Take A RedState Presidential Electability Poll!
A lot of the presidential discussion right now is operating on three levels: who would be the best President, who has the best chance (or any chance) of being the nominee, and who has the best chance (or any chance) of winning the general election. Here’s your chance to weigh in, and argue your case in the comments. The electability poll – who are you | Read More »
New Hampshire Primary By The Numbers
The 2016 New Hampshire primary results look like two political parties in a race to self-destruct. New Hampshire was bad news for Hillary Clinton, and worse news for Marco Rubio. Let’s run through what we learned with the final vote totals in, focusing mainly on the Republican side: 1. Republican Turnout Remains High: More voters cast ballots in the Republican than the Democratic primary in | Read More »
How Big Were The Ratings For ABC’s New Hampshire Debate?
Big debate ratings and (in Iowa) big voter turnout have been the story of the GOP primary race so far, and despite being on a Saturday night, the New Hampshire debate on ABC was no exception: Bucking a trend of declining debate ratings, ABC’s Saturday night GOP face-off was the highest rated debate so far in 2016, according to Nielsen. ABC’s debate coverage between 8 | Read More »
Now The Marco Rubio Spin Wars Begin
The story of tonight’s New Hampshire debate will probably be about Marco Rubio – but we don’t know yet what that story will be, because the post-debate spin may be more important than what actually happened. Rubio had some very good and bad moments tonight. Unfortunately for him, the bad ones were early, they were ugly and they were preventable. Chris Christie attacked him with | Read More »
Are “Electable” Candidates Actually Electable? Part II: Swing State Electability
Is “electability” a meaningless term? It is certainly an overused one, and overused words tend to lose their meaning even when they have something to tell us. In Part I, I looked at “electability” candidates in past Republican presidential primaries. But if we look at recent presidential, Senate and Governor’s races, we can get a better fix on what kinds of candidates win and lose | Read More »
New Hampshire Is Very Different From Iowa
The Republican primary race looks very fluid as we head into New Hampshire, albeit against a backdrop of an enormous lead for Donald Trump in the New Hampshire polls taken before his second-place finish in the Iowa Caucus. It is worth reviewing how the New Hampshire electorate is likely to differ from the Iowa Caucus electorate. Obviously a primary has a much bigger turnout than | Read More »
Paul Ryan on President Obama: Don’t Feed The Troll
House Speaker Paul Ryan spoke today to the Heritage Action Conservative Policy Summit to lay out his vision for the GOP in 2016. Let me translate his remarks for you, starting after his standard thematic intro about being “a Jack Kemp, Ronald Reagan conservative.” “Let’s cut to the chase: There are a lot of people hurting in America right now. They don’t think the promise | Read More »
Hear Rush Limbaugh Call Marco Rubio A “Legitimate, Full-Throated Conservative” [AUDIO]
Very few people entered this election cycle with more street cred with conservatives across the country than Rush Limbaugh. That credibility has been earned over nearly 30 tireless years on the radio, bringing Rush for many years the biggest audience in talk radio and spreading the conservative message even to many listeners who don’t agree with him but enjoy him as an entertainer. He’s probably | Read More »
Bill de Blasio May Get A Republican Challenger
On the second anniversary of killing the groundhog on Groundhog Day, Bill de Blasio is viewed with a lot of suspicion here in New York City, but also some fatalism by Republicans, who despair of finding a challenger. Enter Eric Ulrich. The New York Post reports that the 30-year-old City Councilman from Queens is contemplating a run for Mayor in 2017: City Councilman Eric Ulrich, | Read More »
Eight Takeaways From Iowa As New Hampshire Looms
There’s a lot to digest from a dramatic night in Iowa. Here are eight things to take away as we move on to New Hampshire next Tuesday: 1. Yuge Turnout: In my expectations post over at National Review, I said to look beyond the percentages for the vote totals to get a real sense of what Ted Cruz and Donald Trump in particular were doing: | Read More »
BREAKING: Projected Winners: Cruz & Hillary
Hopefully, you all are tuned to RedState tonight for reporting and analysis. But a tip of the cap is also in order for the Ace of Spades HQ Decision Desk, which has done fantastic work compiling election returns the past few cycles. And AOSHQDD has projected that your Iowa Caucus winners tonight are Ted Cruz and Hillary Clinton, with Bernie Sanders a strong second and | Read More »
Tim Scott to Endorse Marco Rubio
Multiple news sources are reporting that South Carolina Senator Tim Scott will endorse Rubio shortly. That has to be good news for Rubio in South Carolina. Scott is close to Rubio, but the Cruz campaign has reportedly been lobbying him to stay neutral. Rubio still needs to get through the wringer of New Hampshire before we can assess his prospects in South Carolina, and leaking | Read More »
Media: On Today’s Glenn Beck Program
For those of you interested in catching me on television, I’ll be on The Glenn Beck Program this afternoon at 5 EST, talking about this essay I wrote at The Federalist analyzing the rise of Trump – and his vulnerabilities – through the lens of military strategy.
Iowa Establishment Quislings Backing Trump For 30 Pieces of Ethanol?
Terry Branstad embodies the Republican Establishment in Iowa; the state’s moderate Governor is now the longest-serving Governor in American history. Steve Deace is one of Iowa’s top conservative talk radio figures, and very plugged in to what’s happening at the grassroots level. And Deace just reported that he is hearing that Branstad’s team is actually pushing people to support Donald Trump so they can stop | Read More »
Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse Responded To Donald Trump and It Was PERFECT
Nebraska Senator Ben Sasse is one of the best new Senators elected in 2014, and we at RedState were proud to support him in the primaries. After keeping a low profile his first few months in the Senate, the 43 year old freshman has gradually been building a higher profile as a conservative reformer, and has recently started grilling Donald Trump on Twitter. Today, Trump | Read More »