A single data point telling me Obama is toast
I have a long time friend, who is a lifetime Democrat. He and his wife are both San Francisco liberals suffering through living in Red State Florida. We normally don’t discuss politics, but it actually came up yesterday. His comment was that he was unsure who to vote for (are you kidding me?). He was thinking about McCain but was troubled by the Palin pick | Read More »
A theory, based on observation
Forgive me for offering a completely wild guess about the current state of the presidential race. I tend to notice different threads of data and try to mesh them together into an analysis of how they interrelate to form a cohesive story. Here is my theory. The Obama campaign believes that it is losing
Obama’s bounce gone in an instant
I’ve mentioned before that I was tutored in the nuances of polling during the 2004 campaign by an actual expert in the field. Today Rassmussen reports that Obama’s big bounce from the Berlin speech has already faded.