I’ve been spending a lot of time reading the HillBuzz site the last few weeks. If McCain pulls this off, I would recommend that RedState and HillBuzz try to sponsor a joint forum to see what common legislative goals we could agree to for helping the country.
In any case, these guys have their hooks into the Democrats for McCain folks, especially the former Hillary staffers. They know PUMAs better than we know PUMAs. A post went up this morning about a frank conversation they had with a former colleague that worked with them on the Hillary campaign.
Tonight we spoke with a friend from Hillary Clinton’s campaign who is now working for McCain/Palin — and is specifically working with Democrats for McCain in Pennsylvania. We worked with her in Texas, Indiana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania for Hillary and have spent many LONG hours with her in the trenches in all of those states. She’s smart, doesn’t BS, and never lies. She says the same thing we do: John McCain will win Pennsylvania.
The post is very long, and covers a lot of details about the ground game in PA. Hearing how the McCain campaign is staffed in Pennsylvania is fascinating:
DEMOCRATS are staffing McCain offices across the state. DEMOCRATS are phone banking and canvassing for McCain. DEMOCRATS are raising large sums to fund this last week of campaigning.
I was also interested in their take on the regional expectations:
We do not believe Obama will carry Pittsburgh or Harrisburg in PA. He’ll win Philly, but not by the large margin he needs to take the state. You’ve heard Governor Ed Rendell is “worried” about Obama’s chances in Pennsylvania. That is an understatement. Obama will lose a state that hasn’t gone red in generations.
Now this I find interesting, since it tracks well to the regional analysis I did over the weekend, when looking at the most recent SUSA poll. In that poll I noted that while the Philly area is polling for Obama by a 30 point margin, the rest of the state is either a very small Obama lead or a 15 point McCain lead. To reach the result that SUSA pubished, they had to over sample Democrats and THEN over sample Philly with a 41% share of the poll to Pittsburgh’s 23%. However, in 2004 Philly and Pittsburgh both contributed 29% of the overall vote. There is no basis for giving the Philly samples an 18 point margin in the SUSA poll.
My usual warning to take everything with a grain of salt. The Democrat machine in Philly has a long history of being able to produce votes as needed. But they are going to need to overcome a strong trend toward McCain in the Pittsburgh area, which voted for Kerry 57% to 42% in 2004.

The problem for McCain is the Philadelphia *suburbs*
charliehall Tuesday, October 28th at 8:04AM EDT (link)http://www.usnews.com/blogs/barone
Charlie Hall
Bush lost the Philly suburbs badly
Dave_in_Fla Tuesday, October 28th at 8:10AM EDT (link)They were almost as Red as Central Philly.
Losing in Bucks County is NOT going to be a problem for McCain, given the dramatic shift in Pittsburgh. The SUSA poll alone is showing a 16 point shift toward McCain in the SW region of the state, over Kerry’s margin in 2004.
“If they were merely incompetent, then at least SOME of their actions would have been to the benefit of the country.” - Joe McCarthy
Let's Go!
pwest Tuesday, October 28th at 10:11AM EDT (link)Dave, how can we help the good folks in PA to Turn Out the Vote?
Pam
I do not know.
Herodotus Tuesday, October 28th at 11:19AM EDT (link)I grew up it Pittsburgh. I find it hard to buy the idea that any R could win the city.
Sign Newt’s Drilling Petition. I have included a link to it in the below. Thank you.
http://www.americansolutions.com/
BELIEVE IT
WHAT Tuesday, October 28th at 12:26PM EDT (link)McCain is cleaning up! The GOP bet their money wisely on GOTV and it is paying off.