By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  November 16th at 12:48 AM  | 

I’m going to begin my detailed discussions with Sarah Palin. During dinner the first night, the conversation quickly turned to Sarah. One of our table mates is from Oregon, and was worried about how the rest of the country felt about her. It seems one of her independent friends had decided not to vote for McCain when Sarah was selected. I expressed my strong opinion | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  November 15th at 10:26 PM  | 

(Thanks to Jim Geraghty for the hat tip over at NRO’s Campaign Spot. His summary of the cruise is well worth reading.) This diary is the first in a series of multimedia diaries that I will be posting over the next few days. I’m hoping that I can get my footage edited and up on YouTube before I need to head to Los Angeles on | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  November 5th at 09:29 AM  | 

We got the results I feared. I was hoping for a different result, but in the end the pollsters were again correct and it was a 5 point win for Obama, with a devastating down ballot result. When you end the night being glad that Ted Stevens might eek out a victory, that is a bad sign. So here are some things that I think | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  November 1st at 01:51 PM  | 

This will likely be my last post before Election Day. I have company coming into town, and won’t be near a computer (other than my iPhone Neil, hint hint). I found this over at American Thinker, posted by Thomas Lifson. Now this is obviously third hand, but I’m comfortable that the chain of custody for the letter is honestly reported, given the reputations of those | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 31st at 09:22 PM  | 

So, was it a denial of service attack because of the anonymous poster that Rush pointed out today? You guys really need to figure out a way to plan for those Rush hat tips.

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 31st at 08:15 AM  | 

Some information from Florida, some of which you already know. 1) By now everyone has heard about early voting here. Dems lead the GOP in early voting 53/30 (not sure on that GOP number) with 1.4 million votes cast. Meanwhile, GOP leads Dems in absentee ballots, 50/30 with 1.2 million received. However, LA Times/Bloomberg polling on already cast votes in Florida, gives McCain a 3 | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 29th at 08:47 AM  | 

Update: Fox news is reporting that Obama’s pollster is confirming the results discussed here. In a memo sent to the Florida ground operation, he confirms that the polls are tightening up and that GOTV operations are critical and in need of resources in Florida, Ohio, North Carolina, and Virginia. He says that resources are less of a problem in Pennsylvania. When contacted by Fox, he | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 28th at 06:15 PM  | 

(h/t to the folks at hillaryclintonforum.net) Last I looked at places like 538.com and ElectionProjection, they were calling Nevada either “leans McCain” or “tossup”. But this story in the Las Vegas Review Journal makes that assumption pretty suspect. On the first day of early voting, 62 percent of Clark County voters were Democrats, while 23 percent were Republicans and the rest nonpartisans or members of | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 28th at 07:53 AM  | 

I’ve been spending a lot of time reading the HillBuzz site the last few weeks. If McCain pulls this off, I would recommend that RedState and HillBuzz try to sponsor a joint forum to see what common legislative goals we could agree to for helping the country. In any case, these guys have their hooks into the Democrats for McCain folks, especially the former Hillary | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 27th at 04:35 PM  | 

This little math exercise is almost useless as a predictor, since there are so many assumptions. What if Republican support is down? What if moderate Republicans vote Obama? What if Black turn out is through the roof? What if…? So I offer this up as a look at one possible model of voter turnout, given many, many assumptions: I’m trying to back into an estimate | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 27th at 04:23 PM  | 

The race in FL-16 has now reach the point of hilarity. On Friday, the South Florida Sun Sentinel ran a story about Tim Mahoney’s decision to not attend a debate with his opponent, Tom Rooney: Democratic U.S. Rep. Tim Mahoney, embroiled in an adultery scandal, skipped a planned debate Friday because organizers wouldn’t ban television cameras, leaving his opponent to debate an empty chair.

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 27th at 11:05 AM  | 

You know the old saying, look where the candidates are spending their time. So without trying to be depressing, the schedule for this week is a little gloomy. After spending time in New Mexico over the weekend, there are 4 states where McCain and Palin will be spending time this week, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. This means that at this point, the campaign | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 23rd at 06:07 PM  | 

(h/t to PaRep) A new poll was released today by ATI-News/Zogby that looks into the question of whether or not the electorate is interested in “redistributing the wealth”. CNBC reports on this poll here. The last time this question was asked was back in June when Gallup touched on question and found the following: PRINCETON, NJ — When given a choice about how government should | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 23rd at 11:24 AM  | 

I went to do early voting this morning. I figured 10:30AM on a Thursday should be a safe time to avoid the crowds. Well when I got there, there were 30 people in line ahead of me, and when I finally got to the front of the line, there were 50 people behind me. This is Brevard County, Florida, a VERY RED county. Out of | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 21st at 01:20 PM  | 

This is up on the front page at Hillbuzz, one of the PUMA sites: We’ve appreciated the comments written here by members of the Ace-of-Spades and Little Green Footballs communities — we’re glad to have you here, and are as proud and grateful to be working with you towards the common goal of defeating Obama and his socialism as many of you have said about | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 21st at 09:00 AM  | 

Now I knew she would vote for McCain, because she hates Obama. But I didn’t realize the depth of her anger. Last night at dinner she told me, “For the first time in my life, I voted a straight Republican ticket.” “I didn’t even think about it, I just went down the list and filled in every bubble with an R next to it. I | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 20th at 08:01 AM  | 

I signed up for this thing way back in July, and after the Christopher Buckley endorsement, I wanted to find a way off the boat. Unfortunately, with cruises you are stuck after a certain point (like when they have your money). So I am just a little disgusted with a number of them, and am in the mood to have some frank discussion with them | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 16th at 10:13 AM  | 

I didn’t watch the debate last night. But this morning I’m reading through the comments on Erick’s post, and noted someone saying “Most people that watch the debate don’t know who Joe the Plumber is”. Well, I keep my homepage on Dogpile, which has a list of the top 5 searches through their site. I noticed this morning, before I had heard anything about the | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 15th at 10:22 AM  | 

Erick, this one is for you. And I dare you to promote it. You have fallen into the soft, easy trap of negativity. You have convinced yourself that disaster looms, and we must scramble to claw ourselves into a position to protect our last vestige of self determination. Guess what, Markos Moulitsas agrees with you. And he has you exactly where he wants you. This | Read More »

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 13th at 05:18 PM  | 

I’m sitting in the Delta Crown Room in Orlando right now. One of the things I hate is that they put CNN on all the TVs. So last week with the market in freefall, all we hear is how Republicans and McCain are at fault. Today the market is up 938, and Wolf is running Obama’s campaign speech about how only socialism can save the | Read More »