« BACK  |  PRINT

RS

FRONT PAGE CONTRIBUTOR

Actuarial Perspective

By: Dan Spencer (Diary)  |  September 4th, 2008 at 05:15 PM  | 

RESIZE: AAA

In today’s Best of the Web, they run the actuarial numbers and conclude:

Let’s take the average of the two figures and say that McCain has a 14.65% likelihood of dying before Inauguration Day 2013, while Obama’s likelihood is 1.465%.

For the sake of argument, assume further that Joe Biden and John McCain are equally qualified to be president, and Sarah Palin is as unqualified as Barack Obama.

That means that if McCain is elected, there is better than an 85% chance that America will have a qualified president at the end of the term. If Obama is elected, the likelihood of having an unqualified president at term’s end is higher than 98.5%.

Just another reason to vote McCain Palin.

Tags:

COMMENTS

POSTING RULES  |  LOGIN TO COMMENT  |  REGISTER TODAY
  • drjecdo

    Voting for Obama is a provably irrational position. I already knew that, but it’s nice to see the math. I love rock hard, mathematically and logically airtight evidence.

  • brizzle

    “For the sake of argument, assume further that Joe Biden and John McCain are equally qualified to be president, and Sarah Palin is as unqualified as Barack Obama.”

    Excuse me? This assumption is not something I accept. Define qualified.

    The US Constitution says you must be 35 years old and born in the USA. That is the only qualification.

    Now, if you want to begin quantifying experience and giving this weight as some “nice-to-have qualities”, then you’ll find an entire universe of disagreement on how experience translates to the real world. Personally, I prefer judgment to experience, and you’ll have a difficult time constructing a logical argument that shows this to be demonstrably false.

    So, if you think this is rock hard math, I recommend a class in Symbolic Logic.

    This is propaganda; nothing more.

    • blooch

      nt

      • speciallist

        n/p

        • blooch

          subbing for his Osteo-Mentor.

          Did you get the picture I sent you?

          • speciallist

            n/p

          • blooch

            I’ve got to get some sleep.

  • tngal

    Perhaps the word we are looking for is humble. We didn’t know because its not widely disseminated on bio’s given to interviewers or storywriters. Thank you George for giving us more facts about the Next President of These United States!

  • The_Rebel

    I have also received this e-mail. BTW, Romney was awesome tonight at the Al Smith Dinner. I’ll bet Dennis Miller wrote a lot of those lines.