Cheney Warned Of Iraq 'Quagmire'

By California Yankee Posted in Comments (21) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

The folks at Editor & Publisher report a Video has surfaced that shows Dick Cheney explaining in 1994 that trying to take over Iraq would lead to a "quagmire:"

The people who put it up come from a site called Grand Theft Country, the on-screen source appears to be the conservative American Enterprise Institute, and the date on the screen is April 15, 1994. That looks right, by the age of Cheney.

Here is the transcript [read it, watch the video and join the debate]:

Q: Do you think the U.S., or U.N. forces, should have moved into Baghdad?

A: No.

Q: Why not?

A: Because if we'd gone to Baghdad we would have been all alone. There wouldn't have been anybody else with us. There would have been a U.S. occupation of Iraq. None of the Arab forces that were willing to fight with us in Kuwait were willing to invade Iraq.

Once you got to Iraq and took it over, took down Saddam Hussein's government, then what are you going to put in its place? That's a very volatile part of the world, and if you take down the central government of Iraq, you could very easily end up seeing pieces of Iraq fly off: part of it, the Syrians would like to have to the west, part of it -- eastern Iraq -- the Iranians would like to claim, they fought over it for eight years. In the north you've got the Kurds, and if the Kurds spin loose and join with the Kurds in Turkey, then you threaten the territorial integrity of Turkey.

It's a quagmire if you go that far and try to take over Iraq.

The other thing was casualties. Everyone was impressed with the fact we were able to do our job with as few casualties as we had. But for the 146 Americans killed in action, and for their families -- it wasn't a cheap war. And the question for the president, in terms of whether or not we went on to Baghdad, took additional casualties in an effort to get Saddam Hussein, was how many additional dead Americans is Saddam worth?

Our judgment was, not very many, and I think we got it right.

Watch the video then join the debate. Is Iraq, even with the recent military progress, a "quagmire?"


I don't know what to say. Maybe something like I hate it when he's right? I don't think Iraq is a quagmire. Progress is being made. So much so that even the New York Times had to acknowledged it and there is talk of some Democrats being worried about facing a voter backlash for pandering to the left wing defeatists.

I was speaking with a Marine Master Sargent last week. He was getting ready for his second deployment to Iraq. Asked what he thought of our efforts he said He has 25 years in the Corps, looking to make it 30, he expects he will have three more Iraq tours. He thought for a moment and said "we just need more time. You have to give us more time."

The problem with Cheney's use of the q-word is that ever since we gave up in Vietnam, quagmire equates to failure in our political lexicon. We have not failed in Iraq, not yet, regardless of what the Democrats and the main stream media say. Another problem is that we can't look at the post-9/11 world through pre-9/11 lenses. September 11th changed everything.

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Cheney Warned Of Iraq 'Quagmire' 21 Comments (0 topical, 21 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »

That 1994 was pre-09/11/2001.
The world changed then, and old nostrums like the one the lefties are re-re-re-raising simply do not hold.
I wonder why this video is so popular now. I have seen it off and on since late 2002 or so.
Certainly it would be worth asking the VP himself why he changedhis mind.

You said it well, hunter!

Things did completely change on that infamous day. No longer having the luxury of of the mindset that terrorists were essentially a criminal matter, the necessity of militarily going into Afghanistan and Iraq became apparent, even to most of the Democrats who voted for both aspects of this war.

That this video is finding its way around the internet seems nothing more than a minor shot in the arm for a few lefties grasping at straws.

And the tide is turning for good in Iraq.

Jack
The World's Ruined

here's my take CY by haystack

the money quote for me:

Because if we'd gone to Baghdad we would have been all alone. There wouldn't have been anybody else with us. There would have been a U.S. occupation of Iraq. None of the Arab forces that were willing to fight with us in Kuwait were willing to invade Iraq.

We are NOT alone in Iraq now. We had MANY allies that engaged Iraq with us. Where Cheney DOES have a point is in suggesting no ARAB allies. I spit and choke on the word "quagmire" because of all the political implications and connotations vis a vis Viet Nam, and the shirt-tearing screamers who will inevitably come in here and start shouting everyone down about being right, and this being Bush's war, and impeach them all...but we'll suffer the fools when they do.

Cheney was right in 94 about the one thing that makes him right today-Iraq's neighbors would have been very pleased to divvy up the remnants of a deposed Saddam's Iraq so long as they could sit back and pat each other on the backs that they had no part of tearing it up in the first place.

What we have NOW is a quagmire of ours AND their making-us trying to keep her intact and rebuild and shore up (and struggling at best to do these things)...theirs in chipping away at any successes we might enjoy that will keep Iraq in small pieces long enough for us to get chased out by our own political re-election machines.

I say, for the record, our real quagmire is right here on American soil, right up there on Capitol Hill. Congress has just as much of THIS country to redistribute to their power bases as Iran, Syria, Turkey, and Saudia Arabia has to redistribute to theirs.

haystack's 12th:
Conservatives (and Presidential Candidates especially) shall offer no aid and comfort to the opposition in times of legislative conflict (and ensuing political campaigns).

Because if we'd gone to Baghdad we would have been all alone. There wouldn't have been anybody else with us. There would have been a U.S. occupation of Iraq. None of the Arab forces that were willing to fight with us in Kuwait were willing to invade Iraq.

Quagmire, Oh please. by Marcus Traianus

Quagmire is an emotional term that fits a predetermined desire; to further support their position the war in Iraq is not winnable and even Cheney knew it. In spite of all that knowledge he went forward. What could be his underlying compulsion? I don’t know we will leave that up to the reader. Oh please, this is just more ridiculous patronizing nonsense from E & P. They must really be getting desperate since this video has been circulated before.

What they count on is an emotional response that never careens into a brief intellectual examination. Here it is in a sentence; the circumstances in GW I were vastly different, in the intervening period Iraq became more belligerent/dangerous and September 11th brought about new realities regarding world threats.

They should do some real work and ask the VP about his current thoughts rather than drum up dated video. What a bunch of embarrassing, lazy propaganda.

"Dulce et decorum est pro patria mori"
Contributor to The Minority Report

5 - (nt) by kowalski

.

Emotional terms? by rj1913

"War on Terror" is an emotional term that fit well into a predetermined desire to invade Iraq. "September 11th brought about new realities regarding world threats". It did not bring about a connection between Osama and Saddam.

Where are the other 6 dwarfs? by Marcus Traianus

So you have shown an adroit ability to comment on nothing relevant to this thread.But one might suppose that is impossible in you comment since facts are required.

Now if you would like to gather information on, say, the Iraq AUMF and history on the use of WOT, then tell us how it relates to this article, further expound on why you now feel foolish, we would all be fascinated.

I am not prescient, but guess there is probably an essay requirement in your future.

"Dulce et decorum est pro patria mori"
Contributor to The Minority Report

and Cheney is no different. Give the man credit. There was a lot of pressure to complete the job in the first Iraq war, to remove Saddam. But the Saudis did not want Saddam gone. They wanted a crippled Saddam, but one still strong enough to stop a very aggressive Iran. The thought was that Saddam could be contained, but he would still be able to stop an invading Iran.

The results were pretty horrendous. The US apparently invited the Shi'ites to rebel, and then abandoned them when they did. Ditto the Kurds. Saddam's revenge was brutal.

So what does that have to do with Cheney? The Bush I administration was searching for a reason to accept the realpolitik of the situation, and settled on Vietnam as the Model. Cheney was a loyal soldier. He was asked to support the decision to stop before victory, and he did, like a lot of others in the Bush I administration.

Cheney is a politician, and he shouldered the burden of supporting the Bush I decision, which was more than just a decision of Bush I. No one today, including Harry Reid or Nancy Pelosi, would jeapordize our flow of oil. Okay, so Obama might, until his advisors showed him that he was committing political suicide.

The left will attempt to make much hay over the situation, but again, a new realpolitik is in play here. The threat is not just to the flow of oil, but to American lives. Maybe we should have bit the bullet in 94 and finished the job. Maybe the results would have been worse. Hindsight is not always 20/20.

...all kinds of criticism of G.H.W. Bush for not taking Saddam down at the time. In fact, I'm sure that's why Cheney was asked this question in 1994. In fact, it came from many on the left-hand side of the aisle.

Those are the quotes that I'd be interested in seeing -- the Congressional experts (Kerry? Kennedy? Biden? who else?) from the mid-90's who thought leaving Iraq when we did was a mistake.

It's such a fine line between stupid and clever. - David St. Hubbins

Cheney Was Right by Vryheid

Too bad he didn't listen to his own advice.

behind the GWOT. Cheney's mistake was thinking the left (who voted for the invasion) would so quickly turn their backs on our soldiers and our country. I think he believed they could see the threat we faced then, and still do, and would support the long war on terror that GWB promised us all after 911. Hillary and Co. made speeches at that time that said they were in support of it. Bush and Cheney's biggest mistake was believing them.

This pisses me off. I saw by Common Cents

This pisses me off. I saw the report on CNN. CNN is a biased attack dog trying to create a "gotcha" moment using anything out of context. CNN's report stressed 3 times that there was 250,000 views on GooTube. WOOOW! What great evidence of importance of a story! They might as well say 10 out of 10 whackos agree.

Bush 1 should have ignored the UN and took out Saddam the first time around.

Ask not what you can do for your country, ask what your country can do for you. Washington Elected Elite

Take the bait? by Contrarianistic

Don't take the bait.
Cheney said it and he was right. Things looked simpler and easier in 2003. They weren't. Water over the dam. That doesn't change anything about where we are today.

The Republican Party needs to stay focused on the future. While we need to learn from history, the nation needs a party that will LEAD us into the future. That won't happen if we keep defending what was done in years past.

The question on the table isn't how we got to where we are or why did we do the things we did. The question is where are we going from here. Give me a candidate who says he has a plan, I'll listen. Give me a candidate WITH a plan, and I'll vote.

Cheney needs to do whatever it takes to push this rabbit back into its hole, even if it means taking one for the Party.

"Once you got to Iraq and took it over, took down Saddam Hussein's government, then what are you going to put in its place?"

We know what we are fighting _against_ in Iraq now, and our troops seem to be doing better on the ground militarily, but the 1991-4 Cheney's question to the 2003-7 Cheney still stands unanswered.

--> God Help us ALL ... by LoneThinker

When intelligent people like yourselves are so easily misled with catch phrases like, "Everything Changed After 911", I fear for the future of our country.

Exactly how does this little gumball explain Cheney's comments ... it does not. Are you seriously suggesting that Cheney's comments from 1994, which turned out to be right, were actually wrong. And then, after 911, when Cheney's comments were wrong, he was actually right ?

That notion is completely absurd and your regurgitation of these spoon-fed catch phrases belies your lack of thoughtfullness on this topic. And that is why nobody can articulate a cogent explanation that reconciles this video with contemporary White House policy.

This is NOT A GAME people. We are fighting for the future of our country and FACTS MATTER. Our country ended the last century as the worlds leading super-power in large part because our freedom allowed us to embrace scientific and academic principles that accelerated our defense and economic capacity beyond that of the rest of the world.

If we reject that which has made us so successful, ie. Facts, Science, Academia, Education, Intellectualism, Thought, Reason ... if we reject that which separates us from animals, we will FAIL in the 21st Century. I fear that the Republican Party is morphing into the Anti-Intellectual/Science/Thought/Reason Party, and the Republican Party was our last great hope.

God Help us ALL ...

-----------------------------
"That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men, deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed, — That whenever any Form of Government becomes destructive of these ends, it is the Right of the People to alter or to abolish it, and to institute new Government ..."

Ok facts and reason by Joliphant

Gulf war I what was the strategic purpose ? How was it achieved, would occupying Iraq have furthered that purpose.

Gulf War II what was the strategic purpose ? How is it being achieved ? How does going into Iraq contribute to it.

If you don't think there is a strategy and a goal in Gulf War II, this is going to be a very short conversation.
______________________________
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

Your first assignment? 2,500 word essay on the aftermath of the first Gulf War.

No, don't worry, take your time. We'll somehow make it through until you've finished, sent it in, and we've decided whether it's good enough to turn your account back on.

Moe

PS: For the slow of brain: argue the implications of a pre-9/11 Cheney statement all you care to. No skin off of my nose either way: it's a video clip, not a magic spell. But don't be this guy. The Internet is already overstocked with examples of this guy.

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!

--> Fascism Rules the Day by LoneThinker-lives

Joliphant, I notice that your response titled "OK facts and reason" is COMPLETELY BEREFT of facts and reason. If you'd like, I'll be happy to send you a dictionary and a book about how to think. Its no wonder our leading nominees this year are Flip-Flopping New England Liberals.

Moe Lane, the internet is not full of people like me, thoughtful, cogent, and well reasoned, and your post is proof of that. As usual, rather than engage in a substantive discussion, you have COMPLETELY AVOIDED the topic at hand because you are completely void of any independent thought and you can only regurgitate your programming.

Solidarity my Communist, I mean Republican, Borthers ! Time to turn on State Run Television, I mean the Fascist News Network, I mean Fox News. Well you know ... the only channel you're PERMITTED to watch.

I also noticed that Redstate.com disabled my account after my first post. I guess independent thought is not welcome here. Perhaps I am wrong ... Perhaps the Republican Party is morphing into a party of fascists. Is this what we're fighting for ... the right to shut up and submit ?

Its good to know that we're fighting for the Freedom of Iraqis to speak out against their government, while supressing that same freedom here at home. Our current leadership should reaname themselves to the Tim McVeigh Party, the party that HATES its own country.

God Help us ALL !!!

Something you insisted was needed but provided none of.

By the time you read this your new account will probably be banned as well. Sayonara.

______________________________
"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

...as the petulant rage of a troll forcibly reminded that he is not, in fact, a beautiful and unique snowflake. Just what I needed as a pick-me-up before I started moving umpteen boxes for the move*.

Thanks, and don't bother with the essay.

Moe

*I guess that means that I should set the kittens and baby pandas free, then. I don't have the metabolism I did ten years ago, after all.

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!


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