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In Kansas, Newt Gingrich is losing to Obama 40% to 45%, according to SurveyUSA. In Kansas.

By: Benjamin Hodge (Diary)  |  November 26th, 2011 at 02:27 AM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

Poll from SurveyUSA, conducted Nov. 18-21, 2011.

“Sure, it’s early, and yes, a lot will change, but in an preview of the 2012 Presidential election, cell phone voters (those without a home telephone, typically undercounted in opinion polls), vote sufficiently Democrat to keep Mitt Romney to just a single-digit lead over Barack Obama, and, for the moment, cause Obama to defeat Newt Gingrich.

Kansas’ 6 electoral votes will almost certainly stay in the Republican column (John McCain carried the state by 15 points in 2008), but in hypothetical head-to-head match-ups between the two Republican front-runners today, 11/22/11, it’s:

* Romney 48%.
* Obama 39%.

* Obama 45%.
* Gingrich 40%

* Among respondents who use a home phone, Romney leads Obama by 14. But among respondents who do not use a home phone (the cell-phone respondents), Obama leads Romney by 4, an 18-point difference.

* Among respondents who use a home phone, Gingrich leads Obama by 3 points. But among respondents who do not use a home phone, Obama leads Gingrich by 24 points, a 27-point difference.

* Romney has a Minus 9 favorability rating: 25% see him favorably, 34% see him unfavorably.
* Gingrich has a Minus 22 favorability rating: 25% see him favorably, 45% see him unfavorably.”

For more internal information about the poll (breakdown by party, age, gender, etc.), click here to go the the SurveyUSA poll.

H/T Race42012.com.

______________________

Connect with Benjamin Hodge at Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, The Kansas Progress, and LibertyLinked. Hodge is President of the State and Local Reform Group of Kansas.  He served as one of seven at-large trustees at Johnson County Community College from 2005-’09, a member of the Kansas House from 2007-’08, a delegate to the Kansas Republican Party from 2009-’10, and was founder of the Overland Park Republican Party in 2011.  His public policy record is recognized by Americans for Prosperity, the Kansas Association of Broadcasters,the Kansas Press Association, the Kansas Sunshine Coalition for Open Government, the NRA, Kansans for Life, and the Foundation for Individual Rights in Education (FIRE).

 


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  • nathanalbright

    …or is this another one of the “Romney is the most electable candidates” posts?

  • Xasteius

    in Kansas, as most polls do show Romney has the lead over Obama.

  • Menlo

    It doesn’t really support anyone. I think it says a lot that both are under the 50-percent mark in Kansas. Obama is not faring as poorly as most Republicans seem to think, and he cannot so easily be beat.

    Of course there are a lot of people saying Newt would fare best against Obama. Given how well and widely known he is, this should serve as even more of a reality check for those people.

    I don’t know about Kansas, but I honestly don’t think any of the candidates is electable.

  • Common_Cents

    State & national primary polls are one thing as far as capturing snapshots at a given point,
    but these long term “vs. obama” polls are totally worthless.

    We still have 7-8 candidates, with splintered support, often attacking each other and not obama.

    Obama gets to run against the field, candidates have to run against each other.

    Until we get down to a couple candidates or have a nominee is the only time any polls vs. Obama will start to have any relevance.

    Even during the general we’ll see some significant fluctuations back and forth.

  • heraklios

    we’re still not voting for Romney…either in the primary or the general election….

  • gekster

    then he should get our vote in the general.
    If you don’t want to have to vote for Romney in the general,
    then do what you must to see he loses in the primary.

    Conservative in the primary, Repuplican in the general.
    It has been a standing rule here at RS since I have been here.
    And no mater what a moderator or front pager says about not
    voting for x or y because of, well that is thier problem to overcome, not yours.

    Anything else is just throwing a fit because you couldn’t or didn’t get the guy you wanted. and ANYTHING would be better than Obama.
    JMHO

  • Menlo

    We are not amused.

  • naraht

    Sometimes I think some of these Polling places do Kansas just to be different as opposed to providing much useful information. As far as I’m concerned any poll in a state that voted for the same party in 2004 and 2008 indicates that the pollster was bored*. Yes, it is entirely possible that a state could vote differently than it did in both 2004 & 2008, but for that to happen, all or almost all of the states that split would have to tip one way or another.

    *Arizona is an exception due to possible favorite-son issues.