Howard Dean to PA, NC, IN, WV, KY, OR, SD, MT, GU, PR: We can no longer afford to care about what you think.

Couple that with MI & FL, and we're down to a *4*0-State Strategy. And counting.

By Moe Lane Posted in | | | Comments (30) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

Chairman Dean, what exactly is it that you do all day? Because while I may just be a Republican - one of those people that you hate, as well as hate everything that I stand for - I have to say: if your job is to help the Democratic Party grow and thrive, you're not precisely doing the best job at it. This was not a smart thing to say at this point in the game:

Dean: I need a decision 'now'

(CNN)— An increasingly firm Howard Dean told CNN again Thursday that he needs superdelegates to say who they’re for – and “I need them to say who they’re for starting now.”

“We cannot give up two or three months of active campaigning and healing time,” the Democratic National Committee Chairman told CNN’s Wolf Blitzer. “We’ve got to know who our nominee is.”

(H/T: Hot Air)

Read on.

Ed in the Hot Air link above wrote about some of the internal complications of this call of Dean's; let me focus on the tin-ear aspects of it. The difficulty here for the Chairman is that he's recognized that there's a problem - the Democratic primary process has been weakened by decades of neglect and meddling, to the point that it looks likely to collapse under the strain of its first real test in 40 years - but he's trying to fix it by elevating the choices of a group of elites over the Democratic Party voting public. You might argue that in this, he is merely emulating his Party's basic nature; and you would be of course right.

But there is a difference between swooping in to resolve a conflict, and muscling in to end an annoyance. If, after the last primary, the super-delegates do all gather together as originally called for (something I didn't and don't think is all that likely, mind you) in order to resolve any doubts about who the nominee was going to be, well: it's still not the best way to run things, but at least all the voters had their say. And if the voters didn't like the choice, they'd at least have a shot at the convention to make their displeasure known. In other words, this would not be a good outcome, but it would also not be the worst outcome.

This proposal, however... it reveals that Howard Dean - and, by extension, the Democratic establishment - cares more for a quick choice than they do the People's choice. And that he's willing to contemptuously dismiss the opinion of the remaining Democratic voters - many of whom are excited to actually have a voice in a primary decision for a change - just in order to be able to know ahead of time which name to put on the balloons. Mind you, most of the States involved aren't going to vote Democratic anyway, and he's obviously ready to risk the ones that do - which is pragmatic, I suppose, but hardly in line with his pious rhetoric about supporting the Democrats in every State.

Mind you, he could have gotten away with a call like this several months ago. Back then most people still believed that the race would be over by now anyway. But he didn't, and just in case any Democrats reading this are wondering: no, you cannot actually afford to spot the GOP any Electoral Votes this year. I don't care what your pet pundits and/or political gurus are telling you; in fact, they're the ones who have helped set up the political map so as to ensure that most of the major electoral battles are on Blue State soil.

Again.

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Howard Dean to PA, NC, IN, WV, KY, OR, SD, MT, GU, PR: We can no longer afford to care about what you think. 30 Comments (0 topical, 30 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
Was Dean..... by reldim

....one of the people telling us how superdelegates should override the will of the people and that it was important to let the people decide?

Dean has graciously put Obama in a real bind. Obama, as things stand now, is probably the guy that would win those superdelegates if they were forced to pick now, but he's the one that was most vocal about the superedelegates sticking with the people and letting the peoples' votes decide. If he goes along with Dean he looks a touch hypocritical and opportunist - which we know he is, but serves as just another chip off the "new politician" veneer he's trying to sell. If he doesn't go along with Dean and continues to believe the people should decide he may actually lose - Clinton could pull off enough wins and by the right margins that she will, when you add in Florida, totally close the popular vote gap between them. With Barry looking more and more damaged and weak by recent events ("bitter," Wright and Meeks, Rezko, the "money from oil companies" bit, etc.), a tied popular vote could be enough to sell some superdelegates on Clinton - maybe she's unpopular, but at least they know there won't be any new damning revelations in September and October.

Also, if Barry looks to be trying to preempt the vote in these states, he could lose support in them and actually cause to happen exactly what Clinton is holding on for - he could depress his own numbers just enough to allow Clinton to pull even with him in total votes. And then we get to have the conversation about whether it's the people that matter, or the delegates, whether we should look to who won more primaries in big important states like CA, OH, and PA or who managed ridiculous margins in a few deep red states based on incredibly low turnout at caucuses. (Personally I find Clinton's argument more compelling - I'd rather nominate a Republican who won primaries, even close ones, in TX, OH and FL to one who picked up big caucus wins in MA, RI and MD).

All this makes me wonder - if Clinton had just put a little more effort into those caucus states she wouldn't be here. She didn't even need to win - all she needed to do was keep Obama in the 55-60 range rather than the 65-75 range and she would have picked up a couple of delegates in each state, and probably would have had enough to make the pledged delegate differential nearly irrelevant. I wonder how many current and former Clinton people kick themselves every night.

My vote counts by Patrick1950

Mr. Dean.
We vote in Pa. on Tue 22 Apr.. my vote counts.

It is bad enough that "YOUR" chosen candidate and "YOUR" political party has decided not to count Fla. and Mi. now you want the voters of Pa. not to count.

How about no vote counts and the Dem.party machine just pick whom ever they want to be in office. Why even go to the trouble of having an election at all?

Mr. Dean... shut up.
Patrick, proud to be an Americn

...its that it is not going to effect the outcome.

Its the equivilant of a national election where the outcome is known before the California results are. California's results "count," but the outcome was decided well before.

...in a Presidential election now until the CA polls close.

And, not to interfere with your party's nomination mechanism unduly, but the race has been tied ever since it became clear that neither candidate would get enough pledged delegates to win it outright. Both Clinton and Obama need the remaining contests to buttress their positions that they're the best choice for November; while Howard Dean doesn't care about that (or at least not as much as he cares about not having his mistakes reflect badly upon him), he probably should.

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!

but its not tied... by notanideologue

Obama is ahead.

Clinton needs overwhelming support of the super D's to win.

So I think Dean is correct in saying that it is in the best interest of the Democratic party for everyone to show their cards face up on the table and see where they are.

If the super D's are going to overrule the early voting states let them do it now rather than wait till August...if they arnt willing to do that than the party would be better off uniting around Obama and preparing for the general.

Either way Dean's right.

Bad precendent by notanideologue

All the more ammunition for states to continue to move up in the process in future cycles.

The remaining states don't matter, thanks to how undemocratic the DNC process is. It's up to the superdelegates, and only the superdelegates, to decide which candidate wins. Neither candidate can win without them.

HTML Help for Red Staters
"If we want to take this party back, and I think we can someday, let’s get to work." – Barry Goldwater

The worse Obama looks as a candidate, the more the leading Dems call for her to drop out.

Maybe the Dems are taking their principle of surrender to heart.

Well, not really, but only because I so strongly disagree with so much of what they believe. (I started to say because they are stupid socialists, but it sounded just too harsh, particularly as my neighbor is one, and she's not a stupid socialist, just a deceived older lady.)

But seriously, if we in the Republican primary were campaigning and voting and contributing and then in the end a few hundred national elitists got to decide the nominee without regard to the votes, I'd be hot, hot, hot. Regardless of whether or not my guy won. I'd be hot that some stupid person who called themselves a Republican set up such a stupid elitist primary.

Of course, they're democrats, so they'll just gripe and complain and then send a few nuts to Denver with Molotov cocktails.

I meant what I said and I said what I meant. An elephant's faithful 100 percent.

its not so illogical by notanideologue

to say we'll give the voters a chance, but if the outcome is one of indecision, that is the candidates are seperated by a statistically insignificant margin, than the political professionals should weigh in.

I think were all a bit naive if we believe that "elites" in both parties are not exerting a preponderence of influence over who the nominee is. The Republican party in particular has a history of nominating the guy who's turn it is for lack of a better expression. You don't achieve frontrunner status in an off year without the support of the party elite.

What do statistics matter? by Neil Stevens

I thought you all were the Count Every Vote people.

HTML Help for Red Staters
"If we want to take this party back, and I think we can someday, let’s get to work." – Barry Goldwater

An election is not a random sampling, where you don't have precision. Even if the difference is one vote, it's not 'statistically insignificant.' It is the true result, exactly.

HTML Help for Red Staters
"If we want to take this party back, and I think we can someday, let’s get to work." – Barry Goldwater

good point (n/t) by notanideologue

n/t

speaking personally... by notanideologue

count every vote...but I like small "r" republicanism.

but add the votes of some dead people for good measure.

What if the people there said "Oh, the difference between Bush and Gore is statistically insignificant. Let's just let the state elected officials decide?"

HTML Help for Red Staters
"If we want to take this party back, and I think we can someday, let’s get to work." – Barry Goldwater

more democratic outcome by notanideologue

than judges.

"Land of the Free and Home of da Whopper" Peter Griffin...Family Guy

conform and celebrate diversity....or else!!!

i wasnt pointing fingers by notanideologue

the result would have been the same either way.

"Land of the Free and Home of da Whopper" Peter Griffin...Family Guy

conform and celebrate diversity....or else!!!

I am a troll by notanideologue

I've just been able to outlast the rest by not sounding like an overly emotional and irrational idiot.

At least I like to think so.

nor do they show respect for the site. So in my view you have not shown yourself as a troll. Please don't make me regret writing this...lol.

"Land of the Free and Home of da Whopper" Peter Griffin...Family Guy

conform and celebrate diversity....or else!!!

Nah, you aren't a troll by simpson316

Your qualification keeps you from becoming one. It's the overly emotional and irrational idiot stuff that makes someone a troll.



Now also found at The Minority Report

if Gore had won his own state of Tennessee and its 11 electoral votes.

lesterblog.blogspot.com

So which party is democratic? by Tim Schieferecke

The Republican Party doesn't have "superdelegates" it has delegates. We also don't have anything in our by-laws justifying the need for them in case the people make a mistake. I think the Neocastro or Elite-idioticratic Party are better titles for this collection of leftists.
Tim Schieferecke

We award three per state. Not every Tom, Dick, and Harry who gets elected under the D label like they do though.

HTML Help for Red Staters
"If we want to take this party back, and I think we can someday, let’s get to work." – Barry Goldwater

Hillary Clinton was a pretty well-known quantity by last October - positives and negatives, especially negatives.

Obama was a relative unknown. Policy-wise I disagree with him on GWOT and I doubt he'd nominate strong originalist judges. But if I wanted a living constitution and didn't think Iraq was part of GWOT I would have been for him as the clean, fresh, liberal candidate. But that was before Reszko, a spiritual advisor whose spiritual advice is "God Damn America", and learning that Barack Obama launched his political career with two terrorists.

You have to wonder how many people who voted for Obamaearly primaries would have voted for Clinton if they knew about Ayers, Wright, and Rezko back then. I bet if everybody knew things about Obama back in January that they know now, that Clinton would be leading in regular delegates and in the popular vote.

and for purely substantive reasons. There's no way she can be worse than Obama. She'll at least have the sense to pull to a hard center and work in the spirit of Bill Clinton's second term. Obama might hire a bunch of people that would make Lani Guinier seem conservative and patriotic.

lesterblog.blogspot.com


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