Rothenberg: the Most Accurate Pollster is SurveyUSA


Rothenberg has done a great service by documenting the most accurate pollsters which most accurately predicted the results of last Tuesday’s elections.

In the heat of predictable arguments about which polls are the most accurate leading up to the 2010 mid-term elections, Rothenberg’s list of the most accurate pollsters in the off-year elections will provide the list of the the handful which should be listened to, and which should be ignored.

Here they are:

Rothenberg’s Pollster of the Cycle Award: “SurveyUSA, which once again proved its worth, at least in pre-election polls. The firm’s final Virginia numbers were eerily close…”

The other handful of firms who were the next closest: Public Policy Polling and Quinnipiac University.

Research2000 was called out by Rothenberg was called out for being the most inaccurate because of its overstatement of support for Deeds in Virginia.

Interesting, Rothenberg called the media to task for describing “Dede Scozzafava, the Republican nominee in New York’s 23rd district, as a moderate.” Rothenberg says:

“Scozzafava doesn’t only support abortion rights - often a marker for Republican “moderates” - she supports gay marriage. But she doesn’t only support gay marriage; she supported President Barack Obama’s stimulus proposal that not a single House Republican favored. But she didn’t just support the stimulus package; she supports the Employee Free Choice Act (what opponents call “card check”), which is opposed by virtually the entire business community. And in the end, of course, she endorsed the Democrat in the race.

Scozzafava is a liberal Republican by any standard, and she should have been labeled as such. She is more liberal than every Republican in the House of Representatives and many Democrats.”

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11 Comments Leave a comment

Most Accurate last yr too nt

redtillimdead Monday, November 9th at 12:26PM EST (link)

Nancy Pelosi can kiss my asstroturf.

Hmmm

Dan Perrin Monday, November 9th at 12:33PM EST (link)

Thanks the comment.

It is nice to know what the most accurate polling firm has been, it ought to help correlate many theories into the correct and incorrect categories.

 
 

Media considers "liberal Republican" an oxymoron

mustango Monday, November 9th at 1:06PM EST (link)

The concept of a liberal Republican simply can’t be allowed to exist under the MSM’s agenda. It contradicts too many of their templates.

Then the pro-life democrats coming out of the house woodwork must be making them nuts... nt

Read Chesterton in New Improved Jersey Monday, November 9th at 1:46PM EST (link)

.

“Nature is not our mother: Nature is our sister. We can be proud of her beauty, since we have the same father; but she has no authority over us; we have to admire, but not to imitate.” - G. K. Chesterton, “Orthodoxy,” Chapter VIII.

 
 

It's Interesting That Rothenberg's Analysis Ignores Rasmussen

IJB Monday, November 9th at 1:20PM EST (link)

What’s up with that?!

I was thinking about that

Dan Perrin Monday, November 9th at 4:37PM EST (link)

I think Rasmussen did not do these races, but I did not check

 
 

So, the firm hired by Daily Kos is inaccurate and biased.

Nick Haynes Monday, November 9th at 1:47PM EST (link)

Hmmm…never would’ve predicted that.

If you’re not networking, you’re not helping.

You beat me to it!

illinoisconservative Monday, November 9th at 1:49PM EST (link)

by a minute or so…

 
 

Research2000 - What a joke

illinoisconservative Monday, November 9th at 1:49PM EST (link)

The Daily Kos house research firm consistently skews to the left. I wonder if kos orders up the numbers that way?

Probably, it

Dan Perrin Monday, November 9th at 4:37PM EST (link)

helps their base

 
 

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