Redstate

By Cepan Comments (23) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Saturday, October 21, 2006

Right now the liberal loons that monitor this blog are laughing. They think I am delusional and totally wrong on my predictions.

In 1994 I was also being laughed at by many who knew me because I predicted in May of that year that the Republicans would take over the House Of Representatives. I even had an election night party that some of my friends declined to attend. I asked them why and they told me they did not want to be around me after I was proved wrong.

None of them doubt me now when I make a political prediction, especially after I was dead on with the 2004 Presidential election percentage that Bush would win with.

Today, with all the media and the pollsters warning of the end of the world for Republicans on November 7th, the conventional wisdom is about to be proved wrong yet again.

What the liberals do not know is that, unlike them, I am basing my predictions on FACT, not Emotion.

The loons in the Democrat party are convinced they will win it all because they have been told this for over a year. They are in an echo chamber of their reality.
But no one has asked them what happens when THEY lose.

The Democrats are looking at the GENERIC Congressional polls and saying they all favor Democrats. These are polls that ask you how you would vote WITHOUT a specific person’s name involved. Besides the fact that 60% of Americans say they like their own Congressman, what the Democrats do NOT look at is the fact that all the mainstream polls overstate Democrats in the statistics anywhere from 5 to 11 Points.

* USAToday/Gallup: 9 points.
* CBS/NYT: 5 points
* ABC/WP: 8 points
* CNN: did not provide sample party ID details.
* Newsweek: 11 points.
* AP/Ipsos: 8 points.
* Pew: 7 points.
* Time: 8 points.

This has NEVER been done before in an election.

In other words, the media and the polling outfits are MANIPULATING the outcome by over weighting the sample with Democrats so that it LOOKS like Democrats have it locked. ( You can find the breakdown here:
http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YzllNGFjOTdjNDY4YTgyNzg2OGEzOGU...

This is part of the attempt to demoralize and disgust the Republican base so much that they stay home on Election Day.

In fact, this all is having the OPPOSITE effect. We are even more motivated to go to the polls than ever before.

The true polls show that Republicans think the Foley “scandal” was about one man, not the entire Republican Party.

You don’t see this in the Mainstream media.

The true polls are showing the Senate races that the Dems thought were theirs are now shifting towards Republicans.

You don’t see this in the Mainstream media.

The true polls show many of the House races are dead even that the Dems thought they had already won.

You don’t see this in the Mainstream media.

The true polls are showing many Democrat seats are shifting towards Republicans.
This could mean the Democrats are heading towards losing seats they thought were safe.

You don’t see this in the Mainstream media.

There are two perfect examples of how the media has decided what they want, yet reality might intervene and slap them across the face.

Rick Santorum will win his Senate seat because after the debates people of Pennsylvania saw Casey for what he is, a lightweight with no knowledge or truth about the issues. In the last debate Casey actually stated that there were 5000 gun dealers in Philadelphia and only a few dozen ATF agents to police them. Santorum blew him away by proving to him that there are only 22 gun dealers in the city, not 5000. This was but one lie that Casey has been spouting that Santorum has debunked. Santorum is within eight points now, and this number will move further his way in the next two weeks.

Cut and Run Democrat John Murtha, also of Penna, is under attack by a great Republican candidate, Diana Irey. I tried for months to get a poll of this race and there was nothing. Then last week the Pittsburgh Tribune released a poll of only 400 people, probably from their offices, that had Murtha up by double digits. But the paper refused to list who they polled, from where and from what party. The poll even had Irey losing in her hometown where she is well liked and very popular. The Irey campaign has called the poll wrong and proved that their internal polling show the race a dead heat.

I fully expect yet another Democrat sleazy October Surprise. But even then I see the numbers shifting fast towards Republicans.

When people get in the voting booth and close that curtain behind them they know who they can trust on the key issues and on National Security, and it sure ain’t the Defeatocrat party.

In Matworld the Democrats wake up on November 8th in shock and awe that they blew it again. They will cry foul and “stolen election” yet again, but they will be unable to face the facts that the American people do not like, nor trust them.

Granted two weeks is a lifetime in politcs and anything can happen, and if I am wrong I will analyze that another time, but you won’t have to wait for that.

Barring another sleazy, outrageous and dishonest attack from the left in the next two weeks that the Media distorts and pushes against Republicans, I predict the Republicans will maintain power and help push the loony left one step closer to the brink of the ashbin of history.

God willing.

MTI
cepan@aol.com

Mat Toenniessen