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Early Lessons From 42 To 44

America’s 42nd president, Bill Clinton, was reportedly hospitalized with chest pains this afternoon in New York. Hopefully he’ll be fine, but naturally any threat to his health puts one in mind of the man’s legacy as a two-term president.

What struck me is this: when he was president, there was endless debate about Bill Clinton. Was he a liberal at heart who tacked to the center for pragmatic reasons, or was he essentially a moderate? Was he wasting his prodigious political talents, or was campaigning all he really knew to do well anyway? Did he revive liberalism from its decline, or validate the Reagan Revolution?

But nine years after he left office, as his presidency begins to recede into history and his party has passed to new leadership, this much is clear: it doesn’t matter anymore what Clinton’s intentions were, or what his talents were, or what he believed in. It doesn’t matter anymore who was up or who was down in his Administration, or who leaked what to which newspaper, or how he went about making decisions. It doesn’t matter who the public blamed or what the polls said. It doesn’t matter what Clinton said, either – we remember a few stock phrases (other than the embarrassing ones about his various scandals, probably his most enduring line was his campaign’s standing reminder to then-candidate Clinton that “It’s the economy, stupid”).

What matters from the Clinton Administration is what the president and his Administration did, and what it failed to do. Thus, for example, Clinton’s fiscal and economic legacy was not Hillarycare or the BTU tax, which went nowhere, nor was it the Contract with America, but rather an essentially centrist set of compromises with the GOP that yielded income tax hikes, capital gains tax cuts, welfare reform, fits of spending restraint but few spending cuts, major free trade agreements like NAFTA and GATT, and a series of both regulatory and deregulatory bills on the workplace, private securities litigation, and the financial markets. The book isn’t closed yet on the ripples from that era, but the decisions made, the bills passed, the judges appointed, the wars fought and unfought, etc., are done, and as historians debate President Clinton’s legacy, that is what they will examine. The same will be true of George W. Bush.

And the same will be true of Barack Obama. Obama is known for his eloquence, but little he says is remembered the next day, and still less will live on after him. Obama spends much of his days pointing fingers of blame – at the Bush Administration, at Congressional Republicans – but blame is not a legacy. Obama’s true intentions are subject to as much debate as Clinton’s or George W. Bush’s, or for that matter FDR’s or Lincoln’s, but only his record will really matter.

Which ought to give him pause. Obama entered office with an unprecedented base of support in Congress – even FDR didn’t have a filibuster-proof majority in his first year in office – and yet it is hard to think of a modern two-term president who accomplished less, either legislatively or in international affairs, than Obama in his first year. Even Clinton, for all the frustrations of his first year in office, got his tax hike package passed.

Unlike Clinton or Bush, Obama’s political obituary is far from written. But we should not lose sight of the fact that when it is, all the rhetoric and the news cycles will pale in comparison to that awful question: what did you do with the time that was given to you?

COMMENTS

  • Cheetah772

    Nobody is talking about Grover Cleveland (did I get that right?) in this day and age, but people still talk about Nixon or FDR long after they’re dead. Both FDR and Nixon are better known presidents for actions they undertook during their terms. So, the question is, which is it for Clinton?

    Maybe he will be remembered for one thing: being a moderate president, despite pushing for liberal agenda in the beginning of his first term. Or he will be remembered for being partly responsible for Republican Revolution of 1994.

    But ultimately, it is up to our interpretation of how we view one’s presidency in the terms of our political beliefs. For liberals, Clinton is a wasted opportunity to get in as many liberal agenda as they can get away with. For some conservatives, he’s the single biggest obstacle to paving the way to reforming many of our institutions and markets based on our conservative principles.

    As for me, I will always remember Clinton for what he is — a bimbo chaser. What do you say about this?

    • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

      a significant legacy if the democratic party had learned the wisdom of Clinton instead of lurching to the left.

      More later and yes, I am praying for Bill Clinton’s health.

      • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

        which will refute my column of several years ago that claimed he was.

        http://archive.redstate.com/blogs/gamecock/2006/sep/22/the_picture_of_dorian_gray_and_bill_clinton

        more later

        • Cheetah772

          I rarely use my first name on Redstate, though I use it a lot in a different forum (a right-wing gaming forum). Do you have super-hacking skill or what? Just kidding…

          Looking forward to your next dairy…yours were always a pleasure to read,

          • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine

            and you made my day with the compliment, but

            let me continue with a preview of my next column (And since I went back into full time private law practice 4 weeks ago, I only have the energy and time for one column per week) which was inspired by this column, and especially the fact that Baseball Crank points out the basis of my claim that Clinton’s presidency has to be viewed as an objective success in my opinion, despite his foibles and mistakes in office and since.

            more later

          • autiger89

            What right-wing gaming forum?

          • Cheetah772

            You can check it out via google. My screen name is same as here.

          • autiger89

            I didn’t even know there was such a thing!

  • wbb1950

    He has achieved one thing significan in his first yea in officer through his hope and change utopianism . Indeed something historians cannot ignore.,

    Iran is now a nuclear state.

    And while it could be argued that this problem did not begin with him it is an undeniable fact that ,his weakness and failure to confront the problem were a major contributing factor in bringing this adverse result to fruition.

    Furthermore, he stood idly by while freedom fighters begged for a bare showing of support. They. we slaughtered in the street.

    So in my view he did achieve something significant in the first year of his presidency (in addition to burying our grandchildren in debt). Unfortunately it is not an achievement t o be particularly proud of.

    • throwback59

      Administration: blame Bush for anything that goes wrong and take the credit for anything that Bush did right, such as Iraq ( as VP Biden did today).

      • qixlqatl

        Forward the bill to the future

  • http://www.AmericanThinker.com Hammer2008

    Leading by example is an expression most know. #42′s legacy of philandering set a new lower standard for morality in the White House. In some ways, after screwing Monica, the liberals and MSM were saying in effect, “Hey, it’s A-O-K because it’s in his personal life”.

    Call it trickle down infidelity. Rates have shot up amongst the military (thank you #42, the onetime Commander in Chief) and even (ex) Senator John Edwards thought he could get away with it; to borrow from Dick Morris’ book, “Because He Could”.

    Thanks to all of this, it can be well argued, had John Edwards not declared his second run for president, Hillary Clinton (or even Evan Bayh or Mark Warner) would have been #44.

    Evil deeds to have a ripple effect. Thanks Bill, hope you have a speedy recovery. I’m sure your wife keeps enjoying the thought of how much you have cost her.

  • wbb1950

    Might be advisable to give it a rest for a day or two to see if he pulls through.

  • JadedByPolitics

    he was definitely center left but he was no MARXIST like Obama. He was a DLC’er which is a group of “moderate” Democrats of which Harold Ford is one and which the progressives in the party despise. He will no doubt be remembered as a cad and I think that in and of itself will negate anything else he did, well other then setting us up for 9-11.

    • jayburd

      You probably believed he didn’t inhale either.

      • Beasley Beesmeal

        I can’t tell if your funny or just a tool….

        well done…..which are you?

        • jayburd
          • Beasley Beesmeal

            stay funny….

      • JadedByPolitics

        I am sure you think you are rather smart but I find your ignorance to be rather obvious because the reality is that progressives in the D party do and have ALWAYS despised the DLC’ers quite like WE in the Conservative wing of the Republican Party DESPISE the Rockefeller Republicans so in response to your triangulation comment I think you had better recognize that neither party makes anyone portion thereof happy and that is what I said and you of course added nothing except a snarky STUPID piece of NOTHING. If you have something to add to it please do otherwise keep your smarta@@ comments to yourself you little lemming!

        • http://impudent.blognation.us/blog kyle8

          wow, you always go ballistic at the slightest perceived provocation. You need to just chill a bit. You are right and Jayburd is wrong but I don’t think what he said deserved a nuclear blast!

          • JadedByPolitics

            I think the SMACKDOWN I laid on you last week was 10X as nuclear as this response however to you who is constantly coming into my sphere and LOOKING to take me on it might seem a little much. I think kyle you like Neil suggested need to just GET OFF MY BACK!

          • http://impudent.blognation.us/blog kyle8

            I am going to keep reaching out to you because (1) you post here often and (2) I like what you way most of the time and (3) I would like to engage you from time to time in a real debate.

            Unfortunately you are WAAAAAAAAAAAAAAYYYY too prickly and you tend to take everything negatively, even when it is not meant so. Like the time you thought I was attacking all women bloggers when I said nothing of the sort.

            Therefore I am going to continue to try and reach out to you and get you to moderate your vituperance. Because you might not realize this, but like when you so called laid a smackdown on me, it really made you look pretty bad, Here I was trying to give you some advice and you go ballistic.

            You don’t have to take my advice, but your responses seem to indicate that you need too do something because no one can say squat to you that you don’t act belligerent, and that just comes off as rude.

          • JadedByPolitics

            I don’t CARE what you have to say to me. I don’t CARE that you are attempting to give advice. I say what I want when I want and very Ladylike for this family site. I don’t WANT you chatting with me because you and I have NOTHING in common other then this site. I think if you look back at that conversation that ALL of my friends recognize my PASSION while you see it as a problem. So I am quite nicely asking you to STAY AWAY from my posts and a site moderator has asked you to do the same so DO IT!

          • http://impudent.blognation.us/blog kyle8

            ok I tried.

            But there is just one little fly in your ointment. You see I would be happy to stay away from your posts, but you have a nasty habit of flaming people, including many redstate regulars. I am hardly the only person you have ever had a run in with.

            so my dear, when your “passion” gets the better of you, and you go off on someone for no good reason, I will be there to call you on it.

          • JadedByPolitics

            ….

        • jayburd

          Of course he’s a moderate.

    • http://www.examiner.com/x-1597-Charlotte-Law--Politics-Examiner Mike gamecock DeVine
  • Swamp_Yankee

    I’m not sure why Saul Alinsky is all the rage now. Back in 1992, there were few of us screaming to the high heavens about Clinton’s radical associates, who were just as bad as Obama’s. Remember, Hillary hid her fawing Alinsky thesis from the public for years.

    Remember the first things he did? Gays in the military, HillaryCare, Lani Guinier, Donna Shalala. Kimba, Wood, Zoe Baird, … He came out radical. But got smacked down in 1994 and put self-preservation first and became a phony moderate. His ego and legacy were #1. He pivoted to maintain power and popularity. Obama looks a true believer. He is willing to take more hits than Clinton for “The Cause”

    But I think there is a lesson that trascends politics. After 1994, the radicals retreated back into their laboratories: academia, class rooms, publishing, film studios, law firms…. Radicals dont believe in politics much. They fought their long march through the culture war. That’s where they conducted their war, while in the wilderness. Clinton taught them that the people were not ready for revolution. So they went back to fighting the long war.

    They thought the tipping point came in 2008 with another generation of liberal youth, government workers, mass Hispanic migrations and growing minority populations… But they failed again. The electorate still rejected them. But they are closer this time. Obama may try to bull rush some of the most radical elements of his agenda through, which will expedite their ascendency. But they are already retreating back to the labs, where they will wait for another generation of indoctrinated youth.

  • kateusa

    medical care available in this country, no holds barred, no expense spared, no waits, no rationing despite his age, no question….though he and this administration would like to impose this on the rest of us.

    • nivlem

      you are right

  • bigmaude

    and forth from NC to OK in the 90′s with bumper stickers like “Impeach the president and his wife” and the pix of bill and hillary with the phrase “caution air bags on board”. Fun stuff. Oh and the blue dress of course.

  • wilfranc

    to create the type of crisis in the nation and display competence in handling it. I’m sure Bill Clinton is envious of Bush’s main legacy of 9/11.

    Obama’s use of the words unprecedented and historical point to that realization.

    Democrat presidents have a fear of being forgotten, and continually tour the world revisiting their presidencies in a revisionist light to justify feelings of inadequacy.

    • NotSoBlueStater

      GW Bush was handed an historic challenge. Clinton was not. My gut tells me though that Clinton’s massive ego would have served him well were he president when Bush was. He has “it” — despite all of his flaws. He would have made decisions, and I think he’d have made them well.

      Clinton will not be remembered becuase history didn’t test him. Bush will be remembered because it did. That’s just how it works.

  • tngal

    Oh, never mind – I don’t inhale.