Indiana Primary Results Semi-Open Thread.

McCain should win the GOP nomination, by the way.

By Moe Lane Posted in | | Comments (21) / Email this page » / Leave a comment »

[UPDATE: At 78% it's Clinton/Obama 52/48; clearly CNN is waiting for a couple counties before risking calling the race (CBS already has, for Clinton). There's going to be a lot of excited Obama supporters about this, the poor fellows.]

[UPDATE: With 20% of the vote in, it's 57/43 Clinton. This number will go down, too: urban votes will almost certainly eat into that. Given the exit polls, I'm thinking a high single, possibly double digit victory for Clinton.]

[UPDATE: The first results are in, and with a whopping 3,700 votes counted Clinton is meaninglessly ahead 66% - 34%. That will undoubtedly shrink. - Moe]

As always, results here. Polls close at 6:00, but it's going to apparently be a while before we get actual results - so here's a bit for your amusement until then:


Clinton needs to win, but any win will suit her needs.

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Indiana Primary Results Semi-Open Thread. 21 Comments (0 topical, 21 editorial, 0 hidden) Post a comment »
Obama seemed to do better by operationchaos

Obama seemed to do better than most polls suggested for his neighbouring states.

I recall SurveyUSA gave Clinton a 9-point lead going into MO primary, but he pulled an even. Iowa, the same story. Although most polls suggested a Clinton win, I believe it's going to close.

That video was great! Thanks!

The Democratic nomination process has proven to be pretty interesting. I haven't been this interested in the inner workings of the DNC since I became a Republican 10 years ago.

http://www.ktracy.com

I'm starting to think Drudge hearts Obama. by St. Louis Conservative

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

President Obama: inflation, depression, taxes, bombings, surrender! All good front page material.

"Nothing works like freedom, Nothing succeeds like liberty"
Kyle

Thanks for the chuckle by Joliphant

I am kind of hoping Hillary does double digits in Indiana and holds Obama to the low singles in NC.

The video was fun too.


"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

Obama has clobbered Hillary in NC on the strength of the black vote (made up 35% of all voters, and 91% of them went for Obama). And on the strength of new young voters (made up 18% of all voters, and 68% of them went for Obama).

Obama's truly massive turnout of his usual coalition--youngsters and blacks--won him the state.

Still, the exit polls clearly show that once again, Obama can't break out of that coalition to appeal to anybody else in large numbers. I'll have more to say about that in another post.

CBS news projects Clinton by operationchaos

CBS news projects Clinton the winner of IN.

Congress Races:

It looks like Carson will win the Dem primary and face Elrod again in Nov

Congressman Burton is leading with 54% of vote in with nearly 3/4 of vote out

Hillary could lose Indiana and even is she wins its by less then 4 points which many may consider a loss now

Luke Puckett has won GOP nomination to face Donnelly

Is Puckett a good candidate? by St. Louis Conservative

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

If the exit polls are correct that 1 in 10 Hillary voters were Republicans that were crossing over to vote for her in the primary (but said they would vote for McCain in November) then Hillary owes her win to Operation Chaos voters.

M Penny

Oh boy even the Clintons are going to have trouble spinning this.


"Those who expect to reap the blessings of freedom must, like men, undergo the fatigue of supporting it."
-Thomas Paine: The American Crisis, No. 4, 1777

22% of IN GOP voted against McCain

26% in NC voted against McCain

These are troubling numbers

I'm not losing sleep over it. by St. Louis Conservative

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

I don't think it means much by LangdonAlger

I don't think those numbers mean much. The GOP race, for all intents and purposes, is sown up. McCain was my #1 choice, but my aunt and uncle, who live in NC, did not vote for McCain today. They wanted to vote for the candidate with whom their beliefs most closely follow. However, in November, they will happily cast their ballots for McCain.

We all know that McCain is a lock, right? We're not in an Obama/Hillary situation where the eventual nominee is up in the air (barring a lightning bolt or whatever).

The nominee is going to be John McCain.

Also, keep in mind that (SWEEPING GENERALIZATION ALERT) Republicans, being Republicans, are pragmatists first and foremost. They know that McCain is going to be the nominee.

As such the number of Republicans likely to be swayed by the thought "It Is My Civic Duty To Show Up And Stand In Line For Ten Minutes Instead Of Going Home And Doing Jello Shots With The Wife" is significantly less.

The folks who do show up are far more likely to be thinking things like "It Is Vitally Important To Me That I Send A Message To The Republican Leadership!!!!!" (hence: Huckabee, Paul, and Romney (Romney? Seriously? Yeah... says Romney right there...))

Also (SWEEPING GENERALIZATION ALERT), Republicans don't fall in love, they fall in line. If this was a "real" election, McCain would get all of those votes except for the Paul ones and the Paul ones would vote Libertarian or Constitution or Wobbly or whatever... and, more to the point, there would be a *HUGE* increase in turnout because everyone would know "This Is Not A Drill" and they'd quit screwing around and vote for the guy with an R next to his name and then get on home to do some serious jello shotting with the wife.

Man is free at the moment he wishes to be. --Voltaire

I bet you that there were 40,000 Republicans that crossed over to vote for HRC in Indiana.

“.....women and minorities hardest hit”

... most Republicans crossing the line to do damage vote for Obama (contrary to Rush's wishes).

At least I seem to recall this being the case in previous primaries, as Obama is seen as the weaker candidate for the general.

DAMN

Gary is coming in and Obama is getting 75& of vote in city and Hillary is dropping. She leads by less then 20,000


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