Not-so-free trade?
By Next93 Posted in Economy — Comments (28) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »
This is a response to a RedHot posted by Blackhedd:
Ok, I wasn't expecting this. China, which grows five times as many apples as we do, is trying to shut down our domestic industry, which is worth about $2 billion a year. The issue of course is labor costs for apple pickers, which are about 50 times higher here than in China. I can live without one $2 billion industry, but this won't be the last one. We have the moronic protectionism the Democrats are talking about, and the moronic replace-farm-workers-with-robots some Republicans are talking about. Isn't it about time to start talking about how we can comprehensively get government off the back of business in this country? We have altogether too many good things (OSHA, unemployment insurance, healthcare, social security, environmental protections, labor unions) that make every single unit of economic productivity more expensive in this country. I propose that some future Republican stand up and shout from the rooftops that America has to become safe for people to start up and run businesses! The Republicans should not stand for Democrat-lite. We should get out there and dismantle the whole darned regulatory apparatus.
I also think that there's simply too much government interference in business (it's only Tuesday and alredy this week I've talked to two business owners who are packing it in because of insurance, taxes, and regulation). However, I don't think that completely dismantling the regulatory apparatus is a great idea. It's not the rules (per se) that are the problem, it's that we're the only ones being forced to play by them.
Back in the 90's I lived for a short while in Houston. At that time, Mexico had shelved what little environmental and labor regulations it had in order to profit fully from the then-new NAFTA. The stories and pictures that filtered into the news from Matamoros, Mexico were like something out of a science fiction movie. It was so bad that it actually made Houston seem livable by comparison. Companies acting like that here in the States would have been the instant target of an army of lawyers and government regulators (and probably some jail time for the execs), but in Mexico it was business as usual.
American companies couldn't build new factories there fast enough. It wasn't a matter of "greed", it was a matter of survival; in a market where a 2% productivity change means the difference between profit and loss, you can't afford to NOT take advantage of a chance to skip out from under regulation, particularly if you know that your competitors have the same opportunity.
I don't want to see America forced into a "race for the bottom" with the Third World. We do NOT want to get into a contest with with Mexico to see who can make it easiest to dump toxic sludge down the storm drain, or with India to see who can exploit child labor in the most cost-effecive manner. I certainly beleive that we need to reduce the amount of regulation, but Matamoros proves that the answer doesn't lie in taking the brakes off completely; it also requires that we find a way to ensure that the people we do business with are operating under the same (reduced) set of restrictions.
I realize that this isn't the kind of venue that's terribly impressed by international bureaucracies, but isn't the World Trade Organization supposed to be addressing stuff like this? I know that they spend most of thier time worrying about tarrifs, pricing policies and subsidies, but I thought the idea was to create a level playing field across international markets, and that should include workplace safety and environmental protection laws.
I propose that we try to get the WTO establish a minimum set of environmental and labor policies and a minimum percentage of GDP that has to be spent enforcing them, and create a greivance mechanism to make it possible for an industry to call for tarrifs against any country that's not playing by those rules? That way, we're giving our business owners AND our employees a chance to compete on the basis of productivity.
With or without labor and environmental regulations, the U.S. cannot produce anything cheaper than China. Even if we import Mexican migrant workers to harvest crops, the Chinese will be able to do it much cheaper.
Does this mean that we end up importing everything from China? No, there has to be some sense of patriotism beyond price. We are a country, not just an economy. I am so sick of corporate neocons wanting to use the purchase price, as the total cost of a product. Every time a job or product is outsourced, it is going to cost our economy, or the taxpayer, more than any regulations.
We can get cheaper consumer goods. But, the savings will go to the welfare state. This is a faster road to socialism than economic protectionism, and will undermine national security.
Re: "We can get cheaper consumer goods. But, the savings will go to the welfare state. This is a faster road to socialism than economic protectionism, and will undermine national security", I'm having trouble following the logic of that one.
(1) The savings will go to consumers. Owners and shareholders of companies in general will also benefit in the long run, as will most of the labor force (in terms of employment and compensation, in addition to consumer benefits) if we compete globally on our strengths rather than trying to isolate our domestic market.
(2) Your comment is the first time I've heard an argument that the free market is the fastest road to socialism. While you offer no explanation, perhaps your latter point is based on an assumption that free trade is certain to produce some extreme political backlash that will extend far beyond whatever restrictions of free trade you would advocate. I don't see that as a strong argument.
Please see my post regarding outsourcing. The principles apply to this (free trade) debate as well. http://www.redstate.com/blogs/brooksrob/2007/may/08/my_question_for_lou_...
and go back to a tariff system.
I am a capitalist and I believe in free trade. What is happening is neither.
Taxes always fix things don't they! New and higher taxes on Americans will go a LONG way toward making Americans better off, won't they!
Run like Reagan!
Right. With self-described free-traders like jdavenport, who needs protectionists!
I'd no more trust the WTO to dictate domestic policy than I'd trust the UN.
Run like Reagan!
1. There is no such thing as a free trade. This is just a myth.
2. China is not a capitalistic country. It is a mercantilist country.
3. What are our strengths that we can compete globally? Besides aerospace and defense, and agriculture, what do we do better and more efficiently? We just gave away electronics and computer technology.
5. How much have taxes been lowered and how much has the welfare state declined due to free trade and globalization?
I really wouldn't know where to start, nor do I have time to explain all I would need to explain to you regarding your statements. I'll just say that as for your #3, you apparently believe we lack the capacity to compete globally and your solution is to try to wall off our economny, which, to use a healthcare analogy, amount to an incorrect diagnosis and a prescription worthy of a malpractice lawsuit.
China blends socialism with nationalism. Yeah, they participate in markets, but Lenin had a saying on that.
Run like Reagan!
Are you without words, or just answers to my points? You have the typical trite response that if I don't like selling off the country (one billion dollars in private wealth per day, according to Buffett), I must be a protectionist. I am not against free trade (but I don't think that Washington apple growers should have to compete with Chinese apple growers.).
All of the international trade agencies will have no effect on China. China is conducting "economic warfare," not free trade.
First, I suggest you use click "Reply to this" to reply to specific comments.
You paradoxically write "I am not against free trade (but I don't think that Washington apple growers should have to compete with Chinese apple growers.)" with no explanation as to why the apparent paradox is not so.
Similarly, you state that China is "conducting "economic warfare," not free trade." Perhaps you should flesh out your ideas, or to put it differently, back up your assertions with arguments, preferably based on facts and/or sound theory.
Bottom line is that there are peoples in other parts of the world who are dirt poor and willing to work for much lower wages than American workers will accept, and exporters of labor-intensive products from such nations will have a comparative advantage vs. domestic suppliers. We can erect tariffs and other protectionist measures (quotas, taxpayer subsidies of domestic industries, etc.), but the result would be much higher prices for all Americans and lower competitiveness for American businesses (due to the lower degree of competition, tariff retaliation by other nations, etc.), and a lower standard of living for the vast majority of Americans, all to protect particular segments of our citizenry and businesses from temporary dislocation and adjustment to an evolving economy based on our competitive strengths. That's what you're advocating. No thanks.
As a note, I realize there are issues with China's currency policy and there may be other legitimate issues with China and other trading partners regarding environmental policies, etc., but the fundamental reality is that what is driving the trade dynamic here is the comparative advantage of China and others of a lot of very poor people providing very low-cost labor.
If cheap labor is the dominant economic factor, there is no such thing as competitive strengths among countries. Capital and technology can be sent anywhere.
Besides entering our agricultural (food) sector, the Chinese are going to try to get into our automobile market through Mexico. The little cars will be cheap because the parts will be shipped from China to Mexico. I hope that you are not living in Michigan.
Right now, some U.S. companies are insourcing engineers from India. They get around the work visa requirements by sending them back to India every three months and having their passports re-stamped. It is cheaper for these companies to pay these travel expenses than to hire a U.S. computer engineer. Is this the kind of free trade/globalism that you want? I hope you are not a computer engineer.
We're healthy, we're well-educated, we're well-adapted to technology (This is in part due to our having attracted the world's best, by the way). This makes us productive.
Our business climate has advantages. We respect property rights, we're relatively free of corruption, and we have relatively low barriers to entry in most markets. This makes us a great investment.
We probably have the absolute advantage in services. Yes, there are a lot of bone-headed penny pinchers who look to places like India to save on service costs, but those trade-offs have hurt many of them in the long run due to the inferior quality of service. You get what you pay for.
Those who want the best will always come to us for the best.
Run like Reagan!
Again, the "Reply to this" function is your friend. Use it. Although in this particular case, I don't have much interest in continuing much further.
As for Michigan, no I'm not in Michigan, but I don't think it would be wise (to say the least) for our government to force American consumers and taxpayers to prop up U.S. carmakers (with the possible -- POSSIBLE -- exception of a temporary solution to a temporary problem, should such a situation arise as PERHAPS was the case with Chrysler years ago). U.S. carmakers should get more competitive, scale back or get out of the game. Obviously there would be short-term pain to a small percentage of Americans (and possibly some cost to Americans as a whole in the worst case scenario if we have to cover pensions, etc.), but your idea of protectionism for the auto industry, apples, and probably everything else would create much bigger problems and have a much greater negative effect on the standard of living of most Americans.
Oh man, here I am telling someone -- mchick1 -- to use the Reply function and I forgot to use it myself. Oops.
Because I don't want the U.S. market flooded with Red Chinese cars made in Mexico, without high tariffs, I am a protectionist of the U.S. auto industry? I am hardly an apologist for Detroit. I drive a Toyota Tundra. You over-extrapulate. You make assumptions about my views before I divulge them.
You need to realize that it is not a case of being a complete free-trader or a protectionist. It is a matter of degree. Every country in the world has restrictions on free trade based upon their perceived vital interests.
Re: "Because I don't want the U.S. market flooded with Red Chinese cars made in Mexico, without high tariffs, I am a protectionist of the U.S. auto industry?"
Answer: Yes
Re: "You need to realize that it is not a case of being a complete free-trader or a protectionist. It is a matter of degree."
Answer: Obviously there could be pure or nearly pure cases at either extreme. But one needn't advocate a pure position to be worthy of either label. Your advocacy of high tariffs, in my opinion (and I think many would concur) makes you a protectionist. No, not a pure protectionist -- I'm not saying you would ban all imports of anything -- but far enough toward that end of the spectrum to fit that label.
Anyway, labels aren't what matters. What matters is that the policies you advocate would harm the nation (and the peoples of other nations).
Geez, I can't believe I forgot to use "Reply" again. How am I going to get this person to finally start using it if I don't follow my own advice? Sorry folks.
:/
I meant what I said and I said what I meant. An elephant's faithful 100 percent.
You are very verbose, but really "thick-headed." I said I don't want Red Chinese cars. From that you are saying that I am against free trade and I am a protectionist. Wow. I hope your views never take-over.
"Your advocacy of high tariffs, in my opinion (and I think many would concur) makes you a protectionist."
I advocated high tariffs on one product, Red Chinese cars, so I am an advocate of high tariffs on everything? We don't need blind ideologues.
"What matters is that the policies you advocate would harm the nation (and the peoples of other nations)."
Not having Red Chinese cars made in Mexico is going to harm the nation? You are really
a textbook ideologue.
I repeat, every nation in the world, has some trade barriers designed to protect the economy of the country. There is not a single country, including the U.S.A. that does not have
tariffs. International trade agreements are not going to result in free trade. The unintended consequence is that politicians control business. These treaties are mostly political gimmicks to transfer wealth from one country to another.
You do trade the old fashion way. To each country, you say I scratch your back if you stratch
mine. You open up your market, I open up mine. You screw with me, I screw with
you. That's why you have tariffs. The problem is that we are reaching the point with China that we have no bargaining leverage.
There is no danger of the U.S. becoming a protectionist country, except in the sense of protecting decent paying jobs.
Real life is not abstract, generalized principles. It is negotiations. In order to have negotiations, you have to have some clout. An extremist view on free trade has an underlying assumption that we are just "an economy, not a country," and that the only
overriding value is the "cheapness" of things.
I should have listened to my first instinct which was not to bother with you. You are too full of misconceptions, non sequiturs and now even misrepresentations of your own previous statements that it's really not worthwhile for me to keep trying to set you straight. Good luck with your protectionist agenda.
1. We have advantages
2. We don't actually allow ourselves the use of them
3. If we don't start allowing ourselves to use our other countries will clean our clocks.
Between product liability law/ Environmental regulation/ and general litigious environment the country has become very unfriendly to manufacturers and any capital intensive enterprise.
Look at the "Bongs 4 Jesus" is there any doubt that was little more than a legal shakedown ?
Our environment is the healthiest in the world. Do we really need to keep making it harder to do things here ?
Can we for just a moment realize that because a man manufactures a product, it does not make them omniscient about its nature ? That there is some risk inherent in everything including just getting out of bed ?
Last but not least. When somebody does something really stupid can we admit its their fault and whatever comes there way is not need of restitution ?
An example in NYC on 5th avenue between 33rd and 34th street there is a big yellow stripe on the street indicating a bump. Why ? Because three stories above the bump is a law firm whose business was suing the city on behalf of anyone that tripped on the bump. They kept a sign by the bump.
Look as long as we make it more profitable to litigate than manufacture we will get more litigators than industrialists.
Personally law looks lower stress and has more job security than industrialism.
______________________________
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777
I'm amazed that people who don't trust the competency of government in virtually any area, what's to defer to it as a cure to our trade woes. Government will only make it worse.
Furthermore, these countries are not stealing jobs, but improving the quality of life of Americans by making products available that would cost so much more if made in this country. We have virtually full employment in this country.
I'm going to write about this at length in an up coming post, but I find this type of paranoia silly.
Trade deficits are not bad. In fact, in US history, we had our biggest surpluses during depressions and largest deficits during booms. Trade deficits are an indication of the extend of our buying power.
By the way, Houston is a great city. It is pro-family, pro-business, and is the red of the red as far as red state goes.
Kevin Price is Host of the Houston Business Show (Monday at 1 PM on CNN 650), Publisher of the HoustonBusinessReview.com and writes frequently in his www.BizPlusBlog.com.
Like I said in the original blog entry, I didn't expect this to be a venue sympathetic to the idea of exporting business regulation. I personally detest the idea, but what's the alternative?
We're currently locked in a system where the US (and, to be fair, the Europeans) are trying to play by rules and China, India, and Korea aren't. The way I see it, we have three choices: (a) get rid of the rules, (b) find a way to make them play fair, or (c) get out of the game. I don't think that the kind of environment seen in Matamoros or the kind of labor situation seen in China is where we want to go as a country, so that rules out the first choice, and there IS no way to get out of the game. So where does that leave us?
There are a billion and a half people in China who are trying to figure out how to get any job that exists in America and don't beleive in intellectual property rights (unless it's THIER property thats up for grabs). India has a slightly smaller population that speaks English. It's not paranoia to be looking over your shoulder in this situation, unless you think we'll be able to get by with every American either selling insurance or suing people for insurance money.
____________________________________
"You can't save the Earth unless you're willing to make other people sacrifice" - Scott Adams (speaking through Dogbert)
The major factor in the difference in labor costs is not the discrepancy in regulations but the discrepancy in wealth. China and India have a great number of very poor people (and a great number of educated people who have much less than similarly educated Americans), so they have a lot of people who are willing to work for a lot less compensation. You can go ahead and make the argument that we should try to wall off our economy to protect some jobs -- and I'll disagree with you that such a policy would benefit the nation -- but at least drop the misconception that regulations are at the heart of the matter and say that you don't want Americans losing jobs to poorer people elsewhere.
There are countries that "break the rules," but in the cases above (except S. Korea) that there will be a curve they will have to pursue before they can be compliant. The problem is the consistency of those who believe government can't do things such as trade, or welfare, or health care, or whatever well, but are willing to have it apply more regulations in the area of trade.
________________
Kevin Price is Host of the Houston Business Show (Monday at 1 PM on CNN 650), Publisher of the HoustonBusinessReview.com and writes frequently in his www.BizPlusBlog.com.
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While there is some merit to your points and Blackhedd's (although his seem excessively sweeping and he doesn't address the consequences of such sweeping changes), you both largely miss the big picture (in my humble opinion). If the labor cost for apple pickers is indeed, as Blackhedd claims, 50 times higher in the U.S. than in China, it is mostly for one reason: there are plenty of desperately poor people there and the supply & demand equilibrium is such that employers can attract workers for low wages and workers will accept it. The changes you suggest and those that Blackhedd suggest, even if, just for the sake of argument, they are desirable, will not fundamentally change that basic reality.