Redstate

A combination made in...

Mike DeVine’s Charlotte Observer columns
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

and I didn't know it until this weekend how big it is. I visited my parents (really my mom, of course this weekend) and the subject of the Democrat primary race came up. Here in Oregon we have mail-in voting and we have our ballots now for the May 20th primary. My mother is a DINO and hasn't voted D in a general election in 30 years, but yes, she is and has been a registered Democrat for a long time (though she's the one who got me listening to Rush 16 years ago). She's voting for Hillary in the primary. She doesn't like Barack Obama one bit.

She put it this way (paraphrasing of course). "Barack Obama reminds me of when I was working in the late 60s and early 70s. He's the new hire that was brought in, I'd train him and he'd get promoted. Him with his non-existent experience would get the raises and promotions while women who had put in their time, had paid their dues and were deserving got nothing." There was a personal righteous anger in her voice, something I haven't heard in many years.

I quite imagine that there are many women out there who back then had hit against the glass ceiling watching younger, less experienced men just jump right in ahead of them - I think Hillary's older women's voting demographic shows this, and this will not be something easily smoothed over in time for the general election. I don't want to paint a rosy picture as many of them still might come home to the Democrats, but there is something for McCain to exploit against Obama.

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As the yuppified degreed classes entrench themselves, they close off opportunities for those who may have a lot of savvy, smarts and energy, but never had the resources to stay in school for the BS, the law degree, the MBA, etc.

And they resent being talked down to in the Obamesque way.

Hey Senator Obama!

him for the greif he endures from Michelle. That is one mean witch. I feel for Bill too!

Mike DeVine’s Charlotte Observer columns
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

He's the expert. He made his bed...aw, it's just too easy to go there.

"No compromise with the main purpose, no peace till victory, no pact with unrepentant wrong." - Winston Churchill

Marrying Michelle was a business decision for him. I wouldn't evaluate it any other manner.

Mike DeVine’s Charlotte Observer columns
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

From the same article:

People have notions of what a wife’s role should be in this process, and it’s been a traditional one of blind adoration. My model is a little different think most real marriages are.”Emphasis mine

Vile is likely too light a characterization of this woman; one where even Theresa Heinz-Kerry even is a more likable woman.

But I loved comment 27 from the page:
"With a spouse like her, who needs to get married?"

Men on the political A train of Chicago politics, thats who.

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It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it.
--Aristotle

Mike DeVine’s Charlotte Observer columns
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

trained a few AA hires myself. That pretty much undid all that liberalism college tried to instill in me.

In Vino Veritas

I quite imagine that there are many women out there who back then had hit against the glass ceiling watching younger, less experienced men just jump right in ahead of them....there is something for McCain to exploit against Obama.

The problem is that the GOP has never appealed much to this cohort (career women, many of them single) before. In fact, the social conservatives in the GOP have been more sympathetic to stay-at-home-moms than to career women.

One of the reasons is that career women tend to be feminists. Their ability to pursue long-term careers has been aided by the availability of modern birth control and abortion services, which have reduced unwanted pregnancies. And by the feminist movement, which campaigned to open up new careers for women in fields that were formerly dominated by men.

The Democrats, covering all bets, just introduced a bill in Congress calling for pay equity between the genders, another long-standing feminist goal. It was political, of course, just so they could get McCain (along with the rest of the GOP) to vote against it, which he did. Now he would have to campaign for the votes of career women after having just shot down pay equity for them with the Democrats supportive of it. Good luck with that.

Obama while likeable to some is incredibly hateable to those that have been around the block.

For many he will be the avatar of someone they have known and hate greatly.

I don't know if you speak from personal experience or you're just a keen observer of the human animal, but you're dead on here.

In the movie "Nine to Five", Lily Tomlin's character loses a promotion to a less qualified man that she trained, because her boss (played by Dabney Coleman) is a sexist. Anyway, I think that a lot of older women are going to see Obama (a smooth talking unqualified man) taking a job away from a more qualified hard-working woman (Clinton).

Also in the GE, look for what I call the "Tina Fey effect". Last year on an episode of the TV show "Thirty Rock", Tina Fey's character (named Liz Lemon) says that, "I tell my friends that will vote for Barack Obama, but I'll probably vote for John McCain". In other words, she wants people to think that she's "cool" and "hip", so she tells them that she'll vote for Obama, but she really worries about things like national security and experience, so in the privacy of the voting booth, she pulls the lever for McCain.

Anyway, if Obama polls well against McCain but ends up losing the election, the media will blame it on the "Bradley Effect", but I think it will really be more of a combination of the "Nine to Five Effect" and the "Tina Fey Effect".

Like most people in Mingo County, West Virginia, Leonard Simpson is a lifelong Democrat. But given a choice between Barack Obama and John McCain in November, the 67-year-old retired coalminer would vote Republican.

“I heard that Obama is a Muslim and his wife’s an atheist,” said Mr Simpson...

West Virginia is hostile territory for Mr Obama because it has few of the African-Americans and affluent, college-educated whites who provide his strongest support. The state has the lowest college graduation rate in the US, the second lowest median household income, and one of the highest proportions of white residents, at 96 per cent.

And we all know (h/t Jeff) that white folks that don;t vote Obama are racist.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/2a50425a-1f86-11dd-9216-000077b07658,s01=1.htm...

_____________________________

It is the mark of an educated mind to be able to entertain a thought without accepting it.
--Aristotle

If slate's delegate calculator is to be believed, Obama will clinch the pledged delegate lead on May 20 with Kentucky and Oregon. Thus all of the superdelegates who said that they would support the pledged delegate leader (as I think there have been a significant number who have said that), they will basically be locked in and might all come out for Obama at that point - for example Nancy Pelosi.

I would expect the pledged delegate lead clinching thing to be the big story on Kentucky-Oregon night.

blow out in both states could cause some s-d's to go neutral, and in any event, no s-d is locked in until the roll call at the convention.

Mike DeVine’s Charlotte Observer columns
http://thehinzsightreport.com
www.theminorityreportblog.com
www.race42008.com
"One man with courage makes a majority." - Andrew Jackson

Either deal with the point of the [post], or skip it entirely.

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!

nt

That the popular vote is actually important while the Obama camp shouts the Rules are the Rules.*

*Yeah as if the Democrats worry about rules. I swear their model concerning political agreements must have been Adolf Hitler.

It gets a little gritty when they have to divvy up delegates without using fractions, but by and large, if a candidate gets at least 15% then he's walking away with some delegates.

This is one of the roughly seventy million things that the Democrats will need to change about their primary system. :)

The Fuzzy Puppy of the VRWC. I've been usurped!

and they're not going to take it anymore....Riiight.

They're just going to screw it up even worse and blame it on us in four years.

The rules vary by state. Usually, a state is divided up into districts (often, congressional districts) and there are a certain number of delegates up for grabs in each district (let's say it's five). Basically, the winner will get 3 delegates out of that district, whether the winner's percentage was 51% all the way up to 60%. But at 60%+ (i.e., greater than 3/5), the winner gets that fouth delegate, which is where you really start to change the score (3-2 = +1, but 4-1 = +3). That % you have to hit to get an extra delegate will vary depending on how many delegates are available in each district.

I think that'll happen, but it is also par for the course for the media when it comes to small states where everyone knows who will win ahead of time. For example, Wyoming, Mississippi, Maine, Vermont (a little different because also was overshadowed by TX/OH), etc. It will be the front page of CNN for a few hours, that's about it.