During the 2010 midterm elections, I stated that the GOP wave would probably be thwarted in New York state based on voting trends. I admit failure as some Republicans won surprise elections and went on to Congress. However, I stated then and I reiterate now that the New York GOP is in a state of disarray. Combined with a clear cut strategy that targets incumbent | Read More »
In 2012, the Republican Party seems to have learned its lesson from some bad redistricting moves they made a decade earlier. Then, they targeted Tim Holden and the Philadelphia suburbs in a plan that backfired. However, with a current 12-7 advantage in the congressional delegation, the goal this year was to strengthen their existing seats and basically concede Holden’s seat. For President, it seems that | Read More »
This will be a rather short entry, although there is a lot of drama for such a small state and the outcomes pretty much settled. For Governor, incumbent Democrat Earl Ray Tomblin should win reelection with little problem. Meanwhile, Joe Manchin runs for a full term in the Senate after winning a special election in 2010 to complete the term of deceased Senator Robert Byrd. | Read More »
In 2008, Ohio broke for Obama with 51% of the vote. However, Republicans managed to sweep to victories two short years later. This year, as far as the presidential race goes, one cannot be so sure of an outcome. Ohio has sent missed signals in 2011. While they voted to overturn SB5 which restricted collective bargaining rights for public worker union employees (a “victory” for | Read More »
In Indiana, Democrat Joe Donnelly will be the nominee for Senate and not face a competitive primary which allows him to gear up for the general election while Lugar and Mourdock battle it out for the GOP nomination. Meanwhile, Lugar is spending money fighting off a fellow Republican while Donnelly is building up his war chest, And to hear many conservatives on this site and | Read More »
On one level, things should get back to normal in Indiana in 2012; that is, their red state status should come shining through. Unlike its industrial Rust Belt neighbors- Ohio, Illinois, and Michigan- Indiana showed a 5.6% increase in population over the decade- not enough to gain a seat, but neither do they lose a seat in the House. It needs to be mentioned that | Read More »
Michigan started their redistricting process with two goals in mind: shore up Thad McCotter’s district and deal with the population losses in the metropolitan Detroit area. As Michigan’s overall population decreased 0.6% over the last decade, the Wayne County population, which includes Detroit, decreased 11.7%. Since Michigan will lose a seat in the House, this area seems ripe for congressional changes. Like any other state, | Read More »
There will be interest in Wisconsin, some of it brought on by the cry baby union loudmouths- many of them not even from Wisconsin- who seek to recall Governor Scott Walker over his much publicized fight to gain concessions from public worker unions. To recall, upon facing office, like many Governors, he faced serious fiscal problems, most of them tied to structural problems in existing | Read More »
Before Republicans self implode over redistricting in Illinois, it is potentially not the great apocalypse for the GOP many envision. The current delegation is 11-8 Republican and come 2013, they may lose a couple seats. Most of the population lost that cost Illinois a House seat occurred in Chicago and should have been worse had not some of that population moved to the suburbs. First, | Read More »
There is a lot riding on redistricting in Kentucky, most of it centered around the Lexington-based 6th District held by Democratic incumbent Ben Chandler. However, unlike its neighbor to the south, there will be interest in other districts also. Some of it will manifest itself in 2012 while others will occur later in the decade since Democrats feel they have a stable of good candidates | Read More »
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