Skanderbeg at the ICCC


First let me point out the Global Warming Petition, which I and my wife have signed.   (You’ll find my wife Alexandra and I on the first and second line of the names under D.)  We are a professional chemist and biochemist, respectively.  If you think I’m pissed off about the AGW, stay away from the Doctress, she’ll rip out make you eat your own liver!  If you have any qualifications at all to sign this petition as a scientist of any kind at all, please find the petition at:

http://www.petitionproject.org/

I can’t overstress the potential of the work that could come out of this conference.  Lavish the goods on us, Skanderbeg!  

I’m looking for more juicy tidbits in the way of photochemistry, lightning-induced chemistry, and chemical/biochemical rate kinetics this time around.  Looking for a good model on the evolution/de-devolution of clouds (very difficult, but all important).  Well defined chemistry and physics of the atmosphere and biosphere.  Red meat!

For laypeople, I say take the plunge and dig in!  I recommend the website from the March conference,

http://www.heartland.org/events/NewYork09/proceedings.html

which is still evolving, apparently.  A website for today’s conference doesn’t seem to be up yet.

 

There are more videos and Powerpoint presentations and *.pdf files than the last time I looked.   Great scientists have great integrity and are extremely careful about what they say and the manner in which they say it.  The telltale sign of good work here is that they are taking the time to check every last detail and ensure its veracity before making it available to their community and the interested public.

It’s a real disadvantage against people like Al Gore, who spend their efforts “getting ahead of an issue” and “framing the argument”, “establishing a consensus opinion” or “declaring the issue closed” thereby capturing an early propganda advantage.  That sort of despicable tactic doesn’t register in the mind of true scientist.  It’s all meaningless in the face of what actually is.  Of course the true scientist has time, truth, and physical reality on his side…  the Sound versus the Strong. 

Do the homework, struggle through the math, demonstrate in your own mind that it’s accurate, see what it might be lacking.  You’ll find there are many branches of science and math that are brough to bear on the website.  Help yourselves understand.  And speak up if you see an error.  Or can’t follow a train of thought.  Don’t be afraid to ask questions.  Unlike the IPCC, and Al Gore, we/they won’t mind.  And you’re more likely to get a rational, enthusiastic response.

Remember, the slow blade penetrates the shield. 

(I think the Dune ref is particularly fitting when it comes to the environment, nicht wahr?)


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8 Comments Leave a comment

I'm annoyed that I'm not there.

Moe Lane Tuesday, June 2nd at 11:44AM EDT (link)

Stupid knee: I can stand and even walk, but it stiffens up if I go too long.

DC is too far for me from NJ, and today is my daughter's sixth birthday anyway.

Chemical Sam Tuesday, June 2nd at 12:15PM EDT (link)

I believe I’m qualified to present at such a conference. When my business (www.criterionchemical.com) begins to sustain itself, I’d like to focus on some of my theories, two of them in particular, which I’d like to couple and present in a unified form. I won’t bore you with them here…

but one of them is a need for a good model for cloud formation and dissipation, and the other is a need to incorporate an active role in the biosphere to INDUCE its own weather.

My way out of a recession or depression: Start a new company and start making some serious money! The lab is now ready! — http://www.criterionchemical.com

 
 

Just so you know why I'm happier today about the whole AGW thing...

Chemical Sam Tuesday, June 2nd at 11:48AM EDT (link)

Have a look at the statistics on who is signing this petition!

http://www.petitionproject.org/qualifications_of_signers.php

It’s a healthy sampling across the board, with the subfield (in green) of chemistry, people who are trained to understand chemical change, and processes, nearly leading the pack. This is second only to engineers who are, I am willing to bet, largely in on the petition for reasons of a backlash, against people who say the artifices of Mankind are to blame.

My way out of a recession or depression: Start a new company and start making some serious money! The lab is now ready! — http://www.criterionchemical.com

I'm sure that many engineers ...

skorrent1 Tuesday, June 2nd at 6:18PM EDT (link)

Like me, have enough experience in designing and modeling complex systems to share skepticism over projections from very large, curve-fitting models, and enough experience with field experiments to share skepticism over the accuracy of huge collections of historical data from multiple sources.

I didn't mean to disparage engineers.

Chemical Sam Tuesday, June 2nd at 9:50PM EDT (link)

The type of modeling I’m describing is a completely different animal, not necessary complex, just foreign even to engineers. For instance, the modeled objects regularly change identity.

Fluid dynamics alone may not be sufficient to predict wind and wave. The system may have to be regarded as an acutal collection of molecules that feed back on itself, rather than a homogeneous medium. A tall order, but I think statistical mechanics and non-equilibrium thermo may address the issue. I just haven’t seen anyone try it, Engineer, chemist or mathematician.

The goal is different here, too. Long-range projections may never be possible, or even important, but general understanding of behavior will offer more useful information about the fate of the biosphere. Demonstrating that the atmosphere is resistant to, or even incapable of the kind of runaway effects alarmists like to claim would put a serious dent in the willingness for people to shell out theirs (and others’) hard-earned money.

Hurricane predition for instance. Right now, people rely on what past hurricanes did to help detemine what they will do in the future under essentially the same conditions. The mathematics of trends. Problem is, hurricanes aren’t trendy. You’ll find that hurricane tracks are so wildly off, moreso now than a few years before Katrina. That bespeaks my guess that the expectation of worse hurricane activity prompted by junk science was incorporated, and actually cocked up the predictions post-Katrina. According to the crapfest “An Inconvenient Truth”, hurricanes will increase in intensity solely on Mankind’s increased influence on the atmosphere.

Well, in reality, that has turned out to be glaringly wrong. Some other mechanism besides the increase of CO2 must predomiate hurricane activity is the only remaining conclusion. Yet, the false theory persists, because Al Gore can say it with a set chin and a straight face. Color me unimpressed. But as unimpressed as I am, I have had a very hard time snapping people out of the AGW dreamstate.

The only thing left to do is get the model right, win the Nobel in Physics or Chemistry, and blow the Peace Prize out of the water for once and for good.

My way out of a recession or depression: Start a new company and start making some serious money! The lab is now ready! — http://www.criterionchemical.com

The hurricanes are part of the vast right wing conspiracy

6eorge Jetson Tuesday, June 2nd at 11:48PM EDT (link)

failing to follow AGW models for nefarous political reasons. </snark>

I’ll add my mere bachelor’s in physics to the list.

 
 
 
 

I'm sure 'beg will do us all proud.

redneck_hippie Tuesday, June 2nd at 9:01PM EDT (link)

Besides, living as we do in Obama Bizarro World I love it that people who actually know what it is they are talking about, and can refute the distortions and outright lies perpetuated by AGW’ers, will present the data and results in public fora.

Long live Skanderbeg and all other hocky-stick deniers.

“We must not lose our faculty to dare, especially in dark days.” - Churchill in March, 1942.

Remember NY-23.

 

Write-Up Coming Wednesday or Thursday

Skanderbeg Tuesday, June 2nd at 10:21PM EDT (link)

Well, I see that my fan club got ahead of me on this issue.

This was a rather different event vs. New York back in March - since it was held in DC to tackle the more political aspects obviously. (Moe, really could have used you here. :) ) It was also just one concentrated day, and had more panels than regular one-man presentations.

I have about 10 pages of notes that I have to digest and turn into a story. Will need a day or two.

 

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