’t change, an 8 point shift does have some validity.
It was a weekend poll taken the weekend before the Democrat convention, and the weekend after. This means that the second weekend had the entire convention, including Obama’s speech factored in. It also had the Palin selection and the media feeding frenzy as part of the dynamics.
Now Rassmussen is showing Obama holding onto his 3 point convention bounce (which is a pretty low bounce by historic standards), but the track only has polling numbers from Monday through Wednesday this week (one of those days being Labor Day). It does not include the Palin speech from last night, which has been pointed out to be a huge ratings event. A LOT of people saw it, and today even MORE people are talking about it.
We should get a pretty good idea on the post convention state of the race by next Tuesday. At that point, the entire Rassmussen daily track will be based on post McCain and Palin speeches, and people will have had time to digest the results.
I personally expect to see a 3 point McCain lead in the Rassmussen track next Tuesday. If Obama holds his current bounce, it means that the electorate watched McCain and Palin and are rejecting what they hear. If we fall back to a tie, that means that the preconvention state is pretty close to the true feelings of the electorate and we are looking at a slugfest all the way to November.
But I don’t expect either of these scenarios. Palin will resonate with Middle America (you know the ones that actually vote). As long as McCain comes out as strong as he did at GOPAC, then a significant portion of fence sitters will make up their mind and we will see that historic shift toward the right-center candidate.
“If they were merely incompetent, then at least SOME of their actions would have been to the benefit of the country.” – Joe McCarthy
dont concern yourself so much with polls
kyle8 (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 5:25PM EDT (link)They are rarely accurate, and they shouldn’t matter as to what a campaign does.
This is our ticket, the only thing that counts now is campaigning and voting.
“Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty”
Kyle
that is huge news
Pentagon16 (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 5:35PM EDT (link)it doesn’t matter if the polls are accurate. We know they are NOT accurate!
they oversample by at least 3% the real number of democrats in the country. they are using a +9 democratic lead, when the last poll had it a +7 dem lead. that is 2% right there to add to McCain.
the REAL significance of polls is that the closer we can hang for the longest amount of time, the more:
it puts pressure on Obama, the more money will flow into the GOP, the more the fat cats will hedge their bets and possibly contribute to McCain, the more media will cover the gaffes of the libs, and the more exposure will be given to what Obama SAYS rather than his campaign bulletins..
“Small town folks get bitter after which they cling to guns or religion, or antipathy to people who aren’t like them, or anti-immigrant sentiment”- Barack Carter Obama
Kyle...smile once in a while....it's good for the soul....;^)...n/t
Attack Mode (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 5:37PM EDT (link)n/t
“Land of the Free and Home of da Whopper” Peter Griffin…Family Guy
conform and celebrate diversity….or else!!!
Steel-Belted Radial Right Winger
“I’ll create 5 million jobs from out of unicorn farts and pixie dust” Justatron paraphrasing Obamessiah…yes I love it that much.
Note on the hispanic numbers
Adam C (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 5:39PM EDT (link)These are comparing Palin’s night to Biden’s night. Palin only had about 25% the number of Hispanics that Obama had. That’s probably due to the lack of Univision and Telemundo coverage on Day 3.
Still, the overall numbers are crazy. And hopefully everyone was as impressed as the people in the convention hall.
______________________________________
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Adam...if they weren't impressed they didn't pay attention...;^)...n/t
Attack Mode (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 5:43PM EDT (link)n/t
“Land of the Free and Home of da Whopper” Peter Griffin…Family Guy
conform and celebrate diversity….or else!!!
Steel-Belted Radial Right Winger
“I’ll create 5 million jobs from out of unicorn farts and pixie dust” Justatron paraphrasing Obamessiah…yes I love it that much.
I am depressed
ILLINOIS_CONSERV (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 6:16PM EDT (link)that I live in a state with such a dismal chance of voting republican. I am counting on my good neighbors in Indiana to one again carry the state for the GOP. I hope the good people of PA, MI, and OH follow suit.
On a somewhat different topic, I hope McCain and Palin revisit the Tony Rezko, Jeremiah Wright, William Ayers connection to Obama. Someone needs to explain to me why does Obama get such a free pass when addressing his relationships with these crooks and cons? Can you imagine the outcry if McCain or Palin attended a racist, radical church for 21 years? They would be absolutely villified. And yet Obama tried to first deny hearing anything deragatory, and when that sounded ridiculous decided to admit that yes he did hear some disturbing comments from Wright. Well which is it Barry? If you are going to lie, at least pick a lie and stick with it. Rudy finally took off the gloves last nite and went after Obama. He knocked him silly before Palin took over and sealed the deal.
The only thing necessary for the triumph [of evil] is for good men to do nothing – Edmund Burke
We really, really need to send the MSM a thank-you note
Bill S (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 8:00PM EDT (link)for their Palin bashing of the last couple of days. Because of that, Gov. Palin got a MUCH larger viewership than would have occurred had their not been such a stink. In their zeal to destroy her, they accomplished the opposite.
Idiots. But we’re grateful for their idiocy this time.
“It’s such a fine line between stupid, and clever.” – David St. Hubbins
Speaking of Hispanics
scottbomb (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 8:16PM EDT (link)My daughter’s mom, who lives in El Paso, told me that McCain is more popular there than Obama. She was shocked because El Paso ALWAYS votes Democrat. This could get very interesting.
www.HowObamaGotElected.com
“The American people will never knowingly adopt socialism. But, under the name of ‘liberalism’, they will adopt every fragment of the socialist program, until one day America will be a socialist nation, without knowing how it happened.” – Norman Thomas, U.S. Socialist Party presidential candidate 1940, 1944 and 1948
she mighta ricked a little too much
stars_bars Thursday, September 4th at 11:08PM EDT (link)palin out-shined mccain. seems like she should take a steo back. her place is behind her new man.
Multiple violator
civil truth (Diary) Thursday, September 4th at 11:17PM EDT (link)And a poster child for a liberal bigot’s wet dreams about conservatives
The greatest evil…is conceived and ordered (moved, seconded, carried, and minuted) in clean, carpeted, warmed, and well-lighted offices, by quiet men with white collars and cut fingernails and smooth-shaven cheeks who do not need to raise their voice. Hence, naturally enough, my symbol for Hell is something like the bureaucracy of a police state or the offices of a thoroughly nasty business concern. -C.S. Lewis
Sarah Palin rating updated 40 millions
timeends Thursday, September 4th at 11:36PM EDT (link)Yep, I heard about it few minutes ago from Kevin James, krla870. 40 MILLIONS! Hooah! She rocks!
a woman kicked ass last night!
eyedsman Friday, September 5th at 12:07AM EDT (link)sarah kicked ass last night!!!
“What most people really object to when they object to a free market is that it is so hard for them to shape it to their own will. At the bottom of many criticisms of the market economy is really lack of belief in freedom itself.”
– Milton Friedman, W