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Paul Ryan Climbs on Cain’s 9-9-9 Train

Paul Ryan “loves” Herman Cain’s 9-9-9 tax plan

http://dailycaller.com/2011/10/13/paul-ryan-loves-herman-cains-9-9-9-tax-plan/

First Art Laffer, now Paul Ryan. It looks like the heavyweight conservative economic minds are starting to line up behind Cain’s plan.

Look, I know everyone loves their candidate, and the temptation is to demagogue Cain’s plan to help your candidate, but we’re moving past that point. Now that serious people are getting behind it, it’s time to start discussing this plan seriously on its merits.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

COMMENTS

  • Scope

    Part of his plan eliminates the payroll tax. The people currently pay 7.65% out of their paycheck to contribute to the SS (1.45%) and Medicare (6.2%) funding. The employer pays the same proportions. If the payroll tax is eliminated, the federal government is then responsible for funding those entitlements as strictly government welfare out of the general funds.

    Not only would Cain have to get this through the Congress, including a national sales tax. He also would have to get major reforms for entitlements passed through Congress. I’m not against major entitlement reforms. Shouldn’t we work on entitlement reforms before we start changing the Tax code? as the entitlement funding is the largest portion of government expense currently?

    I am still concerned with Cain’s Empowerment Zones, which I understand to be tax credits for employers in inner city areas. If the code is so simple, and so straight forward, why are there “tax credits” for particular areas or populations?

    • http://www.asterling.com asterling

      EZs currently exist and a few – a very few – have been effective. He is probably addressing the practical business concern of opening up business in devastated areas that have a bad local economy and many drawbacks for business investment. EZs on their own couldn’t possibly suck up the amount of tax dollars wasted on even one Solyndra.

    • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

      “Cain’s 999 plan turns SS and Medicare into government welfare plans ”

      Correction: SS and Medicare already ARE government welfare plans, and the 999 plan unmasks the facade of a tax that looks like a ‘contribution’ by abolishing the tax dedication. Seriously, the myths surrounding SS and Medicare are part of why reform of them is so hard, so this is not really a bad thing.

      • Scope

        if the payroll tax is eliminated, and we still have to pay for the entitlements, wouldn’t those payments come from the general funds without having the benefit of the payroll deductions?

        I am not arguing that the entitlements are not government welfare, I agree they are. If the plan has only the purpose to unmask that fact, it has already been unmasked by the conservatives. The conservatives have been arguing now for the last few years about the entitlement nanny state.

        I have no problem with entitlement reforms again. Would it not be a better plan of attack to reform the entitlements before trying to remove at least a partial system for payments into them? Entitlements take a huge part of the spending pie. If the idea is only to expose them as a drain on the public coffers, I think there would be better ways to do that. Propose entitlement reforms before, or at least at the same time as the permanent payroll tax holiday. I also love cutting spending, but, what will be cut to pay the still due entitlements.

        Perry got slammed for saying that SS is a ponzi scheme which it is. He is being hit with the starving the seniors meme. Is Cain playing it safe with not even addressing entitlement reforms before he would be elected, so he doesn’t scare the seniors?

        The national sales tax is a hit on the seniors which will absolutely be used by every liberal out there. So no entitlement reform talk now, but hit them up with the national sales tax now.

        • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

          You cannot cut the spending on entitlements short-term in any politically palatable reform. Indeed, Obama has screwed our country so badly I do not know what reform will even be possible.

          So you reform entitlements a la Ryan, and you save money … in 8-10 years. So 9-9-9 will have to make it up in general revenues, and that will mean the whole plan would have another criticism.

          The more specifics we talk, the more targets Obama has.
          Surely they will say that 9-9-9 will simultaneously crater the economy, massively increase taxes on the poor, kill entitlements, and add to the deficit. (*) Cant all be true at once, but lack of truth never stopped Democrats.

          (*) And if Romney wins, they will say the same about HIS plan.

    • lineholder

      of generating a more business-friendly environment here in the US, in comparison to what we have been seeing in recent years. This could encourage businesses that our currently based in other nations to consider expansion in the US.

      To follow that up, unemployment in highly populated areas is much higher right now that is usually is. Empowerment zones is an approach that might encourage new business development in these areas where unemployment is the highest.

      If unemployment in these areas is increased, dependence on government assistance could decrease.

      There’s more than one way to approach the “reducing the deficit” situation. One is to reduce spending. The second is to increase revenues. Cain’s proposals hit both types of approach at the same time.

      • lineholder

        -

      • runner12

        The TEA Party did get started because we felt we were “taxed enough already.” It surprises me how many people who are either a part of or identify with this movement are behind creating another source or revenue BEFORE reigning in spending.

        This flies in the face of all reason and past history.

        Reform entirlements, cut spending, and undo onerous regulations. This would create more jobs than reforming the tax code would.

        After you have done all that, then we can look at reforming the tax code.

        • runner12

          This was meant as a reply to you below lineholder. Sorry!

    • runner12

      entitlement reform on another diary. Reforming the tax code is pointless unless you reign in spending and reform entitlements. Otherwise any plan put out there will be gamed to garner more revenue. Given that this is a major weak point of Cain’s plan, it is an important thought to consider.

      The tax code needs reforming, but lets begin with the issues that are destroying this country first. Those are:

      A. Out of control spending
      B. Entitlements
      C. Big government.

      Fix those first, then the tax code.

      • Jim Tomasik

        Fix that and we would cut a lot of spending automatically. You also make the US a tax haven for international investors which, in turn, spurs job growth.

        We have more than 10% unemployment. We need the jobs.

        Job growth generates additional revenue.

      • lineholder

        targets all three of these things.

        It’s simply by far to cut government spending if we increase revenues first. If we don’t, then we will be hearing much more rhetoric than we are hearing now about how cuts in spending for social programs (i.e. entitlement programs) threaten the (1) the poor and (2) the elderly, and resistance to change will be much higher.

        Cain’s taken the approach of trying to find a way to increase revenues by generating a more business friendly environment in the US through restructuring the tax code. He’s followed this up by targeting high unemployment zones where jobs are needed the most and dependence on government entitlement programs are the greatest.

        A decrease in unemployment in these areas could result in a decrease in spending and decrease in entitlement dependency, making it easier to reduce the size of departmental functions associated with entitlement programs.

        A, B and C. All three.

        • lineholder

          )

        • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

          All the extra revenue will just be spent, more will be borrowed, and not only have you not done a damn thing about the deficit, you now have higher taxes and less growth.

          • Jim Tomasik

          • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

            because this government borrowing is crowding out investment spending.

            Also it contributes to expectations of future taxes and inflation. This also negatively impacts both spending and investment.

          • streiff

            Keeping the numbers small, suppose the annual value of what Americans produce, our (GDP), is $100. If government spends $40 of it, of necessity the government must force us to spend $40 less. There are several ways this can be done. Government could tax us $40. Government could borrow, thereby driving up interest rates, thus reducing private spending. Government could simply print money which would cause inflation and reduce our purchasing power. Finally, government could employ some combination of the three. The bottom line is that if government spends $40 of our GDP, we can’t spend that same $40.

            Pretty obvious, no?

          • lineholder

            is a lost cause. We’re riding along the edge of what could become a major demand-side crisis as it is. Our options are really limited right now, kyle8. The world trade situation plays into this situation as well. The last thing we need is to do nothing. Something has to change, and it has been enough of a change to keep us from being dragged down into a depression.

          • http://impudent.edublogs.org/ kyle8

            That is ridiculous, spending it the problem, spending is killing us.

            I really do not think that most people have fully grasped how bad things are. We are headed to Greece like areas real fast.

            Fooling around with taxes right now ill not help, and might actually hurt if it increases the deficit or just adds to uncertainty.

          • runner12

            enacting austerity measures? Our economy will collapse if we do not regin in spending and then the 9-9-9 plan will be a moot point,

          • runner12

            NT

      • http://www.usdebateboard.com usdebateboard

        Or any one single wart of Perry’s, for that matter.

  • http://www.nighttwister.com NightTwister

    Demagoguery for your own candidate. The idea can’t be a bad one on its own, there must be a hidden agenda.

    Trouble is, I don’t have one (favorite candidate). I just think 9-9-9 is a profoundly bad idea. I’m sure I’m not alone.

    • lineholder

      and I don’t deny that in the least, particularly from a legislative point of view. But when it comes to what we may be accomplish in the long run regarding reducing spending and reducing the size of government, increasing revenues first is the best way to go.

      We’re in a bind economically-speaking as it is right now. This has turned into a consumer-driven demand-side cycle, which is really hard to get out of without either the type of government intervention that was seen back in the days of the New Deal OR taking a chance on generating business growth and development. The world trade environment is unstable as best. There are lot of factors involved in it, that’s for certain.

      I’ll be interested to see how this is scored by economist, and from what I’ve heard, this information should be released to the public sometime soon. Then when Perry’s plan comes out, it will be much simpler to do a contrast and comparison between the two plans.

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  • Aaron Gardner

    nt

  • Scope

    which I’m now reading he didn’t, it would really not be that surprising as Ryan included a VAT tax in his 10 year budget plan. Ryan’s budget plan got very very little support even from his own party members if I remember correctly.

    Not many conservatives will support a VAT or a national sales tax.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth
  • streiff

    the article doesn’t say he endorses the plan, he supports the idea that the plan is being discussed.

  • izoneguy

    His 999 won’t work. It means
    9% income tax everybody
    9% Corporate tax all of them.
    9% Federal Sales Tax.

    The 9% sales tax is a killer. If your next new car costs about $30,000 add $2700 more for the Federal sales tax. That will seriously hurt the Auto industry and other big ticket items. The Federal sales tax is in addition to whatever you currently pay in local and state sales taxes.

    It raises the taxes on the poor and cuts it on the rich.
    It would likely increase my tax burden by a factor of 3 unless he eliminates all other federal taxes, in which case it only doubles it. Meanwhile it would reduce someone like Warren Buffet’s taxes by at least half.

    And

  • kestrel

    Climbs on the Train? Hardly. Freedoms Truth, above, is correct. Ryan wants serious, intentional conversation, with details, on tax and entitlement reform. I guess we’d better try to give him some, so he is spared talking to sloppy reporters like Rossomando.

  • kestrel

    Are you talking about the Roadmap? That the Roadmap had a VAT in it? Can you give me a link? I hadn’t heard that.

  • http://www.redstate.com/thesophist TheSophist

    of the Vast Right Wing Conspiracy when the “Conservatives <3 Class Warfare Memo" was passed around.

    This might be the most shocking thing I've read on Redstate in years.

  • Scope

    Ryan supports a VAT. There are many links to his support. You may be correct that it was in his Roadmap plan. But Ryan did support a VAT, at least at one point.

  • Scope

    have you seen or heard anything from Cain about serious entitlement reform? Has he proposed any plans for that?

  • runner12

    Ryan said he loves it because he thinks it is good for candidates to have bold plans. He went on to say that he was “more of a flat-tax guy.”

    He never “endorsed” the plan.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    When we have a high income tax rate, the capital gains tax has been given preferentially lower rates. This was necessary because the absurdly high income tax rates would have hurt capital formation should it be applied to capital. Moreover, since taking capital gains is a voluntary activity (you can hold stock forever and not pay tax on the gains). In 1986 tax reform that cap gains preference went away, at a rate of 28%, but it crept back in as the top rate of tax crept back up. In particular, the 1997 tax cut made longterm cap gains only 15%.

    There is a valid concern when we eliminate capital gains tax even when the ‘regular tax’ is at low rates. The ‘capital formation’ argument for lowering rates to the point of elimination is fairly weak; after all, we have 15% cap gains now, so a 9% rate would be a rate cut. Why would we make cap gains rate preferential to regular wage income when its low enough? People who make capital gains have added to their wealth, its a form of income, they just have done it by making their money work for them instead of via sweat / labor / skill. Why would we treat capital better than labor?

    IF WE HAVE LOW INCOME TAX RATES, SUCH AS 9%, WE HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO KEEP IT SIMPLE AND BROAD, BY TAXING ALL FORMS OF GAIN OR INCOME EQUALLY.

    “Cain

  • Tbone

    be President.

  • Doc Holliday

    capital gains a result of investing/risking money that was ALREADY taxed as income as some point. I am truly amazed by the number of people on this site (not you specifically) worrying about regressive taxes, unfair taxes on the poor, etc. I am not getting it.

    Methinks at least some of these “tax justice” people just don’t like Cain.

    The reason everyone attacks Cain’s tax plan, is that he actually has a plan and explains it during debates. The others keep their plans hidden in anonymity.

    We should always support lower taxes and always support reducing government. Now some might say we can go too far, but I promise to tell you guys when that happens lol. And don’t hold your breath for that warning.

  • http://www.redstate.com/thesophist TheSophist

    If we Republicans can’t come up with an answer to, “Republicans are for the rich, they raise taxes on the poorest (sales tax) while letting the rich pay nothing” then perhaps we don’t deserve to win the election.

    How about, “Republicans are for the rich; we wanna make more of them. Democrats are for the poor; they wanna make more of them.”

    Or, “I never got a job from a poor person”

    Or, explaining (as one Herman Cain did to a President Clinton) that higher taxes on the “rich” means the “rich” has to lay someone off. What should we tell the guy who lost his job? That he oughta feel good coz he did it for the poor?

    Or, convincing Americans that we don’t have a revenue problem, but a spending problem?

    The absolute last thing we oughta be doing is suggesting, “Hey, we care about the poor too… just not as much as that Obama guy does”.

    As for the capital gains vs. ordinary income thing… it’s too big a topic to get into in a comments. But Doc Holliday has done a fine job trying to explain.

    All I’d like to add are a couple of questions. When the capital gains rate was cut to 28% in 1986… what happened to the economy? When the capital gains rate was cut to 15% in 1997… what happened to the economy? Might the two events be correlated (even… causally related???) to each other?

    I’d be happy with a compromise to match cap gains to ordinary income rates, but the goal of the Cain 999 Plan is not fairness: it is to create economic growth. A lot of the discussion around the plan miss this basic point.

    For encouraging growth, zero capital gains is pretty powerful stuff: it is steroids for the economy. Our economy could use it, at least for a while.

  • http://www.nighttwister.com NightTwister

    Raising taxes on the poor, that is.

  • whitfox3

    is the corporate tax, while removing the capital gains deduction. You can make a good argument that’s fair – all investors pay their own individual tax rate.

    It’s a hard sell that the poor need to pay more taxes, when they have less disposable income, and badly need capital to advance in life. I don’t see a majority of Americans calling that fair anytime soon. We can and should tax productivity less, but it has to be clearly targeted. A lower tax rate for the wealthy, just because they’re wealthy, is not going to fly. A lower tax rate for people investing money directly in a business (as opposed to trading shares around), or for pursuing self-employment, is easier to sell. People can see how the community benefits from the person’s wealth..

    If “we should always support lower taxes”, Cain’s plan fails right there for the great majority of Americans.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    “capital gains a result of investing/risking money that was ALREADY taxed as income as some point. ”

    This is really not an issue, or not true. If I buy a $10 stock, hold it for 3 years, then sell it at $30, that $20 gain was never taxed on me. The value was created and no more taxed than if I bought a $10 shaft of wood, whittled into a $30 flagpole and sold it. Profit!

    Now if the money that capital was making was taxed … what of it? In the 9-9-9 we are ALSO “double taxing” when we add a business margins tax on a sales tax on an income tax. my income is ‘double taxed’ when I pay state and local sales and other taxes. And labor today is double taxed on payroll and income.

    I agree that … “We should always support lower taxes and always support reducing government” and no, we will never end up spending and taxing too little, any more than someone morbidly obese could accidently die of starvation.

    So what’s the best way, fairest and least damaging way to tax? Do it via a balanced approach.

    Progressive taxes with high rates are NOT fair and we need to point out that.
    But conversely, regressive taxes are problematic, favoring capital over labor is as wrong as the vice versa approach.

    So I advocate no favorites.

    To me, that means the best approach would be a flat income tax. One rate with just one simple exemption for families with dependents. Scale back EITC and eliminate all deductions and loopholes. It might be a simple 20%, tax ALL income at that same rate. corporate, capital gains, wages, dividends, etc.

    I also think we could reform the payroll tax by ending the cap, and at the same time dramatically reducing it, with an optout. eg 8% flat tax with an added 4% to be ‘in standard social security 0% to ‘opt out’ with the requirement that you need to be in a retirement system with a minimum 5% contribution to it.

    Any I would shift taxes to consumption. If not the Cain 9%, perhaps a simple 5% tariff on all imports not coming from Trade Agreement partners.

    Why the concern on ‘regressive taxes’? Other than the economic side of it, what’s really efficient and fair, its the obvious politics. When you have polling that is now 2 to 1 ‘for’ the ‘tax the rich’ ideas, we have a dangerous brew of envy and greed. Not that we have to cater to it, but we have to acknowledge that pushing regressive taxation to replace progressive taxation is politically perilous. (In other words, Santorum is right; 9-9-9 likely wont pass Congress. Just as Democrats have demagogued Fair Tax as a massive tax hike on the middle class, they will do that here as well.)

  • Doc Holliday

    People get their 9 percent tax on household goods on a fairly regular basis, it is called inflation. If we don’t do something to get the feds to stop spending and to get them from destroying capitalism, we will see 9 percent sales “taxes” (inflation) on a regular basis.

    The time has come to make serious changes, and we can’t be afraid to make more people feel the pain of bloated government. Right now, we are on the verge of a permanent majority that pay no income taxes. When that happens, only one party will win national elections, and that is the party of those who don’t pay.

    The only way to get a majority to want to reduce government, is if a large majority have to pay for it. Sure we could hope Americans simply rediscover right from wrong, but I think the first idea is more likely to work.

  • http://www.nighttwister.com NightTwister

    Yeah, we’re seeing it now, but it was quite low during the Bush years with a similar tax structure to what we have now.

    I’m not saying we don’t need changes (we do), but you better have the right message and be able to back it up, or you’re going to get creamed.

    Cain is already adding exemptions to his plan, and since it’s a work in progress I expect more pandering. It’ll end up with so many holes it’ll be as useless as the one we have now.

    I think a simplified tax code that encourages desired behavior (real property ownership, traditional family structure, education…) and gives businesses enough incentive to invest is the right solution.

  • Doc Holliday

    a sales tax makes everyone pay, illegals, those who pay no income tax, tax cheats etc. How is that wrong? I understand your point about the politics, but trust me, ANY Republican plan will be savaged. It is like Cain deserves the most savaging because he had the guts to support a plan. The rest hide behind empty promises.

    I think you are wrong about inflation. The way the government measures inflation tricks people into believing there isn’t any. Ok, so a pound of bacon is over $5, but they offset that by cratered home prices. Go to the supermarket at tell me there is not inflation. Go to a movie and tell me there is no inflation.

    I want a lower tax burden and a smaller government. Cain plans a lower tax burden and smaller government. It will take a lot more than comments that his plan will be regressive to lose my support. And who exactly should take his place? Perry? The guy acts like he doesn’t even want to be in the race. We have to pick someone, and I will pick a conservative over Mitt any day.

  • Doc Holliday

    Is this Daily Kos? Our system is capitalism. It requires people to take risks. The stock market gives risk takers a chance to have their projects funded. Money moves from the least productive companies to the most productive companies, benefiting everyone.

    We are on the verge of having a majority taker class. When that happens, Democrats wont even have to campaign anymore. All Americans should pay for their government services, then and only then will they start questioning whether the service is worth the expense.

    When conservatives no longer believe everyone should pay, we really are becoming just another European country, but with worse food.

  • Doc Holliday

    well, I could argue with all these newly minted taxes for social justice types, but I think I will take a break until the unCAINny concern dies down a bit.

    Personally I want a sales only tax, that is what I would do if I had the power. We should be incentivizing productivity and investment. I am open to no taxes on essentials and even a type of luxury tax. But nobody is proposing this at this time. Cain is proposing a great reduction in the tax burden, the beginning of the end for the IRS, and the end of welfare for accountants and lawyers. I call it a dang good start.

  • whitfox3

    from a shareholder, no business investment or wealth creation is taking place. We start with money and shares, and end with money and shares. Granted, the items are going to people who value them higher, or they wouldn’t have made the trade. But you can say that of every purchase. Why does this merit a tax break again?

    Already, most people do not pay as much as the benefits they consume. That didn’t stop us from reforming welfare. But the basis was that it didn’t seem fair to permanently subsidize unemployment. Appealing to peoples’ sense of justice is powerful. But while it might seem a proportional tax can be justified that way, the shift in tax burden seems indefensible.

    I grant it’s possible to make expensive government more unpleasant by spreading the pain. But voters aren’t stupid, and they won’t vote themselves this pain in the first place. Do we really want to risk the 2012 election on this?

  • Doc Holliday

    and capitalism. But tell me this. Which presidential candidate on the Republican side would say capital gains taxes should be the same as income taxes? Show me a quote of any of our candidates saying that. It has been a goal of this party to cut capital gains taxes, end the estate tax, and reduce overall taxation. Cain’s plan is a starting point and an aggressive one. So I should support the meek? And who would those meek be? Romney?

  • whitfox3

    We don’t have enough registered Republicans to win the election on our own,

    That there are conservatives eager to reduce capital gains and estate taxes, and that they’ve made some progress, doesn’t even mean these positions are supported by 100% of the party, Few who post here regularly would vote Obama just because of a personal tax increase. But we are are a small minority of zealots.

    As for reducing taxation, Cain’s plan doesn’t do that if it’s revenue-neutral.

    I’m all in favor of supporting the most conservative person who can win. It’s not clear 9-9-9 isn’t an albatross of doom. For that matter, some thought is merited before such a radical change is labelled conservative.

  • whitfox3

    If we could argue that this plan makes more people rich, I’d agree we have a workable case. But we can’t. Remember, this plan is supposed to be revenue-neutral. Any tax reduced for one person, is increased on another.

    So we’re going to tax the working poor and lower middle class more, even though getting some capital is more important for them. Richer people already have means of production – college educations, car to travel to work, etc. How does giving money to them, and taking it from people just starting out, make more people rich?

    Sure tax cuts improve the economy, even poorly targeted tax cuts. But that’s not what we’re talking about, and our deficit situation makes this unrealistic. If we’re going to improve the economy just by switching the burden, we need something more thought out than 9-9-9.

  • http://www.nighttwister.com NightTwister

    I’ve said it’s a losing message. Those that ignore that do so at their peril.

  • kestrel

    suggesting it was in the RoadMap. I’m asking. What 10 year budget plan were you talking about?

  • kestrel

    I want a nominee with a conservative RECORD. He ain’t it.
    As I understand it, the Chilean model is based on the Galveston model, and Perry knows all about that. I’m not all in for Perry yet, but I’m close.

  • http://travismonitor.blogspot.com Freedoms Truth

    “Personally I want a sales only tax, that is what I would do if I had the power. ”

    That’s what a tariff is – imports only sales tax.

  • http://www.redstate.com/thesophist TheSophist

    Something we all need to keep in mind is that the whole focus of the 999 Plan is to stimulate GROWTH in the economy.

    The point is that by unleashing business activity, while remaining revenue neutral in the short/med term, we wil create more rich people.

    Our deficit situation will never be covered through revenues anyhow; it can only be handled with spending cuts and a spending cap amendment.

    And giving more money to “rich people” creates jobs. I’ve never gotten a job from a poor person. And as a small business owner, let me tell you without question that if I weren’t paying north of $60k a year in federal income tax, I’d hire someone to do some of the stuff I don’t really have time to do well.

    Finally… supposing your arguments all have merit (which they don’t), what exactly is your plan (or your preferred candidate’s plan) to spur business activity and growth? What exactly is your plan for increasing hiring, increased investment, etc.?

    Rhetoric of “working poor” is just that: empty rhetoric. The other side is much better than we are at empty rhetoric. I suggest we don’t embrace it.