We’ve been watching the President of the United States hyperventilate in shock over the fact that publicly-owned financial companies pay bonuses even when they lose money. It’s really hard not to get the impression that Obama is playing to the galleries here. He and David Axelrod were probably blindsided by the public furor that this news kicked up, even though the Administration was well aware that the bonuses would be paid, so they decided to jump in front of the parade.
Let’s leave aside the critically important question of whether the government should force AIG to break the contracts it freely made with its employees, and acknowledge that the public wants a pound of flesh. Even though there is a principled case to be made in favor of the bonuses, principle is something Obama has never known or cared anything about.
It makes more sense, rather, that he decided he’d better turn AIG into the bete noir, or else he’d see the people’s righteous anger turned on himself, heaven forfend. As always with this President, politics trumps policy.
But I need to clarify an important point that is getting thrown around by a lot of people this morning: the idea that a lot of the money that taxpayers gave AIG was actually paid out by AIG to other, perfectly healthy banks and investment firms, and also to some banks that themselves received government assistance.
Perfectly true, and perfectly misleading.
AIG got into trouble because it wrote credit-default swaps, which function like insurance policies on debt securities. When the market moves against a CDS writer, he will always be required by his counterparties to deposit additional collateral with them, in order to ensure performance in case a protected security does default.
That’s what happened to AIG, to the tune of about $75 billion in mid-September alone. Of course this money got paid out to a lot of other companies. Who do you think bought the CDS insurance from AIG in the first place? The whole point of marking collateral positions to market is to make the overall system more stable by ensuring payment on the swaps.
If some of the people commenting on this story got their way, and AIG had not paid on its collateral calls, you’d see suddenly-undercapitalized banks and technical defaults happening all over the world. This is precisely why we have a TARP program: it was proposed three days after the AIG takeover to deal with the fallout from that event. If AIG had failed outright, we would indeed have had a total financial meltdown, instead of the far milder disruptions we actually got.
You may think a global depression and a stock market collapse are pretty bad, but they’re practically nothing, compared to how things might have gone last September. I’m getting very annoyed at the people who are saying AIG should have been left to fail. I’m sure those same people would be mightily exercised if their paychecks were to bounce and their money-market accounts had been frozen.
Yes, indeed, let’s punish AIG good and hard. Let’s even take away their trader’s bonuses. But let’s not misunderstand the gravity of the situation they caused.
Steve Maley
Neil Stevens
I want some of them in jail...
liberalrepublican (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:07PM EST (link)How is this different from the mob?
They risked OTHER people’s money knowing that if it worked (even temporarily) they would get rich and if it didn’t or when it crashed, they would walk away with millions.
Other people (in this case, taxpayers) are stuck holding the bag.
How is this different from the mob taking over a restaurant, running up huge debts and torching the place when there is no more credit?
Nicer suits and fancy degrees are about the only difference I see.
“Broadly speaking, liberalism emphasizes individual rights and equality of opportunity. … including extensive freedom of thought and speech, limitations on the power of governments, the rule of law, the free exchange of ideas, a market or mixed economy”
Sorry, but not buying ANY of it...
USNJIMRET (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:09PM EST (link)Particularly the “He and David Axelrod were probably blindsided by the public furor that this news kicked up, even though the Administration was well aware that the bonuses would be paid, so they decided to jump in front of the parade.” part.
It is my completely inexpert opinion that this whole AIG thing is nothing but a smoke screen.
A “play to the gallery” as you noted, but intended to make as many people as possible focus on the right hand, while the left hand slips yet another knife in our collective backs.
When “earmarks” are inserted in all manner of other bills, it can be next to impossible to figure out who did it.
But this Dodd inserted language that exempts, very specifically, AIG contracts from bonus payments? THIS we know all about without even a little bit of waffling?
Kind of stinks to me.
There is some other agenda at work here and, yes, it might even be called a plan, agenda or conspiracy.
And, so far, it’s working.
As I've written elsewhere, I'm in favor of AIG's traders not getting bonused.
Francis Cianfrocca (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:16PM EST (link)At least not the ones in the CDS group.
I think you’re saying that the Administration and Congress are actually using the public anger to pull a bait-and-switch, and have no intention of letting AIG’s people take any pain. You very well could be right. I’ve read the term sheets on the credit facility and preferred stock that AIG got, and there’s clear language in there which suggests that the existing employment contracts could be challenged. Given that, why is the government pulling its punches?
My problem is with people who say that AIG shouldn’t have gotten public money only to dish it out to other companies.
Contracts Contracts Contracts
Thomas_Hauber Tuesday, March 17th at 2:56PM EST (link)As long as AIG is not in bankruptcy proceedings there is little anyone can do about these bonuses. There are contracts in place and from what CNBC noted if AIG refused to honor them they would be on the hook for up to double the amount.
What did anyone expect? You loan a bunch of money to a public company and management remained intact. Of course they are going to conduct business as usual.
You are all missing something re: AIG
tedpomeroy (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:19PM EST (link)AIG was headed by a Republican by the name of Hank Greenberg until 2005.
Democrat Elliott Spitzer who was NY Attorney General at that time went on a withhunt at AIG, Greenberg was sacrificed to back Spitzer off and the AIG financial statements were restated.
Then AIG began writing these credit default swaps for much of Wall Street that enabled them to do sub-prime mortgages.
Do you get it? Something smells around Senators Schumer, Clinton and Chris Dodd and AIG! And Spitzer was the hatchet man!
Dodd and Obama recieved over $100K from AIG
Old_Crow (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:57PM EST (link)in campaign donations last year.
“Enlightened statesmen will not always be at the helm.” — James Madison
Republican Hank Greenberg? This does not pass the smell test
Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:57PM EST (link)If you knew the history of AIGFP, Hank Greenberg and Howard Sosin you would be feeling pretty foolish right now.
“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson
greenburg contributions
tedpomeroy (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 2:37PM EST (link)where did he put his money?
How about we start with why AIG was even in the CDS business?
Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:26PM EST (link)The thought that since AIG was in the insurance business, CDS was natural line for them is mind boggling. I doubt, and believe history shows that very few people including their so-called legendary financial risk staff understood the risks. Early on, the Street knew AIG was holding a huge amount of the CDS risk; my only question is why the regulators didn’t? I guess everyone has also forgotten that Chris Dodd and Barack Obama were AIG’s to biggest political recipients. Plus he voted “present” on the original AIG bailout and is knee deep in the whole mess;
http://www.weeklystandard.com/weblogs/TWSFP/2008/09/required_reading_obama_and_aig.asp
I guess he is counting on short memories, long winded rhetoric and shoe shining acolytes.
By the way, I won’t defend bonuses for anyone involved in creating this mess. But most other units of AIG actually make money and until we get more specifics, I will hold my fire.
That said, contractual commitments which are not recent epiphanies should be blamed on the ridiculous people in Congress that approved this nonsense (including Mr. “Present”). In a bankruptcy court, they would have been one of the first items cross off the list.
“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson
It's simple...
liberalrepublican (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:47PM EST (link)They knew the risks. They knew it would collapse. They didn’t care – they knew they would get rick.
They also knew they could fleece shareholders for billions until it did collapse.
Imagine if I borrowed money from you, bet it on football games, kept the winnings and told you tough luck when I finally lost.
That is exactly what happened.
Pure criminal intent.
“Broadly speaking, liberalism emphasizes individual rights and equality of opportunity. … including extensive freedom of thought and speech, limitations on the power of governments, the rule of law, the free exchange of ideas, a market or mixed economy”
The evil corporate conspiracy?
Brian Hibbert (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 2:11PM EST (link)Knowingly fleecing the company knowing they would kill it?
Not likely.
More likely is the rampant optimism that Paul Cella talks about here:
http://www.redstate.com/paul_j_cella/2009/03/16/300-optimists/
These people were doing what they saw as an easy way to make money. They knew there was some risk involved, but they didn’t expect to have to pay off on more than a handful of these CDS contracts (more likely they didn’t expect to pay off on any of them). The idea of a total collapse in the market didn’t occur to them,.
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Maybe...
liberalrepublican (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 2:46PM EST (link)And maybe the mob just lost track of the restaurant’s line of credit. And maybe the fire was caused by a faulty wire.
The guys on Wall St had absolutely nothing to lose and everything to gain by trying to find the riskiest investments possible with the most short term upside.
They were very clever. A business owner would never be so bold – but these guys set up so they couldn’t lose and only win.
They walked away with billions.
And left me and my children holding the bag.
Greatest criminal minds in the history of the world.
And bullet proof deniability – “Well, golly gee, we never imagined that people making $40k couldn’t afford half million dollar houses. Gosh, who could have seen that coming???”
“Broadly speaking, liberalism emphasizes individual rights and equality of opportunity. … including extensive freedom of thought and speech, limitations on the power of governments, the rule of law, the free exchange of ideas, a market or mixed economy”
corporate types don't want to destroy the company
icbm (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 3:08PM EST (link)they may push the envelope, but they are under a lot of scrutiny and their own personal interests are usually aligned with the company as well.
Criminal intent is not required to explain the outcome.
Brian Hibbert (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 3:14PM EST (link)And criminal intent also would make it more complicated for the AIG crew to commit these acts. After all, these guys would have preferred to stick around and keep writing the CDS contracts and continue to make big money forever.
The simple and obvious explanation is usually the correct one.
By the way, the AIG guys weren’t doing the actual loan approvals. That was done at the mortgage issuer level. They were writing what I’d loosely call insurance contracts on the CDO’s which were supposed to be low risk bonds backed by pools of mortgages. Their failure was to miscalculate the “low risk” label and they ended up backing FAR more of these things than they could ever hope to pay off if they all crashed at once. They just never thought all that AAA paper would drop to next to nothing in value. As I said, I suspect they never expected to pay off on even 1% of these contracts.
Candidate for Trustee of Illinois Central College
Socialism doesn’t work. It looks nice on paper, but it’s been tried and it’s failed miserably every time (usually accompanied by widespread death and suffering).
Proud member of the V.R.W.C.
Take back our party!
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I'll take your side
liberalrepublican (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 3:36PM EST (link)They are either stupid or criminal
1) a stupid guy wouldn’t realize that someone making $40k/year can’t afford a half million dollar house even if they can keep it by refinancing in a housing run up. But a criminal would realize know but wouldn’t care
3) a stupid guy wouldn’t know a housing run up can’t go on forever. But a criminal would know that by the time it ended they would have billions in their bank accounts.
They have to be either criminals or the dumbest people ever allowed to manage money and should never be allowed to even remotely touch someone else’s money for the rest of their lives.
“Broadly speaking, liberalism emphasizes individual rights and equality of opportunity. … including extensive freedom of thought and speech, limitations on the power of governments, the rule of law, the free exchange of ideas, a market or mixed economy”
Liberalrepublican, they didn't know anything about the mortgages....
Brian Hibbert (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 3:56PM EST (link)They didn’t have ANY info about the mortgages that backed the CDOs that the CDS contracts were written on. The mortgages were written by loan originators who sold them to companies like Lehman Bros who packaged them up and sold them in tranches.
What they had was an understanding of the idea of tranches (conglomerate the loans into a pool and divide the pool into different risk profiles so that any 1 loss wasn’t a hit to only 1 bond, since you know computers it’s somewhat like the idea of raid). They also had rating agencies that said the bonds were AAA rated. They had historical references that said that mortgage default rates were very low. And they had people offering big money for them to write “insurance” to cover the bonds in the event of a default.
They weren’t exactly dumb, but they did have a blind spot to the risk of a complete collapse in housing. It was just something they didn’t consider a likely occurrence. Turns out the very thing they didn’t expect to happen was exactly the thing that DID happen. Again back to the computer analogy, it’s like having your data on a raid set with backups on tapes in the next room. You think you’re data is safe, but you didn’t consider the risk that the whole building would be destroyed in a fire so you didn’t move any backups offsite.
Candidate for Trustee of Illinois Central College
Socialism doesn’t work. It looks nice on paper, but it’s been tried and it’s failed miserably every time (usually accompanied by widespread death and suffering).
Proud member of the V.R.W.C.
Take back our party!
Check out Unified Patriots
Again, I'll take your side...
liberalrepublican (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 4:19PM EST (link)I am sorry.
You are making the case they are really, really stupid instead of criminals.
Taking your side..
Either they thought a housing run up would last forever and people could just keep on refinancing their way up forever
OR
They never bothered to really look at what they were guaranteeing.
Stupid either way.
If an Insurance company writes a policy on house in a part of the MS river that floods every 20 years and never considered it, THEY ARE STUPID.
Sorry, criminals (most likely) or idiots.
“Broadly speaking, liberalism emphasizes individual rights and equality of opportunity. … including extensive freedom of thought and speech, limitations on the power of governments, the rule of law, the free exchange of ideas, a market or mixed economy”
OK, I'll grant stupid.
Brian Hibbert (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 4:37PM EST (link)They didn’t properly evaluate all the risks when they were in the business of evaluating risks. Yes, that’s stupid.
But again, these things weren’t contracts on any single mortgage.
To use your analogy, they would have written a single flood insurance contract that covers all the flood losses for every house in Mississippi. Because there are so many houses in Mississippi, the premium per house would have been small, but the total was huge. They would expect to have less than 1% of all those houses flood in any given year and could easily pay out whatever claims were made and still make a huge profit. They didn’t allow for something like a CAT 5 hurricane coming along to wipe out 20% of the houses and their premiums don’t come anywhere close to the actual loss.
Candidate for Trustee of Illinois Central College
Socialism doesn’t work. It looks nice on paper, but it’s been tried and it’s failed miserably every time (usually accompanied by widespread death and suffering).
Proud member of the V.R.W.C.
Take back our party!
Check out Unified Patriots
Who can blame them?
liberalrepublican (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 6:11PM EST (link)Gosh they really look stupid.
With BILLIONS in their personal bank accounts.
I should be so dumb.
Who can blame them for not looking too closely when they were being rewarded so lavishly.
Seriously – they have to be contenders for the greatest criminals in the history of mankind.
Steal Billions with no chance of being held responsible…
We hold the bag and get Obamanomics as out bonus.
What a deal
“Broadly speaking, liberalism emphasizes individual rights and equality of opportunity. … including extensive freedom of thought and speech, limitations on the power of governments, the rule of law, the free exchange of ideas, a market or mixed economy”
Who are "they"?
Flagstaff (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 9:49PM EST (link)You keep mentioning them, but I missed the part where you identify them and provide proof of criminality.
“The press is so powerful in its image-making role that it can make a criminal look like he’s the victim and make the victim look like he’s the criminal. If you aren’t careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed and loving the people who are doing the oppressing.”– Malcolm X, Audubon Ballroom, December 13, 1964
Why would an AIG failure have meant "total financial meltdown?"
icbm (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 1:49PM EST (link)This is not a rhetorical question but a serious one from someone who is still trying to learn the basics of the situation.
Could you point me in the direction of an article or two going into more detail, perhaps one of your own RedState articles?
Thanks.
The American International Group basically insures the world. nt
Alitheia (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 3:54PM EST (link)I swear, by my life and my love of it, that I will never be forced to live for the sake of another man, nor ask another man to live for mine.
i see. but how then did only one company
icbm (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 4:28PM EST (link)come to dominate that market so much? was it only competition and aig was by far the best, or did the government choose a winner some time ago?
i’ll do some research on my own, too.
Say you're a bank that holds some of the subprime
6eorge Jetson (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 4:28PM EST (link)mortgages/securities. Or a hedge fund manager holding corporate bonds. You seek to reduce some of that risk, perhaps a very particular part of it. And so you go and pay a premium to AIG in the form of a Credit Default Swap.
If subprime does well, you win on your portfolio but lose on your CDS.
If subprime does poorly, you lose on your portfolio, but
offset your losses from the CDS gainsObama two-step
fisk2521 Tuesday, March 17th at 2:11PM EST (link)Why was Robert Gibbs, Press Secretary to the White House, just doing the Obama two-step when asked when Geitner and the White House knew about the bonuses? Is it possible that he’s lying?
If the whtie House knew before the bonuses were paid out – - and I’m guessing they did, they are lying to the American public in order to cover their own a__. . It would certainly seem unlikely that Geitner was unaware of the bonuses long ago, since he helped put together this ‘bail-out’ package.
I think the people who were given contractual agreements for bonuses are not the criminals here. The government allowed that any contracts before a certain date would be honored (via Chris Dodd). It would defy credibility to imagine that this was a surprise to the Obama administration. Yet Obama gets up and rants and raves about how incensed he is … now.
A better man would have come out and said that these bonuses were a mistake – - something that would not happen again with any other ‘government take over’. He might have said that the contracts were legal agreements and that the US government would honor those since there were no limitations in this area. Obama is not a man of character and would not understand this concept.
Obama is not the first ‘leader’ to use a strawman to blame for his own mistakes.
The worst thing I’ve heard today is Barney Frank’s suggestion that he wants to change the tax code on thse bonuses so there is nothing left. When someone as dishonorable as this man suggests using tax codes to punish, we have to be deeply concerned about all our freedoms. If they can do it to these people, they can do it to you.
LDavis
You have the fine points of the bonus flap
Flagstaff (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 10:42PM EST (link)in your crosshairs.
“I think the people who were given contractual agreements for bonuses are not the criminals here.”
Until I see proof of behavior on their part that’s either illegal, unethical, or immoral, I’m not joining the mob and my pitchfork is staying home.
“The press is so powerful in its image-making role that it can make a criminal look like he’s the victim and make the victim look like he’s the criminal. If you aren’t careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed and loving the people who are doing the oppressing.”– Malcolm X, Audubon Ballroom, December 13, 1964
Timing
ss396 Wednesday, March 18th at 12:30AM EST (link)I understand that these bonus contracts were written a year ago, well before the walls came a’tumbling down. Back in the days when they really were pulling in big profits.
Key words here: contract; before.
If you pay someone to sit on his butt, you can’t be surprised when he does.
Liquidating AIGFP
Christopher Underwood Tuesday, March 17th at 2:55PM EST (link)I thought that one of the main points of the US Govt becoming the majority shareholder in AIG was to eventually liquidate the assests of the Financial Products division. I would also hope part of this plan would be to put in place regulations that would not allow one company to amass so large of a pool of assests/swaps/whatever that its failure wouldn’t bring the whole thing tumbling down, unless that company could withstand a complete collapse.
My question is, since we can’t seem to liquidate the assests quick enough why doesn’t the US Govt swallow up the whole of the FP division convert the swaps to Treasury bonds and sell those to recoup the money and end the Financial Products division outright. There goes all of the bonuses, payroll and other associated costs that are causing this division to hemorrage even more money than it currently is by putting up additional collateral on its swaps. (I understand that those are a mere drop in the bucket compared to their collateral positions) I’m by no means an expert in things financial but since the US Govt is techincally on the hook for the whole thing this would seem to be a much tidier solution. And who doesn’t want to buy Treasury debt from the US Govt?
This is just a prologue, a warm-up for witch hunts of political enemies
civil truth (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 3:40PM EST (link)The tactics are the same. Obama and the Democrats have staged an incendiary event to justify further expansion of dictatorial powers. Here they are planning to take a controlling governmental interest in the financial realm; if the plan goes smoothly, then next time it will be the Justice Department and Republican politicians.
We are very rapidly approaching the event horizon, and our Republican leaders are rearranging the deck chairs.
The greatest evil…is conceived and ordered (moved, seconded, carried, and minuted) in clean, carpeted, warmed, and well-lighted offices, by quiet men with white collars and cut fingernails and smooth-shaven cheeks who do not need to raise their voice. Hence, naturally enough, my symbol for Hell is something like the bureaucracy of a police state or the offices of a thoroughly nasty business concern. -C.S. Lewis
http://www.gmsplace.com/
Black, what do you mean AIG caused this?
Alberta (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 4:37PM EST (link)Bankers (and not even derivative traders) cause systematic risk, period. The people who set up the faulty regulatory system caused this. Bankers live in the world regulators make for them. Short sighted and/or incompatent bureaucrats and politicians caused this.
Save a banker, eat a politician. Vent over.
Sir, my concern is not whether God is on our side; my greatest concern is to be on God’s side, for God is always right.
Abraham Lincoln
typo
Alberta (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 4:39PM EST (link)Bankers DONT cause systematic risk.
Sir, my concern is not whether God is on our side; my greatest concern is to be on God’s side, for God is always right.
Abraham Lincoln
Thanks, Francis.
Flagstaff (Diary) Tuesday, March 17th at 10:59PM EST (link)A lot of us depend on you for a dispassionate analysis of these events.
They make it a lot easier for us to make our rants and raves more logical.
“The press is so powerful in its image-making role that it can make a criminal look like he’s the victim and make the victim look like he’s the criminal. If you aren’t careful, the newspapers will have you hating the people who are being oppressed and loving the people who are doing the oppressing.”– Malcolm X, Audubon Ballroom, December 13, 1964
By the way blackie, I have to disagree on a few points
Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 8:06AM EST (link)Treasury knew who AIG’s counterparties where at the beginning of this event. More importantly, so did the politicians. They (the polticians) knew it would be politically unpopular to directly “bail out” the counterparties, many of whom were foreign institutions (plus a few high profile domestic firms- GS comes to mind). Anyone that read initial Treasury guidance was aware that “global” institutions were not excluded from this or TARP for that matter.
Structuring a bankruptcy where the US ensured counterparties were paid as “secured creditors” (full faith and credit of our tax money), AIGFS was put out of business and the profitable parts of AIG’s Insurance business were either packaged (in whole) or sold (in parts) was the best option. As you may know, bankruptcy provides inummerable options related to creditors and debts-one of which would have been to take the bonuses off the table- end of issue. I don’t buy the argument AIG’s CDS portfolio was too complex for anyones else but current staff to manage.
Instead, we have rushed into gratuitous bailout after bailout based mostly on the so-called “confidence risk” to the market (this is Bernanke’s familiar refrain lately, as he wrings his hands and says there was no choice). Forgive me if based on the aforementioned this tact appears to be a strawman, merely constructed to give politicians cover for their incompetency and slight- of- hand trickery.
Overall, I would posit most politicians knew exactly what was happening and why (especially the Financial Services Committee and NY Senators lke Schumer). The big lie is their feigned outrage over bonuses which probably represent less than 1% of total bailout money.
“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson
By the way blackie, I have to disagree on a few points
Marcus_Traianus (Diary) Wednesday, March 18th at 8:06AM EST (link)Treasury knew who AIG’s counterparties where at the beginning of this event. More importantly, so did the politicians. They (the polticians) knew it would be politically unpopular to directly “bail out” the counterparties, many of whom were foreign institutions (plus a few high profile domestic firms- GS comes to mind). Anyone that read initial Treasury guidance was aware that “global” institutions were not excluded from this or TARP for that matter.
Structuring a bankruptcy where the US ensured counterparties were paid as “secured creditors” (full faith and credit of our tax money), AIGFS was put out of business and the profitable parts of AIG’s Insurance business were either packaged (in whole) or sold (in parts) was the best option. As you may know, bankruptcy provides inummerable options related to creditors and debts-one of which would have been to take the bonuses off the table- end of issue. I don’t buy the argument AIG’s CDS portfolio was too complex for anyones else but current staff to manage.
Instead, we have rushed into gratuitous bailout after bailout based mostly on the so-called “confidence risk” to the market (this is Bernanke’s familiar refrain lately, as he wrings his hands and says there was no choice). Forgive me if based on the aforementioned this tact appears to be a strawman, merely constructed to give politicians cover for their incompetency and slight- of- hand trickery.
Overall, I would posit most politicians knew exactly what was happening and why (especially the Financial Services Committee and NY Senators lke Schumer). The big lie is their feigned outrage over bonuses which probably represent less than 1% of total bailout money.
“Both of our political parties, at least the honest portion of them, agree conscientiously in the same object—the public good; but they differ essentially in what they deem the means of promoting that good. One side believes it best done by one composition of the governing powers; the other, by a different one. One fears most the ignorance of the people; the other, the selfishness of rulers independent of them. Which is right, time and experience will prove.”.Thomas Jefferson