Comments on: Romney closes the gender gap

By: ihateliberals

ihateliberals — Thu, 24 May 2012 14:15:44 +0000

“The danger to America is not Barack Obama, but a citizenry capable of entrusting a man like him with the Presidency. It will be far easier to limit and undo the follies of an Obama presidency than to restore the necessary common sense and good judgment to a depraved electorate willing to have such a man for their president. The problem is much deeper and far more serious than Mr. Obama, who is a mere symptom of what ails America . Blaming the prince of the fools should not blind anyone to the vast confederacy of fools that made him their prince. The Republic can survive a Barack Obama, who is, after all, merely a fool. It is less likely to survive a multitude of fools, such as those who made him their president.” (Source: Prague newspaper Prager Zeitungon)

By: gbabyexcatholic

gbabyexcatholic — Thu, 24 May 2012 13:38:34 +0000

Ever dropped out of the presidential race after seeking a 2nd term? You must be a little misinformed to truly suggest that barack is dropping out in 2 months. He is the democratic nominee for president de facto of his current incumbent status.

By: cactusjack

cactusjack — Thu, 24 May 2012 12:29:14 +0000

magazine is on record in 2004 saying they calculated the media’s support of Kerry was worth 5 percentage points to Kerry in the upcoming 2004 election. To me, that was the watershed moment when the lib media just came out and admitted what everybody knew, that they were in the tank for the Liberal Progressives.
I dont know what was more chilling about his statement, the “support” part or the “we calculate” part. BTW he was probably right, the 2004 Bush Kerry election should not have been as close as it was, all other things being equal. Media wise, in this era, as we know, the “things” are never “equal” if the Lib Media can help it.

By: checkmate2012

checkmate2012 — Thu, 24 May 2012 02:52:42 +0000

Now this poll plus the gender gap closing in this post are good signs! The article cautions that the +2 margin with Rubio is within the MOE.

An excerpt from the Miami Herald:
“Mitt Romney has crept to a 6-percentage point lead over President Barack Obama in Florida, where a new poll shows a majority of registered voters don?t think the incumbent deserves a second term.

Romney?s 47 percent to 41 percent lead over Obama would grow even bigger ? to an 8 percentage-point advantage ? if the challenger chose Sen. Marco Rubio a running mate, according to Quinnipiac University?s new survey released Wednesday.

The seemingly small 2-point advantage with Rubio could be huge in must-win Florida, which Obama won by just 2.8 percentage points in 2008. The last three presidential elections ? including the 2000 elections decided by 537 votes ? have been won by an average spread of 2.6 percentage points.”

Read more here: http://www.miamiherald.com/2012/05/23/2813473/florida-poll-shows-mitt-romney.html#storylink=cpy”

By: checkmate2012

checkmate2012 — Thu, 24 May 2012 02:13:25 +0000

as I’ve thought the same thing. Some terrrible health problem usually occurs in these instances thus Hillary will get to run to save the Dem party! Seriously tho’, O is such a narcissist that one idea is he’s too vain to drop out but the other side is he’s too vain to lose. The devil is in the details…his head.

By: greyeagle

greyeagle — Thu, 24 May 2012 02:05:15 +0000

I think Obama is in real trouble. Look at the Arkansas primary and they are Democrat, but nearly half voted against Obama. When the regular media runs a poll, I know it will be skewed to make Obama look much better than he is. Republican women are more concerned about jobs and the economy more than other issues, and certainly not the faux war on women trumpeted about by Pelosi and her ilk.

By: lineholder

lineholder — Wed, 23 May 2012 15:52:06 +0000

Just in daily conversations with people…we still have a lot of folks who take the numbers being presented in polls at face value rather than looking at the underlying details of the demographics included in the polls and evaluating to what extent the poll may or may not be valid (i.e. to what extent it is skewed)

I’m still in the learning curve about this myself, but it is something that I’ve started paying more attention to and trying to encourage other people to do the same.

Having it explained helps a great deal.

By: toothpick

toothpick — Wed, 23 May 2012 15:13:24 +0000

Obama is struggling to win unopposed primaries in his own party. My gut tells me these polls are overstating support for Obama.

Perhaps there are people who still feel good telling a pollster they would vote for Obama but in the privacy of the voting booth will pull the lever for just about anyone else.

By: lerm

lerm — Wed, 23 May 2012 13:39:16 +0000

They’ve seen the moving vans and the 4-sale signs in their neighborhoods and they all share the same feeling. They don’t want that to happen to them.

What’s the President’s gender gap with men ?

Oops.

By: gwalt

gwalt — Wed, 23 May 2012 13:33:40 +0000

If you recall, I think it was John Meacham in 2004 who said that the media bias represented a 15% skew in favor of Kerry.
With all these breathless polls comparing Bush’s, Clinton’s and Bush HWs,
we need to be reminded what we are up against when looking at Obamas poll numbers
The media was 95% against GWB and certainly against Reagan in that high a number.
The media are FOR Obama by 95%.
My guess, and I am not a statistician, but if you just look at the skewed polls and how the media skews as well, Obama is in the high 20′s. He keeps losing ground each week. At this rate, he will drop out by July. Just a guess.

By: Tbone

Tbone — Wed, 23 May 2012 13:20:05 +0000

so Obama doesn’t look as bad as it is getting. Adjust the poll to 2010 voter splits at Obama would be 10 points behind.

The Media can only spray Fabreze on Barry the Dead Bass for so long.

By: spinoneone

spinoneone — Wed, 23 May 2012 12:46:08 +0000

fun can be had this morning over at PJMedia. Stephen Green has four scenarios up which range from 0 wins to R wins to a tie!

http://pjmedia.com/vodkapundit/2012/05/23/wargaming-the-electoral-college-32/

All I can say is that it is a long way yet to November.