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An Early 2012 Prediction

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If you’ll permit me, I’m going to go on record with a very early prediction about 2012. Sarah Palin has an op-ed in the Wall Street Journal this morning endorsing Paul Ryan’s Roadmap as a good plan for rescuing the nation’s fiscal solvency. It’s far from the first time that former Gov. Palin has spoken warmly of Congressman Ryan and his ideas.

I have no idea as of yet who is running in 2012 and who isn’t, let alone who will be the GOP nominee, and other than being committed to finding a candidate who (1) has executive experience and (2) isn’t Romney (not that I’m likely to back Huckabee, either), I haven’t settled on a candidate and haven’t ruled out any of the remaining contenders.

But I will predict this now: if Sarah Palin is the nominee, she will pick Paul Ryan as her running mate. Ryan has a few things in common with Palin – he’s relatively young, telegenic, and a workout fanatic – but my guess is that Palin recognizes that the biggest knock on her is that she’s not regarded as a policy-details person, and Ryan of course is precisely that, a sharp communicator with a mastery of the details. While the conventional wisdom goes in one of two directions – either that a running mate would be someone with specific ethnic/regional/religious appeals different from the nominee or that a nominee coming from a governorship would pick a national security heavyweight – my guess is that Palin would look to Ryan as a guy she could see taking the de facto prime minister role of running the legislative and budget agenda, freeing her up to handle the big-picture issues and the Commander-in-Chief role.

COMMENTS

  • wonkish1

    I’m an absolutely huge gushing fan of Paul Ryan and I’ll admit when I read that article by Sarah praising the roadmap, I got a very warm fuzzy feeling I don’t often get in politics.

    • Dan McLaughlin

      And I’d be tempted, if he ran, but I still think the #1 on the ticket needs executive experience.

    • http://www.flaliberty.org scorpio0679

      When Ryan published his roadmap, “conservative” stalwarts backpedaled away from it as quickly as they could. Why? It wasn’t because Ryan didn’t publish conservative ideas . . . most of the entrenched political order viewed his ideas, while necessary and correct, as somehow threatening to certain constituencies that might damage the GOP.

      It’s rubbish. We’ve got to have the discussion on the welfare nanny state NOW or we won’t have an opportunity to talk about it later — we will be in fiscal collapse. Sarah Palin is most definitely the highest profile person to openly and warmly endorse Ryan’s roadmap. What an amazing thing, and it just once again shows that Sarah is willing to stick up for conservative principles when others are tempted to balk.

      Like the OP, I’m open to support any true conservative, but Palin is looking more and more attractive (no, I didn’t mean it in that way) as the days go by.

      • aesthete
  • toothpick

    …but I think Ryan would be wasted in such a ceremonial role as VP. I’d prefer to see him as Speaker, or governor. Long-term, of course – he has a job to do right now, and I’m looking forward to watching him do it while IN THE MAJORITY. :)

    • reddog53

      wasting his talents on VP would be a tragedy.

      What Republicans need to do is find the right Senate Majority Leader (Thune?) and get a full team on the field, as a better version of Obama-Reid-Pelosi.

      • wonkish1

        He is more valuable in the House. Also I just hope he never goes for a cabinet spot, it would be a waste of his talents.