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Survey USA: Challenger Chabot Waxes Incumbent Driehaus

By: Brian Faughnan (Diary)  |  January 16th, 2010 at 01:54 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

I’m beginning to enjoy these Survey USA/FDL polls. Yesterday they showed incumbent Vic Snyder trailing challenger Tim Griffin by 17 points. By the end of the day, Snyder was out of the race. Today they show former Congressman Steve Chabot – who lost to Steve Driehaus in a close race – trouncing him in the rematch:

If there were an election for US House of Representatives today, and the only two candidates on the ballot were Democrat Steve Driehaus and Republican Steve Chabot, who would you vote for?

Steve Driehaus (D) 39%
Steve Chabot (R ) 56%
Undecided 5%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

Approve 42%
Disapprove 55%
Not Sure 3%

Don’t expect Driehaus to flee like Snyder did yesterday. Driehaus is a freshman, so he’ll certainly stick and fight. But considering the flak he’s already taken in support of Obamacare, it may make him somewhat more reluctant to vote for it again – assuming the bill comes up for a final vote. Then again, he may already have resigned himself to the loss – in which case he’ll stick to Pelosi like glue.

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COMMENTS

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  • vamoose

    This race is more typical of seats that are lost by the president’s party in a mid-term election, but down by 17 points is rather extraordinary. It shows that 2010 will be more than just a typical mid-term election. Regardless of whether Driehaus “may already have resigned himself to the loss” there is at least one, and probably a lot of, democrats somewhere who are trailing–and and haven’t given up hope of reelection–that may want to salvage their own seats by reversing course in the healthcare jam down. What is needed for these poll-wary Dems to abandon the president’s disastrous agenda is a catalyst. A Brown win in MA could easily be that tipping point.

  • Leopard1996

    TO make sure that Mr. Direhaus goes back to doing what he was doing before running for congress. He is my congress critter. Obviously, I voted for the other guy.

    • proudgop

      Chabot lost because of Obama coattails

      This is Democrat seat but Chabot is great fit for it

      • IJB

        And if Obama has 55% disapproval there, I’m not sure it’ll be D+1 anymore after 2012!

        • proudgop

          Obama did a lot better then 51% here in 2008 ( I believe he got close to 60% in district, can’t find numbers any where)

      • Leopard1996

        Pretty much you have the city, and some suburbs that do tend to vote democrat, but then you have the western areas of Hamilton county that trend very conservative. As long as I had been out here this seat was Chabot’s until this past election. Also just in talking to some people, they will still support Obama, but they are about ready to throw the congress under the bus.

  • USNJIMRET

    a Dem, facing polling that shows far more then ‘just’ majority opposition to something, they can’t beg off on the silly notion of voting the will of their constituents.
    That would seem to me a much more long term defensible position the next time an election comes around.
    Yes, I know…..I am being all to rainbows and lollipops in my weekend dreaming. That politicians would actually put the interests of those they were elected to represent above party favor and a pat on the head from Granny Nan.
    But it’s MY dream, and I can dream it any way I want!! :)

  • jcincy

    Like most larger cities, downtown Cincinnati has a heavy welfare, government-dependent population. They identify with the party of economic slavery, the Democrats.

    The surrounding suburbs are mostly hard working Americans with conservative values.

    The most recent elections energized the welfare class… while the traditional values constituency were a bit more apathetic. The energy has clearly changed sides. Furthermore without the money and organization of an astroturf presidential candidate, there’s less outside influence on the vote in Cincinnati at this time.

    Driehaus has all the charisma of a toothache. Barring a total meltdown by Chabot, the conservative will retake this seat in the House in Novermber of 2010.