Tennessee neither gains nor loses a seat in the House, but because of population shifts in the state, the political power has moved to the central regions. Also, for the first time since Reconstruction, the GOP controls the redistricting process. In terms of needs, one first looks at the ideal population count for each district within a state. The 7th and 9th districts show the | Read More »
Like Mississippi, there should be little drama in neighboring Alabama in 2012. The state is solidly red and will vote solidly Republican while the GOP nominee will capture their nine electoral votes. With no Senatorial race, no Governor’s race, general anti-Obama tendencies and redistricting efforts that bolstered all incumbents, politics should bode well for the GOP in Alabama. In the Mobile-based 1st District, Republican incumbent | Read More »
This will be a quick entry as there is not much drama in Mississippi. In fact, redistricting efforts were rather smooth, all things considered. Although the new plan landed expectedly in court, that panel of judges essentially rubber stamped the plan with minimal changes that do not seriously affect the final district boundaries. As a result, they will remain basically the same for the next | Read More »
So much can be written about Louisiana in any election cycle given their penchant for corruption and unique pecadilloes intrinsic to that state. Importantly, they have a Governor now who has avoided scandal and corruption. Given his handling of the BP oil spill and his incessant, commonsense attacks on the government’s bureaucracy in responding to emergencies that affected his state, his status in the state | Read More »
In Arkansas, which came through redistricting rather easily for a southern state, there will be no Senatorial drama such as that seen in 2010. To recount, Democratic incumbent Blanch Lincoln faced a tough primary fight against Bill Halter and a tough general election against John Boozman. Even without the bruising primary and eventual runoff, she was probably the most vulnerable Democratic incumbent Senator in the | Read More »
The state of Missouri is shaping up as a very interesting state politically in 2012. Besides the Presidential election, there is a Senate race and Governor’s race, redistricting to reflect the loss of a House seat and lots of drama over those redistricting plans and the plans of incumbents. All of this occurs in a political vacuum until the courts decide the fate of the | Read More »
Iowa is one of those smaller states that Obama needs to retain in 2012. Due to the census, they lost a House seat (and electoral vote) dropping to four seats. With approval ratings largely reflective of his national average and moving as it does, the state is considered a toss up, swing state at this point. However, given the Obama machine now in place in | Read More »
Besides the Presidential sweepstakes in Minnesota, there is also a Senate race and eight Congressional seats up for grabs. Throw in some redistricting drama and the general weirdness of the Minnesota voters and the state can be potentially perilous for the GOP in 2012. So much depends on the movement of district lines here and there and the entire dynamic can change. In addition, Minnesota | Read More »
The 2012 elections in Nebraska looks to be a coup for the Republican Party. From the standpoint of Presidential politics, Obama stands little chance of winning the state. Nebraska has only five electoral votes and he will expend very little political capital or money attempting to win this state. But first, the Congressional races. Redistricting was passed early in the cycle after a Democratic filibuster | Read More »
There is little drama in Oklahoma with no statewide races on the ballot. Perhaps one of the reddest of red states, it is certain that the eventual GOP nominee will take Oklahoma’s seven electoral votes. Instead, the interest will be on the Congressional races, especially the 2nd District. In the 1st, Republican John Sullivan, who has held the district since 2002, faces his biggest challenge | Read More »
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