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The “Fiscal Cliff” – A New Republican Playbook

Since Obama has won re-election, one thing needs to become completely and unequivocally clear to Republicans – the playing field is not level and will never again be. So, Republicans need to throw out the old playbook and institute a new one.

With the coming fiscal cliff, the Republicans need to put it together and do it quickly.

With the apparent fact that Obama has zero ability to actually lead on any issue, the Democrats will look to pin the blame for the U.S. going off the “fiscal cliff” on the Republicans. Otherwise, they would have to own the issue that they agreed to. Note a few headlines –

  • NBCNews – Poll: If government careens off fiscal cliff, GOP to shoulder blame
  • Politico – Poll: Blame GOP for cliff diving
  • TheHill.com – Poll: Most Americans would blame GOP if Congress fails on fiscal cliff

There are many more examples, but one thing should become perfectly clear – the media needs to be treated as enemy territory. Under no circumstances can a Republican politician or private citizen feel even remotely confident that he will get even treatment. The days of media impartiality are long since over as more journalists are making their political leanings known – if not advertised.

So, what is the GOP to do?

Scenario 1 – Inundate the Senate Democrats with bills. Set a record for the number of bills passed between now and the end of the year – all tied to the ‘fiscal cliff’ – and put it on Harry Reid to do something. Proposals should be tried and true to conservative principles since they would in no way be considered…much less passed. (The obvious expectation is that Harry would table everything since he would consider working with Republicans “laughable.”)

Scenario 2 – Once the Republican proposals are in the Senate, demand that Harry Reid pass a counter-proposal immediately so the Republicans know where the Democrats stand. They must stress the urgency of the situation and that delay by the Democrats is tantamount to economic ruin of the country. Do it every single day, all day, and continually point out to the American public the inactivity coming from the Democrats until he passes something for them to consider.

Scenario 3 – When the delay drags on from the first two scenarios, the Republicans need to demand a proposal from Obama. He invited them to work with him – they need to put it on him to lead. If he actually leads and produces something; then it needs to be for the Democrats to consider in the Senate first. Then the House Republicans will take it up immediately once the Senate has passed it.

(Of all of the possible scenarios – this is the least likely to happen since it would interfere with Obama’s regularly scheduled golf outings.)     

The pressure must be continually applied to the Democrats to act – for every action they take; the House Republicans must respond quickly to it. It is a PR war that is being waged, and the Republicans need to employ almost guerilla-style tactics in fighting it.

Give ground begrudgingly – for every item Republicans concede (e.g. tax hikes on the rich), another Democrat “sacred cow” (e.g. entitlement reform, welfare cuts, discretionary spending freezes) needs to be placed onto the altar of sequestration in the response to Democrat proposals. Continually pressure the Democrats into responding to ideas that they cannot politically afford to pass if they want to be re-elected.

Timing is key to this plan. The Republicans must present themselves as willing to work with the Democrats – but they also must realize that Obama has made it clear that he is an ideologue who will expect full compliance with his whims. The Republicans will have to fight perception that is shaped by the lapdog media who stands at the ready to do the beck and call of their “anointed one.”

It is a PR war – and Republicans are in enemy territory.

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COMMENTS

  • OhioHistorian

    You stated that the media is “enemy territory”. So, how in he!! is the story going to get out that the Republicans tried? Carrier pigeon to each US citizen? The people of the US are all tuned out from election fatigue. Good luck. Think of another way.

    • chrisinva

      No, I said it is to be treated as enemy territory. You need to do a better job at quoting someone. You can still use the available mechanisms against your opponents.

      • chrisinva

        Case in point — the negotiations have not even started and Senate Democrats are keeping the pressure on the Republicans. (http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/11/15/republican-rep-opens-door-to-tax-rate-hike-as-senate-dems-make-new-demands/)
        For every spending cut that is agreed to must have a matching tax hike. The Democrats want to go off the cliff, but they want the Republicans to own the debacle.

  • http://www.bohnetlaw.com rightappeal

    We need to choose our ground and priorities carefully. I say our bottom line should be that the deficit reduction must be preserved. Let Obama have his jobs-killing tax increases if that’s his priority. But he absolutely must be forced to carry out the domestic spending cuts to which he agreed without any exceptions for “emergency” disaster aid, unemployment benefits, etc. Our battle cry on everything Obama wants must be “we don’t have the money, even after Obama’s tax increase.” And he should also be forced to choose between making more cuts and cancelling the parts of the Bush tax cuts he’s said he wants to preserve. The real fiscal cliff is the one that is looming in a few years when we run out of people willing to lend us money. Holding the line on spending in this and future budget fights will avert that one, and also force the Dems to confront the absurd cost of Obamacare.

    • chrisinva

      Spending cuts have to be across the board — the military can not solely bear the brunt of it. Domestic programs will have to feel the weight equally. As for the absurd costs of Obamacare — one can only hope they realize that universal healthcare is a farce.

      • commonsenseobserver

        “Across the board” spending cuts are the worst method of fiscal reform, often leaving waste and mismanagement untouched, while devouring many efficient and critical programs at the same time. What we need is a comprehensive, zero-based review of all programs, and meaningful entitlement reform, with across-the-board cuts only as a last resort to enforce spending limits.

        I think we could learn an awful lot from Canada. Of course, I agree with you that no sacred cow must be left untouched- we must go after the whole herd.

        • chrisinva

          “Across the board” is not the most articulate way of putting it. Nothing is untouchable. Any program, domestic or military, is subject to reform and or cut. A comprehensive review — albeit time consuming — is probably the only approach that would get to the root of the problem.
          As for waste and mismanagement, we would need to scrap the whole government since the bureaucracy is thoroughly saturated with it.

      • http://www.bohnetlaw.com rightappeal

        I see everything besides the deficit as secondary at this point. We are close to maxed out on taxes, and there isn’t much room to cut defense. If the Dems want to go those directions, there will be natural consequences and we should be making sure people know the Dems were responsible for them. But the only way that the Dems can fully implement Obamacare is by either borrowing the money long enough to destroy the private market, or by making some pretty big cuts to some of their other pet programs. If forced to make a choice between funding an unpopular entitlement that hasn’t hooked people yet and a popular entitlement that already has a big Democratic constituency, I suspect the established constituency will get its way. If not, we at least get the consolation of getting rid of some other bad program. We need to force them to make that choice.