Can we now stop worrying about PA Senate?

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 26th at 03:51 PM  | 

I posted yesterday a quick analysis of the PA Senate race and the supposed tightening of the polls there. The key takeaway was the results of the Morning Call/Muhlenberg daily tracking poll, which I still question because I’m not confident they have their likely voter model correct. But the trend was enlightening: Sestak 44 – Toomey 41 Sestak 43 – Toomey 43 Sestak 43 – | Read More »

So let’s take a look at this PA Senate poll

By: Dave_in_Fla (Diary)  |  October 25th at 10:37 AM  | 

h/t to Geraghty I got into a bit of a tiff over the weekend for saying to not panic over the polls showing the Toomey/Sestak race is tightening. I didn’t put much stock in the previous polls showing things like a 12 point race, because they were only showing a differential, not the base level of support for the candidates out of the entire electorate. | Read More »