While the cognoscenti of the Western financial world is attempting to spin the recent fall in the dollar as a stylish financial mystery play with a journalist based in the Middle East as its star, the Whodunit spin is a red herring: the facts are that the dollar is weak, and getting weaker.
The world is awash in dollars. There is a massive oversupply. We are electronically creating (printing in another era) hundreds of billions of dollars to buy our own T-Bills. Our deficit and spending has soared.
Kudlow, in his column, “Save the Greenback, Mr. President” explains that solution is to remove the excess dollars from the market and to stop “printing so much debt:”
for therapy, the Fed should begin moving excess cash from the economy….And they need to stop printing so much debt from Congress. All this massive spending and borrowing is killing us.
Instead, the Democrats in Congress and the White House are planning more spending: a second spending bill is on the table — ironically tagged as the second stimulus bill, which ought to stimulate the dollar tanking — and of course, President Obama’s $1 trillion health care spending boondoggle.
When town hall meetings are interrupted with shouts of “stop printing money” the jig is up. Note to the White House: in the age of the internet, you cannot hide printing $600 Billion a year from the world.
Until the Federal Reserve stops printing money to buy our own T-Bills, and the Democrats in Congress stop spending on new programs and we lower our deficit the dollar will continue to drop. End of story, no other outcome is possible.
Simply put, the Dems are killing the dollar.

The Dem's are making it so everyone
itdiehard Saturday, October 10th at 10:15AM EDT (link)will have there own bucket load of money…
Ah, but that's the point: it will buy a loaf of bread!
Section9 Saturday, October 10th at 8:25PM EDT (link)As in Weimar.
The Chinese, the Germans, the Russians. No one is buying into Obama’s con game. They will not be fooled.
It will amaze future historians how a jumped up lawyer from Chicago thought he could fool a regime led by the inheritors of the civilization that invented the abacus.
“History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it”-Winston Churchill
Our future currency.
NightTwister Saturday, October 10th at 10:37AM EDT (link)Get Connected in Colorado.
You Lie!
Socrates Saturday, October 10th at 10:41AM EDT (link)There is no picture of either Barack or Michelle anywhere on it.
–
Gone 2500 years, still not PC.
He should get the Nobel Prize for
Dan Perrin Saturday, October 10th at 11:03AM EDT (link)Economics!
Obama’s discovery:
Its easy to electronically create money from nothing — he does it all the time to pay for his spending!
Everyone should do it, I mean, what’s the downside?
Maybe we should nominate him for that
Richard Mullins Saturday, October 10th at 11:07AM EDT (link)/snark
Yeah, he’s becoming better than a counterfeiter that uses a copier to make more bills.
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Really, He should be handing out the prizes
Socrates Saturday, October 10th at 11:27AM EDT (link)to those of us fortunate enough to be alive during His Time.
–
Gone 2500 years, still not PC.
wow
cableguymn Saturday, October 10th at 11:02AM EDT (link)Will our money have an expiration date on it as well? The Zimbabwe dollar is the only one falling faster than ours right now
The R$ reason Rio won the Olympics
Dan Perrin Saturday, October 10th at 11:17AM EDT (link)The real is kicking the dollar’s butt:
http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091008-712396.html
When I got to Iraq in 03 one of the first things we did...
nessa Saturday, October 10th at 11:23AM EDT (link)…was see a young kid on a motorcycle with a gym bag full of money. That being somewhat suspicious, to an American anyway, we promptly gave chase. After he slipped his bike off a muddy trail beside an irrigation canal we grabbed him. The gym bag was stuffed full of dinar, unfortunately, rather than catching a terrorist with his payoff for the latest IED or attack, we had a teenager who had been sent to the market to buy groceries. It took a gym bag full of money just to get some bread and a stringy old sheep haunch.
I’ve read about people pushing wheelbarrows full of money to buy bread in Atlanta during the Civil War and seen pictures of similar circumstances in Wiemar Germany. I fully expect that when Americans are pushing wheelbarrows full of dollars through abandoned parking lots to the doors of run down Walmarts, Joe Biden will tell us we need to print more money to keep from going broke and congress will authorize “dollars for duffels” so we can carry enough dollar bills to buy a big mac and a soda for lunch. The illegal immigrants will be hiring Americans off teh street corners for temporary jobs and paying with the now coveted peso.
“If you love wealth more than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, depart from us in peace. We ask not your counsel nor your arms. Crouch down and lick the hand that feeds you. May your chains rest lightly upon you and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen.”—Samuel Adams
Contributor to The Minority Report
Tariffs
angryalbino Saturday, October 10th at 11:44AM EDT (link)Maybe we should take a page out of China’s book and institute Tariffs, domestic content laws, prevent capital from leaving the country, and forcing foreign companies to partner with US companies. That is how China grows it’s economy.
Brazil also has tariffs average 17%. The US had a great economy when we had tariffs.
Um, I think that was tried during the Great Depression...
Jim Saturday, October 10th at 1:10PM EDT (link)…and it just made things much, much, much, much worse.
Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act
“On the free market, everyone earns according to his productive value in satisfying consumer desires. Under statist distribution, everyone earns in proportion to the amount he can plunder from the producers.”
Murray Rothbard
Trouble is, it's the worst kind of inflation, the stagflation
Achance Saturday, October 10th at 11:42AM EDT (link)like we had in the ’70s and early ’80s. The CPI is flat or, if measured honestly, deflationary because of shelter prices. Yet prices for most everything else, especially food and other basics, is rising. These increases are offset by declining shelter costs. Yet, shelter cost declines don’t reflect what happens to real people unless you change your shelter every month. It is a fixed cost for most people so most people are experinceing considerable inflation.
Unfortunately, people on fixed incomes if they have any indexing at all have indexing based on CPI so they’re experienceing a seriously declining standard of living. High unemployment and labor surplus keep most in the workforce from being able to increase their wages, so they experience the inflation as well. Even union workers in the true private sector cannot get wage increases. Consequently, the only people who can get wage increase are those in the third sector which is mostly in commodities and basic services, e.g., health care, utilities, transportation, aerospace/defense. etc, which increases tend to force up costs for others in the society. And finally, the public sector at the federal level and in the Blue states, mostly unionized, will be able to keep up with inflation through politically driven wage and entitlement increases until the government can no longer support it, e.g., Wiemar, or there is a tax revolt by the citizenry or both. And both is the helter-skelter scenario.
Comrade Obama and his minons are praying, not that they really pray, that some stupid white “extremist” does something that they can sieze on as a crisis and impose more federal authority to squash dissent before the people in the doughnut cities figure out that even with Comrade Obama in charge, they’re still going to have to buy gas for their car and make their rent/mortgage payments and all Hell breaks loose.
In Vino Veritas
I really would prefer a fixed income
JoeG Saturday, October 10th at 2:11PM EDT (link)It sure beats declining or disappearing income…
Yes, but all hell will break loose, anyway, Art.
Section9 Saturday, October 10th at 8:38PM EDT (link)I agree almost wholeheartedly with your analysis, Art. However, methinks you haven’t quite accounted for what’s going to happen with all the Bobos. They who voted for Obama in good faith, yet will see their savings get slowly eaten away.
First came housing leverage, which is where inflation first struck, in the Housing market under Bush. If that wasn’t inflation by another name, I don’t know what was. Now, there is an attack on the dollar, which will erode the value of their savings. Don’t think this won’t affect the politics of the Middle Class. It will.
There won’t be enough money to buy off the Middle Class. The Chicoms are getting off the Crazy Train to Weimar. You would too, if you were them.
And here’s where the wheels come off for the Dhimmis: there is no constituency in the Party of Nancy Pelosi, Harry Reid, and Henry Waxman for cost containment of entitlements, much less cuts. It’s all about raising taxes so their piggies can continue to feed at the trough. You remember what Newt said about Bob Dole: “The tax collector for the welfare state!” This is true of Obama, in spades. That’s what the Dems think of him. His job is to bring home the bacon, no more, no less.
They can’t control costs. It’s a scorpion/frog paradox for the Democrats. It’s simply their nature to spend, spend, spend. It’s what will destroy them.
“History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it”-Winston Churchill
Certainly every Boomer who thought their house was their savings account
Achance Saturday, October 10th at 9:47PM EDT (link)for retirement has had their whole world undone in the last year. I’m not upside down or anything, but IF I’d pulled the pin on Alaska a year and a half ago, I could have turned my house into a Class I motor home and a condo someplace warm, all paid for. Now all I can turn it into is a a decent down on one or the other of those. My boat is essentially worthless because nobody can get credit to buy it. I’ve discounted the rent on my commercial property in Georgia twice in the last year just so I can keep money coming in for it. I own it fee simple, but somebody’s got to pay the taxes to send all the black kids that don’t want to go to school to school anyway. The whites long ago left the public schools system if they had any way to do so. I don’t want to sell it because it is just about the last of the old 1795 land grant land in the family, but that’s just as well because I couldn’t. I’m thinking I’ll see if I can arrange some money to build an apartment building on the roadfront part of it. Ain’t nobody in that part of the World buying a house again any time soon, so apartments ought to be OK. And if the soviet confiscates it, so what?
So, I don’t know what the Boomers do; maybe shuffle to the oven, maybe go to the hills.
In Vino Veritas
Where o where is blackhedd when we need him the most.
mbecker908 Saturday, October 10th at 11:49AM EDT (link)While I generally agree with your conclusion, Francis had a great column on the subject a couple of months ago at TNL and his conclusion was that the problem would be deflation.
Maybe Erick could persuade a diary on the subject from him… HINT, Erick, HINT!!!!
Democrats spending recklessly yes, but the Fed is the problem!
Jim Saturday, October 10th at 1:07PM EDT (link)All this reckless spending by the Congress would not be possible without Ben Bernacke and the Federal Reserve system enabling the Congress to spend fiat money created out of thin air. If the Dems in Congress are the junkies, it is the Fed that is pushing the habit of spend, spend, spend! It is the cause of price inflation that diminishes people’s purchasing power and savings, it is the source of these vicious boom/bust business cycles, and it is the lifeblood of big government.
I am glad to see the monetary issue coming to the forefront in recent months. But it is going to get worse and worse until those in Washington embrace the principles of sound money.
Good references on how the government has royally screwed the dollar over the last 100 years include:
Murray Rothbard: What Has Government Done to Our Money?
Jörg Guido Hülsmann: The Ethics of Money Production
“On the free market, everyone earns according to his productive value in satisfying consumer desires. Under statist distribution, everyone earns in proportion to the amount he can plunder from the producers.”
Murray Rothbard
The Dollar isn't weak
Mario Saturday, October 10th at 1:17PM EDT (link)or at least not more weak, relatively, but that all depends on your starting point. If you look at the currency markets starting from just before the current crisis (August ‘08, say), the Dollar is up against every major currency except the Yen. Now it has lost since January, but it hasn’t been enough yet to wipe away the fear-induced gains made just a few months before. It’s true, as Kudlow points out, that the price of gold is high, but so what? Gold isn’t a currency, and its price is just about meaningless when it comes to international capital flows, despite what gold fetishists may wish.
People who buy and sell currencies every day and who have the most to gain or lose depending on sudden inflation spikes are not afraid of holding the dollar; if there were any credible risk of inflation, they would have priced it into the market.
The real economic risk right now is that the Fed may respond to improving economic conditions by raising interest rates prematurely rather than insisting that the White House roll back the stimulus first. As I said, though, I don’t think either is called for (beyond the obvious point that the stimulus is wasted money regardless, but in this case I’ll treat it as generic “fiscal stimulus,” would could have been useful, theoretically, and some people are still willing to believe it is). I do agree with the author, however, that the call to spend more, even as the Fed is making noise about raising interest rates (which is itself treated by the market as an interest rate increase), is completely insane.
Bad enough the dollar,
johnt Saturday, October 10th at 1:18PM EDT (link)how about the nation, the Constitution, private property, the war, the once valued “privacy”, budgetary restraint? And last, what remains of what used to be social and civic comity, as the swine in the WH, the other set of swine in Congress, and liberal swine in general, do their sickening best to engender a regime of domestic conflict, one that borders on civil strife.
“a man’s admiration for absolute government is proportinate to the contempt he feels for those around him”. Tocqueville
A weakened Dollar isn't necessarily a bad thing
reason60 Saturday, October 10th at 2:26PM EDT (link)Since it makes our goods cheaper for other countries to buy. There is a balance between a currency that is too strong, making our products uncompetitive abroad, and too weak, making foreign goods too expensive.
The bigger problem, as pointed out, is runaway spending. I pointed this out in my diary entry, where in order to balance the budget, we would need to cut a full third of spending.
There isn’t any way to cut this much, without gutting at least a few sacred cows, which will take political leadership and courage, commodities in short supply these days.
There is no constituency in D-Land for Spending Restraint
Section9 Saturday, October 10th at 8:42PM EDT (link)This is Unicorn Land we speak of.
Allowing for some dissent by the Blue Dogs, who really have no decisive power in their own caucus, the Democratic Party as an institution cannot excercise spending restraint. They can lie about it all day, but they are constitutionally incapable of spending cuts when they perceive that there’s Other People’s Money about that they can get their hands on.
“History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it”-Winston Churchill
R-Land isn't any better Section9. Spending restraint is as extinct as the T-Rex. nt
nessa Saturday, October 10th at 8:50PM EDT (link)“If you love wealth more than liberty, the tranquility of servitude better than the animating contest of freedom, depart from us in peace. We ask not your counsel nor your arms. Crouch down and lick the hand that feeds you. May your chains rest lightly upon you and may posterity forget that you were our countrymen.”—Samuel Adams
Contributor to The Minority Report
Agreed! Why do you think the grassroots is in revolt.
Section9 Saturday, October 10th at 9:06PM EDT (link)When people get to DC, they join the “political class”. The notion of a larger duty to the posterity of the country becomes a quaint concept that sort of goes out the window.
I will say this for the R’s. At least one of the reasons we got run out of town on a rail in 2006 is that our people had the common decency to stay home because of all the spending.
Didn’t do much good, of course.
“History will be kind to me, for I intend to write it”-Winston Churchill
That's staying at home has made
Richard Mullins Saturday, October 10th at 11:47PM EDT (link)this spending twice as bad as before. They couldn’t keep their promise to cut spending. By 2001, they were already spending like drunken sailors. Maybe we can primary the spending congresscritters and replace them with ones that will not spend alot.
For more on my views, go my wordpress site:
http://rpmullins.wordpress.com
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http://thesquash.wordpress.com
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I beg to differ nessa
johnt Saturday, October 10th at 11:54PM EDT (link)it is quite fashionable to say that there is no difference between parties and spending/taxes. But I trust you can and will tell the difference between a high point of $468 billion deficit under Bush and a then Democrat Congress and a current deficit of $1.4 trillion.
I will pass on further commentary except to lament on the idiocies of Glen Beck, who can’t tell the difference between warm water and boiling hot pitch. His word does seem to spread.
“a man’s admiration for absolute government is proportinate to the contempt he feels for those around him”. Tocqueville
Term Limits
Robert A. Hahn Saturday, October 10th at 11:37PM EDT (link)When people get to DC, they join the “political class”.
That’s why we need term limits. The Executive Branch consists almost entirely of career civil servants. The Judicial Branch consists entirely of appointees-for-life. If the Legislative Branch also fills up with government lifers, there is no constituency for limited government.
Drink Good Coffee. You can sleep when you’re dead.
If term limits work so well for our cities and states
Richard Mullins Saturday, October 10th at 11:43PM EDT (link)I don’t know why it won’t work well for the Federal Government. Sometimes I think that there should be a penalty for any congressman to start lots and lots of spending bills and earmarks.
For more on my views, go my wordpress site:
http://rpmullins.wordpress.com
For more on Happy jet airlines, go here:
http://happyjetairlines.wordpress.com
For a good dose of satire go here:
http://thesquash.wordpress.com
For more of I like to do a lot:
http://www.flickr.com/photos/42008626@N03
I've posted a Youtube video to fight back
vortigernpendragon Sunday, October 11th at 12:00AM EDT (link)Government spending is going to destroy America. I believe drastic action is called for. I set-up a webstie, spendenforcer.com, but in an attempt to increase exposure, I recently made a video and posted it on Youtube. Please visit it and pass it on if you agree with this strategy. Thanks
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_-fdvepD7C4
http://spendenforcer.com/
But, wait, in the world of things that don't matter
Dan Perrin Monday, October 12th at 8:52AM EDT (link)Obama is doing them: like appearing on the cover of Men’s Health and winning the Nobel Appeasement Prize for doing nothing.
He is making our dollar a joke and he is making the Nobel a joke.
Obama Money
dclamage Monday, October 12th at 9:14AM EDT (link)People in Detroit, MI are lining up by the tens of thousands for their Obama Money!
None of them understand where the money is coming from. They just know it’s a free handout.
– Dan Clamage