The way primary math works out is such that for much of the primary season it does not hurt to have 2 conservatives splitting the vote. Where it matters, however, is with winner-take-all states and winner-take-all districts. On March 17, Santorum will win Missouri. On the 18th Romney will win another non-state that shouldn’t be voting. On the 20th Illinois has Gingrich at 12 | Read More »
In order to win 269 electorial votes the GOP needs to win 3 key states: Florida, Ohio, and Virginia. I have long talked about issues critical to each state. The GOP cannot win without support from union folks, state employees, federal employees, and Hispanics. While this is needed, more is also needed to win. First, the GOP can win support of unions without spending any | Read More »
For the GOP nominee to win in 2012, he will need at-least 269 electorial votes. This is not my opinion, this is a fact. The only way to get these electorial votes is to win states (with a couple exceptions of votes allocated by district). There are some states, like Utah, that any GOP nominee will win. There are other states, like Vermont, that Obama will | Read More »
President Obama spent his first 3 years in office cutting pay and benefits for federal civilian workers, and now he has turned his focus on cutting the pay soldiers, saliors, marines, and airmen. His budget shows that military pay raises will rise by less than inflation over the next few years, and that he will cut healthcare benefits for our active and retired military. Unknown | Read More »
I’ve heard the critisism that Lugar is not perfect. That is true. While Lugar is more conservative than McCain, Brown, Snow, Collins and many other Senate Republicans, there are some times when Lugar does not vote exactly and perfectly down the tea-party line. Lugar voted for the bridget to nowwhere — the same funding that Palin asked for and kept. Lugar voted for the same | Read More »
With military actions in Iraq and Afghanistan comming to an end, it is right and appropriate to re-size the Army and USMC back to their pre-surge levels. Under Bush and Rumsfield these levels were considered appropriate for the long-term US troop levels. It is right to reduce back down to these levels. There is no national security risk to doing so. However, Obama’s plans to | Read More »
According to the 13th amendment: Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except as a punishment for crime whereof the party shall have been duly convicted, shall exist within the United States, or any place subject to their jurisdiction. Simply put, the 13th amendment prohibits slavery or involuntary servitude. This means that no person or entity can require another to work or perform services for free. Yet, the | Read More »
I have had a chance to think about it. I think the GOP would be better off without Brown and Snow in the Senate. While they sometimes pretend to be moderates, most of the time they are liberals when it counts. Some examples include: Both voted for the end of “don’t ask don’t tell” Olympia Snow voted against the 2001 Bush tax cuts Brown voted | Read More »
No candidate draws a more stark contrast with Obama. Let’s look at the difference between Obama, Romney, and Gingrich On balancing the budget: Obama has the biggest debt in History, Romney left a debt problem in Mass, Gingrich balanced the budget and made a surplus On religious Freedom: Obama requires coverage of abortion — even for Catholic employeers with a religious opposition to abortion, Romneycare had tax | Read More »
Mitt Romney’s “I don’t care about the poor” moment was a blunder that makes Perry’s “heartless” and “oops” moments look blunder-free. It made his $10,000 bet moment look fine in comparison. Although not immediatly, this blunder has cost Romney any hope of winning the nomination or the office of the president. There are 2 major problems with Romney’s comment that cause him grave harm: The | Read More »
I just heard Newt’s speech after Florida and I have come to realize that Newt is going to win the GOP nomination and be the next president. I understand that most people think that Romney is most likely, but I do not agree. First, Romney has never shown the ability to get the majority of the votes in any primary. Second, Romney’s win in | Read More »
At the time, Romney probably thought it was good news that only he and Paul qualified for Virginia: he was wrong. Because no write-ins are allowed and because only Romney and Paul are on the ballot in Virginia, and because Paul has no chance to win the nomination,– voters in Virginia’s GOP primary will face a clear choice: vote for Mitt Romney or vote against | Read More »
Sen. Rick Santorum has no viable path to victory and brings no new issues or ideas to the table. He no longer serves a purpose, or has a justification to remain in the race. Santorum has no viable claim that he is more conservative or more electable than Gingrich. He has no viable claim that he will be better in raising money, in organization, or | Read More »
Newt Gingrich started his campaign in SC in earnest sitting in 3rd place behind Romney and Santorum. His campaign surged when he started attacking Romney’s record in Bain and elsewhere. He continued his surge by attacking unfair media questions, getting standing ovations. It is hard to believe, but Gingrich got 2 standing ovations on a question about his 2nd wife and her claims that he | Read More »
I have never had sex outside of or before marriage. I think that is wrong. That said the vast majority of people these days have had sex outside of marriage. I am married, never got divorced, and have also never used contraception. I am very much pro-life and pro-family in my personal life. I encourge others to live do this also. That said, most of | Read More »
The easy think for Gov. Perry to do would have been to wait until SC was over and then to endorse Romney. That would have made his political life easier, and made it easier if he decided to leave politics and join K street. It would be following a typical GOP pattern of dropping out and supporting the front-runner. Gov. Perry — who I’ve attacked | Read More »
The South Carolina polls are moving in a very clear direction. Polls by Rasmussen, Insider Advantage, and PPP now all show Gingrich in 2nd place to Romney. They show him behind by an average of about 5 points. 27% for Romney, 22% for Gingrich. Santorum and Paul are tied for 3rd place with 15%. Perry and Huntsman are fighting for 5th place with just under | Read More »
A series of new South Carolina Polls taken after NH are showing several interesting trends: Very importantly, Huntsman is eating into Romney voters. Equally important, conservatives are starting to unit behind Gingrich It appears that there are several factors for why voters are moving over to Gingrich. In my view, they include: Rick Santorum’s poor NH showing. Santorum’s numbers are moving down and momentum has left him. | Read More »
The latest Insider Advantage Poll — the only SC poll after NH — shows Huntsman surging up to 7%. Meanwhile Santorum has fallen to 14%, and Romney has fallen to 23%. Gingrich, meanwhile, has held at 21%. Paul is at 13%; and at 6th place at 5% is Perry. Clearly this is showing that Huntsman has momentum, and — very importaintly — that Huntsman supporters | Read More »
August 8th, I posted (http://www.redstate.com/chrysostom15/2011/08/08/2012-gop-primary-rankings/) a lot of positive about Perry and listed him as the MOST likely (#1) to win the GOP nomination August 15th, I poted (http://www.redstate.com/chrysostom15/2011/08/15/ames-winners-and-losers/) that Perry could not have wished for better AMES results. August 16h, I posted (http://www.redstate.com/chrysostom15/2011/08/16/gop-primary-rankings/) that Perry was most likely to win, and said SC was his must-win state. August 21st, I posted (http://www.redstate.com/chrysostom15/2011/08/31/gop-presidential-primary-rankings/) again that | Read More »
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