Rhode Island is a solid blue state and should be again this year. In 2008, Obama took 62% of the vote here. In fact, looking back at past elections, even when the Republican won in this state, it was never by double digits after the 1956 election. Thus, one can safely say that Obama will take this state’s 4 electoral votes. Sheldon Whitehouse- the incumbent | Read More »
There are four races on the ballot this year: President, Senator, Governor and their lone House seat race. This should be an easy analysis entry. For President, Obama will take Vermont’s three electoral votes. In the Governor’s race, incumbent Democrat Peter Shumlin is a liberal’s liberal. He has structured health care reform in Vermont to mirror the socialized model to the north in Canada. He | Read More »
The simple fact is that New York, now ranked 4th in terms of House seats, is a Democratic stronghold. Like California, the only thing the state is good for as far as presidential campaigns go is fundraising for the GOP. Hence, you can safely give Obama New York’s 29 electoral votes. In the senatorial race, Kirsten Gillibrand, now considered perhaps one of the most liberal | Read More »
In New Jersey, there is a senatorial race this year. Incumbent Democrat Robert Menendez seeks reelection to a second term. The last time a Republican represented New Jersey in the Senate was 1972. There are a few things about Menendez that would make one believe he is somewhat vulnerable. In 2006, when running for a full term after being appointed to complete the term of | Read More »
First, let us dispose with the obvious. Since DC was granted three electoral votes in 1964, they have never voted for a Republican candidate for President. In fact, the lowest vote for a Democrat was 75% of the vote in 1980 for Jimmy Carter over Ronald Reagan. The demographics of our Nation’s capital dictate this 3 electoral vote head start for the Democratic Party every | Read More »
Maryland will safely go for Obama this year as it is a fairly consistent Democratic state. Even when it voted Republican, the margin of victory was not that great with the last major GOP victory occurring in 1956 with Eisenhower. Thus, Obama picks up 10 electoral votes. For the Senate, Democratic incumbent Ben Cardin faces reelection. Perhaps his two biggest crusades are the the environment | Read More »
About half way through this series of articles, we are about to leave territory friendly to Mitt Romney and the Republican Party in general as we head into the northeast and the swing states. West Virginia went for McCain in 2010 and they will go for Romney is 2012 to a greater degree. There is a palpable dislike of Obama in this state bordering on | Read More »
Kentucky is considered a border state. To a large extent, it is conservative and Republican. In 2008, McCain easily won Kentucky. Obama managed to win the Louisville area and some swaths of real estate along the northern border and some territory east of Frankfort. He can kiss that area good-bye this year. The key word in Kentucky, as in the next entry tomorrow, is coal! | Read More »
Tennessee is safely a Republican state and there will be no drama as concerns the race for President. Obama will win the usual urban areas- Memphis, Nashville and Knoxville. It is safe to give Romney the state’s 11 electoral votes. There is a Senatorial race this year as incumbent Republican Bob Corker seeks reelection. First elected in 2006, he has in six short years assumed | Read More »
It is hard to believe that at the beginning of this presidential campaign Obama thought Georgia was in play. At its heart, outside the major metropolitan areas, this is a conservative state. Perhaps, the relatively close loss (about 6 points) in 2012 gave the Obama team a false sense of hope. In 2012, Obama won the Atlanta and Savannah areas and a swath of real | Read More »
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